Friday Empire Report

soaofny • September 20, 2024

The Empire Report – Friday, September 20, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (2) BEACON BEACH showed major improvement in his first start off the barn change at Pocono, then

built on that even more with last week’s career best 1:55.4 score here at Yonkers – his trainer is clicking at better

than 30% over the past month, and we’ll stick with the hot hand. (1) UP HELLY AA hasn’t shown the same

dramatic improvement as the top choice, but he too has benefited from a recent trainer change – moves all the way

inside, and can have a big say here. (3) CANTSTOP YANKEE was predictably hammered down to 2/5 last week but

tired to 3rd with no visible excuses – the price will be better if you're inclined to give him another chance. (4)

BARRY BLACK’s last 3 starts were from Post 8, and then a pair of amateur races – this MAY be a spot to look for a

wake up call...at a decent price. (7) SWEET SOUL DAVID had a good year here in ‘23 (5 wins, $122K) but so far

in 2024 he’s winless in 9 local starts, with only $15K on his card – ships in off a break, and draws poorly. (6) FOR A

DREAMER is at a comfortable level for him, but does seem overly sharp and draws outside – maybe a small piece?

(5) BANK BOX TREASURE has been stuck on smaller pieces vs. easier – leaning towards others. (8) MR

KNOWITALL ships in off a win in NJ but moves up in class while drawing Post 8 – tough scenario.


RACE 2 – (3) ULTIMATE SPEED came into her last race sharp, and that last mile was better than it looks on paper

(part of a hot opening quarter, caught in a shuffle, then finishing alertly when finally clear) – upset chance tonight

with a better trip (with the very capable Anthony Nap at the limes). (5) BEACH COWGIRL ships back in off a

career best 1:49.1 blowout across the river – she’s probably the one to beat, but note that she has just 1 start in 7

weeks, and did falter in only 2 local tries (albeit at the top level). (4) UPTOWN HANOVER landed on an easy trip

last week, brushed by easily to the lead but just wasn’t able to hold off #2 in the lane – she’s capable of better, and

will need to be a little sharper if she hopes to threaten for the top prize tonight. (2) PEMBROKE SOUTHIE grabbed

a very live trip last week and rallied by #4 for the upset victory – as noted, her barn is very hot right now, so a repeat

performance is not impossible. (1) TRUE BLUE HANOVER wasn’t as good last week after landing on a tougher

trip – can rally for a share with an easier journey. (6) VILLAGE JADE picked up a solid 3rd last week despite

moving up 2 classes – the outside draw could definitely slow her down tonight, though.


RACE 3 – (5) LLOYDS LOVES saw her 6 race winning streak interrupted 2 back (impossible spot) but bounced

right back with last week’s strong front end score – remains the one to knock off. (2) LIT DE ROSE took a long time

to find her best stride last week but eventually was able to pick up 2nd behind the top choice – she’s definitely not in

“Matchmaker Form” right now, but is still a very real threat any week she’s in the box...just not a lot of value with

her on top, these days. (1) LUCKY ARTIST A was overly-aggressive from the pocket against the top choice last

week but still just missed 2nd after being turned back – can be right in the hunt again tonight. (4) TWIN B SUNK

ISSED raced ok last week from a tough spot, off 3 weeks – can contend for a good piece tonight if the trip goes her

way. (6) TALK CURDY TO ME was a 1:49.3 winner in NJ 2 back then picked up her first Yonkers win last week –

she’s on the upswing now, but the draw may leave her looking at a smaller piece here. (3) GOLDEN QUEST N was

no factor last week off a sick scratch – gets a pass for that, but does feel like she may be better vs. a little easier these

days. (7) DRAGONS LUCKY LADY has been solid for a while, but has limited options starting from Post 7.


RACE 4 – (4) OKINAWA BEACH A was a big go last week off the class drop but she was part of a very hot pace

and that left her a little short at the end – she probably deserves another chance, especially with Brennan in the bike

tonight (he piloted her to her last Yonkers victory). (2) BLOOD MOON A came up a little short as the favorite last

week but did run into a very sharp, barn-changing front end winner – another looking to make amends here, but

she’ll have to do it up in class. (1) MCMARKLE SPARKLE showed up with a big mile 2 back, blasting to the top

from Post 7 and crushing a lesser field – she may deserve a pass for her last (Bartlett off, and a trip that didn’t work

out) so we’ll see if she can bounce right back starting from the pole. (5) CHERYLS SHADOW hasn’t been at her

best lately but did finish right there in her last, benefiting from a good trip off the class drop – would never be much

of a surprise down at this NW10000 level. (3) ALTA MADEIRA N was ignored in the wagering last week (returning

from out of town) but she hit the top and never looked back, wiring a but easier at 20-1 – chance for a piece here too,

if the trip works out. (8) TALENT TO SPARE A was off a couple of sick scratches and qualifier last week but

showed up ready and was right there 3rd – she’s probably ready to do some serious damage, but may need to wait for

a better draw before she can do so. (6) BEE OKAY N rallied for 4th last week, but mostly due to being in the very

live outer flow – her overall local form has been lacking. (7) HUNTING LINDY brushed just at the right time last

week and it propelled her to a nice win over easier – she probably won’t have that same trip luck tonight, though.


