The Empire Report - Thursday, October 27, 2022 - Race Analysis
RACE 1 - (3) GABBYS GIRL doesn't have the most appealing lines right now but she's been facing better
and her last couple of finishes certainly weren't bad - would never accept a very short price on her, but we'll
give her top billing, and then see if she ends up worth a wager. (4) KATHYS MOMENT is similar to the
top choice in that her recent form is lacking, but at least it's vs. better - she adds Lasix for tonight, so
perhaps that angle can work here. (2) SO SUPREME seems a little cheap but she does own a recent win (at
PcD) and gets Bartlett for tonight - her trainer is 3-2-1-0 here this year with horses listed from her barn, and
10-2-2-1 over the last 2 seasons. (1) LARJON LEAH has failed to get anything going this year, currently at
13-0-1-0 -- we'll see if the rail draw in this soft field can at least put her into contention. (6) TENTHOUSA
ND ANGELS was good here for a while last year after joining forces with the "Super Siblings" - she's
changed hands since then, and it's hard to gauge how her form at "The Aces" will hold up against these. (8)
HEY HEY DBAY wasn't bad last week and drops to a level she'll appreciate....would have been listed
much higher had she drawn a decent post! (5) RAVISHIN RUBY has a couple of recent Monti wins, but
will have to prove that she can replicate that form at Yonkers. (7) BETTORSHIGHLIGHT N has been a
bust so far since arriving stateside.
RACE 2 - (4) FIREINSIDEMYVEINS is 2 for 2 since moving to this very high % barn and both wins have
been blowouts - he faces some legitimate foes in here, but the road to the winner's circle still goes through
him. (1) DRIBBLING BI finished full of trot after shaking free in the stretch last week and will go for a
new barn tonight - draws the pole and gets Yannick to drive...and may be a player here. (3) CHAPHEART
rallied for 2nd behind the top choice last week in his first try for new connections - eligible to be even
sharper tonight, and certainly one to include in exotics. (5) CHULO will attract lots of $$ with all those
stakes lines but he doe make breaks, and will have to negotiate the 5 turns here - could be a little risky. (2)
ARCHERY SEELSTER picked up an ok 3rd last week for his new barn - eligible to be sharper the 2nd
time around, and is another that can be included underneath. (7) PATRICK HANOVER shows some solid
Canadian form but lands in a very tough spot for his local debut - prefer to just keep an eye on him for now.
(6) BIG CHARLIE MORAN went some big miles here this year but didn't look good at all last week
RACE 3 - (3) BELLADONNAS GIRL A makes her U.S. debut (on Lasix) after qualifying behind an
excellent Open mare - she'll have Bartlett on board, and we'll hop on board with the expectation that she'll
be ready to roll. (1) APRIL AVA ships in sharp, draws best, and will (deservedly) attract plenty of tote
action - she also is 0 for 17 here over the last 2 years, making her at least a bit risky. (4) EDGE OF ETERN
ITY was a nice front end winner off the class drop 2 back, then finished with plenty of pace from an
impossible spot last week - moves inside, and should be able to make her presence felt here. (7) COUSIN
MARY raced well here a couple of times earlier this year - tough spot but her barn has been hot lately, she
has Gingras on board and that 20-1 ML price makes her worth considering for exotics. (2) CORSINI A
usually isn't a threat to win but she does follow nicely, and picks up her share of smaller pieces. (5) ALTA
MADEIRA N is a consistent mare, but may prefer to be in just a bit cheaper - still a threat to pick up a
piece with these, however. (6) BOLT OF BEAUTY would be mighty tough in here if even close to her top
form, but it appears she's well below that level right now - she did beat cheaper in PA last week, but still not
ready to back her against these. (8) BIRCH ISLAND BETTY has gone some big efforts here in the past but
lands in a brutal spot arriving from Saratoga
RACE 4 - (4) WALK WITH ME just missed in a strong local debut 3 starts back - came up 2nd best to the
talented NICE GUY EDDIE in his next, but lost all chance last week when Holland allowed a weak horse
to retake command (then was shuffled behind him to the final turn) - chance to make amends tonight. (6)
HL MAMMOTH got caught wide trying to loop from Post 8 in his local debut and made a costly break on
the first turn - Yannick is in tonight to drive his own horse, and he looms the main danger. (3) HEADOVE
RBOOTS AS went a "strange" mile in his local debut, on and off the bit the whole way, looking all done on
the final turn but then rallying inside to the wire to just miss - clearly there's some ability there, but we'll
see if he can go a more consistent trip tonight. (5) SECRET RULE probably is as good as any of these, but
he's hard to recommend on top at 3-1 ML and his owner in the bike. (2) DP CANTABS GIRL ships in from
