Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • February 1, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, February 1, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (1) SHANWAY N benefited from a cone-hugging trip last week but still had plenty of pop while

pacing a sharp final half - this class is right in his wheelhouse, and the rail draw stamps him as the one to

knock off. (2) DEAN B HANOVER looms the main danger, and the 4YO has been very sharp for some

time - if the top pick doesn't bring his best, this guy will be right there to cash in. (3) BRACKLEY BEACH

has come a long way from the camera-shy, lower level pacer he was not all that long ago - should land on a

decent trip from this spot, and that could help him take home a decent chunk. (5) SILAS SEELSTER

doesn't seem like a threat to win, but he may be able to offer a late rally to pick up a small share. (7) IM

SIR BLAKE A is sharper than his limes might look, and would have been picked higher up if not for yet

another terrible draw - not sure he'll be able to find a way into the mix. (6) ROCKATHON was right there

through a hot 3/4s last week but did come up a little light at the end - might need a little easier spot to be a

serious threat. (4) AIR FORCE HANOVER faltered late vs. cheaper last week, and now faces a tougher

bunch - definitely leaning towards others. (8) PRETTY HANDSOME was an excellent 2nd at this level 2

back (behind Caviart Luca) but was a little dull in his last, and now is stuck with Post 8.


RACE 2 - Tough race: (7) THE WILD CARD was a decent 3rd in a quick mile last week and would have

been the clear choice against these had he not drawn so far outside - we'll still give him top billing...but

make sure to get a fair price if using on top. (1) PEPPER GUY dominated a weak bunch 2 back but was a

no factor 4th vs. NW7500 last week - steps up a notch off that mile, but this is an overall soft field, and the

rail draw should make him a player throughout. (4) BETTING EXCHANGE went a big effort last week as

he was underway very early on a long first over mission, and still managed to stick around for 2nd - just a

little too camera shy to pick on top, especially moving up in class. (2) TOM ME GUN N had been racing

pretty well, so it was a little surprising to see the dullish effort from him last week - can grab a piece of this

if he can rebound to his better form. (5) SANTAFES COACH is a tough call - can be very tough here "on

his best", but his last couple were pretty disappointing - would need a pretty good price to consider him on

top. (3) CLAYTONS BETTOR N seems a little too cheap, but he does make his 2nd start for a new barn so

there's at least a chance he could improve a bit. (6) MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING N did pull off the big upset 2

back (first local win in ages), but this seems like a pretty unlikely spot to see a repeat of that.


RACE 3 - (4) DENALI SEELSTER was just getting ready to move to the half last week when he made an

unexpected miscue - he was our choice in that race (and bet all the way down to favoritism), and we'll give

him a chance to make amends tonight in this modest NW5000 field. (2) KNOCKING AROUND was stuck

racing first over against a shipper that was hammered at the windows (despite missing 6 weeks!) and did

pretty well to stick around for 3rd behind the runaway winner - looks like a legitimate player in here too,

but he's just way too camera shy to take a short price on top. (3) SEEUINNASHVILLE A finished just

behind #2 last week making his first start for a new barn - definitely one to use in exotics tonight, but note

that he was 0 for 33 last year before thinking about using him on top (he's also 0 for 9 at Yonkers). (5)

LEAR SEELSTER's out of town lines would make him competitive with these, and his young pilot has

shown that he can handle a horse pretty well - ok for a piece. (7) BILBO HANOVER can sometimes finish

well enough to pick up a decent piece (though he doesn't WIN, very often) - ok bomb for a small share. (6)

SECRECY wasn't too bad in his last couple - draws outside, but another bomb that's playable for 3rd. (1)

ASTON HILL DAVE was dull in his last, and definitely disappoints more often than he delivers - the rail

seems to be his best asset. (8) SUNKEN TREASURE made only 10 starts last year, and now lands Post 8

after being away since May - we'll just be observing, for now.


RACE 4 - (4) SPRINGSTEEN is being picked on top because this is the type of field that he can usually

just outrun....but he's just way too unreliable to back at what figures to be a pretty short price...proceed with

caution! (3) GLACIS was a solid 4th vs. much better 2 back, then was the victim of an equipment break in

his last - he really doesn't win very often, though, so he's another that's not worth falling in love with, at a

short price. (2) MARTY MONKHOUSER A was definitely better in his 2nd start of the year, but it was still

well below his "best" - he'd hardly be a shock in here, and worth considering if the price is decent. (6)

ALOTBETTOR N had been struggling for quite a while but his last effort was better than it looks - maybe

he's ready for a wake up call...at a nice price? (5) ARQUE HANOVER hasn't won a race at YR in a long

time, but a good trip always gives him a chance at a small piece. (1) REAL LUCKY N just hasn't looked

good in his last few - would like to see some better signs before hopping back on his team. (7) SAILBOAT

HANOVER figures to be coming from too far back to have any big say in here.


