Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • November 26, 2024

The Empire Report – Tuesday, November 26, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (2) TWIN B DELUXE is sharper than he may look on paper, but has been hurt by some bad posts, in

good fields – he drops, draws inside, and still figures to be a fair price – may land on a winning trip. (7) NIGHT HA

WK returns at a much lower level than he’s used to facing after a pair of solid tries in PA – he has two recent wins at

the NW15000 level, and has been a solid player with better than that as well – only real knock here is the draw. (6)

BENHOPE RULZ N was right there 3rd last week as a huge 42-1 overlay, and may have had a chance to do even

better with some more stretch room– could add some value to the ticket tonight, as well (1) TWIN B POWERBALL

gets a class drop and the rail, but it hurts that others are dropping too – he figures to be part of the action from start

to finish, and belongs in your exotics. (4) MUSCLE BART A toured the oval from Post 8 off a sick scratch last time

but drops right back in the box, and could have a bigger impact here. (8) ESCAPE TO AMERICA is a talented 3YO

but figures to find himself coming from way out of it – may have to wait for a better spot. (3) HEISMAN PLAYER

is much improved since the recent claim but may find this field a little tougher than he can handle. (5) DIAMONDB

EACH has a couple of better efforts recently but has missed nearly 4 weeks and lands in a good field.


RACE 2 – (5) REAL LADY SADIE gave way to pressure last week but deserves a pass, as she was used very hard

just to make the lead – her overall form has been super for some time, and she returns to a barn that has won races

with her – gets the narrow edge in a solid field. (2) STAY HAPPY benefited from the class drop and perfect trip last

week, charging home to score as one of the barn’s FOUR winners that night – remains a very serious threat, though

she may end up a bit overbet here. (1) LAZIN ON THE BEACH hit board in 4 straight at this level, including a 7

hole victory 2 back – draws the pole, and deserves plenty of respect. (4) MIKI THE CLOWN was lazy for too long

last week, eventually finding her stride and rallying for 2nd – possible here, but leaning a bit more to others for the

top slot. (8) TOBAGO TIME has been a beat in this class and quickly drops back down after looking overmatched

vs. the 50s – she’ll need lots of trip luck to overcome the draw, however. (3) THUNDRA should appreciate the post

relief, and has a chance to rally for a piece...with the right trip. (6) DASH N CACHE shocked at 48-1 off a year

layoff, was good in her next as well but seems to be leveling off – we’ll see if she perks up here with the class drop.

(7) BADDITUDE probably needs a better draw to be a factor against these types.


RACE 3 – (4) PINK RUBY threw a rare dull one last week but the addition of Lasix tonight may explain that effort

– she’s quietly put together an outstanding season (35-8-9-5 $101,800) and should be a decent price here – worth a

look. (2) DEVILISH DREAMS got her first win of the season here on 10/30 (start #33!), followed that up with a 2nd

in PA then won again here last week– she’s clearly in her best form all year (for a very hot barn) and remains a threat

to take another. (6) NUTTINBUTHEBEST tired when used hard early in 25s last week but drops back down to the

level she beat handily (as the odds-on choice) 2 back (off the claim) – worth including on your tickets. (3) MARY

KAT struggled here late in the summer, was freshened up and returns from Chester, where she has been doing good

work – could have a say here. (5) SHOTGUN PERSUASION threw a complete clunker last week, and probably

should be on the qualifying list – pretty hard to know what to expect from her tonight. (1) ITTY BITTY has been a

little better lately, but will still need to be sharper to contend for a big piece. (8) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX has

also been slightly better, but she still hasn’t been first or 2nd this year in her 31 starts! (7) EBONY LADY gets a bad

draw for new connections.


RACE 4 – (2) LEGAL ATTACK was a close 2nd in his local debut then paced a strong final half in his last, but from

an impossible spot – meets a beatable field tonight, and we’ll give him top billing. (6) SWEETHOMEALABAMA

N was handled conservatively in his U.S. debut and got rolling way too late to be a player – seems capable of more,

and perhaps we’ll see it tonight (3) CUPID SHUFFLE was well backed arriving from PA last week but disappointed

after cutting the mile – another that’s probably capable of better, and that shouldn’t be discounted too quickly. (5)

YANKEE CLOUT has his share of good local tries and returns off a good PcD effort – playable underneath in

exotics. (4) AMERITIC goes for a new barn for the 2nd time and also goes 2nd time Lasix – he had some success at 2

and 3 and does fit well...but probably won’t offer much value with that 5/2 ML price. (1) BET ON MAC seems a

notch below the main players but the rail draw could at least give him a chance for some minor spoils. (8) FALL IN

LINE could be a player on his best effort but not sure we’ll see that starting from Post 8. (7) PENDLETON RODEO

seems a little cheap, and didn’t function in his last local try.


