Monday Empire Report

apatchworkdesign • March 20, 2023

The Empire Report - Monday, March 20, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (5) RAUKAPUKA RULER N had been racing well for new connections across the river and

looked super returning to Yonkers last week, and very sharp "pocket rocket" winner - steps up one notch,

but the classy import seems more than capable of taking another. (3) BRAEVIEW BONDI A is another that

was victorious over a bit easier last week, but who figures to have no trouble bumping up to NW10000 -

seems the main danger. (6) BENHOPE RULZ N turned in an improved effort 4th (vs. better) 2 back and

raced well again last week, finishing well for 3rd after getting caught briefly behind a tiring leader - will be

at a disadvantage starting outside the top pair, however. (1) BLUEBIRD RECON is a little tough to get a

good read on right now but he drops, gets major post relief, and should be able to stick close and grab some

kind of piece. (2) VIVA LAS VEGAS N rallied to be a close 2nd 2 back, then was caught too far back at

PcD last week - another that could grab a minor share with an easy trip. (4) PACE N PRIDE N is used to

facing better but has been away for 4 months and he may need a start or two before we see his best. (8) BE

CKHAMS Z TAM fits well enough at this level but doesn't seem sharp enough right now to do any real

damage from Post 8. (7) HES ELECTRIC double jumps in class after failing to find the winner circle in his

last starts - always a chance he could rally for 3rd/4th at a big price (with some major trip luck).


RACE 2 - (5) PYRO has always been a streaky sort and the classy 7YO is certainly on quite a roll right

now - he steps up to the top level tonight but this really isn't a typical Yonkers Open (as the "big guns" are

all racing in the Borgata Series) - he's hardly a cinch here, but he definitely deserves top billing in his

current raging form. (2) OZONE BLUE CHIP put together an outstanding 32-11-8-2 season last year and is

already off to a 4-3-0-1 start in 2023 - hard to really say this field is tougher than those $75K claimers, and

he has to be seen as a big threat against these too! (6) GENIUS MAN comes into tonight with a win, two

2nds and a 3rd from his last 4 starts - his barn is having a great meet so far, and he's worth at least a look at

that 12-1 ML price. (1) THE REGULATOR lands in the Open after picking up 2 wins and a 2nd from his

last 3 starts - he faces tougher tonight but draws the pole, and it seems his barn can never be counted out of

any start this year - would hardly be a surprise. (3) WINDSUN RICKY rattled off 4 straight as he climbed

all the way up from the bottom level - found last week's quick mile more than he could handle, and may be

in the same boat tonight. (4) ROCKNROLL RUNA A shows a mixed bag of starts out of town but

definitely a couple of big efforts in there - we'll see how he fares with the locals. (7) FAMILY RECIPE is

capable of some serious efforts but has been away for a couple months after being scratched injured- very

encouraging qualifier, but may still need to wait for a better sot before we see his best.


RACE 3 - MGM Borgata Pace, Leg 1: (5) LOCHINVAR ART A arrived from Australia with a big

reputation and the millionaire has done little wrong so far, winning all 3 U.S. starts including last week's

very easy 1:51 score- Lauren Tritton has gotten along beautifully with him so far, and he remains the one to

beat as the series gets underway! (3) ROCKING WITHELVIS A may not look like "Borgata material" on

paper but anybody who has seen the import race knows that he's capable of much more than he's been able

to show so far - it surely won't hurt his chances getting "stuck" with Dave Miller tonight, and we'll soon see

if he's able to battle these top ones on a weekly basis. (1) SOARING NOW looked super for his new barn

to start his 4YO campaign (in NJ) but he was wildly overbet for his Hilltop debut (Post 7, up in class) and

can be forgiven for flattening after a (predictably) tough trip - he'll surely appreciate the move inside, and

we'll see how the talented youngster fares again his elders as the series progresses. (7) JACKS LEGEND N

can be a player at the top level when 100%, but he definitely looked a little short in his '23 return last week

- the outside draw doesn't help his cause, but he still may be able to rally for a share. (8) BEE TWO BEE

was a dead game 3rd two back but just a "meh" 3rd last week - probably looking at only a minor piece with

the brutal draw. (2) BAD TOTHE BONE N has been very solid for weeks but may find the series horses a

little more than he can handle - inside draw does help. (4) CASUAL COOL caved badly vs. cheaper trying

to cut the mile last week - sticking with others, for now. (6) DEAN B HANOVER has been very consistent

all year, but he's another that'll need to prove himself vs. these types.


