Friday Empire Report

soaofny • April 22, 2022

The Empire Report - Friday, April 22, 2022, Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) TEXAS TERROR N tried it at the $25K level last week and just missed, despite being used

pretty hard - drops back down to the level he crushed the week before, and that stamps the 14YO as the one

to beat tonight. (5) SWAGASAURUSREX had been in a funk for weeks but looked like his "good" self last

week, flying home from the final turn to collar heavily favored ALEX TYE late for the win - a similar

effort would make him a very legitimate threat tonight. (1) KINGSTONS BAD BOY dropped down into a

soft NW15000 field last week, was able to make the top then dug in to pick up the victory - this is a much

tougher spot, but he has back class and may have gained some confidence from that mile - ok for exotics.

(6) ITSGOODTOBEDAKING used a quick start to work out a good trip off the claim last week, and was a

close 3rd - chance for a piece tonight as well. (4) ASTON HILL DAVE looked a little better last time, and

his barn got off a long schneid with a winner earlier this week - not a bad bomb to throw in for 3rd. (3)

URBAN RENEWAL wasn't bad in his first 2 starts after shipping in, but came up pretty flat last week -

needs to rebound to that better form for a chance at a piece. (7) BETTOR LADY is a mare facing boys, and

she draws far outside - maybe can rally for a minor piece with some racing luck? (8) KIMANI N has some

decent efforts lately, but will be hard pressed to make much of a dent from out here.


RACE 2 - (7) ROCK LIGHTS was heavily backed in his 2nd start off the claim and went a BIG effort,

coming up 2nd best despite pacing a final quarter in under :27 seconds - no luck with the draw tonight, but

he's still worth a play against this suspect group off that last stellar effort. (3) MAGRITTE blasted into the

first turn last week and made a break (something we've seen him do before) - he's in an easier (overall) spot

tonight, and should be a live player with no mishaps...but that 9/5 ML price makes him hard to get too

excited about. (4) J B MAUNEY went through a long rough patch but does seem to be back on the upswing

right now - include in exotics. (2) FINE DIAMOND was much better 2 back but failed to build off that

effort, looking just "meh" last week - a few of his barnmates have popped off some big miles lately...

maybe be can be next? (1) GLOBALDOMINATION N was an "ok" winner vs, cheaper 4 back, but pretty

much invisible in his last 3 (bad spots) - definitely a chance we could see some improvement from the pole

tonight. (5) SWEET N FAST N just hasn't been clicking for some time, and really in need of a wake up call

- sticking with others. (7) MINGO JOEL has failed to earn even a small check in his 3 YR starts, so far.


RACE 3 - (7) RISKY MILLION hasn't been a factor in any recent races and generally goes off at pretty big

prices....tonight, however, he moves to a barn that routinely improves horses like this up to 2-3 seconds

instantly, and we'll probably see him on the lead, at a very short price....with a good chance to come out on

top of this pretty modest group of 15s. (1) P H KENNY tried a first over move in his 2nd start off the layoff

but tired in the stretch after being repelled - maybe he'll be tighter now, and perhaps can find his way into

the ticket? (3) BLUEBERRY HEAVEN is usually good for some decent late pace, and tonight should be no

exception - include underneath. (2) SAFETY SECOND was sent off at 32-1 at Fhd. last week despite

winning his prior 2....and lagged badly all the way -- if he can show up with that better form tonight, he'll

have a chance to contend for a piece....but that 9/5 ML price makes it hard to consider him for more than a

smaller share. (6) MISTER HAT has been struggling so the class drop makes sense - he was 3 for 11 here

last year, so a wake up call is not out of the question. (5) THEREISAPACEFORUS is hard to gauge as he's

been driven in all his recent starts by his (very tiny) trainer - wouldn't be shocked to see him perform much

better with Buter at the lines tonight. (4) POCKET WATCH N is 13-0-1-1 locally and generally not a

serious player. (8) NIALL HANOVER may get a longer look when he draws a lot better.


