Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • August 6, 2024

The Empire Report – Tuesday, August 6, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (3) COALFORDSNSHINE GB has handled the jump from 25s to 50s very nicely, rallying in her last pair

for a 2nd and a 3rd – she meets no “killers” in here, and may be sharp enough to get it done with the right trip. (4) HO

NEY LOVE beat this class on 5/28 then faced better in her next several starts – dropped back in for the $50K tag

last week and came up 2nd best to the scary-sharp FREESTARFLIGHT – very dangerous player here. (2) CELIA B

MONEY got stuck in the back with no chance last week but has proven she can bang heads with these types in the

past – the right trip makes her a big threat tonight. (6) LARJON LEAH gave way moving up to 25s last week but

was claimed by a hot barn and shouldn’t be dismissed too quickly, even taking a big step up to 50s – consider if the

price creeps high enough. (1) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A hasn’t been on her best game in a long time, but the good

draw gives her a shot to at least contend for a piece. (5) GINGER TREE LIZ hasn’t been terrible, but still seems

destined to contend for only a minor piece here. (7) LOOKOVERYOUR figures to be really hurt by the draw.


RACE 2 – (4) HP XANADU clearly hasn’t found her best form since returning from the long layoff but she’s

certainly been in the mix every week, and finishing just behind much sharper ones than she’ll be facing tonight –

may have finally found a winning spot. (3) PHELGON hasn’t been bad lately, and is usually a good price – not a bad

one to take a shot with if you don’t like the top choice. (1) BROOKDALE JESSIE is as camera shy as they come but

this is certainly a spot where she can grab a decent piece, with an easy trip. (2) PINK QUARTZ has been “ok” in her

4 local tries – another possibility for exotics. (5) PRINCESS ARONA would be a player on her best effort but she’s

struggled to find those better miles lately – leaning towards others. (6) WHATINEEDISAMAN has been struggling

for ages, finishing no better than 6th in her last 6 starts.


RACE 3 – (2) JUST ROSAS LUCK has been on an extended roll, hitting board in 8 straight for a few different

barns – she might have had a better shot last week if she didn’t have to wait for room at the cones into the stretch,

and perhaps she can come out on top tonight with a bit better trip. (4) IDEAL COVER rallied nicely for 3rd in her

local debut (at this level) then capitalized on a beautiful trip to win last week – threat to take another, if the trip goes

as well. (6) ALWAYS BE CITY had a much tougher journey than #4 last week and came up 2nd best – she’s good

right now, and worth a look if the price is juicy (12-1 ML). (3) NUTTINBUTHEBEST had tailed off considerably

when claimed for $25K on 7/2 – the next pair were better, but she folded badly on 7/23 then gave way again in the

stretch last week after a good first over bid– seems a little risky right now to be the 2-1 ML favorite. (1) MARY

KAT has out of town form that suggests she’d be a good fit here but she joins a barn that went from red hot to ice

cold (back in May), and she’d need to be a good price to be worth a stab upon arrival at YR. (5) DREAM

DANCING lacked room in the lane the last 2 weeks – she could race better here, but she’s also in a tough spot.


RACE 4 – (3) ROLLING WITH SAM has been good week after week, facing solid competition and usually landing

on tough trips – he should be a fair price in this evenly matched field, and perhaps he can break through and get

back to the winner’s circle. (6) CADILLAC BAYAMA was a sharp winner at this level last week, and has held his

own with better for much of the year – chance to repeat, even with the outside draw. (1) ROCKIN JUKEBOX beat

much softer in his last pair, but may have gained a confidence boost in the process – he’s more than capable of

beating these types when on his best game. (2) BUGABOO LOU has been handled aggressively the last 4 weeks

and came up light at the end each time – he’s capable of better, but probably not worth a short price right now. (5)

WATTSUP SUNSHINE A picked up small checks in both U.S. starts – he may be capable of better, and he’ll need

to find it if hoping for a better chunk tonight. (4) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N seems better suited vs. a bit easier.


RACE 5 – (2) ORLANDO BLUE A was ignored in the wagering in his YR return but delivered an excellent first

over try, coming up 2nd best to the favored frontrunner – he’ll be a big price again, and MAY get a bit of a contested

pace to rally into tonight...possible upsetter? (8) ROCK DIAMONDS N has now won EIGHT straight, many in

very easy fashion (while somehow never attracting a claim) – maybe tonight’s the night he has to work harder for

the lead and finally comes up short? (or maybe he just hits the top quickly, and extends his streak to 9)! (1) BILL

HALEY N goes for a new barn tonight after coming up empty off an easy trip last week – he could be right in the

mix with one of his “good” efforts tonight...but he does remain ever unpredictable! (3) QUALITY BUD gets some

post relief and that could spur a better effort – decent value horse for exotics. (5) REIGNING DEO has been stuck

on smaller pieces lately and will need to be sharper if he hopes to contend for the top slot. (4) DS HEARTLAND

ships in for a barn that has been sending out some live ones, but does seem a bit on the cheaper side. (6) GALANTE

A has been racing well in NJ but vs. much easier. (7) JIMMY CONNOR B steps up an moves outside – tough

combination to overcome.