RACE 4 - MGM Borgata Pace, Leg 1: (2) JIMMY FREIGHT retired to stud duty in 2019 but when things

didn't go quite as expected, he was brought back to the races at the end of 2021 - he was putting together a

terrific 2022 season (12 for 22, $339K) when a fracture sent him to the sidelines in Sept. for a couple of

months -- he returned to qualify in late Jan. and appears to prepping beautifully for this series - he can win

races from any spot, and we'll hop on board in this first leg. (4) BELMONT ROYALE N took 3 weeks off

and returned on Lasix on 3/4 (in NJ), coming up with 2 very sharp efforts since then - was right there 3rd in

his only local try, and could be a legitimate player again tonight. (5) BACKSTREET SHADOW was a solid

3rd here on 2/27 for his new trainer then outbattled #4 to win At The Swamp last week - he has a ton of

back class, and may be ready for a nice run in this series - use in exotics. (1) HELLABALOU won 4 in a

row out of town then was freshened up for this series - absolutely crushed in his qualifier, and will be

looking to put on a speed show tonight - he'll get class tested now, and we'll see if he's up for it (he's 3 for 4

at YR, but vs. easier). (7) ANOTHRMASTRPIECE N was raced hard last week off a 6 month layoff and

almost won the Open - clearly he's ready for action, but the terrible draw does figure to compromise his

chances - does have the right pilot to at least give him a shot, though. (8) THE IDEAL DANCER A has

done all good work since arriving at YR but he faces an uphill battle thanks to the draw - maybe can rally

for a minor piece? (6) OAKWOODNITOWNIT IR was ok last week after a disastrous speed try the week

before....seems up against it from tonight's tough spot, though. (3) DIAMONDBEACH is definitely "sharp"

- but not sharp enough to be a serious threat to the top ones in here.


RACE 5 - (2) CERTIFIABLE was claimed by our leading trainer for $50K on 2/15 - put him in for $75K

the next start and looked outstanding effortlessly crushing his rivals by 3+ lengths - basically faced "Open"

horses the next 2 weeks and was almost 2nd the first time (behind LOCHINVAR ART A), then was 2nd

best to COVERED BRIDGE last week - the one to beat in this somewhat easier spot tonight. (7) MOONSH

INE KISSES never could get close in last week's 1:51 mile but he did beat this class here on 1/30, and has

always liked racing at Yonkers - decent value horse to consider, though some racing luck will be needed.

(1) FOREVER FAV would love to be in easier but he's stayed sharp even as he's climbed the class ladder,

and he's reliably picked up pieces for some time - good value horse to include underneath. (4) GREAT SO

MEWHERE has now won 9 of 15 local starts and seems to thrive regardless of what barn he's in - he's been

demolishing a currently "softer" bunch of 75s recently, and this field is definitely tougher than the ones he's

been facing - can't say he won't beat these too, but he's definitely more risky against this bunch. (5) SETH

HANOVER always seems to be right in the hunt but has been coming up just a little short at the end of his

recent miles - needs to be a little sharper for a chance at the top prize. (3) AMERICANLIGHTNINGN

threw a dud last start but that doesn't mean he can't bounce back tonight - leaning to others, but that doesn't

mean he can't rebound for a part of this. (8) BELMONT MAJOR N has been doing good work upstate but

faces an uphill battle from this terrible spot. (6) BB LUCKY BOY is 4 for 4 at Yonkers but last week's

effort in NJ (off the layoff) would make him tough to recommend in his Hilltop return.


RACE 6 - MGM Borgata Pace, Leg 1 - several potentially big series players in here, with 3 coming off

layoffs: (1) PRICELESS BEACH benefited two back from things falling apart a bit up front but that was

still a VERY powerful rush to carry him from last to first (at 30-1!) - raced very well again last week to be a

close 3rd (despite a tough trip) and he may be able to take advantage tonight of some main foes either

coming off layoffs, or drawing tough posts - chance for the minor upset. (3) NONE BETTOR A, like many

before him, was able to elevate his game dramatically after moving to this high powered barn last year (his

5 starts produced 4 wins (including the $250K Aria) and a 2nd to LEONIDAS A)- a pair of sharp qualifiers

suggest he could be ready to roll right in Week 1! (7) LEONIDAS A was just "ok" in last week's easy win

but he may not have been fully cranked for that effort - in his last 35 YR starts he has 21 wins and $667K,

and he surely doesn't need the lead to win - worth considering at the right price. (4) TATTOO ARTIST has

been prepping nicely for this year's series, and he sports a 15-7-4-2 local slate - hard to say if he'll be at his

best right off the bat, however. (5) FUNATTHEBEACH N can be a little unreliable at times but he's won 19

local starts over the past 3 years, including last year's Borgata Final - others seem more likely right now, but

he should never be taken lightly...especially at a big price. (8) THIS IS THE PLAN is closing in on $3M in

career earnings and his win in the Final 2 years ago was breathtaking - that being said, he has just one

qualifier and draws Post 8....and MAY be handled pretty conservatively this week. (2) IM SIR BLAKE A

raced well in this series last year but may not be at peak sharpness right now - good week to keep a close

eye on him. (6) AMERICAN DEALER N has been a bit disappointing lately - needs to be sharper.


