Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • May 14, 2024

The Empire Report – Tuesday, May 14, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (5) KINGSVILLE raced very well in his last pair, despite having to settle for 2nd and 3rd – he can handle

any trip, and could offer some value in tonight’s opener. (4) CADILLAC BAYAMA has been solid all year, and his

last line is better than it looks (he established a nice pocket trip, only to get caught behind a tiring leader at the top of

the lane) – another that could be a player here at a nice price. (2) BUGABOO LOU comes into tonight off a pair of

victories as the odds-on choice, and is clearly on a good roll right now – he’ll also be taking on tougher here, and

figures to be very heavily backed...very possible, but may be better value with a couple of others. (1) SHADOW

CAT was a game 2nd best to the classy front end winner last week and draws the pole for tonight – belongs in

exotics, for sure. (3) MY ULTIMATE STAR A probably would like to be facing a bit easier but the good draw at

least gives him a chance to save ground, and perhaps pick up a small piece. (8) METAL MAN definitely has ability,

but he’s also made only a limited number of lifetime starts – he was no factor in his 2024 return at PcD last week,

and tonight’s terrible draw may leave him waiting for a better spot to strut his best stuff. (6) LEVINE has missed 3

weeks after a sick scratch and draws poorly for tonight – prefer others this week. (7) CAPTAIN FANCY recently

won 3 straight out of town but vs. easier – seems up against it vs. these starting from Post 7.


RACE 2 – (7) POINTOMYGRANSON hadn’t won in a while but was able to make an easy lead last week and

romped home to a sharp 1:52 victory– he MAY be able to hit the top (or at least improve significantly) again tonight,

and that would give him a chance to repeat. (2) HOWARD HUGHES N has been doing very good work lately

against strong competition in the Midwest and should fit perfectly with these high price claimers – a big threat for

sure, but he also exits a very high % barn and will be driven tonight by a pilot who is off to a tough start here in

2024 (28-0-1-1) – maybe this is an opportunity for Dube to get off the schneid? (3) DP REALORDEAL picked up

an overdue YR victory on 3/21 but has come up a little short a couple of times since then – a good trip makes him a

player here. (5) SAILBOAT HANOVER had been doing some good work lately before throwing a dud last week –

he’ll be a good price tonight if you think he can bounce right back. (1) TRAIN STATION finally cam around this

Fall and went on a solid form spree – he seems to have leveled off a bit recently, however, and made an unexpected

miscue last week – leaning more towards others right now. (4) BELMONT MAJOR N was no factor in his only

local try this year and his overall YR slate (11-0-0-1) certainly doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence. (6) LOORIM LA

KE A reverted to bad habits 2 back then failed to function last week.


RACE 3 – (4) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL has taken her last two for a barn clicking at a VERY high rate at multiple

tracks – has to get top billing here, though there won’t be much of a price. (1) CALLMEQUEENBEE A has been

very solid for weeks and looms the one with the best chance should the top choice falter. (2) ALWAYS B MIMI

moves to a new barn, adds Lasix, and is having a solid season overall – not sure she’s up for taking on the top pair,

however. (3) PLEASURE SEEKER was handled aggressively in last week’s Amateur event and delivered a sharp

front end score – she faces tougher tonight, but does have 5 wins this year (though primarily vs. easier). (5) PRINCE

SS ARONA got very sharp for a couple of starts but quickly leveled off after the recent claim.


RACE 4 – (4) MICKY GEE N has been a different horse since moving to this barn on 2/19, and comes into this off

a pair of “just like old times” last-to-first victories – has to get the slight edge for tonight as well, despite his always

risky racing style. (6) STONEBRIDGE REX has taken 2 of his last 3 starts, with an uncharacteristic miscue in the

other – he’s already picked up 5 victories this year, and a good trip makes him dangerous tonight as well. (2) SHINE

A LIGHT dropped in for a tag last week and had good pace at both ends of the mile – the right trip makes him a real

threat here. (7) ADAM CROCKER A came to life in a big way when he joined this barn in January – he hit a rough

patch for a while but has been rock solid lately, and returns to YR riding a 3 race winning streak – deserves respect,

even from out here. (1) REIGNING DEO was on a major roll, finishing 1st or 2nd almost every week for quite a

stretch – he does seem to have leveled off a bit and while he still has to be feared from a spot like this, it’s hard to

take a short price (on top) right now. (3) CAVIART SARGENT is routinely dismissed at the windows but he has

2nds at 82-1 and 24-1 from his last 3 starts, and shouldn’t be overlooked anymore. (5) QUALITY BUD is listed on

the bottom here but an easy trip gives him a chance to rally late for a small piece.