RACE 5 - (4) PROLINE showed good potential at 2 and 3 up North, but didn't make a lot of starts - little

slow to come around so far at 4, but he ships down to a barn that often has success with these, and he may

be able to win right off the bat against a field with several question marks. (3) COALITION HANOVER

seemed well meant last week after a "Bongiorno Blowout" Fhd. qualifier, but was wiped out by a breaker

on the final turn (#2) - definitely worth following up with him tonight. (2) RHODENA ROAD had no room

in his first start back in 2022 - gave it a first over try last week but went offstride on the final turn before he

could show if he was going to be a stretch threat - since the barn has been doing excellent work for the past

several months, perhaps this guy is worth another shot? (6) GAMBLING ADDICTION has hit board in 3

of 4 local starts and seems to fit well with these - not a great spot tonight, but a good price makes him worth

at least a look. (5) SETH HANOVER has been ultra reliable, but just didn't seem himself last week (even

though cutting the mile) and did make a break on the final turn (right after RHODENA ROAD broke just

before that!) - could easily rebound, and can't blame anybody looking to stick with him once more. (1) BET

ON BLAKE is yet another that ran into trouble last week, going offstride before the start - he's also done

enough good work here to be worth considering, if you think he'll just shrug off last week's miscue. (8)

SARANAC BLUE CHIP seems damned if he leaves and damned if he doesn't - prefer to wait for a better

spot. (7) NATIVES FILOU throws a good one now and then, but will need a lot of luck to make much

happen from out here.


RACE 6 - (1) SHINY BLACK BEAMER wasn't necessarily "good" last week, but he was a lot sharper

than he has been (and his previous effort might have been a little improved as well) - draws best at the

bottom level, figures to either be on top or in the pocket, and this does feel like a good spot for him to get

back on track. (4) TIGER BARON is another that had been really struggling, but hinted at some renewed

life in his last pair - definitely the main danger. (2) TULLOW N probably deserves a pass for his last

(horrible trip) - good spot to sit right off the top pair, and finish well enough for a piece of this. (6) WAIM

AC ATTACK N would be tough to consider on top (1 for 33 at YR, last 2 seasons) but he's not a bad bomb

for 3rd/4th, hoping he can save ground and kick home a bit on the end. (5) WHITE HAIR ROCKS was

actually competitive in $40K claimers a while back....but he's also the horse that was 0 for 38 last year -

goes for a new barn tonight, but also has just one start on the last 8 weeks - inclined to just watch, for now

(8) CAMPORA N was facing MUCH better when last seen here this Fall,. but he draws Post 8 off a break,

and will likely be handled pretty conservatively this week. (3) POCKET WATCH N throws a good one here

and there but in general, does seem a bit cheap. (7) ROCK KING DEO was no factor in his 2 local tries,

and now draws Post 7 off the bad date.


RACE 7 - Tough race: (2) SAUVIGNON BLUECHIP showed a ton of potential in his short 2YO

campaign but struggled with issues throughout his 3YO year and was a major disappointment - he did start

to put it all together here back in October, but soon fell off form again - hard to love his chances off that

Monti qualifier, but he'll be a good price, and he just may be ready off the short layoff. (1)

GETYOURLICENSEL IAM wanted no part of being restrained in his YR debut and that resulted in an

impossible trip - Siegelman can just send him from this spot tonight, and he showed up in Canada that he

can win races on the front end (7) IMOUTTHEDOOR came up a little short last week while looking to

stretch his winning streak to 4 - more than capable of making amends tonight, but hard to take another short

price from all the way out here. (4) LINCOLN BOULEVARD has gone a few good efforts since shipping

down from Canada in Nov., and he may get a contested pace to rally into - another decent value horse to

consider. (3) JET ACE was able to outrun a much softer field last week, but won't find things as easy

against these - maybe can grab a small piece? (6) REMEMBER THE BEACH shows some ok lines out of

town, but draws poorly (off a bad date) for his new barn, and may need a better spot to strut his stuff. (8)

BEEBEETEE failed to get into the hunt for his new barn last week and after drawing Post 8 tonight, may

have to wait another week before he can show us what he's got. (5) SNAP CALL lands in a low profile

barn after exiting the perennial leading barn in the nation - we'll just keep an eye on him, for now.


RACE 8 - (5) OUR CORELLI N debuted for the Super Siblings last week and gave the training tandem

their first Yonkers win of the year - faces a little tougher field tonight, but looks like he may be able to take

another. (3) HEAVENS GAIT finished crisply from a difficult spot last week, and really wasn't bad the

week before (no threat 2nd off the winter break) - may be ready to come up with a big one tonight. (1)

DOWNTOWN BUS hasn't won here in a long time, but he was 2nd best to the top choice last week, and

could easily replicate that performance from the same spot tonight. (2) EAST BEACH had to settle for 2nd

last week when easily rebuffed by the well meant, front end winner - should have a say again tonight, but

may be looking at a little smaller piece. (6) BENJIS BEST was really good here this fall, but his last couple

(in NJ) suggest he MAY be a notch off that top level - he's also in a tough spot, drawing outside a few live

foes in his YR return. (4) BETTER UP moves inside a bit, but still is facing tougher than he'd like - wait for

a better spot. (7) FIZZING N has been a little short, and now moves from the rail to Post 7 - tough spot.


