Friday Empire Report

soaofny • November 8, 2024

The Empire Report – Friday, November 8, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (8) ATREACHEROUS A may be worth a stab in tonight’s opener – her current lines don’t exactly

scream “BET ME”, but she does have several excuses, and was holding her own with better not long ago – she

moves to our leading trainer for tonight, and Bartlett opts off the three inside horses to drive her...maybe she can

blast right off the car? (3) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP was hurt by poor cover last week but still kicked home strong in

the lane for 2nd – she drops another notch, and could be a very live player. (5) MILLWOOD BONNIE N hasn’t

found her top form since returning from the layoff, but she hasn’t been terrible either – could be a threat tonight,

though hard to endorse on top at that 2-1 ML price. (6) TRUE BLUE HANOVER finished 2nd off the class drop last

week but was just “okay” – she gets a tough draw for tonight, and will need to come up sharper to beat these. (1)

BADDITUDE lacked a 2nd move after a quick start from Post 8 last week – moves all the way inside, and a small

slice is within reach. (2) PARADISE ROCK L is nowhere near her best form, but is probably good enough for a

chance at a minor piece - with an easy trip. (4) SHAKE ME LOOSE has been sharp at Btva. but may be a notch

below some of the top ones in here– leaning elsewhere (7) HUNTING LINDY moves outside after a weak try from

Post 2 last week.


RACE 2 – (2) ALL STAR SWAN hinted at ability at times after arriving here in September but that last effort was

definitely her best – Yannick is back to drive again tonight, and this mare may finally be ready to visit the winner’s

circle. (1) B NICKING was 2nd and 3rd in his last pair but he’s definitely not at his “best” right now – certainly has to

be respected from this spot, but he also figures to be overbet. (8) BLACK TIE BASH has done some good work here

in the past and rallied nicely for 3rd (in PA) last week returning from Canada – he does have appeal at that 20-1 ML

price. (4) LOS BALLYKEELAMIGO hasn’t left the gate in a while but Siegelman may at least try to be a bit more

aggressive tonight – he’s been “ok”, and worth considering for exotics. (3) VALI HANOVER hasn’t come close to

replicating his 2023 season this year, but this is a spot where he can contend for a piece...with a good trip. (5) FOR

A DREAMER hasn’t won in a while and that probably won’t change tonight – he’s another that COULD grab a

piece, with the right trip. (7) ATTA GIRL DANI was close in her last pair but one level down, and from better posts

– may have some trouble reaching (Post 7, up in class). (6) TOWN VICTOR struggled a bit at this level last week.


RACE 3 – (1) CREATIVE VENTURE drops to the bottom level, and moves to the rail after a trio of 8 holes – hard

to go past tonight! (5) THE LAST CHAPTER was off almost 3 months to his last and almost pulled off the front end

score – could be tighter tonight, and has to be respected. (3) STRONGERWITHLINDY failed to respond to some

class relief in his last few starts here but did perk up a bit in his last at PcD – if he can build off that, he can grab a

good piece here. (7) HUSTLENOMICS was a close 2nd here on 9/13 (returning from Ohio) but broke in his next –

raced ok in PA the last 4 weeks and fits very nicely with these...but will need to overcome the terrible draw. (4) REI

GN OF HONOR was an ok 4th arriving from Stga. – possibility for exotics. (2) BAZILLIONAIRE is one of the most

camera shy horses ever to race here, but he does grab some minor pieces at times – maybe 3rd/4th? (6) CINCINNATI

HELP won 3 of 6 here last year but facing easier – his recent PA form is mixed, he draws poorly, and just may be a

little cheaper than a few others. (8) DRACO is just 1 for 31 this year and has to contend with Post 8.