RACE 4 - (4) DA GHETTO WIZARD put in solid rallies from tough spots in his last couple - gets Bartlett

on board tonight and that may see him handled more aggressively....could be sharp enough to beat these if

put into a good early spot. (5) SO MANY ROADS was way overbet last week, but did race very well for

2nd to a very sharp (better trip) winner - he's a very logical player once again, but he's just not handy

enough to really be worth a play (on top) at what figures to be another very short price. (6) MARK WITHA

K was bothered a bit early on last week and really had no prayer - his current form has been inconsistent for

sure, but he CAN beat these on his best effort - consider, if the price is decent. (2) KERFORD ROAD A is

used to facing better, but his form has been iffy (at best) even since dropping down to these lower levels -

willing to use underneath. (1) VERGEOFGREATNESS N has shown that he can follow decently when he

lands a good post - ok to throw him in for 3rd/4th. (3) ORILLIA JOE has struggled to get into a good

groove so far in 2022 - would need some quick improvement to be an actual threat with these. (7) GHOST

DANCE is capable of much better than he's shown in his handful of 2022 starts - not sure this is the spot

where we'll see a wake up call. (8) LA PLAYER A found a soft spot to grab a (rare) win at Fhd., but won't

have that same good fortune from Post 8 tonight.


RACE 5 - Tough race! (5) KASHA V hasn't been on his best game but he's been known to perk up at any

time - he may benefit from a contested pace tonight, and that would give him a chance to use his late kick -

one of may possible winners in here/ (2) BELIEVER has a strong 7-1-1-3 local slate, and returns off nice

win at PcD - may get a stalking trip just off some vulnerable speed. (1) MAGICAL JOURNEY had had

issues with breaking and tiring, but he still remains a dangerous player at this level - he grabs his share of

wins every year, and can't be ruled out from this spot. (6) NEXTROUNDSONME seems to be right there

every week without being able to seal the deal - some may view that as him being "sharp", while others

may be less impressed with his inability to actually come out on top - either way, a good one to include in

exotics. (3) SWANSEA tends to be overbet while underdelivering most weeks - would consider underneath

but looking at others for the top slot. (4) ROCK OF CASHEL was 2nd to SECRET BRO 3 back so that

15-1 ML price does seem a bit long - chance to pick up a piece with the right trip. (7) MOSTINTERESTIN

GMAN has just 1 start in 5 weeks and it wasn't a good one - draws outside, and we'll just observe, for

tonight. (8) LIFETIME ROYALTY figures to be too far back to do any real damage in here.


RACE 6 - (1) STORMY KROMER is able to get a class drop tonight despite picking up a win and a 2nd in

2 of his last 3 Open starts - he throws his share of "duds", but it's unlikely we'll see one from this excellent

spot - clearly the one to beat. (4) HAYEK has blossomed into an excellent Friday night trotter, after some

rough patches last year (after first arriving from Canada) - still can't believe he didn't get by WARRIOR

ONE last week, but it's hard to fault him for that effort....probably the main danger. (2) BARRY BLACK

has really come back strong from those two uncharacteristic miscues in March, winning 2 in a row after

re-qualifying, then finishing full of trot from an impossible spot last week - it's possible that he could pull

off a mini upset from this spot, and surely belongs in exotics. (6) FANATIC appears to have appreciated the

time off as he was an excellent (very close) 3rd in his first start back - tough draw here, but may still be

able to rally for a share. (3) KINDA LUCKY LINDY does his best work with cheaper, but the inside draw

may help him earn a small paycheck. (5) SECRET BRO is another that seems a notch below the top players

in here, but more than capable of taking home a decent chunk with the right trip. (7) VAINQUEUR R P NO

has held his terrific form for a long time, but facing a bit easier in those claiming races - this figures to be a

much tougher spot for him. (8) THE LAST CHAPTER could use a class drop, and better post!


RACE 7 - (2) KING JAMES EXPRESS returned sharp for his 4YO season, just missing in the Fhd.

