Friday Empire Report

soaofny • January 28, 2022

The Empire Report - Friday, January 28, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) OUR MAX PHACTOR N was hammered down to 6/5 from Post 8 despite the bad date and

still managed to get 2nd despite a very unlucky trip - draws much better tonight than he did for last week's

canceled card (had Post 7), and absolutely deserves top billing. (1) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N seemed to

race well against better several times last year...so it was surprising to see that he was 0 for 12 here at

Yonkers - qualified back decently in NJ, and figures to be a very live player from this spot....but hard to

take on top at a short price! (3) WALTER MITTY was a solid 2nd at this level to a sharp winner on 11/30,

but then was dull in his last 2 starts of 2021- started off the new year with a perfect trip victory (beating the

top choice), and his barn has been solid so far in 2022- belongs in exotics. (8) RETOUR AU JEU seemed to

give Siegelman trouble from early on last week, leading to a ridiculous trip - much better draw here, and

can rally for a piece...with a more "normal" journey. (6) SOMEBEACH BARON seemed to be tailing a bit

at the end of 2021, and weakened badly into the stretch in his 2022 return - will need to get back to his

better form if he hopes to have any say tonight. (7) KIMANI N was 1 for 36 last year, and he's 0 for 15 in

the last 3 years at YR - lands all the way outside, and we'll stick with others. (5) IWONTDOTHA TAGAIN

was dismal in his first start of the year - waiting for a better effort before considering.


RACE 2 - (6) FASHIONONTHEBEACH was no match last week for the barn changing, incredibly well

meant winner....but was still easily 2nd best - won't offer any value here, bit he's clearly the one to beat in

this spot. (1) BUGGER BRUISER drops down to 12.5s and this is where he's most dangerous - should be

an up close player from start to finish. (8) EFFRONTE A changed barns (to the trainer of the top choice)

and went from zero to (super) hero last year...only to come crashing back down dramatically - has changed

barns a couple of times since then, and that last qualifier hints that MAYBE he's ready to start functioning

again - at the right price, he MAY be worth a stab. (2) OUR REGAL IDEAL N has been dull in his last few

but did compile a 42-9-9-3 record last year (out of town) - maybe he can find a better effort, and land in the

exotics, somewhere? (4) CHACHING HANOVER has been an "autotoss" for some time, but wasn't really

too bad in his last couple - maybe include for 3rd/4th tonight? (3) ARI ALLSTAR remains unreliable from

week to week, as a quick look at his last pair can attest to - always a chance he can save ground, and rally

for a small share. (5) WE THINK ALIKE failed to fire off the bad date last start - he's just 1 for 38 here

(last 3 years), and hard to be enthusiastic about tonight. (7) LOTTERY WINNER just hasn't thrived since

joining this high powered barn 3 starts back.


RACE 3 - (5) RYCROFT N was still pacing ok at the wire last week despite a tough 8 hole trip - gets a

better draw, has Kakaley at the lines, and that 12-1 ML price makes him worth at least a look in this pretty

modest $20K claiming field. (1) WINDSONG JACK was battling in the bottom claiming class not long ago

but the classy 12YO is feeling good right now, and quite capable of threatening this bunch - legitimate

chance, but hard to get too excited about a wager when he's been away for a month, and listed at 7/5 ML.

(6) MISTER HAT was no factor in his first start of 2022 but that was from Post 8, off the bad date - he

picked up a win and a 2nd to close out 2021, and could have a much bigger say in the outcome here - hard

to not at least consider him at that 20-1 ML price. (4) LITTLEBITASWAGGER raced ok in 3 NW5000

starts before taking some time off after a sick scratch - that qua. suggests he may be a little short, though, so

insist on a good price if using him on top. (2) TERRITORY ended up "distanced" after backing through the

field in his first try of the year - may just shrug that off and bounce back with a big effort, but he'd be hard

to endorse in here at that 2-1 ML price! (7) ROGERTHAT BLUECHIP is 0 for 14 here over the last couple

of years but has raced well at times - we liked him a lot more LAST week (canceled card), when he drew

the rail, though. (3) TOLLY HO hasn't clicked since the 12/10 claim - waiting for better signs. (8) CONFID

ENCE MAN had to work very hard to beat much cheaper at Monti last week, and now lands Post 8 vs.

much better - just observing, for now.


