Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • November 7, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday. November 7, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (3) SONNY WEAVER N has been very sharp for some time so it was no surprise to see him win

easily last off the class drop and easy trip - he moves up a class here, but this level is still well within his

comfort zone - he's Buter's choice, and ours as well. (6) TYPHOON BANNER N had 4 horrible posts here

after arriving from Down Under so it was no surprise to see him hammered down to 1/5 last week (class &

post relief), then deliver the victory - he stays in the same class tonight for a barn that has been winning at

an amazing 40% clip recently, and his "fill in" pilot is more than capable of handling the assignment -

legitimate threat to take another. (4) JUSTASEC N had no chance in his last pair and was better than his

lines might suggest - maybe can add some value to the exotics? (5) SLING SHOCK finally got the job done

last week, picking up his 2nd win of the season - steps up a peg, but can still be right in the hunt with a live

trip. (1) SAMHARA N would like to be in a little softer but he can still stick around for a piece of this - IF

Holland doesn't overdrive him early on. (7) HEAVEN ON HIGH N lost any chance last week when he took

back to 7th at the start - may suffer the same fate tonight, but he's a decent bomb for exotics if you think he

can find a manageable trip. (2) THRASHER has been good in most of his recent starts but may find a few

of these a little tougher than he'd like. (8) KINGSVILLE is behind the 8 ball, and may struggle to get close.


RACE 2 - (4) MY ULTIMATE BYRON A has hit board in 4 of 5 local starts, and was caught out first over

into a hot 3rd panel in the other - he moves up a notch tonight but still feels like a very good fit, and it won't

hurt getting Bartlett on board- may be a good spot to pick up his first local victory. (3) VIVA LAS VEGAS

N may be a little unreliable from start to start but he's won at this level twice recently, and the right trip

would make him a big threat tonight. (6) BENHOPE RULZ N seems to outrace his odds almost every start,

and has been right there a bunch of times recently vs. better - tough draw, but note that Brennan does take

him over the top choice. (1) REAL WILLEY stopped badly in his local debut but rallied to win his next,

then finished up with pace again last week - steps up to face tougher, but he may be sharp enough to still

grab a piece. (5) MICKY GEE N almost always gets overbet despite being just 1 for 22 this year - remains

a better choice for underneath, than on top. (2) ALEX TYE has been pretty in and out lately - moves up in

class here, and may struggle a bit. (7) CAUGHTINALANDSLIDE could probably use a better post and

some class relief - tough assignment from out here.


RACE 3 - (1) TERACITA couldn't get it done vs. the 50s but it's not like she embarrassed herself either -

drops down to the 20s tonight, draws the pole, and this may be a spot that she can handle. (4) SHOTGUN

PERSUASION hit board in 5 of her last 6 at this level, including a pair of wins - tries it for a new barn

tonight, and has to be considered a major player. (5) SWEET SANDY LOU beat this class last week, and

was a winner 4 starts back as well - remains dangerous with the right trip. (8) AZARIYA must have

impressed Gingras at Plainridge on 10/2 as he became part of the team that purchased her right after that

start - they picked earned back $18K with a 3rd in the MaSS Final 2 starts later but must not love her all

that much, as she drops right in for the tag - would want a nice price to try her from out here, against her

elders. (3) NORMANS MADELINE remains the "Queen of the Form Reversals" - she's never a bad stab

when the price is juicy though this really does feel like a tough spot. (2) HARMONY OF NOTES did beat

these 2 back but others in here just seem more appealing - not impossible, though. (6) SPORTS FLIX goes

to a new barn after being one of the rare few to NOT pick up dramatically for the Super Siblings - leaning

towards others. (7) VICIOUS CIRCLE shows wins out of town 2 and 3 back but weak efforts in her last

pair - prefer to just watch tonight.


RACE 4 - (2) HUNTING ZONE could have ended up in the pocket behind the favored winner last week

but elected to come out into traffic to 3/4s, costing him any chance - he's overdue for a good trip, and may

respond to a fresh set of hands for tonight- willing to try him in here. (6) ELM GROVE QWIGGLY jogged

in his local debut then was a nice 2nd to a total stickout in a blazing mile - just wasn't right in last week's

disappointing try (at 4/5) but he'll be a better price here, and could easily rebound to his better form. (4) MI

DNIGHT NATION wasn't sharp in his last few up North and failed to impress in his first NJ try, for new

connections- he IS capable of much better, but that 9/5 ML price makes it hard to get excited about a wager

(5) JOHNNY SACK was well meant 2 back but then caught behind a quitting leader to the top of the lane -

got a GOOD trip in his last, but was clearly outfinished by a couple of others - one to consider for exotics.

