Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • September 14, 2021

The Empire Report - Tuesday, September 14, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (5) NIHILATED TRUTH was an ok 4th from a tough spot last week after the pocket win the

week before - he drops down to a level where he's even better, and a good trip may see him land in the

winner's circle. (2) BUGGER BRUISER is sharp right now, and was just re-claimed by his former barn -

the one to catch, and beat. (3) ARCANE SEELSTER moved to a hot barn last week but had no chance to

content after drawing Post 8 - license to come up with a much better effort tonight with the move inside. (1)

BEGINNERS LUCK has failed to cash in after dropping to this bottom level 2 starts back - definitely one

to include in exotics, but prefer others for the top slot. (6) AMRCANBOOTSCOOTAA is in a tough spot

but he was actually the favorite last week, and is now listed at 20-1 ML (after getting parked last start) - not

a bad one for longshot fans. (7) ROCKABILLY CHARM drops below the level of the recent claim (red

flag?) while also drawing outside - another one for longshot fans to consider. (8) WE THINK ALIKE is o

fir 26 here over the last 2 years and figures to be 0 for 27 after landing all the way outside. (4) ROCKIN

RAMBARAN just hasn't been clicking at all lately.


RACE 2 - (4) CARRYTHETORCHMAN was off to a slow start to his 3YO campaign but appears to be

coming around now - last couple of starts were very promising, and he may be ready to finally pick up his

first victory of 2021. (1) NEVER EASY Z TAM debuted for a sharp outfit last week but was off a bad date

(scr. injured), and landed on a tough trip - good chance he'll race much better tonight. (3) KEYSTONE

NOLAN's last win was back on 5/25 (in NW2) but he's been racing well almost every week in NW4 since

then - seems like a logical threat, but a win tonight would bump him out of this class - may be a better one

to use underneath, rather than on top. (2) NEXT BIG THING drew outside in both local tries and had no

chance - moves in to Post 2 and he'll have every chance to show us what he's got - wouldn't be a shock. (6)

SOLID ALIBI grabbed his first local win in his 10th attempt last week - moves up in class, lands outside

(even though it's a short field), and he's also moving to a new barn this week - leaning towards others. (5)

SCOTT ON THE ROCKS was able to wire a soft NW2 field 2 back but wasn't bad when 4th from Post 8

last week (moving up to NW4) - jury still out on how well he really fits with these.


RACE 3 - (2) VENIER HANOVER got a big barn/driver change last week and was a very impressive first

over winner vs. the 15s - steps up to face the 20s tonight, but seems more than capable of handling it. (5)

MAJOR BUCKS is sharp right now and was claimed from last week's win by a Canadian outfit that has

been winning at a torrid clip since arriving a few months back - major threat. (4) IN SPADES was hurt by a

slow start last week but was a little better late to finish 4th - his barn has been clicking all year, and a better

start could make him a much bigger player tonight. (3) MACH TIME N seems to be heading in the right

direction now, and a live trip could land him somewhere in the exotics. (1) NORTHERN SPORTSMAN is

a tough call - he had no chance last week off the claim (Post 8), but he moves all the way inside for tonight

- his barn has been very hot for some time, but this guy really does his damage vs. easier - mixed feelings.

(8) RANSOM DEMAND is very good right now but figures to be limited from all the way out here. (7)

GOTHIC ROCK is pretty sharp right now but vs. much softer - double jumps for his new connections, and

may need to find an easier spot before showing his best. (6) FIREBALL did function last week and that's a

step in the right direction - not ready to endorse just yet, however.


RACE 4 - (1) SAMSON BLUE CHIP shows some pretty unappealing lines BUT he's dropping way down

in class, and adding Lasix while moving to a barn that has done well with fresh stock in the past - almost

the choice by default in this soft NW2 field, and not worth a big bet a short price! (5) MAJOR SHOW was

stuck way back in a 1:52 mile last week and probably deserves a full pass - he's gone a couple of decent

efforts here in the past, and this seems like a good spot for another. (7) KING SPENCER draws poorly but

just seems to be better than a bunch of these - chance to land somewhere on the ticket if he can work out a

reasonable trip. (4) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER has yet to hit board in 6 local starts but perhaps he'll be

shipping in with some confidence after that Monti blowout win - ok for exotics. (2) HURRIKANEKINGC

ARLO had a couple of (tiring) 2nds here in July but has been really struggling ever since - maybe he can

hang in better with an easier, up close trip tonight? (8) INTENTIONS was able to outrun three straight

Monti fields but lands Post 8 for his YR debut, and may have trouble even getting into the hunt. (6)

PATRIOT LINE added Lasix before his last 2 qualifiers and those lines are less than inspiring - inclined to

just pass and watch. (3) HAPPY CAMPER has been empty in all recent Yonkers starts.


