Friday Empire Report

soaofny • October 13, 2023

The Empire Report - Friday, October 13, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (3) BARRY BLACK has been having a tough year but should be feeling pretty good about

himself after getting to stretch his legs in last week's blowout over cheaper - he faces better now, but may

be able to build off that last mile and handle these too. (2) B MEDITHREE has been struggling a bit vs.

tougher lately but he's beaten better than these not long ago, and this could be a prime spot for a wake up

call. (1) WINDSONG PIONEER also drops, and can surely use his speed from the pole - legitimate threat,

though leaning a bit more to the top pair. (7) CANTSTOP YANKEE went his best mile to date last week

since the recent barn change - draws poorly (while up in class), but can still have a say if Bartlett can find

him the right trip. (5) NO DRAMA PLEASE was a pocket winner off the dropdown last week (over #7) but

will probably be looking at a smaller slice against this tougher field. (6) MEMO was able to run and hide

from a much softer bunch last start but likely looking at only minor spoils vs. these. (4) GEMOLOGIST is

another class dropper, but he doesn't really seem sharp enough right now to capitalize. (8) NEWSBOY has

been off form, and now gets stuck behind the 8 ball.


RACE 2 - (7) BANK BOX TREASURE may be worth a stab in here - he's gone some good miles here in

the past (with Dube), has enough speed to at least improve at the start (despite Post 7), and there are really

no "reliable" players from among the main contenders - that 15-1 ML price definitely looks tempting. (1)

VELVET STYLE is having a tough 2023 season after a solid year in '22 - he's been prone to miscues and

often just doesn't fire...but still has to be seen as a legitimate threat from this spot. (4) REIGN OF HONOR

continues to be listed with very short ML prices despite being just 1 for 16 on the year (and 6-0-0-1 at YR)

- he's no better or worse than any of the other players in here, but would still need to be a decent price to be

worth a play. (3) MYCROWNMYKINGDOM never lived up to expectations after arriving from Canada

last year, but does fit well with these types- a live trip could make him a threat. (6) EMPEREURTHEBEST

FR picked up a win at Fhd. three back, was an ok 3rd here the next week but just never got in the hunt at all

last start- he's 0 for 17 at Yonkers, so insist on a big price if trying him on top. (2) FASHION FOREVER is

just 1 for 23 this year and 2 for 45 at YR over the last 2 seasons - would consider for the bottom of exotics,

but looking elsewhere for the winner. (5) TORKIL is now 0 for 29 on the season with just one 2nd place

finish - hard to consider for anything more than minor spoils.


RACE 3 - (1) MCMARKLE SPARKLE was struggling mightily early in the year - she finally started to

produce for our leading trainer but has since leveled off considerably - her current form is just "meh", but

she's probably in cheap enough tonight to make her way to the lead, and get the job done - not one to bet

the rent money on, however. (5) IN THE SPOTLIGHT was doing good work here vs. better not all that

long ago - she started to tail, but seems to be regaining her form (vs. cheaper) out of town - should be able

to have a good say here. (4) COWGIRL LILLY started to unravel (while in over her head) after the 8/15

claim - turned in a much better effort 2 back, and was certainly well meant from Post 8 last week - should

be sharp enough right now to be in the hunt. (2) DBLDELITEBRIGADE N gets the benefit of both post

and class relief tonight - should end up with a close up trip, with every chance to take home a decent share.

(3) COMMANDER CATHY N was an even 5th off the layoff 2 back, but came up empty in her next start -

hard to know what we'll get from her tonight. (8) SOMESWEETSOMEWHERE did hint that a much better

effort would be coming right before she obliterated cheaper 3 back - picked up small checks vs. better in

her last pair, and would likely have been rated higher tonight if not for the terrible draw. (6) TUAPEKA

JESSIE N just seems a bit over head in here, despite a couple of decent starts after arriving at YR. (7)

WESTBEACH doesn't seem sharp enough right now to threaten from all the way out here.


RACE 4 - (3) DOWN THE PIKE MIKE was holding his own with much better than these when sharp - he

qualified back nicely (after a month away) and gets reunited with Kakaley, for whom he won on 7/1 - may

even be a decent price tonight. (2) ROSALINE figures to take a LOT $$ as she was a 5 length winner at

Fhd. in her first try for our leading trainer - she may just run and hide from these but she's had a tendency to

get too hot in the past, and she MAY be just a bit vulnerable if that happens tonight. (1) STICK WITH ME

KID was a Yonkers overachiever for a long time, but the public has finally started to hop on board lately -

he's been rock solid in this class, and should be an up close player from start to finish tonight. (4) GINAI

DESEPINES FR makes his Yonkers debut off a pair of decent starts out of town - he's raced primarily in

PA this year, and did make a break in his only half mile track try (at Harrington) - could be a bit risky. (7)

BAZILLIONAIRE will need a lot of trip luck from out here but he's been known to pick up some small

pieces (at big prices) in the past - not a bad bomb for 3rd/4th. (6) JACKED was fairly dull in his first 2

local starts but may find these a bit easier - would like to see a better effort before hopping on his team. (5)

FULL RIGHTS turned in an improved try last week but may be hurt by the speed inside of him.


