Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • September 17, 2024

The Empire Report – Tuesday, September 17, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1– Good opener! (5) IDEAL COVER has taken 4 of her last 6 starts with the 2 losses coming to the

streaking CALLMEQUEENBEE A – she figures to be a decent price (with several legitimate contenders in here),

and it feels like her barn is suddenly very playable again – could offer some value in this wide open affair. (7) SOM

WHERUNDERHEAVN has been holding her own with (much?) better than these and should be a perfect fit

dropping in for the $50K tag – she does draw poorly (off 17 days), though, so be careful about accepting too short a

price. (4) FREESTARFLIGHT wasn’t at her best last week but was still a close 3rd – she could benefit from drawing

inside a few main rivals, and her best effort would make her a real threat. (6) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A opted to

race conservatively in her last 4 starts and charged home full of pace for 2nd each time – she’s undeniably sharp and

ready to win...but may be coming from a very difficult spot tonight. (8) JIVE DANCING A has taken 3 in a row

and while clearly back on her game, she would be hard to endorse on top in THIS field from Post 8 as the 5/2 ML

favorite. (3) PURAMERI is probably sharper than she looks on paper – chance to rally for some minor scraps. (2)

COMMANDER CATHY N never wins but is another that’s always eligible for some minor piece. (1) JUST ROSAS

LUCK was racing well but unable to BEAT the 25a – hard to like her chances vs. some pretty good 50s.


RACE 2 – (1) ROCKNROLL ANNIE doesn’t exactly show the most stellar form coming into this race but she’s

also been in some impossible spots – this is a much more reasonable scenario for her, and she may take these a long

way on the front end. (5) LARJON LEAH was able to deal with a broken headpole last week but the tough trip left

her a little short at the end (finished 3rd) – she scored a sharp win for this barn 6 starts down, and may be able to

come up with a big mile tonight. (6) REAL LADY SADIE is undeniably sharp with 3 wins and 3 seconds from her

last 6 starts – she goes for another new barn tonight, but that’s not a big concern...the outside draw IS, however. (4)

ELIS ES DELIGHT has been solid overall lately, and that 6-1 ML price makes her worth a look in a field with no

real stickouts. (2) EBONY LADY still hasn’t shown that she fits at this $25K level, though overdrives in her last

pair hasn’t helped – still leaning elsewhere. (7) LINE EM UP has struggled for a long time but did show some better

life last week – no spot tonight, but worth watching. (3) DREAM DANCING is in need of a quick form reversal.


RACE 3 – (6) BIRTHDAY is on his game right now and shown that he doesn’t need to cut the mile to be effective –

he looks to make it 2 in a row and may even be a decent price...worth sticking with. (5) WESTERN ERA was good

last week after an easy trip and the same was true 3 back when he was a close 2nd – could offer some good value if

things go his way. (7) VOUKEFALAS has certainly been keeping good company (out of town) all year with his

share of success – he also gets assigned Post 7 for his Hilltop debut and MAY end up overbet from this spot – insist

on a fair price if going with him on top. (4) TWiN B DELUXE has been sharp for some time, and that includes a fast

closing 2nd behind the top choice last week– another that can do damage here with the right trip. (2) ENERGETIC

HANOVER was scary good for his first 7 starts here this year but hasn’t been the same since a sick scratch on 6/24

– he’ll turn it around eventually, but he would be hard to back as the 8/5 ML choice right now! (1) PANETTONE

HANOVER is doing good things since moving to his current (hot) barn, and draws another rail – prefer others on

top, but could see him grabbing a piece, with a kind journey. (3) BINGE ON YANKEE is a solid 4YO and comes off

a sharp try last week – he’s listed on the bottom here, but a good trip could see him do better than that.


RACE 4 – (4) ALWAYS BE CITY went a BIG mile to win 3 back, was bothered (not shown on the program) in her

next, then circled the field to win again last week– getting a new pilot is a little bit of a concern (as she can be a little

difficult to drive sometimes), but she’s still worth a play as she never seems to get overbet. (3) UNITY threw a rare

dud 2 back but bounced back with a much better effort in her last (2nd to the top choice) – she already has 9 wins this

year, and has to be taken very seriously. (2) HARPER SEELSTER is obviously very sharp and will try to make the

jump from 20s to 25s after being claimed last week – certainly a possibility. (1) TOBAGO TIME had pace at both

ends of the mile returning from PA last week – she’s looking at an aggressive steer tonight, but she hasn’t WON here

since 2022 – make sure to get a fair price if using on top. (6) CHARMING VIXEN will likely be pacing well late,

but probably for a smaller slice starting from Post 6. (5) CANNERY ROW has definitely improved since the recent

barn change but not sure the jump from 20s to 25s is warranted. (7) SPORTS FLIX beat the 20s easily 2 back, but

wasn’t up for last week’s very aggressive try vs. the 25s – has to deal with a terrible post tonight.