RACE 4 - (6) STREET GOSSIP earned over $350K at 2 and 3, and has been holding his own against Ohio

Open trotters in his last few starts - should be a good fit here, with a legit chance to come out on top in his

Hilltop debut. - (2) SKY CASTLES was on the move way too early last week, or he might have been even

closer at the wire - goes for a new barn tonight, moves inside and gets a major switch to Bartlett - worth a

look here. (3) HILL OF A HORSE added Lasix 2 back and missed by a neck, followed up with a win here

last week - steps up in class but he's beaten this kind in the past...must use in exotics. (1) ALTUS

HANOVER rallied nicely for 2nd from well back last start, and can be a late threat once again with a

similar effort - chance for a piece, despite class hike. (5) HAT TRICK MARLEAU proved to be a fine

purchase for his previous owners, but goes for a new barn tonight after being claimed for $50K last week -

may be a notch below a couple of the primary players in here, but a decent piece is still within reach. (4)

FULL RIGHTS seemed well short off the winter break - will just watch, for now. (8) GREY seems to need

to be near the front end to do her damage, and that may prove impossible from this spot tonight - prefer to

wait for a better scenario for her. (7) CAVILL HANOVER has been away since 12/17, lands outside, and

this is probably a good week just observe.


RACE 5 - (3) QUALITY BUD was the choice here last week and he did well to be 3rd despite a terrible

trip - catches a pretty ordinary crew tonight, and we'll stick with him one more time. (1) ST LADS NEPTU

NE was an ok 3rd last time and has to have a chance here....even if by default -- rail draw should have him

in the hunt from start to finish. (7) DAVIDS COMING HOME finished ok (after the fact) from well out of

it last week - gets no luck with tonight's draw, but he did win 4 of 15 starts here last year....possible spot for

a wake up call, at a nice price...worth including in exotics. (4) WAR DAN DELIGHT is just 1 for 38 here

over the past 3 seasons, but he does fit well enough with these for a chance at a small piece - ok for the

bottom of exotics. (8) LONG TRAIN RUNNIN changed barns 4 starts back and has elevated his game

dramatically (at Monti) since then - he's moving well up in class and draws terribly here, but his current

barn is on fire all over the Northeast - interesting bomb. (2) ROCK LIGHTS tired as the favorite shipping

down from The Maritimes, then went on the shelf - hard to get excited about his chances off that last

qualifier. (5) DING DING DINGER just hasn't clicked since arriving here in Nov. - waiting for better signs.

(6) BULLVILLE KYLE is 20-0-0-2 at Yonkers over the last couple of seasons.


RACE 6 - (4) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN wasn't serious last week (Post 8 off a month) but he came

across the wire with plenty of energy once finally cut loose at the end - he won 9 races and $171K last year,

while also taking a new lifetime mark (at age 8) - look for a big effort tonight. (5) ON HIGHER GROUND

just had too far to come last week, but he's been delivering sharp efforts on a weekly basis for a long time -

debuts tonight for the Super Siblings, and there's no reason he can't pick up a good chunk here. (1) BLUE

AND BOLD hadn't been on his best game for a while, but looked much better in last week's wire to wire

score - eternally hot barn has been especially on fire lately, so look for another big effort from this guy. (3)

BIG NUDGE has been a tear for some time, and that includes a powerful victory here on 11/18 - he'll be

tested for class moving up to this level, so we'll see if he's up for this...especially having been away since

12/17! (2) ALL CHAMPY has shown in the past that he can trot with these, but he's been away since 11/26

and it's hard to know how tight he'll be for tonight - could go either way. (6) EYE OFA TIGER AS used a

ground saving trip to pick up 4th last week, and will need another opportunistic trip to grab another piece

tonight (with the outside draw).


RACE 7 - (2) ROCKIN JUKEBOX raced here 3X in December, picking up a win, a 2nd, and a 3rd - we'll

ignore that last Delaware effort and look for him to bounce back to his top form - one of several possible

winners in here. (3) KEYSTONE NOLAN tripped out and was a winner off the hiatus (at 12-1) and also

came out on top 3 starts back (at 16-1) - the price will come way down now, but he does have a chance to

take another. (1) MOONLIGHT SHADOW grabbed a win here on 11/12, then stayed very sharp over the

winter break at Chester (a win and two 2nds) - didn't like his chances on last week's canceled card (Post 8),

but tonight's rail draw changing things considerably - month off still a concern, however. (6) KEYSTONE

DASH just missed last week off the barn change but that was from the rail, with a pocket trip- may struggle

to get himself in play from out here, and he's also not known for his consistency. (4) FOLLOW YOUR

