Monday Empire Report

apatchworkdesign • February 6, 2023

The Empire Report - Monday, February 6, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) FUNATTHEBEACH N won 10 races and nearly $600K last year, including a couple of

stakes finals - he hasn't been in "peak" form for a while, but last week's victory was a big step in the right

direction - he gets to stay in the same class tonight and looms a tough, short-priced favorite. (1) BILL HAL

EY N ended '22 with a victory and was sharp in his two 2023 starts as well - draws best, adds Dave Miller

in the bike, and has a big chance to grab another good piece. (5) SMOKIN BY N stayed sharp during the

hiatus with a win in PA, then held that form here at Yonkers the past 2 weeks - he steps up a notch but can

still be a player here, especially with a quick start. (7) BAD TO THE BONE N was much better than his

line might suggest two back, so last week's powerful front end score was really no surprise - he's sharp

enough to contend with these too, but will need a lot of trip luck after drawing so poorly. (4) EUPHORIA N

arrived stateside showing a solid Down Under resume and certainly raced very well in his 2 Fhd. starts -

he'll face much tougher in his YR debut, and we'll see if he's able to hang with these. (3) ODDS ON PICK

SIX has thrived for his current barn but vs. easier - he's another that will have to prove that he fits here. (6)

UNCLE JORD A has been solid for a long time, but gets a poor post for tonight - will probably need a

better draw in order to be a player at this level.


RACE 2 - (2) AMERICAN DEALER N went a HUGE try (in NJ) in his first start off the layoff and was

sent off as the deserving favorite here last week - there was no speed to his inside and he figured to make an

instant lead....but Bongiorno inexplicably took him back to last instead, leaving him with no realistic

chance - he did pace a BIG final quarter, though, and we'll go with him tonight...hoping for a more realistic

steer. (3) PRICELESS BEACH, like many of his barnmates, returned from the layoff in top form - he paced

a :54 final half to come up 2nd best last week, and looms a very dangerous threat for tonight. (4) THE IDE

AL DANCER A was an impressive winner in his Hilltop debut on 1/23 - he stepped up to the Open last

week and may have been a lot closer at the wire had he found more room into the stretch - of particular note

is that Stratton opts off the classy COVERED BRIDGE (trained by one of his best accounts!) to drive this

guy tonight. (7) COVERED BRIDGE was an easy winner in his first local start of the year then raced super

again last week, though settling for 3rd after a very tough trip - he's at a major post disadvantage vs. his

main rivals here and as noted, Stratton (surprisingly?) opts to drive #4. (1) ITALIAN DELIGHT N was

super 2 back and even better in last week's ultra-impressive victory - it's hard to believe he was recently

losing races at Monti, but he's in raging form right now - we'll see if he can handle the class jump. (5) THE

DOWNTOWN BUS has a couple of decent efforts but really seems buried against the top ones in here. (6)

BUDDY HILL is looking at a tough trip from this spot...wait for a better scenario.


RACE 3 - (2) HURRIKANEKINGJAMES used a beautiful trip to win his seasonal debut but came up flat

last week - moves to a barn that has been hitting on all cylinders for several months, and we'll give him a

shot to pull off the mild upset. (4) ELWELL will take plenty of $$ here and looms the one to beat- he hasn't

looked to be at his "best" in his recent starts, however, so maybe he'll be a bit vulnerable tonight. (1) ITALI

AN DELIGHT N had no chance shipping in last week but did finish alertly from an impossible spot - he

draws best, and Holland does take him over a couple of others - possibility in this modest $30K division.

(6) BETTER B SWIFT clearly outraced his 44-1 odds last week and gets Gingras filling in for tonight -

decent value horse to consider for exotics. (3) MENLO PARK ships in from Canada for a barn that has only

clicked at 6% with their local starters over the past couple of years - seems a little cheap for these, but the

good draw at least gives him a chance at a small piece. (5) AUDI HARE N drew Post 8 after missing a year

last week and really wasn't bad - should be tighter now, but still think he may need another start or two

before we see his best. (7) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER was ALMOST able to break a very long local losing

streak last week, but was reeled in late - he's definitely sharp enough for a chance at a piece IF some racing

luck comes his way. (8) DEETZY was a close 4th off the layoff but faces an uphill battle from out here.


