Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • October 25, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, October 25, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) HEZA REAL DIAMOND got off to a terrible start upon arrival last week, was stuck in the

back most of the way but did finish with good energy at the very end - he can be a much bigger threat with

a better trip tonight, and is one of several with a legitimate chance to take tonight's very competitive opener

(1) LOUIE THE HORSE N is definitely off his best form but he's in cheap enough that he can be a major

player here, especially with the rail draw...just don't take too short a price if using him on top. (6) BARON

MICHAEL is sharper than his lines look - he lands in another terrible spot but he'll be a big price, and isn't

a bad one for longshot fans. (3) DELIGHTFUL TERROR is another that's off his top form, but he did show

some better life last week and gets both post and class relief - very eligible to have a wake up call tonight,

but also likely to be overbet. (4) WATERWAY was having a very solid year before hitting a rough patch in

September....his last was better, so perhaps he's ready to start heading back in the right direction - possible.

(5) ADAM CROCKER A was well backed at Chester for his 2nd U.S. start, handled aggressively to make

the lead but got shuffled behind a tired foe on the final turn and lost any chance - it's hard to say what he

did have in the tank, but we'll learn more tonight. (8) ALEX TYE failed on the front end in his last pair -

does drop, but hard to like his chances from out here. (7) WHITE BELLY arrives from Ohio and just looks

a bit cheaper than these (and draws Post 7).


RACE 2 - (5) NAUTICAL HANOVER has been tackling stakes company all season - he only has THREE

overnight starts, and he came out on top all three times...we'll look for him to make it 4 for 4. (1) DRAGON

CITY was much improved in his 2nd local start and even better in his last - draws best, and is a prime

candidate to land on the ticket. (6) TWIN B DELUXE is 3-2-0-1 here this year including a sharp Post 7

victory on 7/5 - he was a legitimate NYSS player all summer long, and can be close at the end IF he lands

on a manageable trip. (7) DP REALORDEAL is 5-3-2-0 since arriving at Yonkers with the 2 losses coming

to the fire-breathing BB LUCKY BOY - the obvious knocks here are the draw and the tougher competition

this week...and both are real concerns. (3) DYNOMITES PEAK had a rough 3YO campaign in Canada -

lands in a barn that figures to improve him, but still seems to be in a little steep tonight. (4) BAY BRUTE

started the year 0 for 15 before winning his last 4 at the Maine Fairs - has to prove he can hang with these.

(2) FORREST BLU had a very promising 2YO season but has been a bust (so far) at 3 (9-0-0-1) -- prefer

others right now.


RACE 3 - (5) COALITION HANOVER isn't all that reliable and sports a 1 for 17 career slate at YR....but

he was very good last week (in a quick mile) and will be tough tonight if he can match that effort...wouldn't

take a very short price, though! (2) BETTER B SWIFT has been finishing with good pace more often than

not from a lot of tough recent spots - gets post relief here, and a live trip could make him a dangerous late

threat. (3) SANTAFES COACH is another that can be pretty unreliable, but his "best" effort would make

him a legitimate player - that 15-1 ML price makes him worth a look. (1) ROCKIN JUKEBOX picked up a

3rd last week and that's the best finish he's been able to manage in his 4 starts at this level - suppose he's a

player here by default, but he's almost certain to be overbet for a barn currently at 1 for 73 this year. (4)

HEAVENLY SOUND does have 4 local wins this year, and becomes a bigger threat when he can hit the

front end - would consider if the price was good enough. (8) SOUTHWIND MOROCCAN is as good as

any of these but he draws post 8, is just 1 for 18 this year and 1 for 40 locally over the past 2 years! (7)

TOM ME GUN N will probably wake up and win at this level one of these weeks....but it's hard to make

the case that tonight is that night. (6) GLENGARRY KNIGHT N was ridiculously overbet last week and

came up with yet another dud - another waiting for that wake up call that never seems to come.


