Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • August 10, 2021

The Empire Report - Tuesday, August 10, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (6) QUICK ASA TRICK N shows a couple of recent wins for low profile connections and now

moves to a trainer that can usually take horses from TOP trainers, and improve them dramatically in no

time at all - pretty automatic selection, but don't think the price will be anything close to those 9-1 ML odds

(2) GOTHIC ROCK was a winner for a new trainer last start despite being away for 39 days - he shows 12

wins over the past 2 years, and should fit nicely with the locals - legitimate player. (3) ALLGONOWHOA

hasn't done much in his last couple for the Super Siblings, and his $100K in career earnings suggests he's

never been all that "classy' - would probably ignore from most any other barn, but this team merits at least a

look with anything they send behind the gate. (8) BANK SEA is a tough call - was reclaimed on 5/7 but

then went on the shelf for 3 months, and returns at a level below the claim price - inclined to pass from Post

8, but will at least take a peek at the tote board, for some clues. (1) GRAND PRIORITY doesn't seem all

that sharp right now but the rail draw at least gives him a shot to stick close and take home a piece. (5)

MISTER HAT has been mostly even going (for small pieces) in NJ lately - will need to step up his game to

be a more serious threat tonight. (7) WHATSTROUBLNUROCKY is just 2 for 52 over the last 2 years and

draws Post 7 - at least wait for a better spot before considering. (4) ROCK ON PRECIOUS went on the

shelf off a couple of weak efforts and his return qualifier doesn't look any more promising - pass for now.


RACE 2 - (3) SIMON SAYS HANOVER was a very impressive winner in his only try here at this level

(6/15), then followed that up with a couple of solid efforts in the Messenger Elim. and Final - no prayer in

his last 2 at The Swamp (stuck in the back on sloppy tracks), but should perk right up back against these

tonight. (4) IDEAL ARTILLERY was a big overlay in that win 2 back, then finished with good pace behind

a classy trio in last - can grab another good piece tonight. (2) BETTOR AT HIGHTIDE had a new trainer

listed last week and promptly delivered his best local mile to date, beating a couple of nice foes - no reason

he can't be in the hunt tonight as well. (5) GUMPTION has been ok vs. good older claimers and should fit

just fine with these - hard to predict his trip, though (does reunite with Bartlett, who guided him to victory 3

back). (1) GET LIT was hurt by a gapper in his local debut but wasn't that sharp anyway - may do better

here with an easy trip from the pole. (6) MANKAT is shipping in off a pair of tiring efforts in PA - would

have given him more consideration when he was sharper, a few starts back (will just watch, for tonight).


RACE 3 - (4) SOLID ALIBI has had plenty of chances in this class but keeps coming a bit short at the end

(6-0-1-4) - he has to be seen as the one to beat just because it's such an uninspiring field, but he's almost

certain to be overbet, and he's not the type to wager the rent money on! (3) OLD TOWN ROAD was

handled aggressively with the post relief in last and took them a long way before tiring - definitely a shot to

come out on top tonight. (5) COLD DECKED is winless in 12 tries but did hit board in 9 of them - was sent

off at 3/5 at Chester last week (arriving from Ohio) but could only manage a distant 3rd - maybe Marohn

will have better luck with him in his Yonkers debut? (6) WINNING LINE showed a little promise at 3 but

has been slow to come around so far at 3 - recently changed barns and did win his last qualifier...maybe he's

ready to start improving? (2) ART SCAPING had no offer at all shipping in from NJ in last, and had some

issue in his only other local try - suppose he's capable of much better, but we'll wait to see some better signs

before hopping back on his team. (8) RAILIN JENNINGS has only been able to grab small pieces since

graduating from the maiden ranks - won't be any easier from Post 8. (1) BEACH BLOGGING has shown

little since coming back from Monti - rail can't hurt, but doesn't seem enough to transform him into a player

(7) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER doesn't figure to have much say from out here - wait for a better scenario.


