Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • October 6, 2021

The Empire Report - Wednesday, October 6, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) CAPTAIN HILL clearly has some significant issues (couple of recent "lame" scratches) but

clearly he also has plenty of ability vs. these types (couple of recent wins) - if he shows up feelin' good, he

might make his Yonkers debut a winning one...but not one to bet the rent money on at too short a price. (1)

FOX VALLEY NEMITZ was an okay 3rd in a quick mile in his last local try - pretty good form out of

town since then, including a nice win at The Swamp 2 back - seems like a pretty live player from this spot.

(5) BUGGER BRUISER has been claimed 4 straight weeks...but he didn't win any of those starts - his

quick getaways always seem to make him a contender...but he also seems better used underneath, rather

than on top. (8) JUNIORS DEW moved to a barn clicking at 42% for last week's local debut and he fooled

very few, winning as the favorite in wire to wire fashion - faces a much tougher task from Post 8 tonight,

but still worth considering IF the price is good enough. (7) MOXLEY benefited from good trips the last 2

weeks and grabbed a pair of 2nds - likely facing a much tougher journey tonight but at that 15-1 ML price,

at least consider underneath. (4) NOBLES FINESSE has just one 3rd from 5 local starts this year - maybe

can save ground for a minor award? (3) CHACHING HANOVER would seem to need things to fall apart

for a chance at any decent piece. (6) LANAS DESIRE has been able to follow up that big win 4 back with

anything close to that effort - always willing to give him a look at huge prices, though.


RACE 2 - (2) LIMERENCE came alive off the class drop last week but ran into a very sharp winner and

had to settle for 2nd - moves inside, gets a big switch to Holland and looms the one to beat. (5) MEADOW

BRANCH RICKY was a nice 3rd in NJ last week, and beat better in PA back on 8/6 - he's won here in the

past, and really feels like the main danger. (3) STINGLIKE A B K wasn't necessarily "good" in his last

pair, but at least he showed life at some point in each race - gets major post relief, and we'll see if he's ready

to step up his game a bit more. (6) CAVILL HANOVER ships in from Ohio with lines that are a bit hard to

gauge - he raced well here a few times in 2019-20, and may not be a bad one to include underneath. (4) I

HAVE A DREAM hasn't hit board in 5 starts since changing barns, but may be able to squeeze out a small

piece against these. (7) TOUGH MAC faltered on the lead last week and with tonight's outside draw, may

have trouble ever getting into the race. (1) LIGHTS COME ON seems fairly overmatched here - hopefully

won't get in anybody else's way.


RACE 3 - Tough race! (6) MARCED DEBUTANTE may not be the best horse to arrive from the Iowa

fairs but she does have 9 wins, and faces a pretty suspect NW2 group in her YR debut - have to believe

she'll be a good fit, with a chance to win right off the bat. (7) MAKE A SCENE always hinted at having

more ability than she was showing, but has struggled to get her act together consistently - returns to YR off

a PcD win, and we'll see if she's sharp enough to Overcome Post 7 and beat these too. (3) ROLL WITH

SHORTY usually finds herself in the hunt most weeks, and is a very logical threat tonight...she's also just 1

for 23 lifetime, and it would be hard to endorse her as the 9/5 ML choice. (1) MOZILLA has some ugly

looking lines but exits a 4% barn and perhaps her new (VERY young!) pilot can get more speed out of her -

interesting possibility at 20-1 ML. (8) KEYSTONE DELIGHT has picked up only smaller pieces in PA

since the barn change, and draws all the way outside in her YR return - only if the price is pretty juicy. (2)

EARLYBIRD SPECIAL has yet to impress but goes from Cory to Jordan, so perhaps she can up her game

a bit. (4) TIME TO IMAGINE has some ok lines at Hoosier, but is hard to gauge for tonight, in her new

barn. (5) LOUD BRAZILIAN is just 10-0-1-0 locally - prefer to try some of the fresh faces.


RACE 4 - (2) SHE KNOWS IT ALL was racing well all season on Ohio but without a victory - was

purchased prior to her last start and promptly jogged in the Ohio Breeders Championship (at Delaware) -

looms the one to beat in her YR debut, but that even money ML price makes it impossible for her to offer

any value. (6) VIOLETS RAINBOW also ships in from Ohio and lands in the barn with highest win % at

Yonkers (over 40%!) - if you're looking to go against the top choice, she may be the right one. (1) CATIE

FAYE HANOVER beat a cheaper field here 4 starts back, then was actually pretty good when 4th from an

impossible spot in last - good one to include underneath. (5) BRUSH N CRUSH has 2 recent wins here,

and has a one pretty good move in her - another good one for the bottom of exotics. (3) OK LETS ROCKN

ROLL is another Ohio invader, and she lands in a barn that has been doing good work lately - may be

slightly cheaper, but we'll learn more tonight. (8) SEA OF LOVE BC probably will have a hard time

getting in play from out here, but she's a reasonable option for 3rd/4th if spreading a bit in your exotics. (4)

SOCIETY JILL has been struggling lately, and is need of a wake up call if she hopes to have any say here.