RACE 5 – (4) OKINAWA BEACH A was a solid 3rd behind the razor sharp GOLDEN QUEST N at Chester 2 back,

then just missed here in NW15000 last week – drops back in for a tag and was a winner the last time she raced in

this class (4/16) – feels like the one to beat tonight. (1) PARADISE ROCK L used a perfect trip to pick up her 4th

win of the year last week and should be looking at another nice journey tonight – always a solid threat when drawn

inside at this level. (2) YS SENSATIONAL CITY failed as the favorite in her last 3 starts, but did hit board each

time – remains a good one to use underneath, in exotics. (7) WHATINEEDISAMAN was very solid every week in

25s – stepped up and beat the 50s off the claim, but was in just a bit too tough last week – drops back down, but may

be severely hampered by the draw...still a good value horse to include underneath. (5) IDEALINFUN won at this

level on 3/12 but that’s her ONLY local win over the past 2 years (15 starts) – minor share? (3) PURAMERI was

needlessly overdriven last week and predictably tired – needs an easier trip for a chance at even a small slice. (6)

LOVE THAT SMILE has struggled all year – sticking with others. (8) IRON MISTRESS needs a much better draw

just to contend for a piece against these.


RACE 6 – (2) EVAS SPORTS CZECH was an afterthought for a long time but like many of her barnmates, she

recently upped her game significantly, and actually won back to back starts here in April – gets a pass for last week

(7 hole, amateur race), and may be able to bounce back with the move inside, and Kakaley back on board. (7) PINK

RUBY has been a solid player at Yonkers this year, compiling a 9-3-2-0 record – she’s probably the “best” mare in

here, but she also draws Post 7 after being scratched sick (off the claim) last week – playable for sure, but only if the

price is fair. (3) ROLL WITH SHORTY had her career resuscitated last year after moving to her current connections

even if most of her wins came upstate – she did win locally 3 starts back, and has to be seen as a legitimate player in

this field. (5) TUGGINONCREDIT hadn’t been doing much for some time but did flash better life last week in the

“Italian Friendship” amateur event – we’ll see if she builds off that tonight. (6) AINTNOHOLLABACKGRL has

been disappointing in most of her starts this year but she’ll be a big price and has at least a chance if things unravel

up front. (1) ITTY BITTY is usually way overbet, considering the pretty weak season she’s had so far – have to

always respect her connections, but there’s definitely some better value to be found elsewhere. (4) SEZANA N is

now 12-0-0-0 this year – she’ll reverse form one of these nights, but good luck trying to guess when! (8) CLEAR

THE WAY lands all the way outside and is winless since 2022.


RACE 7 – (2) HURRIKANE JUSTIN raced pretty well in his 2 local starts here this March then did some good

work in the Weiss at PcD – hardly a “cinch” here, but it does feel like the road to the winner’s circle goes through

him. (5) IDEAL PAR is 0 for 9 to start his career but he raced well here a couple of times, and hails from top

connections – should be a very live player, but will likely end up overbet (9/5 ML). (4) PINEBUSHDRAGONLIFE

didn’t get the hang of things at 2 but he won his return qualifier at 3, followed by a very easy win at Monti – he does

have some appeal at that 20-1 ML price! (3) DEALERS TURN hit board in 5 of 11 at 2 and has started off his 3YO

campaign with a trio of 3rd place finishes – would absolutely include in exotics. (1) BOOK EM DANNO’s three

qualifiers are all over the map – he MAY be a decent horse, but if Bartlett opts off we will too (at least for tonight).

(7) LYONS TREACHEROUS picked up 4th by saving ground last week but could have been 2nd or 3rd if “sharp” –

tough spot tonight. (6) CANTFINDMYWAYHOME showed little in either of his local tries. (8) MANSAI (new

barn) ships is showing some poor form, and draws post 8 off nearly 4 weeks.


RACE 8 – (5) NUTTINBUTHEBEST more than held her own vs. much tougher the last 2 starts and now drops

back down to a more comfortable level – she’s been a much better mare this year, and we’ll try her on top tonight.

(2) SUNBURNT has been very solid vs. comparable in Ohio and debuts here tonight for new connections – she’s

missed 3 weeks, but still could be a legitimate threat. (1) BADDITUDE shipped in on 3/19 for a barn that’s been en

fuego and had no trouble trouncing the 25s – her form has held up just as well since bumping up to the $50K level,

and she should be able to be a big player once more after drawing another rail. (6) LA BELLA VITA N blasted to

the top from Post 8 last week, and fought hard before finally weakening a bit into the lane – she’s a proven winner at

this level, but does face a bit of an uncertain trip from this spot – playable on top if the price is right. (4) DREAM

DANCING seems better suited for the 25s but she did charge home from way back (vs. 50s) last week to be right

there 3rd – some mixed feelings about her chances here. (7) ONEDERFULBEACH had no room in the lane last

week but did have pace – would have given her a longer look tonight if not for the terrible draw. (8) ON THE

MONEY GB lit up the board at 30-1 two back but had too far to come last week and faces the same dilemma for

tonight. (3) GINGER TREE LIZ has had a tough time getting her act in gear so far in 2024.


