Friday Empire Report

soaofny • Apr 26, 2024

The Empire Report – Friday, April 26, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (1) UPTOWN HANOVER had been going through a bit of a rough patch but hitting the lead (and having

things her own way) last week helped perk her up in a hurry – she manages to squeeze into the same class tonight,

and the draw will allow her to cut the mile once more – remains the one to beat. (2) CELIA B MONEY was no

factor in NJ in her first 2 starts back as a 4YO but looked super shipping in here on 4/12, easily handling a bit easier

– nice looking 1st over try in PA last week, and now draws well again back here at YR – dangerous threat. (4)

ULTIMATE SPEED was very sharp the last 2 weeks, picking up a pair of 2nds – will have a chance to beat these

tonight IF the trip goes just right. (3) ROCKN PHILLY probably bravened up a bit disposing of cheaper 2 back

because she knew just what to with a perfect trip last week – steps up another level tonight, and she may have to

settle for a bit smaller slice this time. (5) MAGICAL MAYA A is a good fit at this level but she draws outside some

sharp foes and that may limit her a bit – 3rd/4th? (6) COWGIRL LILLY remains winless on the year but continues to

climb the ladder thanks to a bunch of 2nds and 3rds – may be pressing her luck in NW15000. (7) FAVORITE

BEACH wasn’t at her best in her last pair and now draws Post 7 – leaning towards others. (8) JENDEN STRIKE A

likely needs a much better post to be a player with these types.


RACE 2 – Good race: (2) MILLWOOD BONNIE N has been hitting on all cylinders this year, starting off at

8-4-3-0 (with a couple of those 2nds to “Borgata Mares”) – she can do damage with a variety of trips, and we’ll give

her the narrow edge tonight. (5) MC ANGEL was 17-1-7-0 here last year but has reversed that trend in 2024,

already 9-6-2-0 – she’s riding a three race winning streak at the moment, and worthy of tremendous respect. (6)

SILK CLOUD A was very sharp at the start of her season but has leveled off just a bit in her last couple – the week

off may do her some good, ad the outside draw will help her price – consider for exotics. (1) LUCKY ARTIST A

has been pretty inconsistent so far in ’24 but she does have 3 wins already – may need to be in just a bit easier these

days to pick up victories, however. (3) REC TIME always finishes strong but her “laziness” during the mile can be a

disadvantage, especially at these higher levels. (4) DRAGONS LUCKY LADY can go with these on her best game,

but a couple of the others just seem a bit more likely in here.


RACE 3 – (1) WINDSONG PIONEER is a better horse when he can be on/near the lead but he’s been ok from off

the pace in his last couple, facing better – he’s sure to be more aggressive from this spot, and his barn is currently

clicking at a HUGE 50% ROI, thanks to a 20% win clip AND several big bomb winners – worth a play. (4) QUIKSI

LVR BLUECHIP was in a hopeless spot last week but did finish up well, after the fact– better draw now, and chance

for a bigger slice. (7) STEET GOSSIP remains winless on the year, but has been in the hunt more often than not – a

quick start increases his chances of grabbing a piece of this, (3) LOS BALLYKEELAMIGO hit a major rough patch

in March – his last couple weren’t necessarily “good”, but at least were “better” – maybe he can stick around a bit

longer tonight? (6) FANATIC was no factor last start but he was off a bad date for a new barn – check the board for

some clues about tonight. (8) DIAMANTE TRIO IT is another trying to rebound from a rough stretch, but the draw

may leave her waiting for a better spot to do so. (5) BAZILLIONAIRE is 8-0-0-0 here this year and off a sick scr.

(2) PIVOTAL has been looking to refuse the gate, and just acts like he doesn’t want to be out there right now.