(7) ROBMOTION BLUECHIP may show some early speed, but it's her lack of finish that's the issue.


RACE 5 - (6) LIFEWITHJOHN makes his local debut for an owner/trainer combo that has enjoyed

incredible success together over the past few months - might as well stick with the hot hand in this wide

open race. (3) KINGSTONS BAD BOY lost all chance when outleft and parked last week, but he was 2nd

and 1st the two starts before that, and adds Lasix for tonight- legitimate threat with any half decent trip. (4)

TOLLY HO was no factor in 30s off the claim last week but drops a notch to 25s for tonight, and also

moves in a couple of slots - may be much liver this time around. (1) P H KENNY had to work very hard

chasing the hot pace from the pocket last week, and did a nice job hanging in there and finishing a close

2nd at the wire - could sit a good trip from this spot, and land somewhere on the ticket. (2) TIME OUT IM

TIRED was racing well for a bunch of starts but has seen his form fall off recently - will need to pick up his

game to be a threat tonight. (7) JIMS PERFECT TEN has 3 recent Tioga wins but it's hard to say how his

form will translate against the locals - tough post to overcome, even if he's good. (8) HAPPY TRIO beat

this level 2 back but was helped by a good trip - not sure that the trip luck will fall in his favor from all the

way out here. (5) OHIO VINTAGE just hasn't been very good in some time.


RACE 6 - (4) FASHION FOREVER has been sharpening every week since returning from a layoff and

would have jogged last week....had he not run into Torkil's best mile ever at Yonkers - gets a big switch to

Dube tonight and while he's moving up in class, he still has a good chance to beat these. (7) IN MY

DREAMS can reverse form and throw big efforts off poor form at any time...and that's exactly what we saw

last week - steps up and draws outside, but don't count him out too quickly! (3) RESITA was awful in his

local debut but was ton better in last, finishing up with plenty of trot at the end - can be a player here if he

replicates that performance. (1) ZAGSTER drops and draws the pole, but also hasn't been looking close to

his best lately - can go either way. (5) THISISSHE was very good here last year but not nearly as sharp in

2021 - returns from "The Aces" with mixed form, and it's truly a guessing game as to which version we'll

see tonight. (2) OOH RAH is 16-0-2-2 here over the last two seasons - willing to consider underneath, for a

smaller share. (6) SHOWMEYOURGUNS just hasn't been doing anything good recently - waiting for

better signs. (8) DYNAMIC EDGE would be a player with these from a decent post, but may have a hard

time getting involved from out here.


RACE 7 - Wide open: (2) SANDYS BEACH wasn't bad when 2nd after the barn change last week, and

that Monti qualifier should keep her tight - maybe can use her one big move to win from this spot. (3)

CHECKERED PAST rallied nicely for 3rd from Post 8 last week, moves inside, and is definitely

comfortable at this level - possibility. (7) STOWAWAY HANOVER is a legitimate Open mare when right,

and would handle these easily if even close to her best....but she does seem well off her peak level right

now, so insist on a decent price if using her on top. (6) CORAL BELLA was a good 3rd off the claim 2

back, and landed on a bad trip in her last (excuse) - not sure she can win from this spot but that 20-1 ML

price does make her an attractive option for exotics. (4) COWGIRL LILLY was 2nd best to a stickout in

her local debut but was already giving way when she broke last week - respect her chances, but also suspect

she'll be overbet. (5) KAITLYN N is 0 for 20 on the year and broke in the slop last week - her other recent

form hasn't been bad, however, and she may be able to pick up a piece of this with the right trip. (1)

AMANDEROSA returns in good form, but has been facing much softer out of town - she's also camera shy

(even when sharp), so make sure to get a pretty good price if you fancy her chances. (8) TELL ME A JOKE

is the outsider...literally and figuratively.


RACE 8 - (4) SVF CASH DEPOSIT had been struggling for some time but his last two were much better -

catches a very shaky field tonight and deserves top billing...but he's 1 for 30 on the year (0 for 23 at YR) so

don't bet the ranch on this one at a short price. (8) LADY EAGLE isn't close to her best game lately but

may still be able to beat a lot of these, even from Post 8. (1) LINCOLN TUNNEL really figured to be

sharper last week but turned in another dull performance - one more chance to find some better form? (2)

DEW CAN DEW is notoriously camera shy but has to be given at least a look (at a nice price) in this very

shaky field. (3) BINGO QUEEN hasn't been sharp at all, but may be able to find some life against these. (7)

SKYWAY TINACIOUS is hard to like off her recent form but she did win here on 8/11 in this class, and

has to at least be considered for a piece. (5) PETERS EXPRESS is 19-0-1-2 locally over the past 2 years -

prefer others. (6) SHARED INTEREST folded horribly in 3 straight starts before re-qualifying - waiting for

a more competitive try before considering.