RACE 9 – (2) ESCAPE TO AMERICA won 3 of 8 as a 2YO including an easy victory here at Yonkers – he drew

Post 8 for his 2024 return last week, saved ground from last, and was absolutely full of pace into the lane, searching

for room before squeezing between horses late – ready to hop on his team after that mile. (3) FIREARM finished

alertly from a no chance spot last week after picking up a pair of 2nds to the streaking RENAISSANCE DEO the

weeks before that – the main danger. (1) CHOOSE CAREFULLY also had success at 2, going 10-2-5-1 (with a 2nd

in his only local appearance) – hard to gauge how “ready” he is off that trio of Pocono qualifiers. (5) SEEN HERE

had some good efforts at 2, and has started off his 3YO campaign decently as well, breaking his maiden at Chester 2

back – ok to include underneath. (7) KID FROM THE BRONX had a decent 2YO campaign but saw his 3YO

season end after a win at Goshen last July 1st – that last qualifier is solid, but he lands in a tough spot and may be

handled conservatively off the long layoff. (4) EURO STEP picked up a 2nd last week but it was mostly by default –

he’ll need to be sharper here if he hopes to be a serious player. (6) LEVI SONIC will need to show more than he did

in his first 2 starts of 2024. (8) MONEY EXCHANGE had a few good starts here at 2 last year but his 3YO season

has gotten off to a slow start in PA.


RACE 10 – (1) REAL LADY SADIE has been facing easier at Fhd. but she ships in off 3 straight wins, including a

really good looking 8 hole romp 2 back – with nothing particularly scary in this field, we’ll look for her to handle

the locals, as well. (6) LARJON LEAH seemed WAY overbet 3 back but she went to the top and wired the field –

she was stuck with Post 8 in her next, then parked the mile (with cover) in an amateur race last week – logical spot

to look for a good effort. (5) MISS MAYCEE shipped in for a barn clicking at incredible rates at multiple tracks and

continued to race well here too, just missing in her first 2 starts before picking up a 3rd in the amateur race last week

– maybe SHE can be the one to get Dube into the win column? (2) BROOKDALE JESSIE’s very long drought has

been well documented – she got a late driver change in last week’s amateur event (with her surprised pilot having to

wear Eric Abbatiello’s colors!), cut the mile under pressure every step of the way but STILL was able to visit the

winner’s circle for the first time since 2022 – would be pretty hard to look for her to make it 2 in a row, however! (3)

TUAPEKA JESSIE N has been struggling for a long time, but did hang around a long way after being parked last

week – maybe a small share? (8) DANDYS SHOWTIME lands all the way outside but she has come close in a few

recent starts – would still need a pretty big price to use her on top from out here. (4) SUNSET SOPH found her best

stride way too late to threaten last week – on her best, she’s capable of grabbing some small pieces. (7) ACEFOURT

YFOUR ALEX is still trying to get untracked in 2024.


RACE 11 – (2) DARIUS had a very good freshman campaign that ended with an 8 hole 4th in the NYSS Final – he

qualified back nicely, and was a good 3rd here last week in his 3YO return (behind a couple of solid horses) – may be

a good week to hop on board. (4) VICI always “figures”, almost always races very well, but his record this year now

stands at 13-1-5-4...maybe this is the week he gets back to the winner’s circle, but insist on a fair price if using on

top. (3) WHO SAID I CANT won 2 of 5 as a 2YO and did come back well at 3, winning his 3rd start (at PcD, in a

Weiss division) – could easily land somewhere on this ticket. (7) MIDNIGHT NATION sat last for WAY too long

last week, exploding home through the stretch to miss by a shrinking half length – might have been the top choice

tonight had he not drawn so poorly...would consider if the price drifts up high enough. (5) TWO FACED has been a

pretty reliable weekly performer lately, and is eligible to take home a small piece of this. (6) HEZ ALLTHE RAGE

N has ability and hails from a barn on quite a roll right now...but until he “smoothes out” a bit, he’s a little tough to

endorse on top. (1) RAYRAY has leveled off considerably after turning in a few good starts recently. (8) FANTOME

EN JOIE has been racing well for weeks but faces a daunting task tonight from out here.

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