Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • June 30, 2021

The Empire Report - Wednesday, June 30, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (5) DEERFIELD BEACH shows 2 wins and 3 thirds from his last 6 starts (8 hole in the other)

and he's not usually known for his consistency - if he throws the same brush this week that he threw LAST

start, he should be able to blow by and beat this soft bunch...assuming the barn change doesn't affect him

negatively. (7) ENERGYZONE HANOVER crushed a cheaper Fhd. field on the front end 4 back, and was

an ok 4th here from off the pace last week - he should be helped by the 2 scratches, and Bartlett may very

well handle him aggressively now - could offer some decent value. (1) FAST ON THE DRAW draws the

pole in a shaky field and has a chance by default...but he's just 1 for 27 over the past 2 years (0 for 24 here)

and pretty hard to use on top at what figures to be a fairly short price. (4) PANTHEON HANOVER has a

few ok efforts recently (for low profile connections) - suppose he can contend for a piece. (2) NIHILATED

TRUTH has been away for 6 months, qualified at the back of the pack and was 1 for 22 last year - pretty

hard to justify that 5/2 ML price! (6) GINGER TREE PETE shows dull recent form, and Dube opts for #1,

despite the barn change to one of his regular accounts - will just observe for now.


RACE 2 - (1) HUNTING AS was going good miles here week after week earlier this year but did start to

tail in the spring (even his win in the John Brennan consolation was just "ok") - his recent work at PcD has

been "meh", but he's been facing considerably tougher than he'll meet tonight- the one to beat, but wouldn't

fall in love at a very short price. (4) ZAGSTER has won races here in the past and ships in to a barn known

to get big miles out of fresh horseflesh - he's in a good spot to leave the gate and work out a trip, so he's one

to consider. (3) NEW YORK CHAPTER puts hobbles back on tonight as he's yet to even hit board since

joining this high % barn, despite getting way overbet in all 4 starts - maybe tonight's the night he puts it all

together? (7) BROWNIE tired after working out a good trip last week but he's probably a better horse when

he just sits back and rallies late - he'll get that chance tonight (at a price), but may just be too far back to do

any real damage. (5) POSSESS THE STONE got a catch driver last week but had no chance after getting

shuffled back inside - gets another catch driver tonight, and it wouldn't be any surprise to see him at least

contend for a piece. (8) SHOWMEYOURGUNS will be trotting strong late (as always), but may be doing

it from way too far back to have any real impact. (6) MAJESTIC SUNRISE N went weeks without being

able to stay flat - did behave in his last couple, and now goes from his trainer in the bike to Siegelman - a

little too shaky right now for our tastes, however. (2) DRAIN THE SWAMP draws well but is 1 for 41

lifetime.


RACE 3 - (5) JUBILEE QUEEN raced much better than expected in that NYSS race at Stga., finishing just

a couple of lengths behind Heart of Mine and Olivia Blu - followed that up with a 8 hole win at Monti, then

another respectable NYSS try at Buffalo - if she continues to hold her current form tonight, she'll have a

good chance against these. (3) CHANEL BEACH broke her maiden at PcD 2 back then paced her fastest

mile so far (8 career starts) in the slop, the next week - seems like she's on the improve for a sharp barn, and

should be able to have a say tonight. (6) AINT SHE PERFECT could be a live bomb - she WANTED to do

it in her local debut but was never really safe enough for Stratton to cut her loose (and she did make a break

when finally allowed to pace a bit into the stretch - IF her connections have made some adjustments, she's

definitely talented enough to be a threat. (4) DEL DIGGITY has raced well enough here on a few occasions

to merit a look - at 10-1 ML, she's worth considering, at least for a piece. (1) QUICK SIX was used hard

early last time and that left her short at the end - she's better than that, and could easily have a much bigger

say with an easier journey. (8) PARTY QUEEN is just 1 for 13 lifetime, and not overly impressive in her

local starts - respect her connections, but 2-1 ML from Post 8 is a little absurd. (7) BRUSH N CRUSH is

now winless in 25 career attempts and draws Post 7 - at least wait for a better spot. (2) MEAN IRENE ships

in from Ohio with a 15-0-1-1 record this year - good week to just observe.