Preferred in his first start back - was a steady 4th here last week, and now drops and draws inside...good

week to hop on board. (3) PAT MCGARRY A is a tough call - his Canadian lines would seemingly make

him a good fit here but he was ignored at the windows in all 3 of his NJ starts (for the Super Siblings) and

wasn't a factor in any of them - we'll see if he perks up over the Hilltop Oval. (7) GAMBLINGTERROR

lands in a terrible spot but he was an ok 4th behind 3 solid horses last week, and has picked up pieces at

prices in the past - ok bomb to include underneath. (1) REIGNING DEO usually figures, almost always

gets bet, but he's just 1 for 17 locally over the past 2 years (and 2 for 25 over the past 3 seasons) - good one

to include underneath, but a little shaky for the top spot. (4) WHITE HAIR ROCKS just came up empty

last week, making tonight a bit of a guessing game - his "good' version could contend for a piece with

these. (5) DON DOMINGO N was caught in a bad shuffle 2 back, then stuck trying to rally into a :27.1

final quarter last week - he may be able to sneak somewhere onto the ticket, at a nice price. (6) BETTER

UP could probably use a better post in an easier field.


RACE 8 - (1) MAJOR BEAN landed on a brutal trip 2 back and gets a pass for tiring late - was used

VERY hard again last week, but this time was able to keep it going, and pick up the hard fought win -

moves to a new barn and faces a couple of tough foes, but we'll still go with him on top. (6) CAVIART

SARGENT came up big in his Hilltop debut and it took a huge mile by the top choice to beat him - gets the

worst of the draw as he looks to turn the tables here, but he also moves to a barn that has shown the ability

to improve almost any horse that comes their way - we'll see how things play out this week. (2) ELS

DISCO JOHNNY sat right off the top pair last week and finished a close 3rd -- may end up in a similar

boat tonight. (4) JET ACE had been racing well before getting stuck in an impossible spot last week - goes

for anew barn tonight but still is very playable for 3rd/4th. (3) WESTERN WALTZ was an even 4th last

week - seems a bit below the main players, but may be able to tow along for a minor share. (8) THIRD

EDITION has been "ok", but this is a brutal spot - wait for a better scenario. (5) MY WISH CAME TRUE

looked terrible in his first try off the 4+ month layoff, and now drops after missing 3 more weeks -

observing only, for now. (7) BARRY WHITE HANOVER took off the gate the last 2 weeks and never got

involved - faces same fate tonight.


RACE 9 - (6) HUNTING AS may not be on his absolute best form right now, but he's not far off of it - gets

the worst draw of all the main contenders, but that also means he'll be a better price - decent value play in

the finale. (2) ETHAN T HANOVER gets Bartlett to bail off his main client here (#8), and it's interesting

that this is really the only barn that he'll do that for - was able to just steal the win last week when somehow

the only leaver (from Post 8!), but that's why Bartlett has been leading driver here so many times - obvious

threat to win again tonight. (1) NEW HEAVEN comes into tonight off a trio of 2nd place finishes, and has

burned plenty of $$ along the way - he'll win soon (maybe even tonight), but there's just no value using him

on top right now. (4) SWISS HOUSE ONFIRE is probably a tad below the top ones, but good enough right

now to grab a small slice. (3) WINDSONG PIONEER lost all chance when parked last week - look for a

more conservative try tonight, with a chance for a minor share. (5) QUEEN OF ALL has a win and two

close 2nds from her 3 local tries, but it's hard to say how she'll do taking on tough older foes tonight -

inclined to just watch, for now. (7) MY BOY CHRISTIAN failed to get involved from a similar spot last

week, and faces the same tough task tonight. (8) JUSTLIKEHIM moves to the highest % barn around for

tonight, and he'll be reined, trained, and maintained by his new owner this week (while also trying it

without hobbles) - good week to just observe, and wait for Bartlett to take over the "reined" part in the near

future.

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