Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • November 21, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, November 21, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) ICARUS FALLS N shipped in sharp from Monti and has maintained that form through

several local starts - she debuts tonight for a barn that has an unfathomable 67% win rate off the claim, and

we'll take a shot that they can get this one to the winner's circle as well. (3) TERACITA really loved the

class drop to the $20K level last week, a 3 length jogburger winner - loses Bartlett but gets Gingras to "fill

in", and she's clearly the main danger. (6) SWEET SANDY LOU has been a super-steady performer at this

level, but does have to deal with drawing outside her main foes tonight - may leave her having to settle for

a smaller share. (1) BLUEBIRD GRAF ships in from Ohio and it's hard to say how the 3YO filly stacks up

class-wise against these older foes - guess we'll learn more tonight. (7) VEL DONNA wasn't bad when 3rd

last week and is a decent bomb for 3rd/4th tonight. (8) OURLITTLEMIRACLE drops down from 50s after

stopping to a crawl last week - hard to know what the issue was, but she could have a hard time tonight

(even if on her best) from this outside slot. (2) ODDS ON UNICORN showed little in either local try. (5)

SUNSET SOPH arrives from NJ after showing little over there after shipping down from Canada.


RACE 2 - (3) BLUE HUNT was flat out scary in his local debut (10/17), going faster EVERY quarter on

the way to the blowout (:283, :28.2, :27.4, :27) - likely bled (as the 1/10 favorite!) at Chester in his next, but

was victorious here adding Lasix for his next start - remains the one to beat. (2) ADAM TWELVE gave the

top one a good tussle while debuting here for our leading barn - he won his next at 5 cents on the dollar,

with co-owner Gingras content to just crawl on the lead and turn it into an effortless training mile - we'll see

if he can turn the tables tonight on #3. (4) SANTANA HANOVER came up 3rd best behind the top pair in

his local debut and may be looking at the same fate for tonight. (5) HUNTING ZONE won his way out of

the NW4 class last week and catches a trip of sharp foes tonight - minor share only. (6) HUNGRY MAN is

better than his last but the outside draw will likely limit him to minor scraps for tonight, even if sharper. (1)

FOX VALLEY PATRIOT seems overmatched - not sure the rail is going to help enough.


RACE 3 - (1) DEETZY was just beastly all those weeks in 50s for his previous barn - he won off the claim

on 10/23, but was just buried (up in class) the next couple of weeks - was a solid 3rd behind 2 sharp ones in

his last, and now drops a bit while drawing the pole with Gingras - may be able to handle this assignment.

(3) SPLASH BROTHER is surely a player at this level but he does seem a bit more effective vs. a bit

cheaper - has a legitimate chance, but would avoid taking too short a price. (2) MIRAGON A may or may

not be a little cheap for these but the good draw should land him a decent trip, and that could help him land

a share in his YR debut. (4) THE REAL ONE picked up a rallying 2nd at this level 2 back and has a chance

to land somewhere on the ticket tonight if the trip goes his way. (5) CAUGHTINALANDSLIDE was

opportunistic for sure in last week's victory (benefited from a hot pace up front) but it's only because he's

sharp right now that he was able to cash in - faces tougher now, but a good trip may be enough to help him

grab a slice of this. (6) THRASHER is good right now and did super to be 2nd last week after getting really

roughed up - the poor draw is the real issue. (7) GROOVY JOE was a good 2nd vs. a standout winner last

week but tonight's draw could compromise his chances - insist on a good price if using on your tickets. (8)

SEVEN HUNDRED has compiled a solid 11-3-5-1 record here this year but this is a very tough spot.