RACE 5 – (5) SURFRIDER has been facing much tougher than he’ll see in here, and he got Bartlett to jump off a

couple of main accounts to take the drive – feels like the one to knock off. (4) D A MCDREAMY shipped down

from Canada to a red hot barn, and was right there in his first local try (while in tight through the lane) – could have

a big say here. (3) WARRIOR FOR TRUTH seemed dull most of the way in his local debut – he suddenly appeared

to have pace in the lane, but then lacked the room to do anything with it – might be able to be part of this. (6) FIRE

ARM added Lasix last week but drew too poorly to be involved – may be in that same boat tonight, but willing to at

least include in exotics, at a price. (2) ALWAYSCUTTINSCHOOL was racing ok at PcD before taking 6 weeks off

and re-qualifying at Monti – returns tonight on Lasix, but hard to say how well he fits here...maybe the tote board

will offer some clues? (1) SAN JOSE appears to have been a “cast off” by his previous connections but did find a

soft Fhd. spot to start his career for his new owner, and won that debut with a nice move – guessing this is a tougher

field, but we’ll learn more after tonight. Both (7) MANHATTAN ARTIST and (8) FINAL CHANCE figure to be

sitting too far back to have any impact tonight.


RACE 6 – Tough race! (6) REAL WILLEY may be worth a stab in here– he’s probably viewed as a one

dimensional speedball that can’t make the top in here but he CAN race from off the pace, and may be able to upset

(at a big price) if somehow things fall apart a bit. (3) J M MANDAMIN missed all of 2023 but he’s starting to put

together a nice 2024 season and brings a 2 race winning streak into this – we’ll see if he can handle the class jump.

(2) SEVEN COLORS isn’t the first top 3YO to deal with the “four year old blues” but he’s really struggled this year

($685K in the back at 3, and so far just $81K at 4) – clearly will be a handful if he brings his best, but he’s struggled

to often this year to just assume that’s going to happen. (5) NONE BETTOR A has lost a bit off his fastball, but it’s

not like he’s been terrible – would be worth at least a look if the price is right. (1) YOROKOBI N probably needs to

be in a bit easier to be a WIN threat, but he can certainly grab a good piece here with the right trip. (4) EUPHORIA

N is riding a 3 race winning streak but he moves up yet another class, won’t have an easy lead, and loses Bartlett –

that streak is definitely in jeopardy. (7) FAMILY RECIPE has been rock solid in virtually every start for some time,

but may have trouble overcoming the draw tonight. (8) SLIP THE HUNDY N wants to be on the lead, vs. easier.


RACE 7 – (4) SPRING BLAKE was a bit below the top colts in the NYSS but hardly embarrassed himself – he

should find this field much more to his liking, and his barn has been doing good work lately – we’ll try him on top.

(2) TEXAS HOLDEM has also faced mostly NYSS colts recently, and did crush a field at Stga. 2 back when he got

the class relief – another that should really appreciate tonight’s class drop. (5) I AINT NO MACK has certainly

thrived since arriving from Canada, taking 2 of his last 3 with a nose loss sandwiched in between – he’ll be charging

late, but hard to say if he’ll be able to get there again. (1) AMERICAGREATAGAIN shows several solid tries in PA

recently – he’s missed time since his last start, and he moves from one strong barn to our leading conditioner (while

drawing the pole, with Bartlett) – would hardly be a surprise. (3) AYR BALMORAL GB won 2 of his last 4 in this

class and shouldn’t be counted out too quickly– a good price makes him worth a look (6) KID FROM THE BRONX

has definitely upped his game since the recent claim, but tonight’s draw may result in a tough trip– leaning to others.

(7) ICACO HANOVER can be a threat with these on his best effort, but he hasn’t looked as sharp since a recent sick

scratch. (8) FORWARD LOOK raced well in his last couple (after returning from PA) but he does figure to be hurt

significantly by tonight’s draw.


RACE 8 – (5) FRONDEUR struggled last week but that was in an Italian/American amateur race – she won 3

straight here right before that, and goes back to a familiar pilot for tonight...the one to beat. (1) IM FANCY LIKE

was in that same amateur event and had no real chance after racing from last – moves all the way inside, goes back

to MacDonald, and figures to be the main danger. (2) PLEASURE SEEKER has a solid record in 2024 but hasn’t

been sharp in some time – an easy trip from this spot could land her a piece, though. (6) PHELGON figures to be

hurt by Post 6 but may be able to find a way to at least pick up a small slice. (7) SOUTHWIND MINA was no factor

at all in her local debut but that was with an amateur pilot – goes for Bartlett now, but hard to say if she has the

speed to at least work out a manageable trip from out here. (3) PALADIO has a couple of recent NW1 wins but has

to show that she can hang with these older mares. (4) EVAS SPORTS CZECH has shown little lately and is in need

of a wake up call.