RACE 4 – MGM Grand Prix Trotting Series, Leg #3, 1 1/16th miles: (1) ITS ACADEMIC quarter moved to

command last week and was the easiest of winners, making it 2 for 2 in the series – remains the one to knock off,

though another very short price looming. (6) ARI FERRARI J figured to be the main danger to #1 last time and he

was – but he started to get rough as soon as Bartlett popped the plugs in the lane last week, and never smoothed out

enough to take any kind of shot at the winner – he remains the one with the best chance at the upset. (5) BESTFRIE

ND VOLO weakened a bit after a good trip last week but it was certainly light years better than his effort in the

Breeders Crown, the start before – may be able to stick around a little better tonight. (2) MISSISSIPPI STORM was

very good for a long stretch but it feels like he may be tailing a bit – needs to be better if he hopes to contend for a

decent chunk. (4) GHOSTLY CASPER picked up a 3rd in the first leg and was 4th last week – really been just “ok”

since arriving from Canada, and another that needs to up his game a bit. (3) DIAMANTE TRIO IT was super for

most of the year but hasn’t been on her game in a while – prefer others right now.


RACE 5 – (2) TWO PISTOL ANNIE hasn’t won in her 4 starts since arriving from “The Aces” but she’s been even

sharper than her lines might suggest, and her last effort was super – gets top billing with the move inside. (1) NIKA

SA N feels like she MAY be leveling off a bit but she’s looking at a very good trip here, and has a solid chance to

land somewhere on the ticket. (6) IDEAL COVER had an outstanding form spree not long ago but does seem to

have crashed back to earth just a bit – we’ll see if tonight’s class drop is enough to help her find a better effort. (8)

WASTED ON YOU shows some impressive efforts in the Midwest but she’s a 3YO filly looking to take on older

mares (from Post 8!) and we’ll see if she’s up for the task in her Yonkers debut. (3) CELCIUS raced well in all 3

local starts but vs. much softer – she’s another 3YO taking on older here, but at least she gets a decent draw. (5) CEL

IA B MONEY has her moments but her best work has come vs. considerably easier. (7) SALE EL SOL is looking at

a tough trip from this spot – we’ll wait for her to get a class drop next week (and hopefully better draw). (4) APRIL

AVA seems a bit overmatched.


RACE 6 - MGM Grand Prix Trotting Series, Leg #3, 1 1/16th miles: (5) TAKE ALL COMERS was a solid 2nd to

ITS ACADEMIC in the first leg, then a sharp front end winner last week – we were on board his team last start, and

we’ll stick with him tonight. (7) PAPPARDELLE got parked every step in the first leg and still lost by only half a

length– he raced from off the pace in Leg #2, and found his stride a little too late to grab 3rd– the 1/16th mile distance

may allow him to leave tonight and find a good early spot...which could help him have a bigger say. (2) CHAPERC

RAZE was a winner in the first leg but wasn’t overly sharp – was just “ok” winning an overnight in his next, and a

no threat 2nd behind #5 last week – he’s way too talented to ever ignore, but he MAY be a bit off his best game right

now, and possibly vulnerable at that 8/5 ML price. (3) TACTICAL MOUNDS broke at the start last week, made up

ground to catch the pack by turn two and was trotting ok at the wire, even if no threat – she could add some value to

the exotics with some trip luck. (4) DELAYED HANOVER was no factor at all the first leg but got a good trip last

week and was a solid 3rd– a similar effort puts him in play for another small share. (6) GAINES HANOVER seemed

to steer better last week and held well for 3rd after a tough first over trip – he may end up compromised by tonight’s

draw, though. (1) TACHYON would need a major form reversal to be a player here.


RACE 7 – (1) LADY NEWTON picked up a win and a 2nd vs. similar here in late September but then was stuck

with a trio of bad posts vs. much better – drops back to the basement, draws the pole, and looms a very live player

from this spot. (3) SUNBURNT picked up a couple of ok 4ths after missing 4+ months – was in a no-prayer spot last

week but gets both post and class relief here, and may be ready to bring a better effort – possibility. (2) TEAM COL

ORS wasn’t bad 2 back off the barn change, facing better – she was well backed last week but weakened after an

aggressive steer...maybe she can bounce back tonight with a more conservative trip? (6) LOOKOVERYOUR was

holding her own vs. better for several weeks recently – she was a close 3rd in her last (dropping back down to this

bottom level), and the only real knock here is the draw – couldn’t blame anybody for using here at a good price. (7)

BEE OKAY A will attract some attention off the barn change but she’s struggled in way too many of her starts this

year to consider at any kind of short-ish price tonight. (5) CATIE FAYE HANOVER has picked up her share of

smaller pieces here the last few years but hasn’t found the winner’s circle – guessing that streak will continue. (4)

ROCKNROLL ANNIE finished poorly in her last couple and is 1 for 27 this year. (8) WOODMERE HARRIET has

just 1 win and one 2nd from her 23 starts this year, and lands all the way outside for her Yonkers return.


