Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • October 11, 2023

The Empire Report - Wednesday, October 11, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) LITTLE POWER went on the shelf in April but has been terrific since returning, and that

includes a win here 2 starts back (followed by last week's big effort in PA) - catches a soft bunch tonight,

and deserves top billing. (6) TWIN B SPEED DIAL has been doing his best work out of town with cheaper

but does have the ability to leave the gate, and a good local history (albeit for another barn) - might be able

to grab a trip, and grab a piece of this. (5) LEAVE AND ROLL has a long streak of hitting the board, but no

recent wins....both streaks may continue tonight. (2) MINGO JOEL really hasn't been close to his best in

some time but draws well in a soft field and this would be as good a spot as any for a bit of a wake up call -

willing to throw in underneath. (3) HES GONNA GETYA is usually his own worst enemy, lagging way too

long to make any late impact - maybe he can do a bit better against this crew? (1) CAVIART VAL is listed

as the ML favorite but has been terrible in both starts since the recent claim - hard to endorse at a short

price. (8) READY TO RUMBLE N will probably be able to use his speed to grab an up close trip, even

from Post 8 - not sure how well he can last at the end, however. (7) VEL MR NICE GUY picked up a 3rd

two back then really wasn't bad last week - may be in for a tough trip from out here, however.


RACE 2 - (6) SELENA DEO qualified back nicely after a sick scratch then rallied well for 3rd at PcD last

start - she makes her YR debut for a very live barn, and figures to be handled more aggressively with

Kakaley at the lines - wouldn't take too short a price, though. (7) I CANT REFUSE has 6 wins this year,

even if primarily racing at the PA fairs - she's prone to miscues, but that last qualifier is probably good

enough to beat these...definitely worth using if the price is fair. (2) NEWTOWNS BLACKGOLD was

actually in a good spot when he made a miscue in his only local try - he's behaved in his last 3 starts, and

could be a threat here if he continues to mind his manners. (1) LITTLE MISS YANKEE does have a couple

of recent wins out of town and gets a new barn and driver for her YR debut - would hardly be a shock. (3)

BAR KEEP DE VIE is just 1 for 25 but he stays trotting, and could benefit if a few of the main players do

jump it off (5) SQUABLE was a decent 2nd last week but remains very difficult to ever consider on top

with his 1 for 72 career slate. (4) FOX HOLE ships in off a pair of Monti wins but may just be a little

cheaper than these.


RACE 3 - (3) TOATSMYGOATS may have gotten run down by a sharp foe last week but he beat the

others by 10 lengths - his barn is red hot right now, and he should be able to hit the top and never look back

(1) DESIRES CAPTAIN drops down to 15s, draws the pole in a weak field and may be able to complete

the exacta and maybe the main danger?) (5) MARINER SEELSTER showed there's still enough life in his

14YO legs to pick up a win 2 back, but his last effort was disappointing (even though he miraculously held

3rd) - still looks better than most of these, however. (2) FULLBACK threw a surprisingly good effort 2

back but reverted quickly to his lesser form last week - which version will we see tonight? (4) SEAFARER

doesn't look quite as dangerous on the track lately but he's also not racing very well - suppose a wake up

call could come at any time, but hard to count on it. (6) OURRHYTHMNBLUES N had no excuse not to

be 3rd last week and it just feels like he's gone in the wrong direction. (7) LETTUCERIPRITA A won a

"fall apart" race 2 back but was doing nothing prior to that, and was invisible again last week.


RACE 4 - (3) DEVILISH HILL has been racing primarily in stakes events but the last time he raced in an

overnight (here at Yonkers, on 7/20), he beat this class by 6 lengths in a snappy 1:55.2 - figures to be a very

short priced favorite tonight! (5) HEADOVERBOOTS AS finally picked up his first win of the season last

start (he was 0 for 20, with 11 seconds!), and now finally re-appears 4 weeks later in a new (top) barn - the

guess is that he'll be ready...and he's certainly very good at completing exactas! (6) FIVE FISH SPECIES

has never been off the board at YR (8-2-3-3) and while this isn't the best of spots, she may still find a way

to keep her streak alive. (4) SHOPPING IN PARIS has also hit board in all her local starts (5-2-3-0) and the

right trip could see her grab another big piece tonight. (1) ALLSUMMERLONG AS has ability when on

her best game but she broke on 9/20 then was scratched sick from her next - hard to know what to expect

from her tonight. (2) BEACON BEACH did win his last but it's nothing to really "brag" about when

SQUABLE is the runner-up - faces tougher here, and we'll see if he's up for it. (7) LIVINGONTHERAIL is

the outsider, both literally and figuratively.


