Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • June 15, 2021

The Empire Report - Tuesday, June 15, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (3) RAILIN JENNINGS is winless in 9 career starts but has probably faced better than these in

most of them (while having some success along the way) - makes his local debut in a field with no scary

rivals, and we'll give him the edge in tonight's opener. (4) BARRYWHITE HANOVER has yet to find the

winner's circle in 7 tries but has been 2nd 4 times - would appear to be the main rival, and it would be no

surprise at all if he came out on top. (1) BIDEN NATION hasn't really impressed in his 2 local tries but he

still seems better than most/all of the others, especially with the rail draw - use in exotics. (7) HAPPY

CAMPER was well backed in his 3rd career start but weakened after cutting the mile (he was scratched

sick the next week, so that may have been an issue) - returns after a 5 week absence, draws outside, and

will likely be handled conservatively this start. (8) RIDEAU SUNSHINE finished well in his first YR try

but failed to build off that in his next couple - Post 8 only makes things even tougher. (2) BUD TRUCK is

14-0-0-1 but the inside draw at least gives him a chance to tow along for a small share. (5) WEST COAST

KID usually shows speed, but his poor finishes have plagued him - needs to find more stamina. (6) BELL

FAMILY has yet to hit board in 7 career starts.


RACE 2 - (3) TAPPED TEEN has been inconsistent this year but when he's "on", he's gone some very

good miles (including beating #2 at Chester, when that one was sent off at 1/10) - just missed to a very nice

colt at PcD 2 back, but then tired last week after a first over attempt on the off going - worth a play IF the

price is decent. (2) SHAKESPEARE showed quite a bit of promise at 2 but like the top choice, he's been a

bit unreliable from start to start - clearly talented enough to beat these on his best...but also likely to be

overbet here. (1) THINKING OF SLIM was a solid 2nd (to #6) in his first local try, then rallied for pieces

from too far back in his last couple - rail draw should put him much closer to the action, and he definitely

has a chance here if the top pair fail to deliver. (4) MY BOY JACK is definitely on the upswing, and was

able to break his maiden last week after a barn change - we'll see if he can up his game just a little more,

and give the top ones a real tussle. (6) SARANAC BLUE CHIP is sharp right now, and his gate speed gives

him a chance to put himself in play with a quick start - include in exotics. (7) SIX DEGREES has been

sharper in his last few, but faces a tall task from Post 7 - maybe a chance for 3rd/4th? (5) UNWRITTEN

RULE is another that's on the upswing, but he still appears to be a notch below the main players. (8) SPIN

NAKER HANOVER seems unlikely to be able to get into contention from all the way out here.


RACE 3 - (2) WELL DONE SON went a huge mile in defeat here last start, debuting for a barn that has

been sending its new acquisitions into orbit lately (and just had a pair of total jogburger winners here on

Fri. night) - sometimes you just stick with what's working! (4) DANCING JOE took plenty of $$ two back

and delivered an impressive 1st over score - too far to come from Post 8 in last, but the move inside puts

him back into play tonight. (6) AQUAMAN HANOVER beat a NW3 field at Chester on 4/23 then was

scratched from his next - qualified back sharply at Monti, adding Lasix and just missing to the talented

Sauvignon Bluechip - could offer some good value here. (5) KEYSTONE NOLAN rallied in a quick mile 2

back them pounced on a perfect trip to win his last - may be a notch below a couple of these, but would

hardly be a surprise. (7) NUTTIN BUT FINESSE was wildly overbet last start (1/10!) but did manage to

easily handle a much softer group - faces much tougher now from a bad post, and may be looking at a much

smaller piece. (1) MCBUSTER raced much better in his 2nd local try but still seems a bit below a few of

the main players...even with the good draw. (3) OLD TOWN ROAD was a little better in his 2nd YR start

but would need to improve quite a bit more to be a real threat here. (8) OLD PAL is the outsider, both

literally and figuratively.