HEART wasn't bad from a hopeless spot last week, and that was on the heels of a couple of improved

Chester efforts - not a bad bomb for the bottom of exotics. (8) CENTURY GRIZZLY exits a top barn but

lands with a trainer that suddenly started winning races in bunches late last year (and has continued to do

well in 2022) - the issue here is that he had the rail when the card was canceled, and is stuck with Post 8

tonight! (5) BOLT OF LUCK did a lot of good work after being claimed by his current connections, but it's

hard to gauge his readiness off his upstate qualifiers. (7) ) BARRYWHITE HANOVER was no factor off

the bad date, but may be sharper this time around - chances figure to compromised by the draw, however.


RACE 8 - (1) HAYEK was sent off slightly favored against WARRIOR ONE in NJ last week, engaged in a

good battle with that rival and was just beaten by that one for 2nd, as both were run down to the wire by a

fresh foe - we'll give him the narrow edge back at Yonkers tonight. (2) WARRIOR ONE has been a model

of consistency for months, and as noted, comes off a good battle across the river with the top choice - could

easily be the one to come out on top tonight. (3) HEY LIVVY was absolutely scary when she first arrived

here from Canada last summer, but tailed badly after a few starts - has struggled to regain that form up

North, so we'll see if the barn's local team can get her back to her best game again. (5) FANATIC has done

some excellent work here since arriving from Ohio, but is probably a peg below the top ones. (4) LEAN

HANOVER was able to hang on for 2nd in the Open on 1/14, but broke in NJ last week - willing to use

underneath at the right price. (6) BARRY BLACK figures to be trailing most of the way, and may not be

able to do much damage from this spot.


RACE 9 - (1) SOUTHWIND ONYX couldn't find enough of a 2nd move to threaten the top 3 last week

but that was a quick mile for that night, and he was racing off a month - he's eligible to be tighter now,

draws the pole (had Post 7 for the canceled card!), and we'll give him the nod. (3) RISKY MILLION was 3

for 13 here last year, and shows a couple of recent 2nds at this level in PA - legit threat if he shows up on

his best game. (8) SEAFARER caught a quick mile off a month last week but was still able to kick in late

and rally for 2nd - he beat this class 3 starts back, and has a decent chance for a good piece tonight IF

Miller can work out a manageable trip. (6) APEX SEELSTER was a little short off the winter break but

was racing "ok" prior to that - good bomb to use in exotics. (2) TIME OUT IM TIRED drops below the

level of the 12/8 claim price, and that MAY be a red flag - on his best he can definitely beat these, but hard

to really be certain what to expect from him tonight - maybe the board will yield some clues? (5) CASHNC

AM hails from a barn that has been thriving, but HE just hasn't been looking too sharp lately - prefer others.

(4) CARRACCI HANOVER was able to take advantage and win a "fall apart" race last start - steps up, and

may not be so fortunate tonight. (7) MAJESTIC KIWI N exits a sharp barn, move sup in class and lands

Post 7 - wait for a better scenario.


RACE 10 - (2) MACH TIME N got a surprising barn change last week, was absolutely hammered at the

windows and went his best mile in ages, the easiest of front end winners - if he's as sharp tonight, he'll have

a chance to make it 2 in a row. (8) TEXAS TERROR N was a terror in 12.5s over the last few months of

2021 - tried to start off his 14YO campaign against the 20s, and actually went a big effort before weakening

just a bit to 3rd - drops back down to 15s for tonight, and that may be enough to get him back to the

winner's circle....even from Post 8. (1) BLUEBERRY HEAVEN was handled conservatively off the bad

date, but had some life finishing - he was a rock solid performer the last few months of the year, and might

perk up with a big try tonight - use in exotics. (6) GOTHIC ROCK was reclaimed by a barn that recently

did very well with him - terrible draw, but a good bomb for 3rd/4th. (5) COACH CAL wasn't at his sharpest

off the layoff last week - could definitely be tighter now, and maybe can rally for a small piece? (4)

DERECHO tired after sitting the 3 hole last week, and just hasn't been all that sharp for a while - needs to

be better. (3) NEXT BIG THING went some nice miles here last year, and won 2 of 8 starts - hard to gauge

off his current form, though, and the drop in for $15K could be a red flag. (7) WELL DONE SON is very

hard to predict from week to week - ended 2021 on a sour note, and now starts from Post 7 after a month

away - guessing he won't be all that aggressive from this spot.

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