RACE 5 - Good race: (3) CALDERONE showed plenty of promise earlier in the year - he endured a rough

patch but is back clicking again, and the brush he used in last week's victory was certainly impressive -

faces (much) better now, but should offer some good value in a race that can go several different ways. (1)

WILD BILL KELSO has banked $230K at 2 and 3, including a recent 2nd right here in the NYSS Final (in

a fast mile) - he's clearly the one to beat, but he's 0 for 5 at Yonkers and did lose to the (massively form

reversing) BAR COINS back in early July- could be a bit vulnerable at a very short price (8) LAVA FIELD

shipped in with a 3 race winning streak and was able to extend it to 4 with a sharp wire to wire score - loses

Bartlett tonight (while drawing Post 8) but that also means a much better price - possible! (2) BAR COINS,

as mentioned, did beat #1 in July when he joined his current barn and improved about 15 lengths in that

first start- his form since then has been a little mixed, but he finished right behind LAVA FIELD last week,

and almost knocked off the talented HERODOTUS 3 back - absolutely worth a look. (5) PAPA DOC put in

a nice move to brush to command in his last but started to pace on the final turn, eventually leaving the

course as Dube tried to get him back trotting - re-qualified super, gets Brennan, and a big price makes him

worth considering. (7) YOU GOT IT usually finishes well but he'll be coming from way back and is 0 for

12 on the season. (4) KINGPIN HANOVER isn't a bad sort but he does catch a stacked NW6 field tonight -

wait for a softer spot. (6) TIMONIER broke in his local debut and seems buried for tonight.


RACE 6 - (2) TWIN B ALLURE doesn't have the most appealing lines but she did win here on 7/22 and

does move to a barn that routinely improves fresh stock by many lengths - guessing Bongiorno will have

her on the lead, and hard to catch. (5) FRONDEUR is a solid player almost every week but she 's 0 for 16

on the year and listed as the ML favorite - seems better used underneath, than on top. (7) MARATHON

MARY has finally started to relax during the mile and has been getting MUCH better results - not sure she

can reach from out here, but she's certainly sharp enough to make some noise IF the trip works out. (6) LU

LU ROCKS is actually pretty good right now, but may find herself too far back as they turn for home -

would at least consider if the price gets juicy enough. (4) TARGARYEN EMPRESS usually makes her

presence felt but has been settling for smaller pieces - probably more of the same tonight. (1) RIVER OF

FEAR was a winner last week, but primarily because the 1/20 favorite just quit on the lead - would be a bit

of a surprise to see her have that same success tonight. (3) ANNELIESE HANOVER throws a good one

here and there, but struggles way too often to ever back with any confidence.


RACE 7 - (7) TREACHEROUS PENNY crushed on the lead 2 back then roared home to jog from off the

pace in her last - she certainly is the sharpest of an otherwise well matched bunch, but will also be a short

price from Post 7...probably not one to bet the rent money on, though clearly deserving of top billing. (2)

HALLELUJAH HANOVER had a couple of rough starts out of town but bounced right back in her YR

return, a jogburger winner last week - she's an outstanding 10-6-3-0 locally, and worthy of lots of respect

here. (1) LIGHT AND TIGHT won an Excelsior A race here in August, then came up 2nd best to the top

choice in her last - draws the pole, and should be a big part of the action. (3) CAPTAINS STAR gave it a

good try from Post 7 last week, racing off the layoff - she showed ability here earlier this year, and could be

even sharper tonight - maybe she can add some value to the exotics? (4) EXTREME Z TAM surprisingly

took ALL the $$ last week, was handled ultra-aggressively by Lachance and was able to come out on top,

despite almost blowing the final turn - may be able to rally for a piece against these. (5) PROUD MARY

earned $146K at 2 but had a somewhat less productive year at 3 ($64K, so far) - she does fit with these, but

may be overbet in a very competitive race. (6) JUST ROSAS LUCK was racing well every week prior to a

dud in her last - could rebound, but a tough post even if on her best.