RACE 5 - (1) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A continues to charge home week after week, even from seemingly

impossible spots - she reunites with Brennan tonight, and the pair hooked up for a pair of wins in August -

might land on a live trip in a race that may end up pretty hotly contested. (2) MORNING HAS BROKEN

moved too early last week then was unable to gain wide into the fastest part of the mile - give her a pass for

that, and look for a much better try tonight. (6) RACINE BELL will likely go off the (heavy?) favorite

tonight as we're used to seeing her beating the Open Mares here - she's actually lost her last 3 starts at Stga.,

however, and this may not be a bad time to take a little stab against her. (3) KICKUPYAHEELS N enjoyed

some recent class relief and ships back from PA off a pair of wins - she's shown that she can hang with

these in the past, and could grab a nice chunk if the trip works out. (4) TONYS MOM was aggressively

handled off the layoff last start and clearly not quite ready for it - could be sharper now, but still sticking

with others for the top slots. (5) BETTER WATCH IT has been a model of consistency for months, even at

these higher levels - she faces an uncertain trip for tonight, however, and may be limited to just a minor

piece. (8) OAXACAN DREAM N raced very well in both local starts but will have a hard time reaching

this week. (7) ANNABELLE HANOVER gets hit with another bad draw - wait for a better spot.


RACE 6 - (8) OKINAWA BEACH A drops back down to the class she beat both on 7/14, then again on

9/29 - she usually doesn't have a ton of early speed but IF Kakaley can leave enough just to improve a few

spots, that may be enough for this mare to take advantage of the drop once more...even from Post 8. (6) CH

ERYLS SHADOW isn't nearly as consistent as she was earlier in the year but she can still get up for strong

miles at this level - may have a tactical edge over the top choice, and she's certainly a very live player. (1) I

LOVE ON GAIT should be in line for a very good trip tonight but really hasn't been the most reliable mare

this season - her lines since adding Lasix recently are mixed, but she would be a big threat if she does bring

her best effort tonight. (3) LOOK AT MY ART was claimed away from our leading trainer (off a smashing

victory) two back but held her form well last week for her new connections - a similar effort could land her

a share of this. (5) TECHYS ANGEL A has been well off her best form for a while and even though she

did finally win off the class drop last week, she was really just "ok" - could be overbet tonight, and maybe a

bit vulnerable. (7) LOVE THAT SMILE is good right now and that form is holding even as she keeps

moving up in class - this may be a tough spot to overcome, however. (4) GINGER TREE LIZ had a terrific

2022 season but '23 has been somewhat of a bust- throws a good one from time to time, but too inconsistent

to back with any confidence. (2) ROCKNROLL ANNIE wants to be on the lead, vs. much easier.


RACE 7 - Tough race: (5) MILIEU HANOVER had a very useful tightener last week, pacing home solidly

behind 3 sharp ones after missing a month - should be a good price here, and one of several with a chance

to come out on top here. (2) DELITFULCATHERIN N is the "x factor" - she was basically non-functional

for a month but kept dropping in the box - she finally took some time off, qualified back effectively, and

she's a strong OPEN mare when on her game - maybe the tote board will offer some help? (4) ROCKN PHI

LLY isn't usually known for her consistency but she's actually been turning in strong efforts most every

week recently - has to be respected here. (7) TWIN B SUNKISSED has found her form and been holding it

beautifully right up the class ladder - would likely have been right there last week if not for that costly

miscue to the top of the lane, and may be able to make some noise even from Post 7. (3) LUCKY ARTIST

A seemed to finally be getting back on track recently but did throw a couple of disappointing tries in her

last pair - she's terrific when on her game, but she's been well off that top form for a while. (2) BETTERB

CHEVRON N is feeling good again these days but tonight's double class bump may slow her down a bit.

(6) MISS DOTTIE MAE could really use some class relief and a better post.


RACE 8 - (3) HUNTING AS can run a little hot and cold but he's been pretty good lately, can probably

create a nice trip for himself, and is one of several with a real chance in here. (4) KASHA V made an early

miscue 4 starts back but has otherwise been very solid for some time - fits well with these types, and a good

trip makes him a serious player. (5) HOOLIE N HECTOR has been struggling with better but this bunch

should be right up his alley - assuming he hasn't just fallen completely off form, he should be able to have a

say here (but MAY end up overbet). (6) STREET GOSSIP hasn't won since beating a NW7500 field in

early July but he generally holds his own vs. this kind - could be hurt a bit by the draw, however. (7) SEVE

NSHADESOGREY will likely be trotting well at the end but figures to be coming from too far back (it's

always risky trying to leave with him) - maybe 3rd/4th at a big price? (8) NEW HEAVEN drops to the level

he beat on 7/29 but also lands Post 8 - guessing he may have to wait for a better spot. (1) DOUBLE

DEALING is 0 for 18 locally, and that's facing much easier most weeks. (2) EZRA (who actually fits

cheaper) looked overmatched at this level upon arrival last week.


RACE 9 - (4) OURLITLEMIRACLE appreciated the drop from the 50s last week, coming up a close 2nd

best in this class to a sharp winner - figures to be pretty tough in the finale. (2) IRON MISTRESS was

racing from the 8 hole off a month last week but really wasn't bad for her new barn - tighter now, moves

inside, and may be ready for a contending effort. (3) PARADISE ROCK was absolutely hammered at the

windows from Post 8 for her YR debut (moving to our leading trainer) and wasn't able to hold up on the

lead (tired to 3rd) - was scratched sick from her next, and has been away for 4 weeks - would be hard to

take another short price tonight. (7) MAGICAL MISTRESS has been a chronic disappointer this year, often

"figuring" but only picking up 2 wins so far - draws poorly off the claim, but might be one to consider

using underneath. (1) ALLAMBIE A is now 8-0-0-0 here at YR, though she did look a little better finishing

4th last time - maybe a small slice? (5) BROOKDALE JESSIE is now at 0 for 61 over the last 2 years and

squandered much easier spots than this. (8) PHENOM SEELSTER has shown little in her local tries. (6)

CORSINI A hasn't raced since 9/9 so we'll assume that she'll be scratched here (30 day rule).

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