RACE 4 – (5) MISS DOTTIE MAE was used hard early last week before having to grab up and back off 3

rd to the quarter, came back out to 3/4s and was right there 3rd at the end, behind a pair of easier trip rivals – her overall form

has been solid for some time, and this may be a spot where she can pull off an upset. (4) TWIN B SUNKISSED

bounced back with a sharper try last week, even if helped by the easy trip – she would be very tough here on her best

effort, but probably won’t offer much value at that 9/5 ML price. (2) LA BELLA VITA bumps up a notch off a sharp

win over the 50s last week – she draws inside, her barn is clicking, and she could have a big say with these too. (6)

CHERYLS SHADOW was scr. sick on 3/15 then qualified back sharply after a month off – she may be ready to take

these on, but the poor draw may have her waiting for an easier spot next week (1) A GIRL THAT TWIRLS has

made 6 starts since moving to our leading barn but hasn’t been able to win yet (3 seconds) – the class jump may

offset the inside draw, and we’re leaning to others for the top slot. (3) MORNING HAS BROKEN is 1for 10 this

year, that win coming 2 levels down – minor share? (7) FORGOT THEWALLET A blasted from a similar spot last

week then caved badly once into the lane – seems damned if she leaves, and damned if she doesn’t.


RACE 5 – (5) SLING SHOCK was a winner here at this level in early Feb. then 2nd one level up a week later – he

returns from NJ showing several good recent efforts, and his barn is having a good local meet from their limited # of

starters – he draws outside a few main rivals, but a juicy price makes him worth considering. (2) WICHITA LINEM

AN hasn’t been on his best game lately but it’s not like he’s been horrible, either – tonight’s class drop may help him

come up with a much better effort. (1) THE REAL ONE was ok in his first try off the layoff and finished crisply for

2nd last week – it’s only a matter of time before the 14YO picks up a few wins this year...maybe tonight? (3) UP

THE CREEK was probably more “impressive” finishing 2nd to SHINE A LIGHT 2 back than he was in winning last

week – he could certainly make it 2 in a row tonight, but a couple of others may offer better value. (4) SPRINGBRI

DGE DUEL used a good trip to pick up a 2nd last week, but this is a much tougher spot – minor share only. (6) DIA

MONDBEACH seems to need a bit easier to deliver his best efforts these days – the poor draw doesn’t help his

cause. (7) MIND HUNTER is another looking for a better post, in an easier field.


RACE 6 – (4) NO DRAMA PLEASE was sent off favored vs. a bit easier last week and was a convincing first over

winner – he faces a little tougher now, but this group should be within his comfort zone as well – chance for a mild

upset, with a good trip. (7) FOR A DREAMER continues to draw horribly but he’s sharper than he looks on paper –

he’s overdue for some trip luck and IF he gets some, he can make some noise tonight...at a big price. (1) TOCCOA

FALLS will likely be the heavy favorite (class drop, rail, top connections, etc.) but he’s still looking for his first win

of the year, and clearly is not on top of his game – he just may be a bit vulnerable at a very short price. (2) VOYAGE

TO PARIS, like many of his barnmates, can be tough to predict from start to start – IF he brings his best effort, he

could land somewhere on this ticket. (6) BEERTHIRTY K gave it a good try when 2nd best last week and it’s to his

credit that the mare who beat him came back to deliver another sharp victory – the only real knock here is the post,

but that could hurt his chances quite a bit. (5) THE LAST CHAPTER weakened off an easy pocket trip last week

and will need to bounce back with a better effort to be a serious player at the end. (3) IN MY DREAMS has fallen

way off form and will need a major form reversal to be a threat here. (8) SCUBADAN ships back to YR and shows

a couple of recent clunkers at PcD – starting from Post 8 is just another tough hill to climb.


RACE 7 – (3) AIR FORCE HANOVER tried to loop from Post 8 last week but was forced to retreat all the way to

last...then unleashed a big rally from the back to pick up 3rd from an impossible spot – good chance he can go to the

front tonight and take these all the way. (2) WAR DAN DELIGHT N is now 0 for 10 on the year but hit board in half

those starts – feels like the main threat to the top one, with a good chance to complete the exacta. (4) EMINEM HA

NOVER gets his best draw in a while and is a good one for the bottom of exotics at that 20-1 ML price. (1) ROCK

CANDY certainly wasn’t “good” last week, but at least he was able to beat the weaker ones – maybe with some

additional improvement he can grab a small slice tonight. (6) VIVA LAS VEGAS N landed on a very live trip last

week but was looking to stand on his head from the final turn and Lachance did all he could just to keep him pacing

– would want to see a better looking mile before hopping back on his team. (5) MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING was a

dullish 4th off an easy trip last week and may just need to be in a bit easier. Both (7) HURRIKANE HUNTER and

(8) MARLBANK ROAD were off LONG layoffs last week and shockingly got involved in a suicidal early pace –

have to believe that they’ll both be taking a more conservative approach tonight, especially with the outside draws!