RACE 4 - (6) IDEALSOMEMAGIC A raced well from tough spots in his first 2 U.S. starts then absolutely

jogged in his last couple (at miniscule prices) - faces a much tougher assignment tonight, but we'll stay on

his team...especially since the price should be a lot better. (1) INDICTABLE HANOVER hasn't had a ton

of local success but he gets some class relief, draws the pole, and his barn has been turning horses into

airplanes lately (won 7 of 12 last week!) - looking for a big effort tonight. (2) MR DS ROCK has a mixed

bag of starts lately but he was a well meant 3rd last week, and does have the back class to pull this off if the

trip goes his way. (4) SAYING GRACE N raced well (vs. easier) from bad posts the last 2 starts, picking up

a win and a 3rd - Bartlett elects to drive #1, but Dave Miller is a pretty capable replacement - definitely one

to include in exotics. (3) DIAMONDBEACH is capable of beating better when "right", but just had to

re-qualify after a pair of miscues - seems a little iffy right now. (8) ONTO EL DORADO N didn't function

2 back but actually raced well last week, despite a very hard trip - would have considered him a bit higher

up if not for another terrible draw. (5) HYPNOTICDREAM was only 3 for 39 last year, seems cheaper, and

may need a start. (7) STRAIGHT UP COOL tripped out to beat lesser last week, but figures to have a tough

time getting into play tonight.


RACE 5 - (3) FLOW WITH JOE was a solid 2nd to a raging UPTOWN FUNK to close out 2022 but has

been hampered by a pair of 8 holes to start off the new year - finally gets a decent draw, is listed at 9-1 ML,

and seems like a good value play in a race with no stickouts. (4) CAPTIVATE HANOVER was 0 for 15

here in '22 but ALMOST pulled out a win in his first start of '23 before getting his picture taken last week -

legitimate threat to repeat. (2) TIN ROOF RAIDER A charged home full of pace to start off the new year

then was a gutsy first over winner last week- another very live player in here. (7) TOWNLINE ALL GOOD

was riding a 2 race winning streak coming into his last, was handled way more aggressively than expected

and still looked good until weakening very late (then making a break near the end) - clearly sharp enough to

take this, but the outside draw may leave him battling for a smaller share tonight. (5) FOX VALLEY REN

was a big price debuting in this class last week but raced decently to be 4th - chance for another small slice

tonight. (6) MONGOLIAN HERO N needed a "fall apart" race in 30s to finally reach the winner's circle

and the bump up to 40s seems a bit ambitious - still, there's always a chance his late kick can earn him a

minor piece. (8) SOHO CHELSEAA was able to win at the bottom level from the pocket 2 back, but came

up light in his last - Post 8 will likely really hamper his chances tonight. (1) SOUTHWIND MOROCCAN

moves all the way inside here but still seems overmatched.


RACE 6- Interesting race: (7) PYRO was handled conservatively off the layoff but finished with crisp

pace, suggesting he'd be ready to do some damage this week - he gets no luck with the draw, but is still

capable of coming out on top, depending on how the race plays out...one of several live players in here. (1)

MARL BANK ROAD was actually ready for action off the layoff but had no room at all in the stretch last

week, resulting in him going inside some stretch pylons - he has the speed to be aggressive from this spot,

and that's what Holland will likely do - possibility. (5) MOONLIGHT SHADOW ended the year with a

close 2nd at the bottom level but remained sharp over the hiatus, scoring a sharp win to start the new year,

then putting in a big try for 2nd last week - double jumps in class tonight but Yannick sticks with him...and

he just may be sharp enough right now for a chance to beat these. (3) PASS A GRILLEBEACH does throw

some miles that could be good enough to win here but his last few don't inspire a ton of confidence, and

he's listed as the 9/5 ML choice - just not much value tonight. (6) FOREVER FAV threw a bit of a dud lat

week after a bunch of solid efforts - was camera shy throughout 2022, so insist on a good price if trying

him on top. (2) JUSTA LITTLE BIT A had been non-functional in his first 3 U.S. starts but was at least a

"little better" last week - still not ready to hop on his team, though. (8) STRETCH THE LINE raced just

10X as a 3YO but did win a NYSS race here at YR - has looked good in a couple of preps (and one NJ

start) since returning at 4, but faces a tall task starting from Post 8. (4) FULLBACK debuts for another new

barn after a pair of dismal Fhd. efforts - have to pass, for now.


RACE 7 - (5) OZONE BLUE CHIP was 1st or 2nd in 19 of his 32 Yonkers starts last year and he started

off 2023 in similar fashion, winning easily in 1:52.3 - hasn't raced for 3 weeks since then, but that's likely

because there were simply no classes for him -- guessing he'll be ready for his usual big mile tonight. (2)

LONG WEEKEND A went a big effort last week but unfortunately for him, BARBADOS went an even

bigger one - has a post edge on a few other players in here, and that should help him grab a good piece. (7)

RUNRUNJIMMYDUNN N underwent a major transformation last year when claimed by our leading barn,

quickly becoming an OPEN winner....he missed a few months after a great run then came back to win 4

straight at this level - went on the shelf after the victory on 10/10 and just recently resurfaced (in NJ) for a

new trainer...we'll see if he can get this guy as good as he was (4) DELIGHTFUL TERROR benefited from

a dream trip in that win 2 back but he was very good in his last start as well, hurt by an overaggressive

drive - chance for a piece. (8) THE REGULATOR dropped back to the cones last week then ended up in

traffic throughout the lane - his barn has been winning races at an amazing clip this year, but tonight's draw

may slow him down a bit. (1) PURPLE POET was really (sneaky) sharp in his '23 return but came up dull

in his last couple - we'll see if he can rebound here. (3) REDBANK BLAZE A disappointed last week, and

loses Stratton for tonight - prefer others. (6) MAXIMUS RED A was empty last start off the hoatus.