RACE 4 - (3) ROCK THE NITE has really gone south since the $30K claim on 6/14, and didn't even perk

up at PcD last week after being moved to the Dynamic Duo - that all being said, he catches a very soft

$20K claiming field tonight, and will probably just look to airmail against these....and there's a good chance

that can work (but yet another very short priced favorite that you probably shouldn't fall in love with)! (7)

RAPTORS FLIGHT N hasn't been able to just crush fields like others from this barn, but that's partly

because he's just not handy - can still pick off a bunch of these tonight, even from Post 7. (1) MONTYS

PLAY drops and draws the pole in an overall soft field - good spot for him to perk up a bit, but he hardly

merits being listed at 2-1 on the ML in his current form. (4) JUST WAVE GOODBYE wasn't bad last week

and gets a big barn change for tonight - he's also just 2 for 45 over the last 2 years, and sports a 9-0-0-0

record at Yonkers - using underneath only. (6) BLACKTREE would look better in 15s but he still has a

chance to grab a piece against these - at 20-1 ML, not a bad one for exotics. (5) MR MCDREAMY has

good looking NJ lines but mostly against much cheaper - up the track at PcD last week, and will have to

prove that he fits here. (8) FIREBALL just hasn't been good for most of 2021 and draws Post 8 tonight. (2)

DOC SEMALU draws well, but would seem to need to be in much easier to be a player.


RACE 5 - Good race! (1) UNCONTROLLABLE was handled very conservatively in his local debut but

still kicked home with plenty of late pace for 2nd - guessing he'll be much more aggressive tonight... and

we'll see if he's up for it. (7) FULL MOON BEACH was doing excellent work for his previous barn and has

continued to thrive since the change 3 back, including last week's sharp Nfd. score (adding Lasix for the

first time) - he's 5 for 10 this year, and definitely has a shot in his local debut too. (2) DEAL THE CARDS

was away for a year but clearly appreciated the time off, as he's 2 for 2 since returning - no reason to think

he doesn't have a chance to make it 3 for 3. (5) HEARTLAND DANDY was sent off favored in his local

debut but never really looked all that strong, and definitely disappointed (despite losing by less than a

length) - have to believe he's better than that, and will have a chance to make amends tonight. (4) ANDRES

HANOVER has 3 starts here, winning twice (at nice prices) while 2nd best in the other - can't really knock

his form but now that he'll start actually taking some $$, he's not nearly as appealing as he was (from a

betting standpoint). (6) KEYSTONE NOLAN has been picking up good pieces almost every week, though

he only has one win from his 9 local starts - draws outside, and is probably looking at only a smaller share

this time. (3) CAPTIVATE HANOVER has been disappointing for weeks but did have some sneaky pace in

traffic last time - wouldn't be shocked to see some improvement this week. (8) LDEES JACK LOPEZ

really doesn't figure to have much impact from this spot.


RACE 6 - (4) ARTISTS BEST crushed a local NW2 field upon arrival from PA but was then able to step

up to the NW4 level and knock off heavily favored LINNYCALLEDFRANKIE last week, despite a first

over trip - meets no killers tonight, and has a decent chance to make it 3 in a row. (6) LINNYCALLEDFR

ANKIE won his first 3 local starts but was unable to handle the top choice last week, having to settle for

2nd as the odds-on choice - draws outside that rival tonight, and will need to be sharper if he hopes to

reverse last week's outcome...you'll certainly get a much better price if you decide to stick with him. (1)

DIAMOND HEAD moved from Post 8 to the rail last week and finished 3rd, behind the top pair - it's

possible that he could complete the trifecta once more, starting from the same spot. (2) THE COOKIE

MONSTER didn't make the races until he turned 4 this year but he started his career off going 10-5-3-1 -

was no factor here in his 11th start back in May, was scratched the next week then on the shelf for a couple

of months - qualifier looks ok, and perhaps the tote board will offer more clues. (3) BARRYWHITE

HANOVER is 5-2-1-1 since arriving at Yonkers (8 hole in the other start) - he moves up to NW4 after last

week's win, and may find a couple of these a little too tough...but he's certainly playable on the bottom of

tris and Supers. (7) JESSICAS BEACH BOY looked much better in his first start off the claim, but he was

scratched sick from his next, and now lands Post 7 off 3 weeks - may have to wait for a better spot before

we see his best effort again. (8) ILLBEWATCHINGU has a couple of ok 4ths after missing some time after

a scratch - tough spot tonight, but keep an eye on him for future consideration. (5) MAJORING ARTIST

has one win this year, and came in a cheap Stga. class - sticking with others.