RACE 8 – (4) HALLELUJAH HANOVER was a nice 2nd behind ROCKN PHILLY 2 back and that mile is

sandwiched between a pair of good 8 hole tries – she’s 0 for 10 on the year, but really feels like she’s getting close to

that first victory. (6) ON THE MONEY GB had been racing pretty one dimensionally for her last barn (on/near the

lead) but has been finishing better for her current connections – tough spot here, but she may be able to do some

damage (at a price) in this questionable field. (2) ELSIES DELIGHT was going some nice miles upon arrival here in

February but has tailed quite a bit recently – possible wake up spot, but be careful about taking a short price. (5) BIG

BIG PLANS is 0 for 10 since joining the top barn in the nation and that’s something you don’t see too often –

tonight’s class drop could help her a bit, but she’s another that feels a bit iffy at a short price. (1) COMMANDER

CATHY N did no racing last week and still came up empty in the stretch – she can contend for a decent piece here

IF she can shrug off that mile and rebound to one of her more typical efforts. (3) ROCKNROLL ANNIE raced ok

when 3rd in a couple of starts this year but has otherwise struggled most weeks (after going just 2 for 32 last year).


RACE 9 – (4) BLUE HUNT had too far to come from Post 8 in his first start back down from Canada but he moves

inside, drops in class, and would be hard to go against from this spot, even at a pretty short price. (3) HURRIKANE

JONNYBOY had a couple of ok starts vs. better to start of his 4YO campaign but ran into tough trips in his last pair

– an easier journey would give him a chance to land somewhere on the ticket tonight. (1) SARANAC BLUE CHIP

stopped badly 2 back but bounced right back last week, blasting from the 7 hole at 30-1 and picking up a 3rd –

logical threat for another good piece tonight. (2) GOTHIC ROCK was used harder than he would like early on last

week so it was no surprise to see him come up empty late – a more conservative steer tonight could see him rebound

with a better effort, possibly rallying late to land somewhere on the ticket. (7) GRATIAN HANOVER had no

success in his 4 local efforts last year but he did manage to earn about $33K from his 33 starts during 2023 – the

12YO warhorse gets reunited with Joe B. tonight, and we’ll see if he can find at least some of that old fighting spirit,

despite the horrible draw. (8) ITALIAN LAD N missed a full year but actually raced pretty well in a couple of tries

at the NW22000 level – his next 2 tries at PcD weren’t as good, and now he returns to YR at the bottom level – it’s

possible that his first 2 starts back will prove to be his best, but it’s still too early to write him off...maybe the tote

board can offer some help? (5) CAUGHTINALANDSLIDE gets some post and class relief – we’ll see if that helps

him get his game going a bit. (6) ALWAYS ROCKIN continues to drop, and his last effort wasn’t too encouraging.



RACE 10 – Tough finale: (7) P C FREE WHEELING pounced on the pocket trip (off the class drop) to win 2 back,

then was a VERY game first over winner last week, over a quality rival – steps up and draws poorly, but just may be

sharp enough to continue to do damage...IF MacDonald can find her a decent trip. (4) YANKS DUGOUT won the

Invitational not all that long ago but started to go the wrong way right after that – he’ll turn things around eventually,

and may be at a level right now where it could happen tonight. (2) NO TURNING BACK had a few rough starts

after changing barns recently but the last two have been much better efforts – a live trip could put her right in the

mix here. (3) CALL ME DANI drops to a more favorable level, gets a much better draw and looms a logical threat –

she’s also just 1 for 20 at YR, so be careful about taking too short a price. (5) KASHA V had been going through a

tough time but has started to come back around since adding hopples recently – leaning a bit more towards others,

but it would hardly be a shock to see him beat these. (8) VALI HANOVER has been unable to get back to last year’s

excellent form but he’s still a pretty steady performer – will need lots of trip luck to reach from out here, however.

(1) SWISS HOUSE ONFIRE does his best work vs. a bit easier but he has speed from the pole, and that could at

least result in a piece of this. (6) AIRMANS JACKPOT made a couple of recent breaks at Pocono – would prefer to

watch a start over the track before hopping on his team.

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