RACE 9 - (6) FIZZING N hasn't been at his best lately but the drop to the basement may perk him up -

grabs his fair share of wins at YR, and this may be a spot to grab another. (7) ABRAXAS BLUES A would

seem to be in a pretty brutal spot but he has 8 wins here over the last 2 years, and he'll be a big price in a

race with no standouts. (8) CECIL CASANOVA has looked good in NJ since returning from a short break -

another that's facing a very tough spot, but with chance to be there at a nice price. (3) MINNIE VINNIE

raced well here in the Rooney as a youngster, but has had a tough time over the past few years since then -

hard to have any idea how he'll race tonight after spending the summer on the Iowa Aged Fair circuit. (2)

KIMANI N was no good at all in his last few local starts but his barn has been heating up, and he just

missed at Chester last week - another in a long list of possibilities. (4) GRAND PRIORITY will likely

attract plenty of attention here, as he's "first time Super Siblings" - as great as that angle is, it'll still be hard

to take a short price on a horse that's 1 for 42 over the last 2 years! (1) MR MCDREAMY doesn't feel like a

threat to win, but he may be able to tow along for a small piece. (5) OUTRAGEOUS HISTORY hasn't

clicked yet since arriving from The Maritimes.


RACE 10 - Another tough race: (2) BROWNIE has struggled in his last 3 after pulling off a surprise win in

the Fhd. Preferred - drops a bit, and this might be a spot where he can relax early, then trot by these at the

end. (1) CHIEF JUSTICE is an in and out type, but capable with these when in the right mood - we'll see

how he gets along with his talented young pilot. (4) WARRAWEE SHIPSHAPE was worn down by the

dropdown winner last week but held ok late for 4th - really wouldn't be a surprise if he was able to wire this

bunch. (3) UVA HANOVER has been more consistent lately, but does tend to get overbet at times -

definitely possible here, but he's just 1 for 11 at YR over the last 2 years, and not a great play (on top) at a

short price. (5) WINDSONG PIONEER does his damage on the front end so his fate was pretty much

sealed when he didn't leave the gate last week - has some speed inside him tonight, so may have to wait

another week. (6) MISS YOU KELLY normally needs easier, but since her barn did have a few major wake

up calls recently, don't just toss her too quickly! (7) SUMATRA's only recent win was a narrow victory at

the bottom level - tough spot from Post 7 in NW10000.


RACE 11 - (2) MUFASAAS may not be the most consistent trotter on the planet but he does seem to come

up with his fair share of good efforts - one of many possible winners in here, depending on how the race

goes. (5) LEVITATION goes back to a catch driver tonight and Siegelman did steer him to a win in the

Fhd. Preferred not that long ago - has a realistic chance here. (3) HUNTING AS drops after a pair of 8

holes vs. better, and he was a winner here at this level on 7/21 - possibility. (6) DRAZZMATAZZ chased a

hot pace last time, kept trying and was a close 2nd at the end - will need some trip luck, but he's not

impossible here. (4) CON AIR HALL benefited from an easy trip last time but he responded when called

upon and wanted it most at the end - chance to be a player again with a similar effort. (1) INNISFALLEN

still hasn't visited the Yonkers photographer but he has speed from the pole, and can stick around for a

share. (7) IM THE MUSCLE was well backed in his last 3 and finally rewarded the faithful with last

week's sharp try - moves up a notch, draws outside, and may have a tough time replicating that last mile.


RACE 12 - (4) ELLAGATOR had been racing well in general, but really put it all together last week in a

mile that was as sharp as it looks on paper - faces a very tough foe tonight, but we'll still give her the edge

off that last effort. (5) ITZPAPALOTL is a very nice 3YO who beat the talented NATASHA here in a NW6

race. and comes into this off a 2nd in the Excelsior A Final - she's also been away for almost 4 weeks, and

may not be fully cranked for tonight...still very dangerous, though! (2) THUNDRA gets her first good post

in ages and should be able to parlay that into a decent piece. (1) MY CAM GIRL doesn't appear to be on

her best game right now but she's gone some good miles here in the past, and is listed at 20-1 ML - ok for a

piece. (3) ROLL ON MAMA is below the top ones, but draws well enough to possibly tow along for a

minor share. (6) CHELSKI, (7) RUTHMAE HANOVER, and (8) LET ER BUCK all figure to have a hard

time ever finding their way into contention from their outside posts.

By soaofny February 21, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 21, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 20, 2025
The Empire Report – Thursday, February 20, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 19, 2025
The Empire Report – Wednesday, February 19, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 18, 2025
The Empire Report – Tuesday, February 18, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 14, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 14, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 13, 2025
The Empire Report – Thursday, February 13, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 12, 2025
The Empire Report – Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 11, 2025
The Empire Report – Tuesday, February 11, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 10, 2025
The Empire Report – Monday, February 10, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 7, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 7, 2025 – Race Analysis
Show More
Share by: