Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • July 19, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, July 19, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (1) OAKWOODINITOWINIT IR had a great shot even from Post 8 last week...but apparently

his driver disagreed, and took him back to last (really giving him NO chance, despite pacing a :54.2 final

half)) - let's assume that he'll be driven a little more aggressively from the pole tonight, and make amends

for that last mile. (4) FAMILY RECIPE makes his local debut and his Ohio form stamps him as the main

danger for a barn having a solid year - not sure if he's good enough to beat the top choice, and it would also

be hard to recommend him on top as the 6/5 ML choice. (5) GLACIS was caught too far back (after a soft

opening half) to have any real chance last week - he's been sharp for a long time, and could grab a piece of

this with his usual good kick. (3) ROCK LIGHTS' efforts have been all over the place the past few months

but he'll have a shot for a piece with the good draw...and hopefully good trip. (6) DANCE IT OUT is

unproven against these types, but he's definitely been racing well lately in PA - willing to throw him in for

3rd. (2) BONDI SHAKE N is just 1 for 12 here this year, but that's partly because he's been 2nd best to

AMERICANLIGHTNING N several times - he's missed 3 weeks, and taking on older foes for the first time

- we'll see how he does. (7) PRETTY HANDSOME has been solid when drawn inside, but has frequently

struggled from the outside posts - willing to wait for a better spot.


RACE 2 - Excelsior A - (1) MAKADUSHIN N CHEEZ has done plenty of racing in his young career, and

sports a nifty 25-12-5-5 career record - comes into tonight off a dominant win (in this class) up at Monti,

and just may be too sharp for these right now. (2) VALENTINE EXPRESS is 0 for 8 so far this year but

definitely sharp right now, just missing to QUINCY MARKET at Goshen, also finishing 2nd at Monti

(behind the top choice) - should be a solid player again tonight. (3) GREY CLOUDS has been very good

when on the lead, but it's doubtful that he'll be there unless something happens to the top choice - ok for a

good piece, though. (5) DOWN THE PIKE MIKE beat the top pick at Tioga at the end of May, but doesn't

seem quite as sharp lately - could be a threat if he finds that better form. (4) MAKIN NO BAKIN seems a

notch below the others.


RACE 3 - (5) HECANDANCENCRUISE has been a little in and out for much of the year but his "better"

efforts would probably be to much for these - he picked up his first win of the year in blowout fashion last

week, and should be full of confidence for his YR debut - deserves top billing. (4) MAKE MY DEO was

sharpening at Chester right before shipping over here last week, and he went a solid mile to be a close 3rd -

could be the main danger. (3) YS DO IT RIGHT finished 2nd in his local debut, then was an ok 4th last

week after a shuffle - a good trip puts him in play for a decent piece. (7) COOL MAN DUDE was ok at

Chester 3 back, found himself too far back (here at YR) in his next, then rallied nicely for 3rd last week -

wish he had drawn a bit better, though. (1) DANCING JOE hasn't shown much since returning in 2022 but

does race with Lasix for the 2nd time tonight, and also draws the pole - maybe we'll finally see some

improvement? (2) THOR AND DR JONES was 3rd here on 6/21 then stayed tight with a Monti qualifier

last week after a sick scratch - maybe he can tow along for a minor share? (6) TUFFENUFTOWEARPINK

has been "meh" in 4 local tries, picking up some smaller pieces - won't be easy to improve on that tonight

with the outside draw. (8) ALWAYS BETTER ships in from PA showing some "ok" form, but faces a tall

order starting from Post 8 in his local debut.


RACE 4 - Interesting race with FOUR fresh faces arriving into FOUR barns that usually do very well with

these types! (4) SHARKY BEAR was a winner up in Canada last start, has plenty of half mile experience,

and goes from a low profile operation to the perennial leading barn in the country - one of the 4 newcomers

with a chance to take this. (2) COLD CREEK FELIPE also arrives from up North, and also off a win (in his

first start of 2022) - lands in a top barn, adds Lasix, and may prove to be the right one. (1) LATEST ERA

won his last pair at Ocean Downs, is 7-3-3-1 on the year and also joins a barn that has always done well

with fresh stock - legitimate threat for sure, but that 8/5 ML price is a bit of a turn off. (3) PICK A GENRE

struggled to stay pacing as a 2YO at the Iowa Fairs, but is off to a good start at 3 racing at Running Aces -

he joins the Super Siblings' barn, and that has been a winning angle for a long time! (5) LONE WOLF

AMERICAN might be the best of the Yonkers "regulars", but he needs to finish his miles a bit stronger. (6)

BUD TRUCK was an "ok" 3rd in his first local try of the year, but was scratched sick after that and draws

poorly for tonight. (8) A SHORE LEGACY didn't distinguish himself in a couple of tries here earlier this

year...and draws Post 8. (7) BUCKEYE EMERY disappointed in both local starts - waiting for a better try.