RACE 4 - (7) LAREDO TORPEDO N lands in a pretty soft NW5000 field, and tonight marks his debut for

a barn that has been improving horses massively in recent weeks - we'll stick with that angle for as long as

it keeps clicking. (1) TALENT SOUP hasn't been on our radar screen for some time but his barn has sent

out a couple of "wake up calls" recently, and this guy could be next - not a bad week to use him on your

tickets. (3) THUNDER SOME WHERE has raced ok here in the past when drawn inside, and his last pair

in NJ don't look bad at all - this is the type of field where he may be able to make some noise. (8) ZACH

MAGUIRE N raced well 2 and 3 back and he was hopelessly trapped in the back in his last - not a bad

bomb in a race that just may produce one. (2) OURLITTLEGENERAL A is just 1 for 21 over the last 2 yrs.

at YR but his recent form at Monti isn't bad, and he does actually fit well here - not impossible. (6)

KILLER MARTINI rarely winds and often gets overbet - won't say he CAN'T win, but there are better

alternatives to consider, (5) COLUMBO may be the favorite horse of the computer that generates the ML

as he was usually listed as the favorite most of last year....despite his 21-0-1-0 record! His current Fhd form

is a bit better, but he did recently lose 3 straight as the betting choice...possible, but no value, for sure. (4)

ULTIMATE FLYER N has struggled with lesser at Fhd. - prefer others.


RACE 5 - Evenly matched race: (2) WARRAWEE WHYNOT hit board in 6 straight in PA before a solid

4th in last - may not have picked him on top if it was a couple of weeks ago, but his (previously) ice cold

barn is doing much better since the meet restarted, and may be able to grab another win with this guy. (3)

CRUNCH HANOVER has very similar lines to the top choice, hails from top connections, and would be

no surprise at all in his YR debut. (4) ROLLING WITH SAM finally grabbed a win at Chester last week

after knocking on the door for several straight weeks - he's 0 for 12 at YR (but hit board 7X) so perhaps

maybe now that he's got the monkey off his back in PA, he can do the same thing here - possibility. (1)

THOR AND DR JONES added Lasix last week at Stga. and picked up his 3rd career win (from just 7

starts) - he MAY be a notch below his Pennsylvania rivals, but we'll learn for sure tonight. (7) CAPTAINO

FROCKNROLL has been solid in all 3 starts since returning as a 3YO but draws outside several main foes

for his local debut and that may limit him to a smaller share. (6) BRAZEN BRAZILLIAN probably needs a

better post in an easier field to be a player. (8) DELETRIUS has been facing much easier at Nfd. - pass,

even with the barn change.


RACE 6 - Tough race: (4) KEY ADVISOR was a bit disappointing in his last at Chester, finishing 3rd as

the favorite - he had some local success vs. better not that long ago, and seems as good as any in this hard

to gauge event. (5) RAPTORS FLIGHT N is hard to like off his last few but as noted, his trainer has been

getting several in the barn to seemingly sprout wings recently - worth using on that angle alone. (3) MACH

IT SO needs only about $60K to get to the $3M mark but it'll probably take a while in the veteran's current

form - he's eligible to pop off a good one here and there, but he's tough to take at short prices these days. (6)

BIG BAD BILL had some life 2 back then just missed in his last - goes for a new barn tonight, so we'll see

which direction that takes him. (7) ALEPPO HANOVER is just 1 for 35 at YR the last 2 years, but he does

throw some decent miles at big prices sometimes - ok to throw in if spreading thin this race. (1) DA

MAGICIAN was no factor in his 2 local starts but the inside draw at least gives him a chance to grab a

piece. (2) DOCTOR BUTCH was ok with cheaper in his last 2 at Monti - longtime between drinks here at

Yonkers, though. (8) ABERDEEN HANOVER picked up a win over cheaper at Chester last week, but hard

to see him reaching from all the way out here.


RACE 7 - (6) BILLY CLYDE must have been highly regarded at 2 because he did show up for a couple of

big races (even if not quite up to the top colts at that point) - won his first 2 starts back at 3, then held his

own in a trio of tough PASS events - may just be a bit better than these right now. (4) JESSICAS BEACH

BOY won in his first try for a new barn at PcD 2 back, then raced very well here for 2nd (behind a sharp,

front end winner) - if he continues to improve, he'll definitely have a shot here. (8) SPRINGBRIDGE

DUEL was very highly regarded at the start of his 2YO career but things turned sour quickly - was

purchased after the season, then impressed with a 1:51.2 score to start off his 3YO campaign - disappointed

here at YR when he lost by a nose in his next, but tonight's addition of Lasix suggests he probably bled that

night - chance, even from Post 8. (1) GAMBLINGTERROR is hard to ever consider for the top clot (3 for

68), but his recent starts have been sharp, and he's more than eligible to take home a piece of this. (2)

BAZOOKA HANOVER won 3 of 8 as a 2YO, and has started off his 3YO campaign pretty well too

(4-1-0-1) - may be a notch below the top ones, however. (5) CAPTAIN SLEAZE only won 1 of 15 starts at

2 but he did hot board 9X - off to a decent start at 3 as well, but he's another that just may be a little below

the primary players. (7) SOCRATES BLUE CHIP likely bled when up the track 2 back, then raced very

conservatively while adding Lasix from a bad post in last - unfortunately, the draw wasn't too kind to him

tonight either. (3) FURIOUS BEACH was sharp at Stga., but will have to prove he can go with these.