RACE 9 - (4) COWGIRL LILLY has been remarkably consistent for a very long stretch, and is overdue for

a victory - we'll give her the narrow edge over a pretty evenly matched bunch. (5) MILLWOOD BONNIE

N came up just short two back, and lacked stretch room in her last - another that seems overdue to get her

picture taken. (7) APRIL AVA was no factor last week but at least she didn't burn a lot of $$ (like she had

been doing, almost every start) - the price will actually be pretty square this week if you think Brennan can

work out a manageable trip for her. (2) POPPY DRAYTON N appreciated the post relief last week and

came up with the game first over victory - she's not our first choice, but it would hardly be a shock if she

was able to repeat. (3) GREENHILL HANOVER had been sharp for a hot barn so last week's dull effort

was a bit of a surprise - we'll see tonight if it was just an off week, or if she's starting to head in the wrong

direction. (1) SHECANDANCE N probably needed her last start, and should be tighter tonight - could

easily pick up a piece for herself from the pole. (8) BALFAST N produced back to back wins from a pair of

rails, but trailed all the way from Post 8 in her last....and she's stuck outside here again. (6) TOBAGO

TIME shows some solid DD form, but she'll probably be facing tougher in this spot.


RACE 10 - (7) HIPPESTCATINTOWN paced evenly at the back in his first start back in 2022 (no prayer

spot), then was an ok 4th last week behind a trio of horses that are probably a bit better than these - showed

enough for his current connections to purchase him after that last start, and he has enough speed to leave

from out here - could be a good value play in a tough race. (4) CAPTAIN FANCY has been going solid

miles on a weekly basis since adding Lasix in Nov. - definitely a legitimate threat here, but not an attractive

betting proposition at that 9/5 ML price. (2) PERFECTBOY HANOVER has thrown some big efforts for

his top shelf connections, and may end up with a good trip from this spot - logical player. (1) LAUGHAGA

IN HANOVER had to go inside the pylons to avoid a wipeout last week (resulting in a DQ to 3rd) but did

pace gamely to the wire after being able to squeeze back onto the track - chance to take home a good piece,

with the right trip. (3) SAULSBROOK HERO is 9-4-1-1 since arriving at YR but has made a couple of

breaks (including one last week, in his first try at this level) - barn has been red hot for some time, so it's

hard to count this guy out of it. (5) CAPTIVATE HANOVER is another that went offstride last start -will

likely be handled conservatively here, but that's his preferred style anyway - maybe can rally for a piece, at

a price? (6) SEE YA WRITE N benefited the most from a pair of simultaneous breakers on the final turn

last week - draws outside, and we're definitely leaning to others.


RACE 11 - (3) PAT STANLEY N returned from a 2 month layoff in a new barn, qualified nicely, and only

lost by a little over a length (at The Swamp) in a start he probably needed - he's used to facing a lot better

than these, and we'll give him the nod returning to The Hilltop. (2) ST LADS BEAT IT was shipping in

from Canada having missed 6 weeks but was still sent off as the favorite last week, and absolutely crushed

his rivals - can handle tonight's class jump and be a major player once again. (4) SOHO WALLSTREET A

looked good winning his last start (2nd off the claim) for a barn off to a fast start in 2022 - should have a

big say in tonight's outcome as well. (1) TURBO HILL has been racing ok across the river, draws best and

will be forwardly placed throughout - we'll see how strong he is at the end, though. (7) PARMESAN N was

a decent 3rd two back but unable to build on that in his last - another outside draw figures to slow him

down once more. (6) ABERDEEN HANOVER is a bit cheap, but racing ok right now - chance for a minor

share. (8) GIVENUPDREAMING was just 1 for 30 here last year, and draws Post 8 upon arrival from DD -

pass for tonight. (5) LA PLAYER A re-qualified after 2 months off, and will try to finally start doing some

damage here at Yonkers (he has been a pretty big disappointment to this point).


RACE 12 - (2) RED RIGHT HAND brings a 4 race winning streak into tonight and showed last week (as

the prohibitive favorite) that he has no trouble handling older foes, as well - faces legitimate rivals here, but

remains the one to catch and beat. (3) ROCK CANDY has been racing well pretty much every start for

trainer that excels with all kinds of stock - good one to include underneath in exotics (4) SOMEBADDUDE

is a very solid player at this level, and comes into tonight off a sharp first over 2nd - another with a good

chance to land somewhere on the ticket. (1) CONBOYVILLE has done very good work since arriving here

this Fall - draws another rail, and that could help him pick up another small share. (5) KERFORD ROAD A

qualified sharply and actually beat better than these back on 11/15 - would consider using for 3rd/4th here.

(7) FOO FIGHTER N wasn't bad at all last week in a start he probably needed - unfortunately, another bad

draw may result in him having to wait another week to land in a better scenario. (6) GINGRAS BEACH

was able to kick in through the lane to get up at the wire over softer last week - not sure he can do too much

damage from the back against these, though. (8) REDBANK BLAZE A does his best work vs. a bit

cheaper, and from a much better post.

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