RACE 5 - Excelsior A- (3) BY THE BOOK showed ability at 2, and closed out the season with a close 2nd

in a Simpson division - changed hands for 2022 and started the year with a pair of sharp qualifiers before

heading up to Tioga to try the NYSS - was well backed and put in a good bid before tiring, but his

connections have opted to avoid shipping all over NY State, racing primarily in PA instead - looks like he

lands in a field tonight that he can handle. (1) DEBS PRINCE HALL was 7-3-3-1 as a 2YO - came back

solid again at 3, and picked up a couple of good looking Stga. wins in May - his recent form is a little more

spotty, but he still looks like the main danger...assuming he behaves himself. (2) TANKER EXPRESS got

Stratton on board for the first time last week and rallied nicely for 3rd at Monti - draws inside, and can be

part of the equation once more. (6) CREDRENA was ok in her 2 local starts this year, picking up a 2nd and

a 3rd - tough draw, but gets Bartlett to drive and that may help her get a quick start - chance for a piece. (4)

SCREAMER has 4 wins this year (and SIX for his career) but those were vs. easier - will need to find a bit

more to be a serious threat against these. (5) SPICY NUGGET seems a bit overmatched against these.


RACE 6 - (1) LOOKATMYART finished well from an impossible spot last week, after landing on a

horrible trip the week before - she just missed to the streaking PURE COTTON the start before that,

however, and should be looking at a very nice trip from the pole tonight - the one to beat, but don't accept

too short a price (she can be a little camera shy). (5) SUMMER RAE has been slow to get her act together

as a 4YO but she showed much better signs in her last couple, and her barn seems to be heating up as well -

would certainly include on your tickets. (7) CAVIART CHERIE is a solid performer at this level - will need

some serious trip luck from out here, but may have a chance to upset if she gets it. (2) VELOCITY

MCSWEETS was able to find a softer spot last week and pick up the wire to wire win - she still doesn't

seem to be at her best, but she can still land a good share from this spot. (6) MILLWOOD BONNIE N

seemed to be on the upswing but definitely disappointed in her return to this level last week - maybe

3rd/4th? (3) BRING ME DIAMONDS isn't really a $50K claiming mare but she does pick up some pieces -

another that's playable for 3rd/4th. (4) SEZANA N is 1 for 35 at Yonkers over the last 2 years and couldn't

even hang on last week after building a big lead at the bottom level - hard to recommend her tonight. (8)

WOODMERE SKYROLLER really seems to have gone in the wrong direction lately - Post 8 won't help!


RACE 7 - NYSS - looks like it could shape up as a battle between last year's NYSS winner, and last year's

runner up: (2) COOL PAPA BELL (2nd in last year's NYSS Final) made a break before the start of the

Zweig last week with Zeron driving - the last time he went offstride was when Tetrick drove him last Fall --

Sears drove him every start in between, and will be back in the bike for tonight...we'll give him the narrow

edge. (1) MOLOTOV COCKTAIL was a sharp wire to wire winner in last year's Final - returned with a

pair of sharp qualifiers for his 3YO season, but made a break in his first start back - looked good in the two

tries since then, and figures to be the main danger tonight. (5) CHAPHEART was bothered in last year's

Final but has otherwise been a very steady performer - probably not up to the top pair, but may be next in

line. (4) TANTRA BLUE CHIP clearly has some ability, but the lightly raced gelding is still a work in

progress - sticking with the more proven commodities. (3) PERFECT TITAN is improving, but still seems

below this group.


RACE 8 - NYSS - (2) VELVET STYLE has definitely sharpened recently, and definitely handles Yonkers

very well - he also gets along beautifully with Stratton, and we'll give him the edge in this short NYSS

field. (4) CASTLE HOUSE has been a steady NYSS player this year, though he did make a break up at

Monti last week - can be a dangerous threat if he stays trotting tonight. (1) QUINCY MARKET had no

chance in his first try off the barn change (in the Yonkers Trot elimination) but he prevailed over an

Excelsior A field at Goshen the next start, then won his NYSS division at Monti last week - can't be ruled

out. (3) SECRET RULE flashed ability at 2 but was still learning the game - makes his first start of 2022

tonight, and the guess is that he may need one.


RACE 9 - (2) PJ LOU showed plenty of ability at 2 so it was no surprise to see him start off his 3YO

campaign with a sharp win here (in this same NW4 class) - crossed the finish line first the next week too,

but was disqualified for going inside pylons to the half - continued to race well in PA and can surely be

forgiven for his last couple of starts (Messenger Final from Post 8, and the Meadowlands Pace elimination)

- back to a MUCH more comfortable spot tonight, and is supposed to be able to handle this. (5) AINT HE

SPECIAL was terrific in his local debut, winning despite a VERY long first over move - charged home for

2nd after sitting last in his next, and there's no reason he can't continue to do well tonight. (1) HP LIS

SHADOW showed flashed of ability up in Canada so it was no surprise to see him score in his local debut,

adding Lasix for a sharp barn - steps up in class tonight, but can still make his presence felt from the pole.

(6) THRESHOLD was handled aggressively last week and was able to hold off the favorite (#7) for the win

- this is a tougher overall field, and a much tougher post....may be looking at a smaller share this time

around. (7) MY MIKI BEACH surprisingly allowed THRESHOLD to take over and cut the mile last week,

lost some ground to the top of the lane and was unable to make it back in time before the wire - the ability

is there, but tonight's draw may cause some trouble for him. (8) STILL THIRSTY behaved himself the last

2 weeks and picked up a pair of victories as a result - lots of luck will be needed to get involved tonight,

however. (4) BORN A REBEL surprised with that off the pace win 2 back, then wasn't bad off the pace last

week either - this is just a tougher spot, and he may struggle a bit. (3) NORTHERN NETWORK hasn't

been "bad", but he hasn't been on his best game either - will need to be sharper to contend for a piece here.

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