RACE 6 – (5) TARGET AQUIRED was an even 3rd in his local debut behind a pair of rivals that would be

prohibitive favorites in here – look for an aggressive try in this softer spot. (6) PYRENEES HANOVER was 2nd in

his only local start last year – he’s been racing well at 3, holding his own in several Excelsior A starts... might have

been the top choice had HE drawn inside #5. (1) JERSEY BEACH has 7 career starts and seems to be getting better

every week – he ships in having hit board in 4 straight in PA, draws the pole with Bartlett and is more than eligible

to be right there with the top two. (4) THE SERPENT was a solid 4th in his local debut and an even better 2nd last

week (facing better) – he should fit very nicely here, and could be part of the equation. (3) MOSES is 0 for 14 but

often races well enough for decent pieces (in PA) – ok to use underneath. (2) CHIP IN BLUE wasn’t terrible last

week but does seem to be a notch below the main players. (7) STONEBRIDGE PATROL lands outside again after

losing by 24 lengths last week.


RACE 7 – (2) PAT MCGARRY A shipped in with some excellent Pocono form on 7/22 but was stuck racing from

last and had no prayer (though only about 3 lengths back at the wire) – drew better last week and despite a LONG

first over trip, was still able to pick up 2nd behind standout BOILING OAR – still figures to be a fair price in this

field, and seems worth a shot. (1) SEMI TOUGH was off 3 weeks to his last but still gave his all before coming up

2nd best late to the streaking CARABAO A – could be even tighter now, and certainly belongs on your tickets. (5)

FUNATTHEBEACH N is the “x factor” tonight – he doesn’t “bring it” every week at this point in his career, but he

still finds the back class that helped him earn nearly $1.3M from time to time – he seems to do his best when well

backed, so perhaps check the tote board for guidance. (4) FAMILY RECIPE turns in a solid effort week after week,

and can land himself a decent piece if the trip works out. (3) FREQUENT IMAGE continues to hold his form even

as he climbs the class ladder – if he can sit an easy, up close trip, maybe he can last for a share? (7) POUND FOR

POUND found a softer spot last week and was able to deliver the easy wire to wire score – could be in for a tough

trip tonight, however. (6) WESTERN ERA ships in from KY and SEEMS a little cheaper...we’ll find out tonight.


RACE 8 – (1) OAKWOOD CORAL IR ships in sharp from Delaware/Maryland, gets a big driver switch to

Stratton, draws the pole and she actually raced well when last seen here is 2022 – willing to give it a shot that she

fits with these, as that 8-1 ML price is attractive. (2) NO WIN NO FEED A was a money-making machine vs. better

for a long stretch, and now is doing the same at this slightly easier level (2 wins and 2 seconds from her 4 starts in

50s) – remains the one to knock off, but she also figures to be overbet in a pretty solid field. (5) PEMBROKE

SOUTHIE was handled conservatively last week (off the short layoff) but still finished well – she drops in for a tag

tonight, and should be a good fit. (6) MORNING HAS BROKEN has definitely looked good since changing barns 4

starts back, even if hurt by a couple of impossible trips – no luck with the draw tonight, but a live trip could put her

into the mix. (4) PARADISE ROCK L hasn’t won in a while but she’s been picking up her share of decent pieces –

playable underneath. (7) CALLMEQUEENBEE A has held her form since moving up from 35s 3 starts back but

may be coming from too far out of it for more than some minor spoils. (3) BIG BIG PLANS just has more lesser

efforts than good ones at this level.


RACE 9 – (5) OHOKA LE BRON N feels like he’s raced very well here a bunch of times so it was a surprise to see

he’s just 1 for 12 locally – he couldn’t overcome a tough trip vs. better last week, but we’ll give him another chance

tonight. (1) SINBAD N has hit board in 4 straight, and 6 of his last 7 starts – he hasn’t been able to WIN, however,

and may be looking at 2nd best once more if #5 brings his best game tonight. (2) KID FROM THE BRONX debuted

for a new barn last week, added Lasix, took plenty of $$ and gave it a good try on the front end before getting nailed

late (by #3) – we’ll see if he continues to improve. (3) AYR BALMORAL GB kept digging first over last week and

finally was able to collar #2 – not sure he’s as good as the top two choices, however. (4) FIREARM seems to go

home with a small piece every week and tonight may produce more of the same – may be a little smaller one vs.

these, however. (7) ON TIME DELIVERY worked out a beautiful trip for his YR debut but didn’t fire enough in the

lane and could only pick up a 3rd – this spot is even tougher. (6) MIDNIGHT NATION probably needs a much better

draw to be a serious player against these. (8) JOHNNY SACK was making his first start since November last week

and really wasn’t terrible – another 8 hole may have sealed his fate for tonight, though.

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