RACE 4 - (5) SUPERVISETHEMOMENT shows a series of sharp speed tries up North (over the half) for

low % connections - ships down to one of the leading barns, gets Brennan on board, and is listed at 7-1 ML

- definitely worth a play. (3) BETTER ROLL ON A made his local (and U.S.) debut a winning one, then

was a close 2nd best the next week to the hot DP REALORDEAL -- figures to be very tough here, once

again. (2) HUNTSVILLE PLACE paced a sharp :27 third panel battling the leader/winner last week and

can be excused for tiring a bit in the lane - he fits nicely here, and an easier trip can put him much closer at

the end. (4) EXOTIC SAND has been a steady player at this level for weeks, though his only win was when

he placed first (via DQ) - leaning to others for the top spot, but still wouldn't be all that surprised if he made

it to the winner's circle. (1) COLD CREEK FELIPE took 3 weeks off after folding up badly in his last -

even if he comes back 100%, he still may be a notch below a few of the top ones. (6) WHISKEY BREAK

has been better in his last couple of starts but he steps up to NW4 tonight after not coming close to beating

NW2 - minor share only. (8) SPORTS ADVISOR was no factor at all from a similar spot in his local debut

- hard to make a case for him tonight. (7) DOCTOR BB arrives from PcD and just looks a little cheaper.


RACE 5 - (6) ALWAYS WATCHING ships in from Stga. in fine form, would seem to fit with these and

gets a big switch to our leading driver - we'll give her the narrow edge in her Hilltop debut. (7) PURE COT

TON found room a little too late last week or she might have reversed that nose loss - she can hold her own

with better than these, and looms a very dangerous threat...even from Post 7. (2) NUTTINBUTTHEBEST

got a little tired after cutting the mile 2 back, then raced from Post 8 (off a month) in her last - drops in for a

tag, moves inside, and may be sitting on a big mile for tonight. (3) TOBAGO TIME has been pretty

consistent since joining her current barn, though her only recent win came vs. easier - good one to include

underneath in exotics. (5) SO FIA LOLITA raced very well last time, losing by a nose to a mare that came

back to race very well in her next - the concern here is that she's stepping up to take on tough older mares

tonight....and we'll have to see how she handles that assignment. (1) BOTTOMOFTHENINTH made a

good impression in her YR debut, finishing crisply through the lane to rally up for a close 2nd - this is a

much tougher field, however, so we'll see if she can be as effective against these. (4) SHEIKH YABOOTY

N was scratched sick from her last and comes into tonight having missed 3 weeks - leaning towards others

here. (8) ALWAYS B MIMI held her own nicely vs. better after moving way up from the bottom levels -

she drops a bit for tonight, but the terrible draw will be hard to overcome.


RACE 6 - (2) ALTA BLUES A wasn't quite hitting on all cylinders after arriving from Australia this spring

- hit a low point with a break here on 9/26 but found his form right after that at Fhd., finishing 2nd (by a

nose) the next start, followed by a blowout win last week - seems ready to start doing some damage here

and we'll give him top billing...but don't go overboard at what may be a short price. (5) GINGRAS BEACH

was a nice 2nd from Post 7 last week in a very fast mile for that night - he fits very nicely with these, and

figures to make his presence felt in a big way. (3) CAMPORA N is winless here in 13 starts this year but

has faced better, and his current form isn't bad at all - legitimate player, (1) SIMPLE KINDA MAN has

raced well here in the past but came up disappointing in his YR return last week - goes for a new barn

tonight, draws best and we'll see if he can find one of his better efforts. (8) BOBCAT BAY looped right to

the lead last week (at 25-1), yielded, then finished well to be 2nd - maybe he can try that again from Post 8,

at another big price? (6) ROCKINMYSHOE improved in his 2nd local try, and was solid the next week as

well - tough draw here, but would certainly use for 3rd/4th at a nice price. (7) WAR DAN DELIGHT N was

totally blocked in the lane last week or he could have been closer - that being said, he lands in a very tough

spot for tonight, and is just 1 for 63 over the past 2 years (0 for 44 here at Yonkers) - another possible bomb

for a minor piece. (4) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER has been better lately and had a tough trip last week - he's

being listed on the bottom but a good trip could see him grab a minor share.