Iowa where she was 1st or 2nd in 21 of 27 career starts - hard to predict how she'll fit with these, but we'll
learn a lot more about her after tonight. (1) HALLWAY BABE is a bit below the major players in here but
the rail draw at least puts her in play for a small piece. (8) CHAPERIDGE just hasn't clicked at all since
recently changing hands - waiting for any kind of better signs before considering him for a play. (7) SV
ROYAL FLUSH has been having a terrible year, and Post 7 isn't going to help his cause
RACE 5 - (1) VIOLETS RAINBOW was a little disappointing 2 back when she cut the mile but she
bounced back with a sharp try last week, pacing a strong final half to be right there on the wire - we'll give
her another chance from the rail. (2) VILLAGE JADE raced much better than the line might look in her
local debut on 9/13 - followed that up with a pair of very sharp tries at PcD and even though she's probably
moving up a bit for tonight, she should still be able to go with these - feels like a legitimate threat. (5) WES
TERN ROSIE disappointed last week but raced well the prior 2 starts - drops a notch for tonight, gets
reunited with Bartlett and the guess is that she'll race very well here. (3) LINE EM UP has upped her game
since the barn change in July - not sure that she can beat these, but a small piece is well within reach. (6)
DRAGONS LUCKY LADY disappointed for a couple of starts but rebounded with a big effort last week,
just missing (and finishing just in front of the top choice) - might be a bit limited by tonight's draw, though.
(4) SEZANAA actually has a couple of fairly recent wins (vs. cheaper) but hung in ok with better last
week - still seems unlikely to threaten, but she's definitely better than she's been in a while. (7) NORMANS
MADELINE is the outsider, both literally and figuratively
RACE 6 - Good race: (6) CIEL BLEU has been on a tear in Canada and that form held even when he
moved over to the top circuit - Lachance has done very well with these types over the years, and he's worth
taking a shot with in this wide open affair. (7) QUINCY MARKET hit an extended rough patch from early
July until his last 2 starts, but does seem to be on the right path again - he went a solid mile for 3rd from
Post 8 last week, and may be able to do the same from another tough post tonight. (1) NICE GUY EDDIE
was the odds on choice the last 2 weeks, looked iffy at the top of the lane both times but was able to kick in
on time to win both starts - he may be able to make it 3 in a row, but this is a tougher field, and he'll still be
a pretty short price. (8) PENELOPE J was cruising along as the 1/10 favorite 2 back when she just bolted
on the final turn, and had to recover just be a well beaten 2nd - raced MUCH better last week, putting in a
very sharp try for 2nd to a razor sharp winner - chance to be a serious player even from Post 8. (2) LONES
TAR FASHION shipped in from the Midwest and jogged in his first 2 local starts (vs. easier) - was a solid
1st over 3rd at Pocono last start, but he's been away for 3 weeks and faces a solid field tonight - may have
to settle for a smaller slice. (3) TAP ME BLUE CHIP can use her speed to grab another good early spot
tonight, but we'll see if she can continue to stay on against these in the latter stages. (5) THE BOSS MAN
has been a steady local player but does seem to be a notch below a few of these talent-wise - probably
looking at only a chance for a minor share tonight. (4) OUTSIDE THE FIRE makes his local debut for a
top outfit but just doesn't seem to be on top of his game right now - prefer to just watch, for now
RACE 7- (8) IN LOU OF MONEY has been facing much better in her 3 local starts and hasn't embarrassed
herself at all - if Siegelman can improve position even a bit at the start she'll have a decent chance to beat
these - even from Post 8. (4) IDEATION HANOVER is another that's held her own with better but she may
be a bit off her game right now - prime spot for a big wake up call, but that 9/5 ML price really tempers any
enthusiasm for a wager. (1) CORA BELLA had been quietly sharpening and was definitely a big "go" last
week - was used very hard and ran into a very sharp foe, however, and had to settle for a well beaten 2nd
best - the other "main player" in here. (3) MOONLIGHTANDROSES is hard to gauge off her Monti form
but she catches some soft foes tonight and may be able to snag a piece of this. (7) ALWAYS BE COOL is
as unpredictable as they come but she throws enough good efforts to at least get a look if the price is big
enough. (2) CABOWABOCUTTIE hasn't won a race since Moby Dick was a minnow but she does grab a
small share every now and then. (5) E R HILARY was a "right place/right time" winner 3 back but showed
little in her starts before OR after that - prefer others. (6) TAKEN CONTROL was pretty dismal in her last
couple of starts.