RACE 5 – (1) TWIST LITTLE GIRL N beat this class when she was claimed on 10/15 – beat better in her next

(easily), was 3rd after that (behind MUCH better), then weakened from the pocket in her last – drops back down to

50s, lands the pole, and could rebound with a big try tonight. (4) IDEALINFUN moves inside and that should result

in a much more aggressive try – she should end up with a good trip, and we’ll see if that’s enough to make her a

serious threat. (2) JENDEN STRIKE A tried it first over returning from Plainridge and was a pretty game 3rd – could

have a big say here, especially with a bit easier trip (5) FREESTARFLIGHT has been limited to smaller pieces since

back-to-back wins in September, but the right trip could give her a chance to be a major player tonight. (3) SILKY

STRIDE landed on a perfect trip last week and charged on by in the lane for the win – it could happen again tonight,

but she just seems more likely to battle for a bit smaller slice this time. (7) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A has been

charging at the end of her miles for months, and probably will be again tonight...she just may be a little too far back

to have the same impact as the last 3 starts. (6) CRÈME DELIGHT has been steady in her 3 starts since arriving

from PA but the outside draw may limit her a bit this week. (8) LADYCORONA does fit with these mares and goes

2nd time Lasix – she may need to wait for a better draw to strut her best stuff, though.


RACE 6 – (3) BETTER WATCH IT made her first start for her new barn last week and was a pretty solid 4th vs.

arguably better than these – she looked smooth (not always the case with her), and she’s certainly no stranger to the

Yonkers winner’s circle – not a bad week to give her a shot. (5) FRONDEUR lost her 4 race winning streak when 2nd

two back but bounced right back with another victory last week – she’s now 25-14-6-1 on the year, and has to be

considered a major threat any time she goes behind the gate! (1) ONEDERFULBEACH is feelin’ good these days,

and comes into tonight off a solid 2nd behind the sharp DEVILISH DREAMS – belongs in exotics, for sure. (2) HAR

PER SEELSTER has been an ultra-consistent player in this class and is another that’s tough to leave out of exactas,

tris, and supers – chance at the top slot if a couple of the others don’t bring their best. (4) IRON MISTRESS hit

board in 6 of her last 8 starts, with bad draws in the other two – she lands in a solid field, but a good trip could help

her take home another good piece. (8) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL is yet another solid player in this class, but a lot

would have to go her way to be a serious threat from out here (not impossible, though). (7) LINE EM UP is racing

better lately, but this just feels like a very tough spot to overcome. (6) ROCKNROLL ANNIE can throw a good one

here and there, but this doesn’t feel like a spot for it.


RACE 7 – (4) SCRIBBLERS has 7 local tries and most have been vs. much better, from bad posts, or both – he

hasn’t embarrassed himself at all, and has the opportunity to be handled much more aggressively tonight with the

class drop and good draw – big threat! (6) THEBEAUDENBLUES N finished well in both local tries from bad spots

but was then scratched sick on 10/29– he qualified back sharply at Monti, and could prove the main danger. (2) MID

NIGHT THUNDER just missed in this class 4 back, cutting the mile from Post 6 – he should be right in the mix as

he returns from a few tries across the river. (1) EMINEM HANOVER is a good fit in this class, especially from the

pole – might have listed him higher up if not for his barn being ice cold, all month. (5) GRETZKY THE GREAT has

ability, but has struggled to put it all together since qualifying back on 9/27 – hard to “like” right now, but he’ll light

up the tote board one of these nights. (3) EASTON BEACH arrives from Canada to a barn that usually improves

fresh stock dramatically...this guy just seems way too cheap, though. (8) REAL WILLEY has only beaten one horse

in TOTAL from his last 4 starts – waiting for better signs! (7) QUATRAIN BLUE CHIP is now 0 for 34 on the year.