RACE 7 - (4) SHARK PLAY has always been better in 25s than 30s but that could change now that he's

joining our leading barn - this is a pretty modest field and while likely offering little in terms of value, he

still has to be awarded top billing. (2) MACH DORO A banged out 10 wins here in 2021-22 and that qua.

suggests that he's ready to start his season off in good fashion - could be the main danger. (5) PICARD A

just missed 2 starts back and simply landed on a horrible trip last week - he's sharp for sure, but may be

pushing it just a bit at the $30K level - decent value horse for exotics. (6) HURRIKANEKINGJAMES has

been very consistent lately, hitting board in 4 of his last 6 - he exits a very hot barn, however, and also

draws pretty poorly for tonight...still ok to use underneath. (7) GOTHIC ROCK had been finishing poorly

for weeks before coming up with last week's terrific effort - if he can show up as sharp tonight, he'll have a

chance to grab a piece of this...even from out here. (8) MAJOR DESIRE was caught behind a tired one last

week then lacked the clearance to really show what he might have had - he's been good overall lately, but

hard to say how he'll fare up in 30s, from Post 8. (3) QUATRAIN BLUE CHIP missed a month then was

dull in his last pair - check the board for any hints that a wake up call might be coming here. (1) AINT HE

SPECIAL draws best, but just hasn't been sharp in a long time.


RACE 8 - (2) CELEBRITY HANNIBAL looked a bit cheap on paper shipping in (and drew Post 8, off 3

weeks) but he was joining our leading barn, and the public hammered him down to 3-1 - had little trouble

making the top, and came up 2nd best to the tripsitting RAUKAPUKA RULER N - drops right back in the

box, moves inside, and may be yet another short priced winner tonight for our leading trainer/driver combo.

(4) TIGER BARON has been holding his own vs. better most of this year, and drops another notch off a

sharp rallying 3rd last week - looks like the main danger, but his 1 for 21 record year (last 2 years) is just a

bit concerning. (1) IM A GIGOLO N came to life with a win dropping in class at PcD two back, then raced

well again (back up in class) when missing by a nose last week - draws best for his YR return, and should

be able to stick close from start to finish. (3) BELTANE N draws a lot of bad posts but the last 3X he drew

decently he picked up a pair of 2nds and a 4th- gets Gingras tonight, and may add some value to the exotics

(6) STATE SENATOR left to a pocket tuck when he broke 2 back, then was a good 3rd for a new barn last

week - Dunn drives tonight, and may help grab a piece of this. (5) BETTORBUCKLEUP will likely revert

to his off the pace tactics after failing on the lead at Fhd. last week - chance for 3rd/4th with a good trip. (8)

GINGRAS BEACH drops one notch but that may be offset by the draw - leaning towards others. (7) MY

CARBON COPY N draws poorly off a sick scratch - wait for a better spot.


RACE 9 - MGM Borgata Pace, Leg 1: It was hard to tell just how "good" (5) IDEALSOMEMAGIC A was

when he was just going to the top and crushing inferior fields week after week - he finally landed in the

Open for his last start, sat in the back but was able to charge home from 6th to 2nd in the lane behind a hot

1:51.2 mile from LEONIDAS A - he now adds Lasix as he tries his luck in this series...and we're willing to

give him a shot IF the price is juicy enough. (4) NANDOLO N had been super for weeks before landing in

a no-chance spot on 2/6 - was off almost 4 weeks to his last but still delivered a 1:49.4 victory across the

river...should be a major threat again tonight. (2) AMERICAN COURAGE should be ready to roll after

three sharp PcD qualifiers and his 11-8-0-1 Yonkers record is hard to ignore - very real chance to win right

off the bench here, but he may also end up a bit overbet. (6) HEMSWORTH N acted like a VERY good

horse when he went 3 for 3 vs. NW8 fields here this Fall - took 3 months off and returned in razor sharp

from at Pocono, including last week's win over Nicholas Beach - don't hesitate to include him in exotics if

the price is long enough. (7) COVERED BRIDGE has been hitting on all cylinders lately and has shown

that he CAN hang with the top ones with the right trip - may have trouble tonight because of the draw,

however. (3) SEMI TOUGH had been off his game for a few starts before a much better effort last week -

not sure he's good enough right now to threaten these, but his barn can never be taken lightly. (1) BURNH

AM BOY N disappointed here on 2/20 then was just am "ok" winner over softer the next week - not writing

him off just yet, but he does need to up his Yonkers game. (8) UNDERTHSOUTHRNSUN N seems really

up against it from this spot, against this type.