(8) RAYRAY is better than his current lines might suggest but another bad draw may leave him waiting yet

another week for a better spot (3) VANDALISM has been no factor in 2 starts for his current barn - we'll

see if a new pilot helps at all. (1) BEST BETTOR is 0 for 37 at YR and 1 for 62 overall - suppose he has a

shot at minor spoils starting from the pole. (7) HEART OF ROCK makes his local debut sporting a soft

21-1-0-2 slate this year - at least wait for a decent draw before considering.


RACE 5 - (6) CHESAPEAKE SUNRISE certainly knows how to win races (7 for 14 this year), even if

most were probably facing cheaper, out of town - his initial start for new connections resulted in a solid

rallying 2nd at The Swamp, and he faces nothing scary in his YR debut - gets top billing. (7) HESTONAT

OR is just 1 for 18 lifetime but was a solid 3rd in his local debut for a barn that's actually sending out some

live ones lately - may be able to have a say even from out here. (3) CHIEF CORLEONE finished 2nd with

his owner driving at Fhd. 2 back, then put in a decent move at Chester last week before tiring - gets a new

barn and a catch driver for tonight, and may be able to hang with these. (5) KNOCKIN OUT has struggled

in a few local starts but also has a couple of "ok" efforts - his "good" version would have a chance for a

piece here. (1) TOMMY THREE STICKS seems a little cheap but has the rail and Brennan fir his YR

debut and that may help him grab a share. (2) JUST CALL ME ART did pick up a 3rd here with Bartlett

back in Sept. - maybe a small slice tonight? (8) DEL MAR DOUG showed little here in 3 previous starts

but he may be a little better now - brutal draw, though. (4) TRANSFER THE ERA beat a weak Fhd. field

last week but still may find this crew a bit more than he can handle.


RACE 6 - (7) BLUE HUNT chased the top colts in the country in his first few starts after the purchase this

summer - he was sent off at 1/10 for his local debut (dropping down to NW4) and just got faster EVERY

quarter, pacing splits of :28.3, :28.2, :27.3 then sizzling home in :27 flat to seal the demolition - he likely

bled when 4th at Chester the next week as he returns tonight on Lasix- we'll hop back on board. (2) ADAM

TWELVE arrives from Hoosier for a new partnership that teams up an owner that already has horses with

some of the highest % barns at Yonkers, with one of the leading drivers in the nation (Gingras) - figures to

be a very live player in his local debut. (4) SANTANA HANOVER banged out $157K as a 2YO but was

struggling to find that form this year at 3 (only about $30K) - he debuted for the Super Siblings in NJ last

week and despite being away for a month, was only a neck back in 2nd...could have a big say here tonight,

as well. (3) HUNGRY MAN picked up a couple of "ok" 4ths here in Sept. before taking some time off and

re-qualifying nicely in NJ - he's missed some time since then, however, and feels like a bit of a question

mark for tonight. (6) ALL ATTITUDE was hurt by a slow start in his local debut but did rally late to be 2nd

in a pretty strange mile - may find himself a little too far out to be as effective tonight, however. (1)

DELESTON had limited success here in the past (5-0-1-0) and though his recent PA form looks decent on

paper, he may still be a bit below the main players. (5) WHY TOMORROW RAY got lost at the back of the

pack last week and we'll wait to see a better effort before considering. (8) FOX VALLEY PATRIOT put in a

strong move to the final turn last week but then fell apart completely before they turned for home - hard to

endorse tonight starting from Post 8.


RACE 7 - (4) TWIN B HEART THROB has been very sharp lately and steps back up after scoring handily

one level lower last week - he'll be a decent price against some solid foes, and could be a good value play.