RACE 9 – (6) THUNDRA shipped in with some good PA form and WOULD have won last week had she shaken

free just a bit sooner – she moves to a new barn for tonight and does feel like the one to beat...but with her camera-

shy local history, make sure to get a fair price on top. (1) IRON MISTRESS went a good effort for 3rd in last week’s

amateur race, aborting a leave attempt then pulling early behind a parked horse, before rallying in the lane for 3rd –

very logical threat from this spot, but note that she’s pretty camera shy as well! (3) MADDY N MAGGIE has clearly

picked up her game significantly since the recent barn change, and she gets a top pilot for the first time tonight –

could be a good value horse to consider. (5) THINK AHEAD was dull off a good trip in 25s – drops to 20s, but

doesn’t seem worth that 5.2 ML price. (2) PRINCESS ARONA has been struggling for a while, but at least has a

chance at a piece with the inside draw. (4) MICHELLES JAZZ has managed just one 2nd from her 10 local starts

needs to be better...and the same can be said from (7) PROVE EM WRONG, who sports a 9-0-1-0 local slate.


RACE 10 – Another tough race: (6) NUTTINBUTHEBEST has been hot and cold lately vs. the 25s and now drops

down to the 20s – can never really play her with confidence these days but getting Bartlett back on board could help,

and she’s worth using IF the price is fair. (1) TYRA MAKES BANK hit the top in last week’s amateur race and

never looked back – Dube takes her over #6, and she’ll be out and wingin’ from the pole...nay be able to wire this

bunch too. (4) SUNSET SOPH doesn’t have the greatest form right now but as noted here the last couple of days,

her barn has sent out some juicy winners recently, including one in the last race on Monday night – maybe she

should get a longer look here? (3) PINK RUBY has been 1st or 2nd 13X this year and always has a chance if the trip

goes her way – only ONE recent win, however. (7) TERACITA was good last week for sure, but also incredibly

opportunistic (she couldn’t have landed on a better trip) – much tougher assignment starting from Post 7 tonight. (2)

TUAPEKA JESSIE N was better last week, even if benefiting from an easy trip – maybe 3rd/4th? (5) ACEFOURTYF

OUR ALEX is now 24-0-0-3 as her rough year continues.


RACE 11 – (2) TESLA POWER was no factor in her only local try but she was struggling in general at that time –

she was freshened up after that start and does have a few good tries since then – she gets a good driver change for

her YR return, and perhaps she can trip out and pull off the upset? (1) SHEIKH YABOOTY N was no factor off the

claim 2 back but rebounded with an excellent 8 hole 2nd in her last – she’s clearly the one to beat here, but also

figures to go off at 1/5...or less! (3) ALWAYS B MIMI has been “ok” lately – if she can just sit close to the lane,

there’s always a chance she can kick home enough to be right there. (5) JILLIAN JIGGS only has a couple of 3rds

from her 9 local starts but still may be better than most/all of the others. (4) LYONS MIKI could be a late threat if

she shows up on her game but her last couple suggest that she’s headed in the wrong direction right now. (7) MIKIL

OB ULTRA pulled off a shocker 2 back but that was a total “fall apart” race – she broke before the start last week,

and now lands in a brutal spot. (6) BEAUTY OF THE SEA has just one 3rd from 7 local starts and that was with an

easy trip from Post 3 – sticking with others. (8) DANDYS SHOWTIME is 1 for 21 here this year and draws Post 8.


RACE 12 – (3) IDEALINFUN gave it a shot from Post 8 last week but ended up parked – she still fought to the

final turn before weakening, and she’s looking at a lot better trip with the move inside – Bartlett takes her over a

couple of sharp (outside) rivals, and we’ll hop on board too. (1) WHASSUP HANOVER wasn’t bad here 3 back

from an impossible spot, then was a close 2nd behind LUCKY ARTIST A the next week – she’s a 3YO facing older

mares but she acts like she belongs, and has the benefit of the rail draw. (4) CRUISERSFOXYJUDY is now 7-4-1-1

since arriving on the local scene and that includes last week’s win in this class – she can race on or off the pace, and

remains a very viable player. (8) CALLMEQUEENBEE A has been outstanding for a while, and brings her 5 race

winning streak into tonight – it won’t be easy to extend that to 6 after drawing Post 8, but the price will be good if

you think she can! (7) NO WIN NO FEED A has been ultra consistent for the past 2 years and is a weekly threat –

she’s another that could struggle to overcome the draw, however. (5) LOOKOVERYOUR continues to hold her own

at this $50K level but does look destined for only minor spoils in this stacked field. (6) HONEY LOVE wasn’t bad

last week but this field is seriously tough, and may leave her an outsider. (2) COALFORDSNSHINE GB continues

to go the wrong way, now 6 starts removed from the 7/9 claim.

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