RACE 8 - (2) WILD WAY was handled conservatively in his local debut then finished full of trot to be a

close 2nd - lost all chance with an early miscue in his last, but willing to give him another chance... if the

price is fair. (7) ROSE RUN YANKEE was used very hard to make the lead last week so it wasn't all that

surprising that he made a break later on - Holland may go very conservative here, but this guy is better than

most (all?) of these, and still worth considering at a juicy price. (3) DIAMANTE TRIO IT seemed like a

pretty solid favorite heading into last week but never really grabbed the bit (at 1/5!) and disappointed his

backers - chance to make amends for sure, but be careful if he ends up way overbet again. (5) FLARES ZI

VA wasn't overly impressive in her starts here this summer - she seems to have improved recently at PcD

(for a new barn), but would still hesitate to take a short price in her YR return. (4) WISTERIA HANOVER

seemed to really be sharpening but the last starts saw her head in the other direction- leaning towards others

at the moment. (1) GOTTA HABIT was a weekly player in the NW2 class but really just "ok" - may have a

tough time s. some of these somewhat better rivals. (6) STRONGERWITHLINDY is just 3 for 49 but does

have a bunch of 2nds and 3rds - ok for a minor share if spreading in exotics.


RACE 9 - (6) DONTKARENIFIDO shipped in sharp from "The Aces", worked out a two hole trip behind

the favorite and blew right on by once into the lane - had the class opened up to keep her eligible and while

she does draw outside her main foe tonight, we'll still giver her the edge. (4) CANNERY ROW came up

2nd best in her first try for the Super Siblings then was the runner up again last week, this time to the top

choice - we'll see if the post edge is enough to help her reverse that decision. (7) COSTA DIVA (a 2YO

filly) was 2nd best when well backed in her career debut at Pocono, then finished 2nd in her last start at

Tioga (a Reynolds division) - clearly there is ability here, but she's a also a 2YO starting from Post 7

against older foes, and that 2-1 ML price will probably result in her being overbet. (5) DUCK INTO THE

NITE wasn't bad in her first local try, came up terrible the next week but was a decent 3rd in her last -

maybe she can beat out the others for 3rd? (8) SWEET CHEDDAR feels like she's improving, but may

have a tough time finding her way into the hunt from out here. (1) PINE BUSH MAGA, (2) BOSTON CRE

ME, and (3) EDITORS CHOICE all draw inside but ALL have struggled here at Yonkers - we'll see if any

of them can capitalize at all on the draw.


RACE 10 - Almost impossible to zero in on anybody in this finale! (6) THE BEST TYME EVER doesn't

exactly have stellar lines but he goes for the 2nd time for our leading trainer, 2nd time Lasix, and is listed at

20-1 ML - as good a stab as any in here. (2) DAVIDS COMING HOME has some recent Tioga form that

would make him a real player with this bunch...but note that he's winless here over the last 2 years (27

starts). (1) MAJESTIC KIWI N doesn't have much form these days but he does have the rail in a very

shaky field...giving him at least a chance. (7) EDDARD HANOVER beat cheaper at PcD 2 back but that's

his only win in 28 starts - he's 0 for 14 here this year, and just 2 for 40 over the last 2 seasons. (5) ZIGGY

SKY is 0 for 18 this year but did hit board in 4 of 9 local tries - no better or worse than any of the others.

(4) CAMPORA N showed surprise speed for his new barn last week but crawled home - Brennan bails, and

that's probably not a good sign. (3) SNAP CALL is winless in 25 local starts with just one 2nd - hard to

endorse, even with a switch to Bongiorno. (8) SURFER BEACH is 1 for 19 on the year and draws all the

way outside upon arrival from Monti.

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