RACE 8 – (2) TWIGGS PUB picked up a pair of ok 4ths in his 2 local starts, facing better (for a new barn, adding

Lasix) – drops to an easier spot here, and should be a very live player. (7) AYR BALMORAL GB has been solid in

this class for a long time, often finishing just behind much better than he’ll be facing tonight – may be able to beat

these, even from out here. (8) ROYAL DESIRE has plenty of speed, but often has trouble making it last – would be

willing to consider IF the price was high enough. (4) SPECIAL DRAGON probably wasn’t all that serious for his

local debut when he was sent off at 54-1 from Post 8 – if the tote board suggests that he’s “live” tonight, it may pay

to give him a look. (3) HARD TO CATCH paced evenly at the back in his local debut – we’ll see if he can make

some more noise with the move inside. (5) HEY JUDE HANOVER is just 1 for 22 lifetime but it would be no

surprise at all to see him rally for a small piece. (6) FERRAGAMO HANOVER gets a bad draw and does seem a

notch below a few of the main players (1) GATSBY HANOVER is a 2YO making his career debut and his qualifiers

suggest he’s probably a work in progress.


RACE 9 – (3) HUMBLE A couldn’t have looked any better while easily disposing of NW2-4PM fields in his first 4

U.S. starts – he took a BIG step up to face good older foes last week, was sent off 2/5 from Post 7 and beat those just

as easily...another big step up tonight, but he acts like he’s up for this too! (4) BIRTHDAY toured the oval from

Post 8 last week but that was after a string of very sharp tries at the top levels – that 12-1 ML price does make him

attractive, even with a new pilot. (7) VERDUN has probably been the 2nd most impressive horse to race here this

year (after DESPERATE MAN) but he did throw a sub-par effort when 3rd on 11/4, then was scratched sick from his

next start – he’s stuck all the way outside tonight, and MAY not be fully cranked this time around. (6) ADAM

TWELVE has 4 wins and a nose-loss 2nd from his last 6 starts (to go along with an outstanding 32-12-13-2 career

Yonkers slate) – he lands in a tough spot for sure, but still worth using if the price is good enough. (1) AMMO

seemed to need the lead to be effective when here last, so it’s good to see that he’s been doing some major damage

(at RcR) from OFF the pace these days – still needs to prove that he can beat the better ones in here. (5) BINGE ON

YANKEE took advantage of the class drop and the lead to pick up a victory in his last – steps back up, and has

missed 3 weeks...leaning elsewhere. (2) POUND FOR POUND has been very good, but tonight’s (big) class jump

figures to slow him down!


RACE 10 – Tough race: (1) MULLINAX had a useful tightener on 10/22 (after missing an entire year) then was a

close 2nd in his next start – he returns to Yonkers off a pair of solid tries out of town, and may have found a spot he

can handle. (4) SPRING BLAKE has probably been facing tougher in some of those NW2-4PM races and he moves

to a new barn for tonight – would be no surprise at all. (6) CASINO ACTION N was a decent 4th last start racing off

a sick scratch – tough draw, but worth a look at a big price. (3) ILIKEMEBETTOR A was pretty sharp in last week’s

win over cheaper – steps up, but maybe able to be a player here too with a similar effort. (2) LEVINE came up weak

in both starts after taking a couple of months off but he’s held his own with much better than these, and perhaps this

is a spot where he can at least perk up a bit. (5) GALANTE A is probably a bit better than his last few lines suggest

but he’s still likely looking at only some minor spoils. (7) ALWAYS A THRILL moved to a new barn for his last,

added Lasix and came out on top in an easier spot (at PcD) – he was scratched sick from his last, however, and

tonight’s draw surely won’t help. (8) MY ULTIMATE STAR A lands another bad post – wait for a better spot.


RACE 11 – (6) ELISES DELIGHT moves to a new barn tonight after 4 excellent starts for her last trainer (2 wins,

and 2 seconds to Frondeur) – she catches a very soft division tonight, and is hard to go past. (1) MIKILOB ULTRA

raced pretty well from inside spots here not too long ago and moves from Post 7 to the rail tonight – could have a

much bigger say now. (2) GINGER TREE LIZ slipped quite a bit in 2023 and ’24 has been even rougher – still, she

may be able to beat a bunch of these in her Hilltop return. (5) DECISION TIME was a no threat 3rd last week in her

first try at the $20K level – maybe another small slice? (3) TUAPEKA JESSIE N hasn’t won in ages but she’s at

least been competitive in a bunch of recent starts (prior to those last two 8 holes) – ok underneath at 20-1 ML. (4)

SHEIKH YABOOTY N seems to have fallen apart since the recent claim – would want a pretty good price to

consider tonight. (7) PROVE EM WRONG has a couple of recent wins but they were with easy trips, in soft fields –

could have some trouble reaching from out here. (8) LYONS MIKI will be coming from way out of it – generally

not a recipe for success.

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