RACE 5 - (6) DELIGHTFUL TERROR was a big "go" dropping to this level 2 back but ended parked the

whole way - still lasted for a 5th place check then came back to win one level down his last (2nd place

finisher came back to win his next) - moves back up but this level should still be very comfortable for him -

the one to beat IF Dube can find him a manageable trip. (3) BETTER UP can be pretty inconsistent but he

beat better here on 6/25 and his barn has been winning plenty of races - possible upsetter (1) CAMPORA N

re-qualified after a short break, and should be right in the thick of things from this spot - doesn't win very

often, however, so look for a decent price if using on top. (8) AIR FORCE HANOVER draws his 3rd

straight 8 hole - trailed in the last 2 but there's always a chance Stratton could take a shot tonight - ok bomb.

(2) TOWNLINE ALL GOOD was able to just hang on at the bottom level in last as the recent $50K

purchase just can't seem to find his better form - maybe can gain some confidence from that, but he'll need

to be a lot better to be a threat here. (4) AUDI HARE N doesn't seem like a threat to win but an easy trip

would give him a chance to grab a small piece. (7) ALEPPO HANOVER hit board in his last couple but

was helped greatly by inside posts and easy trips - may have a much tougher time from out here. (5)

SECRECY doesn't win very often - wait for an easier spot before considering him for the top slot.


RACE 6 - (2) MARLBANK ROAD was handled conservatively in his local debut but still finished with

plenty of pace - was aggressive in his last and simply crushed the competition, taking a new 1:52 mark in

the process - moves up a notch tonight, but remains the one to knock off. (1) MAJOR HANOVER was a

solid 2nd best to the promising Larry Lincoln N last week, and is a steady player against this type most of

the time - probably the main danger. (3) JIM BLUE was sharp beating a NW2 field in his local debut but

was worn into submission up at the NW4 level in last - draws inside, and a good one to include underneath.

(7) JESSICAS BEACH BOY rebounded from a disastrous night 2 back with an ok 3rd in last - he's a good

fit here, but may be seriously hampered by the post. (6) MOONLIGHT SHADOW looked like he could be

a player shipping in from PA last week but never grabbed the bit - we'll see if he does any better tonight. (5)

BEACH BLOGGER was an upset winner in NW2 3 back but remains unproven against this type. (4)

FOOLISH PROPHET ships up from KY and may be on the cheaper side - we'll just watch, for now.


RACE 7 - Tough race: (3) REBELLIOUS used a sharp brush to grab a win one level down in his first local

try of the year - that move didn't work as well in last week's 1:51.1 sizzler but he was still a solid 3rd -

maybe the trip will go his way against these, giving him a chance to take another. (1) SADIQ HANOVER

has raced well in all 3 local tries since arriving from PA - may be on the cheaper side, but an easy trip from

the pole could make up for that. (2) HICKFROMFRENCHLICK looked like he may be starting to go the

wrong way but quickly bounced back with a nice win over heavily favored Springsteen last start - draws

inside, and will be a major threat if she shows up on his "A Game". (5) LIFEONTHEBEACH A hasn't

beaten this level yet but he's gone some big efforts one class down - the right trip could put him right on the

wire with these. (7) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N is winless on the year, but does have 4 seconds from his 11

starts - he also MAY need a bit cheaper (and draws Post 7) but since he'll be a pretty big price, perhaps he's

worth a look? (6) SUMTHINBOUTIM tends to be on the inconsistent side but he's also been 1st or 2nd in

10 of his 22 starts here this year - worth considering if the price is juicy enough. (4) ALTA LEROY N

seems a bit cheap for these - minor award only. (8) OUR MAX PHACTOR N was handled aggressively last

week and wasn't up for it - expect a conservative steer from all the way out here.