RACE 5 – (8) FRONT PAGE STORY was as roughed up as possible last week and deserves a full pass for giving

way and tiring – her previous local efforts produced a 6-3-2-1 record, and the value will be there for those willing to

stick with her tonight. (1) PREMIER SWEETALKER looked ready to back out of the race and finish up the track to

the half last week (chasing the sizzling fractions) but she caught up to the pack to the final turn and knew what to do

once into the homestretch (yet another winner for these connections sending one from the Meadows to our leading

trainer) – solid chance to be right there once more, even moving up a bit. (2) SUPER GIRL moves inside and may

get to make her late rush from a little closer this time – worth using in exotics. (7) STAYING WITH EMILY has put

together a very nice 3YO campaign in PA and clearly has ability – she gets a tough draw while being asked to take

on OLDER mares tonight, and that could slow her down a bit – look for a good price if considering on top against

her elders. (3) LISA LANE had just put together a nice run of strong starts before being scratched sick on 9/4 – she

comes into tonight off a bad date, and that leaves us leaning more towards others. (4) HALLELUJAH HANOVER

seems better suited facing a bit easier – minor shar only. (6) MACHS LEGACY A is another that could be a bit

overmatched here – and the draw doesn’t help either. (5) TECHYS ANGEL A wasn’t “as bad” in her 3rd start off the

layoff, but still seems a ways from being a serious player.


RACE 6 – (4) YO BETH D had trouble behaving upon arrival here earlier this summer – she got her act together

with a trio of very sharp efforts in PA before reverting to her bad habits again – re-qualified, and now returns to YR

off another three strong tries at PcD – willing to give her a shot tonight, as long as the price is fair. (2) VINNY DE

VIE steps up a notch off wins in his last pair but this level is within his comfort zone when sharp (as he clearly is) –

could be a very dangerous player as he seeks his 3rd straight. (5) BELLISSIMO FACES S is looking to make it 4 in a

row, but she’ll be taking on more seasoned older foes tonight – she still deserves plenty of respect, and it would be

no surprise if she was able to handle these too. (3) CREATIVE VENTURE is moving up in class here but his overall

recent form is solid, and he’s competed at these levels in the past – ok for underneath. (6) SOUTHWIND ARTURO

struggled most of the year, suddenly found his form for a few starts but then regressed last week with a weak effort –

hard to say if he’ll bounce right back, or if he’s just heading back in the wrong direction. (7) CAL MILES N SHELL

did a nice job rallying for 3rd last week but lands a bad post and will need some trip luck just to get close enough for

a piece. (1) KASHA V perked up with a better effort for 2nd on 8/30 but then was scratched sick and has missed 3

weeks heading into tonight – prefer others. (8) STRONGERWITHLINDY hasn’t embarrassed himself since moving

up to this level but he hasn’t been a threat either – hard to see him overcoming the draw tonight.


RACE 7 – Tough race! (3) CELIA B MONEY was used hard early blitzing for the lead last week and tired badly

from 3/4s – maybe with a different trip she can pull off the upset over a field with no stickouts. (2) LADYCORONA

crawled around the track vs. a much softer group last week then effortlessly sprinted home a winner – she catches

nothing all that scary with tonight’s class jump, so perhaps she can handle these too? (4) MISS DOTTIE MAE has

been off her game for some time, but at least showed some better life finishing last week (2nd time Lasix) – maybe

she can build off that mile and get it done against these? (1) FEETMADEFORDANCIN was overbet in her local

debut then came up 2nd best after cutting the mile – had some mild pace finishing from the back last week, and could

be a threat here with the right journey. (7) SILKY STRIDE changed barns last week, was handled very aggressively

from the pole and easily handled the heavily favored tripsitter – tonight’s class jump isn’t as concerning as the bad

draw, however. (5) ROCKN PHILLY picked up an easy trip 3rd last week but hasn’t been “sharp” in some time – still

in need of a wake up call. (6) NITE TIME DEAL has a few good recent starts, including a pocket win over 31 two

back – tough draw tonight, though. (8) DEVILISH DREAMS looked a bit better for her new barn last week – no

spot tonight, but worth keeping an eye on.