RACE 4 - (2) BETTERB CHEVRON N rallied well from tough spots 2 and 3 starts back - decided to blast

to the top from Post 8 last week but got outbrushed by the scary sharp winner into a hot 3rd panel, and only

lost the 2nd spot late in the mile (even though she was 5th) - deserves another chance...and hopefully a

better trip. (4) FOLLOWTHEWIND N actually raced very well in her first try for a new barn last week,

losing cover into that hot 3rd quarter but still trying hard, just missing 2nd - worth including on tickets after

that performance. (3) COVEREDNDIAMONDS N ended up finishing 2nd in the same race as the top pair,

flashing good pace at both ends of the mile - she probably would have been the top choice here if not for

the barn change...but still has a solid chance to come out on top in this competitive field. (5) ACEFORTYF

OUR DOME was on the move way too early last week and that left her empty at the end - a better trip

could help her land a good piece here. (8) ROLL WITH ANGEL didn't flash the expected speed from the

rail last week, sat in, then finished ok for a small piece - faces an uphill climb going from the pole to Post 8.

(7) MADAME LEZA was able to beat cheaper in PA 3 back, and has won a couple of times here in the past

- hard to see her landing on a manageable trip from all the way out here, though. (1) CINDERELLA DELI

GHT draws the pole with speed, but her current form had been lacking, to say the least - sticking with

others. (6) CORAL BELLA hasn't been sharp since returning from the midwest.


RACE 5 - (8) DIBABA N has been racing very well most weeks against much better lately - has the speed

to quickly overcome the outside with Brennan at the controls, and is definitely the one to catch and beat in

her Hilltop return. (1) WATCH MY LUCK went on the shelf for 3 months after a disastrous try on 3/24 -

qualified back nicely, has shown ability in a couple of starts in the past, and figures to be a live player right

off the bench. (4) AMANDEROSA doesn't win here often but when she does, it's when she's down at this

level - definitely include in exotics, and maybe even consider on top if the price is right. (6) PRAY THE

ROSARY has been facing much better in all her recent starts - she's a very good fit in this class and may

even look to leave the gate here (although that could go either way) - include her underneath. (3) PAPPY

ROCKS just hasn't clicked at all since the 4/29 claim, often disinterested for most of the mile - she'll wake

up one of these nights...but not worth "guessing" on her tonight at 3-1 ML! (2) FREE EXCHANGE seemed

to need her last off the layoff - could be tighter now, and has a shot at a small piece. (5) TYRONBETTORS

ELLA N used an easy trip to grab 3rd two back, but she's generally been easy to ignore in most of her starts

here (last 3 years). (7) FOX VALLEY CHARLIZ will be coming from last after being scratched "lame"

from her last - good week to just pass, and watch.


RACE 6 - (7) PAIGES GIRL was facing much better when she left for Pocono in May - she returns to YR

off a pair of sharper efforts (after finally dropping), and this field should be right in her wheelhouse - will

need some trip luck from out here, buy will be a dangerous player if she gets some. (1) FRANSCHOEK

drops in for a tag to stay in the same class she beat last week (also from the pole) - big threat for a repeat

performance, but also likely to be overbet (after paying a fair price in her last 2 wins). (6) E R HILARY

was sent off favored last week and raced strong, despite a very tough trip - no reason she should be 12-1

ML and she's definitely worth using on top if she goes off close to that price. (3) QUITE A DELIGHT N

kept on grinding into a quick final half to pick up a very respectable 4th last week - she could be even

closer tonight with a better journey. (8) PAMMY JO seemed to be set for a nice form reversing mile last

week after hitting the top from Post 8 but her struggles continued, weakening to 4th from the final turn -

still surprised that she hasn't thrived since the recent barn change. (2) KAITLYN N will appreciate the post

relief, but is probably still looking at a minor share at best in her current form. (4) ALKIPPE raced ok in

her last pair, but this is a much tougher field, top to bottom - may need to drop back down to the bottom

level before becoming a serious player again.