RACE 4 - (7) SPEED MAN N was a close 3rd racing off the pace last week, and can be forgiven for being

outkicked from behind (by a sharp LUCKBEWITHALEX) - drops another peg tonight and despite the poor

draw, the classy 9YO still feels like the one to beat. (3) KASHED UP A also gets class relief in here, has

been holding his own vs. better and figures to be able to have a big say (1) KING JAMES EXPRESS threw

a dud last week but has otherwise been pretty good most weeks - can land somewhere on the ticket if able

to shrug off that last mile and bounce right back. (4) MY ULTIMATE STAR A doesn't win all that often but

he's a good fit at this level, and a live trip could see him land on the ticket...at a good price. (5) JIMMY

CONNOR B is right at home at this level but does like things to go his way - if he lands on an easy trip,

he's another with a solid chance at a good chunk. (2) CAVIART SARGENT's only recent win came vs.

cheaper but he also races well enough to grab pieces against better ones too - it'll all come down to trip. (6)

POINTOMYGRANSON has definitely been off his game recently - leaning towards other sharper rivals in

here, but could also see why folks may want to use him at that 20-1 ML price. (8) MAURIES BONUS A is

often pacing well late but he'll be trying to rally from last tonight.


RACE 5 - (3) LINE EM UP shipped back in sharp from PA and was sharp here too, finishing full of pace

for 3rd from a tough spot - she's no stranger to the Yonkers winner's circle, and she'll surely get every

chance to succeed with Joe B. back on board. (2) LOVE THAT SMILE was "sneaky sharp" here for several

starts so it's no surprise to see that she was able to ship over to Pocono and win - has to be seen as a threat

here, but the 3 weeks off are at least a small cause for concern. (1) LUCKY ARTIST A doesn't resemble the

mare that was thriving in the Matchmaker Series last spring and she drops in for a tag looking for a wake

up call - seems a little too shaky to take at a short price right now. (5) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP has been

somewhat unpredictable from week to week - if she shows up feeling good tonight, a small piece is within

reach. (8) AMINI had a couple of decent tries here this summer but has been away for 2 months and lands

all the way outside - maybe 3rd/4th? (6) WOODMERE HARRIET may be on the cheaper side and also has

only one start since 10/14 (sandwiched between a pair of sick scratches) - prefer to just observe this week.

(7) ITTY BITTY enjoyed success here a few years back but was empty in her YR return last week. (4)

CORAL BELLA feels like a field-filler in her current form.


RACE 6 - (3) VICTOR CRUISE ships in showing 3 fairly recent wins, and his new barn sent out a very

sharp winner on Monday night - willing to give the fresh face a look against the locals. (2) CENTURY INS

PECTOR moves inside after a hopeless trip from Post 8 in his last - he's a proven weekly player with this

type, but his 3 for 41 career record makes him a tough one to use on top at too short a price. (6) JOHNNY

SACK has been much better in his last few but was left with no chance last week when he sat in behind the

very slow pace - tough spot, but a good price makes him worth considering. (1) UNDER YOUR SCARS

hasn't won in a while but he's a consistent weekly player - hard to leave out of exotics starting from the

pole. (5) CLEVELAND B MIKI used a quick start last week to sit pocketed behind the 1/20 winner...and

was able to stick around for the place spot - not sure the trip will be as good tonight, though. (4) JUST ENU

FF STUFF is really struggling in his last couple and was no factor in a couple of local tries not too long

ago - before tossing him too quickly, note that he'll be making his first start for the Super Siblings tonight -

and that's an angle that can never be taken lightly. (7) LAZ has been decent here overall but the poor draw

figures to really hurt his chances tonight. (8) CHIEF CORLEONE started his Yonkers career with a 2nd

and a win, but the class jump and 8 hole may slow him down considerably this week.


RACE 7 - (1) SHINE A LIGHT has been very good from some terrible spots and now gets a class drop and

the pole - meets a couple of good ones, but still deserves the edge. (2) DOWNRIGHTDELICIOUS was

good from early on as a 2YO, winning the Springfield Stakes here as part of his $177K freshman campaign

- never did get the ball rolling as a 3YO, however, but he finally seems to be hitting on all cylinders late in

the season -- could give his older rivals in here a serious threat. (5) LUCKBEWITHALEX was a HUGE

overlay at 60-1 last week and almost pulled off the big upset - he's capable of big miles, and worth using in

exotics here (assuming he gets a solid drive). (7) VIVA LASVEGAS N kicked home full of pace to be a

close 4th last week, despite coming from a terrible spot - he's in a similar situation tonight, but still worth

considering for 3rd/4th. (4) BRAEVIEW BONDI A's last line looks good on paper but he would have won

that night had he really been "sharp"- would still consider using for a minor piece. (3) ROLLING WITH

SAM does his best work with cheaper these days - leaning towards others. (6) STATEMENT MADEA

draws poorly in a good field - wait for a better spot to consider.