RACE 7 - (4) STARS ALIGN A won 10 races last year, mostly just "airmailing" week after week in the

midwest - hasn't fared quite as well in 2021 facing tough stock on the east coast, but his barn is simply en

fuego right now, and this field is soft enough where he should be able to just run and hide from them. (3)

SKIP TO MY LOU has held his own at times in this class and gets a big barn and driver change for tonight

- expecting a strong performance from him....but not expecting him to be 15-1. (5) SHADOW CAT was

handled very aggressively off the class drop last week and responded with the game front end score - this is

a tougher spot, but can still grab a nice piece. (1) THINKBIG DREAMBIG is a tough call - he made only 4

starts in 2020 and then missed exactly a year before qualifying back - hard to get excited off those 3 preps,

but his barn wouldn't be dropping him in if not ready to go - maybe the tote board will offer some clues. (7)

IMSTAYNALIVE is solid at this level but will be coming from way out of it - good one for the bottom of

exotics. (8) THE WALL has lost a few steps from his Levy days but he's still a strong overnight performer -

will probably have to wait for a more realistic spot, however. (2) FLAMING FLUTTER N still has some

big miles in him, but maybe not against these type - prefer others this week. (6) EHRMANTROUT just

hasn't been on his best game lately - maybe the drop will help a bit?


RACE 8 - (3) NVESTMENT BLUECHIP has been holding his own with some good company, and should

find this group well within his comfort zone - barn has been sending them out live for a while now, and this

guy is overdue to get back to the winner's circle. (1) ANTHEM N usually does his best work with cheaper

but he may sit an easy enough trip from this spot to stick around for a decent piece of this. (5) SO MANY

ROADS will sit back and look to rally late....and he's sharp enough to make that work for a decent chunk

here. (8) PAT STANLEY N seems to really love sitting back and charging home late - obviously this is a

brutal spot, but he's still worth including on the bottom of the gimmicks. (2) SILAS SEELSTER doesn't

feel like a threat for a top slot, but he usually follows well, and that could lead to a minor share from this

spot. (6) GINGRAS BEACH tired last week but raced well the two starts prior - tough spot, but could see

him grabbing a piece with some trip luck. (7) MARK WITHA K is probably damned if he leaves and

damned if he doesn't - wait for a better spot. (4) ISLANDSPECIALMAJOR has to prove he can hang with

this type before getting an endorsement from this corner.


RACE 9 - (4) CAPTAIN CASH raced well in a bunch of starts here in the past, compiling an 8-0-4-2 local

record - he ships in sharp from PA, and this could be the spot where he grabs his first Hilltop victory. (1)

LIKE CLOCKWORK won his last at Chester vs. similar company and beat that class back in June as well -

should be able to make his presence felt from the pole tonight. (3) REIGNING DEO looked like a winner

here on 7/23 but pulled himself up in the latter stages, and ended up a hugely disappointing 4th - he HAS

ability, and it'll be Marohn's job to keep his mind on business tonight. (6) DREAMFAIR CHARRO landed

in a VERY easy spot last week and was an odds-on, wire to wire winner - maybe he built enough

confidence with that mile to step up and race well here too. (8) GODS SPIRIT N took a nice step in the

right direction last week after a disastrous start the week before - terrible post, but he does have enough

ability to rally for a piece, if he can build off that effort. (2) DARLINGS DRAGON raced well in his last 2

starts here, even if vs. cheaper - an easy up close trip would give him a chance at a decent piece here. (5)

BILBO HANOVE has back to back solid efforts (pair of 2nds), but vs. easier - may find the going a little

tougher against these. (7) MACINTOSH N really needs to be in cheaper to be a player.