RACE 7 - (4) ALBERGITA HANOVER flashed a ton of ability at 2 but did get steppy at times - seems

she's pretty much the same at 3, finishing 2nd to Test Of Faith in her first start back, but then getting steppy

(and eventually going offstride) at Buffalo - this is a pretty soft bunch for her, so she can probably be

handled pretty carefully and still take care of these ladies. (1) SEA OF LOVE BC is on the upswing,

rallying nicely from well back for 3rd two back, then pouncing off cover to win her last - steps up but can

hang with these too, especially from the pole. (7) ROBMOTION BLUECHIP is pretty ordinary (2 for 38),

but Bartlett has used her quick gate speed lately to secure good trips, and take home good pieces (at nice

prices) - could be more of the same tonight. (6) AVAYA HANOVER actually made a brief break off turn

one last week, but did recover nicely after finding herself well back at the quarter- chance to add some

value to the exotics. (2) TEMPURA HANOVER was dull in her local debut but raced a bit better for 3rd in

her last - chance for another small share. (5) BEAUTY BAYAMA went the best mile of her career 3 back

but hasn't been a factor in two starts since moving up in class - needs to be better. (8) IDEAL HANNAH

was 1 for 39 heading into last week but used a live trip to score the 14-1 upset -- moves up and draws Post

8 now, and that figures to slow her down quickly. (3) WOODMERE HARRIET was dull in her last couple

after a break 3 back - just not clicking at the moment.


RACE 8 - (3) ZACH MAGUIRE N may be 0 for 13 this year but he's been "sneaky sharp" lately, and he's

going to light up the tote board one of the weeks - if the trip goes his way, maybe tonight? (4) ZOEEZ BOY

HENRY was 0 for 18 last year but remembered how to win in 2021, already notching 4 victories - the move

from the 15s to this NW5000 field should suit him, and he's definitely worth using on your tickets. (2)

PATRIOT NATION will be the favorite here and deservedly so....he'll also be pretty vulnerable, and he's

probably worth taking a shot against, since it's been a while since he's found the winner's circle here.(6)

FULLBACK always seems to come up shy at the wire, but he does put in good moves and does collect

plenty of pieces - definitely worth including underneath at 15-1 ML. (1) CAVIART STETSON worked out

a nice 2 hole trip upon arrival at YR but came up empty in the stretch - will need to be sharper if he hopes

to be a player. (5) MISSILE SEELSTER has been picking up small pieces at the lower levels at Chester -

probably all he can really hope for in here, as well. (8) WHITTAKER N put in a pretty good bid last week

before finally tiring - would have likely picked him a bit higher had he not drawn Post 8. (7) MAGRITTE

just hasn't been good in a long time - waiting for any spark of life before hopping back on his team.


RACE 9 - Tough race: (4) LIFETIME ROYALTY hasn't been a threat in his last few starts but he does

have some excuses - this feels like a much better spot and while he isn't always the safest leaver, he should

still be able to get away well here - barn sent out a couple of sharp ones on Tues. night, so we'll try this guy

tonight. (6) EVS GIRL did well to gain 2nd off the layoff 2 back behind a currently very sharp Limerence,

then toughed out a win in her last - steps up a notch, but her good form could make her a player with these

too. (1) TAKE A WISH has some extremely mixed recent form but she's done well here in the past, and is

worth using in exotics...assuming the price is decent. (2) TOTAL DIVA just doesn't win very often here at

YR but she has 7 seconds already this year - always a good one to include underneath. (5) MIGHTY SURF

was Holland's surprise choice over #4 - shows a win over much cheaper at PcD 3 back but she's just 2 for

34 here (last 3 years) and hard to consider for more than a small piece. (8) CRAZYCAT draws his 3rd

straight 8 hole - was able to grab a pair of 3rds in his last 2, but he moves up a notch tonight and may have

a tougher time getting into the hunt. (7) LADY EAGLE is capable at this level when in the right spot, but

she'll need a lot of trip luck to make any serious dent from out here. (3) WHETHER OR NOT FI hasn't

been on his game at all in his last few starts but he's nevertheless been claimed 4 straight weeks- new barn

is hot right now, so we'll see if they can straighten him out.