(1) ROCKMELIKEYAMEANIT has earned $130K this year after banking nearly $300K at 2 - he'll be

making his debut for the Dynamic Duo tonight, and their accomplishments with fresh stock has been well

documented - have to respect his chances, but keep in mind that he's a 3YO taking on older, and figures to

be a pretty short price. (2) LOUS BEACH was a sharp front end winner 2 back then followed that up with a

game first over try last week - Yannick takes over for Bartlett, and a good trip could put him right there on

the wire. (7) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N drops and has gone some big recent miles vs. better - he also draws

horribly for the 3rd straight week, and that may make it tough for him to work out a decent trip...consider if

the price is juicy enough. (5) THE REGULATOR may be a bit off his best game and also draws outside a

trio of solid foes - maybe a small piece? (3) TUFFENUFTOWEARPINK has won 2 of his last 3 starts but

will be facing considerably tougher tonight - leaning to others. (6) WICHITA LINEMAN was reclaimed by

a currently sharp barn but lands in a very tough spot - not sure he'll be able to have any serious impact from

this spot. (8) YOROKOBI N was very good 2 back and an ok 3rd last week - brutal spot tonight, though.


RACE 8 - (8) SPLASH BROTHER, like a few of his barnmates, had a great run a few months back but has

tailed off considerably - he gets a nice class drop tonight, and Bartlett choices off a couple of others to take

this guy, despite Post 8....maybe we should too? (1) WINDSUN RICKY would normally be very dangerous

from a spot like this and he may be tonight as well - he is racing off a sick scratch, however, so it's hard to

know if we'll see his best (Holland does take him over #2). (5) SOHO LENNON A had a no chance 8 hole

2 back then was caught behind a quitter last week (hard to say how much he had in the tank) - definitely a

spot where we could see a wake up call. (2) QUALITY BUD has been solid most of the year but MAY be a

bit off his game right now - mixed feelings about his chances, even off the class drop. (7) MOONLITE DRI

VE N has an overall solid Down Under resume, though last year wasn't his best - hard to really gauge that

qualifier...the tote board may provide some better clues. (4) PHOENIX OF FLUZZY gets a drop but doesn't

seem to be on his best game right now - one of many question marks in here. (3) ROLLING WITH SAM

delivered a powerful victory over cheaper 3 back but has been unable to build off that - another with a

chance to be in the hunt if things go his way. (6) LEVINE doesn't make a lot of starts so it may not have

been the best idea to drag him to both Canada and Indiana over his last 3 starts - tough draw off a dull try in

his last.


RACE 9 - (3) SALE EL SOL has been sharp for weeks in this class, can handle a variety of trips and

avoids running into the razor sharp TRAFALGAR tonight - gets top billing. (1) MC ANGEL was able to

steal one 2 back, then was a solid pocket 2nd to TRAFALGAR last week - another rail draw should land

her another very good trip, and put her right in the hunt for a big share. (4) ALWAYS B MIMI has 4 starts

at this level and drew Post 7 or 8 each time - finally gets a manageable draw, and we'll see how much that

helps her. (5) DREAM DANCING is winless here in 12 starts but has raced well several times and picked

up some good pieces - chance for the same tonight. (6) GOLDEN QUEST N had been going well for a hot

barn so it was a surprise to see her throw a dud last week - could easily bounce back with a sharp mile, and

end up on the ticket somewhere. (2) MAGICAL MISTRESS seems a bit better since the recent claim but

remains a bit of a question mark at this $50K level - she does draw inside, and may be good enough to

squeeze out a piece. (7) BOLT OF BEAUTY has some good recent efforts but will likely find herself too

far back to threaten tonight. (8) MIKI ROSE seems a little better in her last couple, but also finds herself

behind the 8 ball here.


RACE 10 - (2) FLIP THE SCRIPT had some issue here on 10/8 but qualified back nicely at Chester - she

can throw a good one from time to time, and her barn is doing some good work these days - may be a good

time to hop on board. (1) ICARUS FALLS N shipped in sharp from Monti and overcame horrible posts in

her 2 local starts to be right there both times- her price will come WAY down tonight with the move inside,

but she's clearly a dangerous player. (3) BETTORSHIGHLIGHT N hails from a somewhat unreliable barn

but she has a few good recent efforts and can be right in the hunt if she brings her best. (4) PRAY THE RO

SARY is just 1 for 44 over the last 2 years but will sometimes give a decent late rally for a piece - this

could be one of those spots. (8) AINTNOHOLLABACKGRL seems to have improved in her last few since

changing barns but the draw may leave her waiting for a better spot to strut her best stuff locally. (5) VEL

DONNA has raced well here on occasion in the past but her current out of town form seems a bit lacking -

leaning towards others. (7) LADYBELUCKYTONITE was dull in NJ in her first try back off almost 3

months - tough draw for her YR return. (6) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN is just struggling too badly right

now to consider - waiting for better signs.

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