RACE 10 - Good race! (2) MONGOLIAN HERO N's only recent win came one level down but he finishes

with good pace pretty much every week, and the abundance of live players in here my create a somewhat

contested pace - he'll be a decent price, and maybe he can make his late rally pay off here. (1) OURRHYT

HMNBLUES N suddenly came to life in a big way with that 13-1 front end score 3 back - took his next as

well, then just missed by a nose in his last - drops in for a tag tonight, and remains a very dangerous player.

(3) CAPTIVATE HANOVER seems to go a big mile every start but has now won just 1 of 21 YR starts

over the last 2 years - make sure to get a fair price if using on top. (4) KEYSTONE DASH generally runs

hot or cold but has been good since returning from the layoff, finishing 2nd in 3 straight starts - legit chance

here if the trip goes his way (5) CHANGE STRIDE N has been good every start since moving to this small,

but very successful barn - he's another that would be no surprise at all tonight. (8) BRACKLEY BEACH is

feeling good again, but a lot would have to go his way to win from out here! (6) GINGER TREE PETE is

tough as nails but his best work really comes one level down, from a better post - just a tough spot here. (7)

MIKEY CAMDEN can still throw big miles...but generally not from spots like this.


RACE 11 - (7) TOWNLINE ALL GOOD has now taken 5 of his last 7 (he was totally wiped out early in

one loss, and broke on the lead in the other) - the terrible draw will help his price tonight, and as long as he

can just find a decent spot early on he doesn't mind racing from behind at all - we'll stay on board, and hope

our leading barn continues to have a good night! (5) TIN ROOF RAIDER A has come up 2nd best to the

top choice the last 2 starts, but does have a post edge over his main foe here - we'll see if it's enough to help

him reverse those decisions. (1) BALLERAT BOOMERANG wired 'em 2 and 3 back for our top trainer but

didn't have the same result cutting the mile for a new barn last week - lands with another new outfit for

tonight and a return to that top form could make him dangerous (and an easy trip wouldn't hurt either). (6)

FLOW WITH JOE capitalized on a class drop and contested pace to deliver last week's sharp victory -

moves back up now, and may be looking at a smaller slice. (8) THRASHER has been sharp so while last

week's win wasn't all that shocking, the 32-1 payoff definitely was - will need a lot to go his way to be as

successful from THIS spot, however. (2) LONG WEEKEND A was very sharp while rattling off 5 straight

2nds - threw a clunker 2 back, however, and was just "meh" last week - others just seem sharper right now.

Both (3) PRETTY HANDSOME and (4) DELIGHTFUL TERROR are capable of winning efforts but

neither has been on their best games lately, and both could use wake up calls at the moment.


RACE 12 - (3) BUDDY HILL drops down to the lowest level he's seen in some time and he also avoids the

bad posts that have plagued him in most of his recent starts - feels like a spot where he can call the shots,

and pick up a victory. (5) TWIN B HEART THROB has been sharp all year, already picking up two wins

and three 2nds from his 7 starts - he's generally stuck racing from the off the pace, however, and that could

put him at a disadvantage vs. the top choice. (4) ROCK CANDY has been sharper and more consistent

lately - barn has finally started to win some races, and this guy should be right in the hunt from start to

finish. (6) HEISMAN PLAYER was driven ultra-aggressively last week and Boyd was able to keep him

live to the end, scoring the 9-1 upset - he moves up a notch AND draws poorly tonight, and that may be

tough to overcome with three very live ones to his inside. (7) MACH N CHEESE was very well meant last

week and just missed winning up the cones - the tough draw will likely limit him to a smaller piece tonight,

though. (2) ESCAPETOTHEBEACH gave it a go on the front end last week but weakened in the lane to

5th - figures to be more conservative here, and may be able to tow along for a minor piece. (1) IMSTAYN

ALIVE has been away since December and lands in a tough spot for his return - just watching for now. (8)

MACHEASY A also returns from a layoff, and he gets stuck with Post 8 - we'll just observe, for now.

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