RACE 8 - (1) BET ON BLAKE entered a barn that has shown the ability to improve fresh stock

dramatically, was sent off at 1/10 at Chester and left his rivals in the dust from the top of the lane - draws

the pole for his Hilltop debut, and will be heavily backed to make it 2 in a row for his new connections. (3)

CONFIDENCE MAN was no factor in his YR debut (off a bad date) but chased beautifully for 2nd last

week behind a very sharp 1:52 winner - the main danger. (2) LINEMAKER was a fine 2nd in his only local

try but has been away 3 weeks since then - will use underneath only for tonight. (4) SPINNAKER

HANOVER has a win and a 2nd here this year, but tends to be lazy early in the mile - chance to rally late

for a piece of this. (5) CAPTAIN GOOGLE has been racing well in PA but possibly vs. a bit softer - prefer

others for the top slots. (6) A B COLLINS wasn't bad when 5th last week - seems like he may be a little bit

cheaper, and the outside post doesn't help either - maybe 3rd/4th? (8) ELS DISCO JOHNNY has shown

that he's a good fit with this type but he lands all the way outside, and may have to wait for a better spot

before delivering his best again. (7) OLD TOWN ROAD will get a more serious look when he draws better.


RACE 9 - (1) CAPTIVATE HANOVER suddenly turned things around at the beginning of August and has

been very sharp ever since - paced a HUGE final quarter last week (and roared through the wire), and will

be a handful tonight if close turning for home. (4) LARRY LINCOLN N raced conservatively from no

chance spots in his first 2 U.S. starts but was put on the lead in his last and absolutely jogged - threat to

make it two in row for his owner/trainer/driver. (2) CAPTAIN SLEAZE is 7-3-3-1 here at YR and actually

beat a NW8 field in his last - legitimate threat every week. (3) L DEES JACK LOPEZ used a perfect two

hole trip to score the upset on 8/17 but then came back to upset again in his last, this time off a tough trip,

and after missing 3 weeks - that last win definitely earned him some extra respect! (6) HIPPESTCATINTO

WN was "first time Super Siblings" two back so it was no surprise to see him come out on top - elected to

sit the two hole last week (as the 1/5 choice) and ended up a disappointing 3rd, seemingly unwilling to duck

inside to a clear rail - have to respect his chances tonight, but we're definitely leaning more to others. (7)

LINNYCALLEDFRANKIE has shown ability but seems off his best right now and also draws Post 7. (8)

ROLLING WITH SAM figures to be too far back to do any real damage tonight. (5) DIAMOND HEAD

won here 4 starts back but has gone sour since then - wait for better signs.


RACE 10 - Good race: (4) IDEAL ARTILLERY has been very consistent lately - handles any trip, and

should land on a decent journey from this spot - gets the narrow call in a very competitive affair. (1)

DIAMONDBEACH is a much better horse than his recent lines might suggest - can get steppy at times, but

can also throw big miles as well - not a bad spot to look for a wake up call. (2) LATISSIMUS HANOVER

just got way too hot in his first try off the claim but was much more settled last week and that put him right

there on the wire - chance to be a big player once more. (6) SAVE ME A DANCE always had plenty of

ability and has been doing good things out of town since a barn change in June - more than enough ability

to beat these (even from Post 6) but he's also had some trouble getting over the smaller track at times - don't

fall in love if he ends up overbet. (3) GAMBLINGTERROR picked up another win last week and continues

to enjoy a fine 2021 campaign - steps up here, but still playable underneath. (7) OAKWOODINITOWINIT

IR looked good in his last pair but faces an uphill battle from all the way out here. (5) BUY IN gets some

post relief after a pair of poor draws in his first 2 local starts - we'll see if he can be closer this week.


RACE 11 - (1) JMS DELIGHT was no factor last week but he was "sneaky ok" (vs. better) in the pair

before that - he draws best and should have a decent chance tonight....but much of the value could be lost

thanks to that 5/2 ML listing. (3) WATERWAY couldn't quite sustain his bid last week but he was also

racing off a bad date - logical threat this week. (5) BELTANE A picked up his first win of the year last

week (start #21) because the horse he beat wins LESS than he does! Can rally for a piece tonight, but

sticking with others for the top spot. (8) FINE DIAMOND hasn't been on his best game for a while but it's

not like he's racing poorly - may offer some value for the exotics from Post 8. (2) CAPTAIN CASH flashes

his speed every week but it's the final 100 yards that have been the problem - smaller piece only. (6) OUR

CORELLI N has been sharp with cheaper at Stga. but his local struggles this year have been well

documented. (4) ROCKATHON grabbed a nice win 3 back but has been unable to replicate that effort since

moving up in class. (7) YANKEE OSBORNE just doesn't seem sharp enough to overcome this spot.

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