RACE 8 - Good race! (5) QUARREL finished full of pace from tough spots in her only two local tries this

year - she returns off a win in NW15000 at Chester, and should be able to land on a decent trip from this

spot - definitely should offer some value in this wide open affair. (4) PURE SILKY went on a terrific form

spree earlier this year and has banked nearly $130K - she drops in for a tag tonight, and that seems like a

logical move with her 4YO allowance about to expire...legitimate threat. (1) PURAMERI picked up a solid

2nd to the favored, dropdown winner last week and draws another rail for tonight - no reason she can't be in

the mix with another good trip. (6) TRAFALGAR had been a beat in this class for weeks but just wasn't at

her best last week and weakened to 4th - we'll see if she can turn things right back around for her new crew.

(8) SALE EL SOL has been sharp for some time, and was a winner last week - will need some major trip

luck to win from out here, however. (2) TUAPEKA JESSIE N was 0 for 21 on the year heading into last

week but a move to our leading trainer resulted in an immediate victory - takes an ambitious move up to

50s, and we'll see how that works out. (3) BELLADONNA GIRL A is more than capable at this level but

she's been away for a month and catches a solid field. (7) MC ANGEL moves outside after a trio of rail

draws and that does figure to slow her down considerably.


RACE 9 - (4) WICHITA LINEMAN was sharp off the re-claim last week, charging home full of pace once

clear into the lane - the classy veteran already has 9 wins this year, and maybe able to pick up #10 tonight.

(1) ORLANDO BLUE A was a very impressive winner (at a very generous price!) returning from PcD last

week - he bumps up a notch, but a similar effort could make him a big threat here too. (5) GAMBLINGTE

RROR was a game winner over the favorite 2 back and might have been closer last week if not for stretch

traffic - good one to include in exotics. (7) STELLAR YANKEE fits with these for sure but gets another

terrible Yonkers draw - would still consider using if the price was juicy enough. (6) FROZEN HANOVER

gets stuck with another bad post and will likely be trying to rally from well back - minor share? (3) THREE

IN HEAVEN has some good Fhd. efforts but is just 1 for 16 locally this year and may need an easier field

to be a more serious threat. (2) BRAZEN BRAZILIAN has lost 48 straight Yonkers starts over the past 3

years - maybe some minor spoils with an easy enough trip? (8) GINGRAS BEACH is the outsider, both

literally and figuratively.



RACE 10 - (4) FEELIN RED HOT seems to have benefited from the month off as her qualifier looks

sharper than her last few starts - goes for a new barn now (her previous, high % trainer has disappeared

from the scene recently), and looms the one to beat in the finale. (6) PLEASURE SEEKER is normally a

big player in this class but she took NO $$ last week and was never in it - could easily rebound with a more

involved effort tonight. (3) BETTORSHIGHLIGHT N just never got in it last week but a return to any of

her better efforts would make her a big threat for a good piece. (2) LADYBELUCKYTONITE probably

wasn't all that serious racing against males last start - could be a field where she can contend for a board

spot. (5) NORMANS MADELINE hasn't been doing much in her last few starts but as noted here many

times in the past, she's always capable of a major form reversal at any time (and at any price). (7) BROOK

DALE JESSIE hasn't won a race since 2021, and lands Post 7 - sticking with others. (1) LYONS MIKI

arrives from Hawthorne and may just be a little too cheap (the 24 days off are an additional concern). (8)

ALMOST KAREN has a couple of recent Fhd. wins but she gets stuck behind the 8 ball upon arrival, and

may need to wait for a more realistic spot to make any noise.

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