RACE 8 - (5) GREY is just one of many horses that has undergone a total transformation after joining this
highly successful barn, and she's in absolute career form right now- she's been unfazed by the recent class
jumps, and seems ready to win the FM Open Trot after finishing 2nd to STORMY KROMER last week. (4)
KENZIESKY HANOVER has been a big fan of Yonkers, compiling an 11-5-2-2 record here this year - she
won her last 2 local starts with Bartlett on board, and the pair will be reunited tonight as she returns from
Indiana - solid threat. (7) QUEEN OF ALL earned $193K as a 3YO and has had no trouble making the
tough jump to the 4YO ranks, already earning over $150K this year -- the draw could be a problem,
however, so insist on a decent price if trying her on top. (6) I DA PRINCESS is putting together a solid
season, but seems a notch below the top choices right now - chance for a smaller piece. (2) X O X O is
developing into a nice 4YO mare, but this bunch is tougher than she's used to facing - we'll see if she can
hold her with these. (3) PLUMB would also prefer to be in a bit easier - seems destined for only a minor
share tonight. (1) LADY JETER just hasn't been sharp AND moves way up in class here
RACE 9 - (3) MUSCLE DAN was a little disappointing in his first couple of starts after arriving from
Indiana - made a decent recovery after an early miscue 2 back then went his best mile so far last week, a
solid 2nd behind the talented CANTSTOP YANKEE - may be able to grab his first local victory against
these. (4) SAID NONE AS trotted a steady final half to pick up 3rd last week in the same race where the
top choice finished 2nd - it was a promising local debut, and we'll see if he can build on that tonight. (6)
JULA SILVER STATE now has 17 career starts but still feels like a work in progress for his sharp trainer -
if he brings his best, he can contend for a good piece here. (2) MAGICAL MAJOR gets his first good post
in a while and is eligible to come up with a better effort - willing to include in exotics tonight. (1) BYINVI
TEONLY tried it on the front end in his first Yonkers start and almost was able to steal it - not convinced he
can beat these, but have to respect his chances to stick around for a share. (5) ARABELLAS GLIDER is 0
for 15 this year but did hit board 7X - goes for a new barn in his local debut, and we'll get a better feel for
what he can do after tonight. (8) STARLIT THISWANMAN is hard to gauge off his 2 local efforts so far -
he MAY be a bit better than he's shown, but we probably won't see that from Post 8 tonight. (7) SQUABLE
was dull last week, is just 1 for 41 lifetime and draws post 7
RACE 10 - (3) BALFAST N was dull for several starts off the layoff but perked up in a big way when a
close 2nd two back, followed by last week's easy romp - steps up a notch, but seems more than sharp
enough to handle it. (5) VELOCITY MCSWEETS is a little hard to gauge right now but she gets some
class relief here, and may be ready for an aggressive try - should be able to make her presence felt here. (4)
SPORTS FLIX had some life 2 back and built off that with last week's win over cheaper - may be good
enough right now to be a player at this higher level too. (8) GINGER TREE LIZ would crush these if close
to top form but she just hasn't been that good for some time - she's going to still attract $$ from Post 8, but
may be vulnerable at the moment. (1) CRUSH ME has been pretty weak in recent starts but is capable of
better - may be able to find a better effort with the class drop and the rail. (2) SCANDALICIOUS seemed
to be on an upward trend but came up dull last week after a pair of 2nds prior to that - might be able to
bounce back and grab a small piece, but hard to have a lot of confidence in her right now. (6) SHORTYS
GIRL gave it a good try last week one level down but may have a hard time replicating it up in class, from
a tough post. (7) LADYBELUCKYTONIGHT is just 1 for 28 this year, and that includes many starts vs.
easier than these.