RACE 10 - Tough race! (8) HEAVENS GAIT may be worth a stab - he's notoriously unreliable, so it's no

surprise that he disappointed as the favorite last week, after such a good 8 hole effort (off a sick scratch) the

week before - hard to say if Siegelman will even look to put him in play from out here....but he has a

chance, if he does. (5) MAROMA BEACH has never been one of our favorite horses but he's absolutely

improved his game since the recent claim - he'll be a big price here if you want to take a stab. (6)

DELIGHTFUL TERROR is another that should be a nice price tonight, and has been racing pretty well -

very hard to predict the way this race will be contested, so some trip luck will surely be needed. (2) THE

REAL ONE will likely be favored off last week's easy score - the super-classy 11YO may just rattle off a

few wins now, but he remains hard to take at too short a price. (4) SUMTHINBOUTIM was in a great spot

to be aggressive last week and Brennan took full advantage - this is a tougher overall bunch, but it would be

no surprise to see him try to wire these too. (3) THE WILD CARD hasn't been a player in any of his 4 local

starts but he drops, moves inside a bit, and is definitely overdue for s sharper effort. (1) YAYAS HOT SPOT

N is still winless on the year -- hard to believe he was racing in the Borgata Series not that long ago - too

many other live ones in here to look his way tonight. (7) ATTA BOY DAN now has 80 career wins and

over $1M in the back - lands in a tough spot upon arrival from PA, though.


RACE 11 - (5) CAPTAIN FANCY may be a decent value play - he was a promising 2YO (10-4-4-1

$123K), but it's taking him some time to find his stride at 3 - he made a break on the final turn here in his

Messenger elim., but we'd be willing to give him a look if the price is juicy enough. (2) SPRINGBRIDGE

DUEL showed a TON of potential in his first couple of 2YO starts (Canada) last year but things turned sour

quickly - came back strong for new connections at 3, hit a bit of a snag but has been doing good things

again in his last few starts - major threat for a barn that won SIX straight races here from Friday into

Monday, before finishing 2nd with Forever Fav! (3) CRUNCH HANOVER was heavily favored last week

after a pair of 2nds to Water Sports Teen, but was unable to get the job done - better price if you think he

bring a little sharper effort tonight. (8) SHINY BLACK BEAMER was a little off his best for a couple of

starts - added Lasix for his last, and his form perked back up quickly - horrible spot tonight, but still a

decent one to include underneath at a big price. (4) CAPTAIN SLEAZE just didn't seem as sharp in his last

pair, even though he won his last - will need to be better to hang with these. (7) GAMBLINGTERROR

continues to race well most every week but has his work cut out for him from this spot. (1) HAGGARD

hasn't shown much in 4 local starts - not sure the rail will be enough to put him into contention. (6)

ROLLING WITH SAM grabbed a win 3 back but struggled in his starts prior to and after that victory -

seems up against it tonight.



RACE 12 - (3) CLAYTONS BETTOR N looked like a strong play when he shipped in from Chester on

6/29 but he got nipped as the odds-on choice - returned from NJ last week for a new barn, and was a solid

3rd behind a couple of tough ones - worth a look in the finale. (5) ORILLIA JOE is hard to predict from

week to week but he should be able to leave hard from this spot, and that should at least make him a player

-- if speed is good tonight, give him some extra consideration. (1) DON DOMINGO N draws the pole after

a 2nd to THE REAL ONE last week - will surely take plenty of $$ from this spot but he's just 1 for 20 this

year, so perhaps using him underneath is the better move. (6) ONE OFF DELIGHT is very solid at this

level but faces an uncertain trip from Post 6 - hard to leave him out of your exotics, though. (2) VILLIAM

normally struggles at Yonkers but did go a BIG mile here 2 back - couldn't build on it the next week, but

we'll see if he can bounce back with a bigger effort tonight. (7) FLYING FINN drops down to a level where

he's very dangerous, but it's hard to say what kind of trip he'll get from out here - definitely ok for the

bottom of exotics. (8) KNOCKING AROUND was up the track in last but racing well for a few starts prior

to that - hard to see him reaching from out here, though. (4) ZIGGY SKY is off a bad date after a few weak

efforts - waiting for a class drop, and seeing him right back in the box.


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