RACE 10 - Wide open: (2) MY CAM GIRL will be facing much tougher tonight but she's gotten better

with each start since arriving on 6/9, and her small barn just seems to excel with the ladies (like Stowaway

Hanover) - she'll be a good price, and we'll see if she can be as effective against these better ones. (4) LAU

RIE LEE has a win, 2nd, and 3rd from her last 3 starts, and is always pacing strong at the end - there's a

chance they'll mix it up in here and if they do, she may be the prime beneficiary. (6) MAN DONTFORGET

ME has been very good for several weeks, and the rest of her barnmates are mostly thriving as well - tough

draw, but she can't be counted out. (1) WAKEMESHAKEME put in her best career mile with that win 3

back, then grabbed 2nds in her last pair - draws best, and a legit threat for a big slice if she trips out from

the pole. (7) GALLERIA GAL was sharp without winning in her first several starts this year, but comes

into tonight off back to back wins - she's certainly sharp enough to take another, but a bad trip may stand in

her way. (3) NATASHA was the Florida Queen at 2 and 3 (15 for 17) but she hasn't raced since Dec. 2019,

missing her entire 4YO season -- her qualifiers are sharp, but she may still need a start or two to get "racy"

again. (5) SOUND IDEA rattled off 3 straight recently but has really leveled off in her last few starts - we'll

stick with others, for now. (8) SOMEBEACHSOMEFRA faces an uphill task from all the way out here.


RACE 11 - (6) STINGLIKE A B K seemed to be a little dull for a few starts but did look better last week -

his young trainer has been doing outstanding work with her 2 horses (that race here), and this guy is worth

a look (at a price) in a pretty tough race. (1) TAD KRAZY HANOVER is another that showed some better

life last week after a series of disappointing starts - if she can build off that effort, she can be a dangerous

player tonight. (3) IN MY DREAMS is as unpredictable as they come, but he CAN beat fields like this

when in the right mood - possibility. (5) MADHATTER BLUECHIP was a very sharp winner off the claim

last week - steps up here, but may be able to be a player with this crew too. (8) KINDA LUCKY LINDY

was bet "dead" last week (in a seemingly winnable spot) and raced accordingly - gets stuck all the way

outside, and they may already be looking forward to a drop to NW7500 next week. (4) MAGIC MVP

disappointed a bit in losses vs. cheaper in each of his last 2 starts - moves up now, and would seem to be

looking at a smaller share only. (2) SLATED TO WIN was doing good work at Fhd. but vs. cheaper - still

an unproven commodity against this type. (7) DRAZZMATAZZ just seems to do better work out of town -

and Post 7 really makes it hard to back him tonight.



RACE 12 - (4) IN SPADES returned from Chester and went a good mile here, rallying from the back for

3rd - BOTH horses that beat him came back to win this week, giving his own effort all the more credibility

- deserves the nod in the finale. (5) WEONA SIZZLER A never lived up to the potential he showed in his

early starts after arriving in the U.S. but he's still a useful raceway horse - doing solid work since being

acquired by the Super Siblings recently, and he looms the main danger tonight. (2) CLASSIC PRO drops to

the bottom rung for a barn that was hot on Tues. night, but his current form has been lacking, to say the

least - we'll see if this is the class drop that perks him up. (3) TEXICAN N is still plugging along at age 13,

now with over $1M in the bank - his wins are fewer and farther between these days, but he's still capable of

grabbing a piece with these. (1) FOREVERNALWAYS shows a win in NJ 3 back but his overall form since

the April claim hasn't been stellar - suppose the inside draw puts him in play for a piece. (7) IWONT

DOTHATAGAIN is now 0 for 16 on the year and he's stuck way outside - still has the best shot of the

"longshots" to at least grab a small piece. (6) STEADY PULSE just qualified back off 2 1/2 month layoff,

but he just looks too cheap, even if ready. (8) BUNGALOW BILL N has struggled ever since returning

from the layoff.

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