RACE 7 - (1) CLEVER CHARACTER shipped down from Canada (to an excellent barn) showing some

strong lines but just came up terrible in his local debut - he was racing off a bad date that night, and the fact

that his connections drop him right back in the box suggests that he may be ready for a much more serious

try tonight - one of several possibilities in here. (4) SOHO LENNON A was really helped by scratches and

a couple of main rivals just not racing well in last week's easy victory - that being said, it would hardly be a

surprise to see the classy 12YO come right back and take another. (2) PASS A GRILLEBEACH was a very

game first over 3rd in his return to Yonkers last week - draws inside, and retains the services of a young

driver who has really penetrated his way right into our top driving colony this year. (6) MICKY GEE N was

struggling this year before going on the shelf for several months - he's actually looked pretty good since

returning recently, and seems headed in the right direction - chance to show up late if the pace gets

contested a bit. (5) MOHAWK WARRIOR does his best work with easier, but there's a chance he could just

save ground from this spot and pick up a small share. (3) ROCKATHON hasn't been on his game lately,

throwing a few duds while running out and making breaks - he's eligible to just reverse form at any time,

though, so at least look for a good price if you think tonight might be his night to turn things around. (7)

LUCIANO N is one of the few horses from this barn that is NOT clicking right now - Post 7 seems an

unlikely spot for him to just reverse course and deliver a big effort. (8) PADUKA N comes off a very nice

win last week, but that was vs. easier and helped greatly by a stopping leader - Post 8 figures to make it

hard for him to get involved this week.


RACE 8 - (4) LOUS SWEETREVENGE beat a NW30000 field with Bartlett on 8/8 - the pair were

reunited last week and this guy paced a third quarter in an eye popping :26.3 to go by the leader, before

pacing home in :27.3 to seal it - moves up in class, but remains the one to knock off. (3) IMSTAYNALIVE

has good pace finishing from an impossible spot last week after a pair of 2nds (behind nice horses) in the

two starts prior - absolutely worth using in exotics at that 12-1 ML price. (1) AMERICANLIGHTNINGN

didn't lift a hoof the last 2 weeks but he's 7 for 15 at YR this year, draws the pole, and just may come up

with a different kind of effort this week - the tote board may offer some guidance. (5) ODDS ON OSIRIS

had a disappointing 4YO campaign and wasn't doing much better at 5 -- his form did start to turn around

after a barn change in September, and it's hard to say how well he'll fit here....the guess is that he'll be a part

of the action in his YR debut. (2) BILL HALEY N was away for 4+ months and can be forgiven for tiring

in the 1:49.4 mile he caught in his PcD return - another that may be worth checking the tote board for. (6)

VELOCITY KOMODO figures to be coming from too far back to do any serious damage here, but a minor

piece could be within reach. Both (7) GENIUS MAN and (8) TELL THEM LOU are pretty good right now,

but neither figures to be close enough to be serious contenders this week.


RACE 9 - Tough race! (6) HEAVENISSOFARAWAY returns from Pocono and her recent form is solid -

she's had some success here in the past, figures to be a pretty good price, and she's worth considering in a

field with plenty of contenders, but no real standouts. (4) CHUPPAH ON has 3 starts since dropping down

to this level....one win, and a pair of close 4ths from Posts 7 and 8 -- logical threat with the good starting

spot. (1) CALLMEQUEENBEE A couldn't sustain her first over bid last week but she picks up Bartlett

tonight, draws the pole, and may land on an easier trip - possibility. (2) LAURIE LEE "figures" every

week, almost always gets overbet but has only win to show for it in recent starts - can't dismiss her chances

here, but there's almost certainly going to be others offering better value. (5) LOOKATMYART is a terrific

18-4-6-2 at Yonkers this year - her 43-1 price from Post 8 last week gave a strong indication that she wasn't

going to be too serious, but she gets post relief for tonight and may have a different approach - check the

tote board for clues. (3) ASHTINI has been in a good groove, picking up a trio of 3rd place finishes - make

sure to include her for 3rd/4th on your tickets. (7) ENGLISH ROSE N isn't bad right now, but faces a tall

task trying to reach from out here....and (8) POPPY DRAYTON N is in the exact same predicament!

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