RACE 8 – (1) DIXIE DREAM was hammered at the windows last week (after a close 2nd behind TALK CURDY

TO ME in a 1:49.3 mile in NJ) but the 1/10 favorite was offstride before the start – we’ll go with her on top tonight,

but definitely won’t be betting the rent money at too short a price. (3) ATREACHEROUS A was aggressive off the

class drop last week but got way too hot on the lead and tired badly in the stretch – another that could easily rebound

tonight. (6) MC ANGEL was insanely good for weeks earlier this year before finally tailing off in the Spring – she

was just freshened up, and it’s hard to gauge her first start back as she drew Post 8 and got caught in the back in a

hot mile – suppose the tote board will offer some clues as to her intentions tonight. (8) JM BETONSIX would seem

to be in an impossible spot upon arrival from Canada but her barn has sent out some very live players the past few

weeks, and she will be a huge price – good for longshot fans. (5) BOORAA N was freshened up a bit before

winning at the Maine Fairs last week – she didn’t have much success here in the past, though. (2) HOW SWEET IS

THAT can usually rally a bit when allowed to relax early – small share? (4) TWIN B ALLURE never even looked to

pull last week despite the very slow pace – she wouldn’t be a shock here, but she would be hard to endorse at that

2-1 ML price. (7) GOT SEXY SCARS finished ok last week but not until the pace slowed to a crawl late – may

have trouble getting close tonight.


RACE 9 – Short field but a good race! (5) SILK CLOUD A saw her 4 race winning streak snapped 2 back when

forced to sit 8th (but still finished strong) – had a little too far to come last week, but did charge home to be close 2nd

behind the frontrunning COACHELLABOUND N – she’s equally effective on OR off the pace, and we’ll see if

tonight’s new pilot (Lachance) can find her a winning trip. (2) MAN DONTFORGET ME may be able to leave

quickly and grab a two hole trip here...which could put her in play for a nice piece of this. (4) ELEKTRA A has

been VERY sharp for weeks, and was a dead game (close) 3rd after last week’s first over trip – no reason she can’t be

right there again. (6) COACHELLABOUND N had been knocking on the door for weeks for Bartlett, but it was

Smith who got her to the promised land last week (in a season’s best 1:51.1) – impossible to ignore her here, even

with the outside draw. (1) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON has the ability for sure, but may still be a little short in her 2nd

try off the layoff. (3) DOUGS BABE A reverted to bad habits with last week’s miscue – but IS capable!


RACE 10 – (6) HUSTLENOMICS had been struggling (for the most part) in Ohio but he was reunited with his

former trainer upon returning to Yonkers and came up with an excellent 2nd last week – worth a shot tonight, even

with the poor draw. (5) FULL RIGHTS took a couple of months off and had a useful tightener last week – lands in a

field soft enough where he can have an impact tonight. (1) P L OSCAR is clearly off his best game but he has speed

from the rail for an always dangerous barn, and it would be no surprise at all to see him wire these – sure to be

overbet, however. (3) BIG CHARLIE MORAN often “figures” in his local starts, but he’s been extremely camera

shy over the past 2 seasons – use underneath. (4) EMPEREURTHEBEST FR delivered the head scratching 57-1

upset 4 back but hasn’t been a threat since. (2) BAZILLIONAIRE was empty last week but raced ok for a few starts

prior to that – maybe 3rd/4th? (7) PERRON is 0 for 25 this year and draws Post 7 after having to re-qualify (after 2

breaks) – sticking with others tonight.


RACE 11 – Tough finale: (2) OH BOY joined our leading barn on 8/23 but had some issue and was pulled up early

– solid qualifier 3 weeks later, and he did have success here last year – may be worth a try here if the price is right.

(5) SEVENSHADESOFGREY has been rallying nicely from tough spots so it was a surprise to see him come up flat

last week after getting a GOOD start – he may just prefer to “relax and rally”, and he could rebound quickly with

that kind of trip tonight. (3) NO MORE SWEETS hasn’t clicked in 3 starts since arriving from Ohio but he adds

Lasix for tonight and that could make a difference – possibility. (7) ENERGYSOURCE hit the top at 54-1 last week

and only gave way ever so grudgingly late to the heavy favorite – if he can replicate that effort here, he can be a live

player once more. (8) TORRONE has been solid lately, and won one level up from this back on 7/26 – the draw may

hinder his chances significantly, however. (1) HOOOLIE N HECTOR is just 1 for 23 this year but he has collected 8

seconds and thirds – maybe a minor share? (6) FULL STRENGTH shows breaks in 3 of his last 4 starts, draws

poorly, yet is listed as the 3-1 ML favorite – feels like better value elsewhere. (4) MYCROWNMYKINGDOM’s

lone recent win came at the bottom level – leaning to others tonight.

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