RACE 8 - Five horse field and they ALL have a chance, depending on how the race shakes out: (2) BELM

ONT ROYALE N hasn't done much wrong since arriving in the U.S. 5 starts back, and that includes a near

miss to NANDOLO N in that 1:48.3 mile across the river - his efforts suggest that he could be as good as

any of these. (1) MOONSHINE KISSES was helped a bit by a contested pace last week but he was still

wide a long way, and very impressive- a repeat performance would be no surprise at all. (3) SEMI TOUGH

has been sharp for several starts, and his quick starts have been a big help - could be the one to trip out here

(5) NANDOLO N is just a neck shy of a 5 race winning streak - clearly taking another is quite possible, but

he MAY end up with a tougher trip this week. (4) OAKWOODINITOWINIT IR returned sharp like most of

his barnmates...and was right there 2nd last week - can be right there again if things go smoothly.


RACE 9 - (6) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N has maintained his form as he's climbed the class ladder since

beginning his U.S. career in Nov. - he'll need some racing luck to be in position from this spot, but he'll be a

good price is worth considering. (4) BLANK STARE has been in impossible spots in 2 of his 3 starts this

year but came up 2nd best to the promising THE IDEAL DANCER A the one time he drew well - chance

to be a big player tonight. (3) FEELIN WESTERN paced evenly at the back of the Open field last week but

now drops back down to the class he beat 2 starts back - no reason he can't do it again. (2) PEACE OUT

POSSE was the 2nd longest shot on the board last week but blasted hard to make both of the co-favorites

drop in behind him - ended up being hounded hard for a long way but still battled gamely, only giving way

late - chance here, even though he usually does his best damage with a bit easier. (1) EHRMANTROUT is

a bit of a question mark at this level but he recently rattled off 3 straight (vs. cheaper) and may just be good

enough now to be a legit threat. (5) GENIUS MAN was recently 2nd and 3rd at this level but was helped by

pocket trips - may have a much tougher journey tonight. (7) AMERICANLIGHTNINGN is much better

lately but still is prone to drifting late, and weaker finishes - tough spot tonight.


RACE 10 - (1) JKS CHAMP was making his first start in over 5 weeks but the shipper was well backed for

his new connections and right there all the way, not really shaking free until late - should be even tighter

now, and may be able to pick up the win from this spot. (7) WESTERN JOE banked $116K last year to go

over the $1M mark and while his best days may be behind him, he's still more than capable at this level -

has last week's tightener under his belt, and can be a big threat if able to get in play from Post 7. (3) I DRAI

NTHESWAMP A hasn't won yet in 5 U.S. starts but he's been solid in his last few (after adding Lasix), and

looks like a very good fit with these - legitimate player in first YR start. (2) ADAM CROCKER A was a

winner in his first YR start (November), and his only other local try was at the NW20000 level - his last

couple in NJ are "ok", but he'll need to be a little better to beat these. (4) MCCLINCHIE N was 0 for 17

here last year but the 11YO has been ok lately in NJ - ok to use underneath. (8) HES ELECTRIC will be

coming from way back, but still has a chance to rally for 3rd/4th. (5) GAMBLINGTERROR's last win

came at this level, but a few others just seem more appealing right now. (6) GOTTA MINUTE N has been

away for 3 weeks after a couple of scratches - prefer to just keep an eye on him for now.


RACE 11 - (6) TWIN B HEART THROB unleashed a wicked brush to crush easier 2 back, then went

another big mile late week (coming up 2nd best to the easier trip JAHAN HANOVER) - maybe he can

reverse that decision tonight? (1) JAHAN HANOVER steps up once more after 2 straight wins but draws

best, and his barn has been doing amazing work lately - big threat to take another. (2) NVESTMENT BLU

ECHIP was dull upon arrival from Ohio but much sharper last week - could pose a late threat if things go

his way. (4) BENHPE RULZ N was hammered down to 3/5 off the drop last week and was able to deliver -

we'll see if he can repeat against this better bunch (a possibility, for sure). (3) VELOCITY KOMODO

draws much better for his 2nd off the layoff but that last start suggests he may need another mile before we

see his best - ok underneath. (5) TIGER BARON was ok the last couple of weeks but did have the rail both

times - may not get the same good trip this time. (7) SON OF A TIGER AS had been sharp but did

disappoint a bit last week - tough draw if he's hoping to bounce right back. (8) GALANTE A has a couple

of recent Fhd. wins but seems up against it starting from Post 8 for his YR return.

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