RACE 8 – Tough race: (2) BEERTHIRTY K hasn’t missed a check in ages and comes off a game effort last start,

forced to make a long first over bid and still right there 4th on the wire – could pull off the upset here if the trip goes

his way. (1) SEVENSHADESOFGREY briefly gapped off turn three last week but was actually trotting pretty well

at the end – he’s been pretty inconsistent lately, but he did grab a win 4 back and any of his better efforts would give

him a real chance here. (7) QUEEN OF ALL fits very well with these but is stuck with a terrible post – if she gets

some trip luck, she’s another with a chance at the upset. (5) CRAZYLAND has been plagued by some inconsistency

lately, but he’s held his own with better on several occasions – would be willing to consider if the price is good

enough. (6) YANKS DUGOUT never got involved last week after hitting board in his prior 3 starts – he’s another

that would be tough here on his best effort, but he just hasn’t been at that level in a while – not a fan at that 3-1 ML

price. (8) ROYALTY BEER tried to cut the mile all 3 times since returning from Canada and he’s fallen apart at the

end each time – hard to make a strong case for him starting from Post 8 tonight. (3) HOOLIE N HECTOR has had a

rough year, winning only 2 of 28 starts – minor share only. (4) FULL RIGHTS could use some class relief.


RACE 9 – (1) EASY TO PLEASE has found some consistency late in the year and is as good right now as she’s

been in a long time – she handles any trip, and could be worth a play tonight. (3) DRAGONS LUCKY LADY was

sharp all the way last week but was stuck chasing GOLDEN QUEST N, who was just a little sharper – can be a big

player once more. (4) GOLDEN QUEST N was well backed off the class drop last week, made the top and was a

very sharp front end winner – certainly a license to take another, but she has a new listed trainer for tonight, and

we’ll see if that affects her performance in any way. (6) DOUGS BABE a got away cleanly last week in 3rd, pulled

first over to 3/4s but was just “ok” for the show spot – she figures to be at a trip disadvantage vs. her main rivals,

and that could leave her looking at a smaller share. (8) LLOYDS LOVES is having an amazing season but she threw

her first dud last week, and now draws Post 8 tonight off 3 weeks, while debuting for a new barn – feels a bit risky.

(5) LUCKY ARTIST A has been a little tough to predict lately – the classy 11YO can never be counted out

completely, but others in here seem more appealing at the moment. (2) TALENT TO SPARE A probably needs to be

in a bit easier to be a serious threat. (7) AINTHESAMEWITHOUTU draws Post 7 for her first start since 7/26 and

we’re inclined to just observe, for now.


RACE 10 – (2) AQUARIUS FACE S shows a dull qualifier and “no factor” start in NJ but the recent import earned

nearly $250K overseas, and his connections have had plenty of success with these types – good draw and Bartlett

tonight, and maybe worth a play in the finale. (1) SAINT K was heavily backed (in this class) arriving from The

Meadows and delivered the front end score – he made a break at Chester last week, but figures to be very dangerous

tonight IF he minds his manners. (5) MOHATU AS qualified back nicely after 3 months off and showed ability at

times in the past – could grab a piece in his first start back. (4) WARRIOR ONE has earned over 3/4s of a million

dollars but he’s definitely well off his game at the moment – he can perk up at any time, but seems vulnerable at a

short price right now. (8) RODEO HILL is a good fit with these but at an obvious disadvantage from Post 8 – may

still be able to grab a piece. (3) BARRY BLACK gets a good draw and may end up with a good trip – he just seems

to need a bit easier at the moment. (6) ANDOVER CONTESSA has some ok current form out of town but may need

to be in a little easier to be a serious threat. (7) PERRON draws poorly and is 1 for 30 this year – wait for an easier

spot.

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