RACE 8 - (2) YACHT SEELSTER was sharp here earlier this year and beat this class back in March -

shipped over to NJ and remained sharp for several starts before getting too high up in class, resulting in his

form falling off - returns to YR in a spot where he can get healthy in a hurry. (1) EPIC ACE was handled a

little too conservatively 2 back and it may have cost him a victory - came back to be handled VERY

aggressively in last, and was an excellent winner, over cheaper - can handle the class hike, and remains a

solid threat. (4) NOCTURNAL BLUECHIP was in the Open less than 2 months ago but has been a

disappointment as he's plunged down through the classes - he'll probably perk up at some point... maybe

tonight? (3) BETTER UP wasn't bad 2 back (2nd time new barn) then toughed one out on the front end to

beat cheaper in last - if Kakaley can get him to relax here, he's eligible to pick up a small piece. (6) IAMM

RBRIGHTSIDE N picked up 3rds in his last 2 tries here - definitely a chance to outperform that 15-1 price

and land a piece. (5) CHEYENNE REIJANE has a couple of recent Fhd. wins, but vs. much easier - local

record just hasn't been that good. (7) ARQUE HANOVER hasn't won here since at least 2018, and draws

outside at a level a bit above what he prefers - wait for a better spot. (8) VANQUISHED N lands Post 8 off

a sick scratch - pass for tonight.


RACE 9 - (2) IM BENICIO A is worth a stab in a very tough race to figure - the class drop could really

help, and the barn sent out 2 winners and an excellent 2nd place finisher on Monday night - decent value

play. (7) BILL HALEY N was pretty sharp in his last win, and the class hike shouldn't bother him all that

much - if Zeron can find him a way into this race, he'll have a decent chance. (1) FLAMING FLUTTER N

is a tough call here - on his best, he's capable of going with much better than these...but he was no good at

all off a decent qualifier in his last, and there's no guarantee he'll show up tonight (and he may also get

overbet). (5) GLACIS (who recently added Lasix) had a couple of good starts here before struggling in the

off going at PcD - license to rebound with a much better mile here, but he'll need some action up front to

make his late kick pay off. (6) VIRGIN STORM was pretty good for a while but does seem to have tailed a

bit lately - at 20-1 ML, he's at least worth considering. (4) MISTER SPOT A returns to YR off a couple of

sharp Fhd. efforts but he was losing to cheaper here just recently, and is hard to endorse at the 2-1 ML

choice! (8) MACINTOSH N doesn't win all that often but he does pick up good pieces, even at this level -

if you think Marohn might try to leave with him, throw him underneath in your exotics. (3) MAROMA

BEACH does his best damage with cheaper.


RACE 10 - (2) DIAMONDBEACH was a generous 9/2 winner off the qualifier last week - he's gone

plenty of big miles here and while he is prone to the occasional clunker, his overall form has been excellent

- deserves top billing in what should be a pretty good race. (4) SIMON SAYS HANOVER showed lots of

potential at 2 - a couple of dullish return qualifiers at 3 saw him entered in the TSS (instead of the PaSS)

but he certainly seems to have sharpened quickly...it'll be tough for this 3YO to take on seasoned rivals but

he just may good enough to give them a battle. (6) BLANK STARE won the NYSS Final here last year as

part of a $205K season but he just hasn't been able to find the winner's circle yet at 5 (5-0-3-1) -- he'll get

there sooner rather than later, but in the meanwhile he's been burning some $$ at the windows! (3) QUAG

MIRE BLUECHIP was on a nice roll before getting caught in the back of the pack after a :58.3 half two

back - raced much better in his next, and can be part of this with another decent journey. (5) LOUS SWEE

TREVENGE qualified back nicely after a brief freshening - he's won 3 of 7 local starts, but does seem to be

a notch below a few of the main players in here. (8) SUMTHINBOUTIM just toured the oval from Post 8

at PcD last week and may do the same tonight...but IF you think that Bongiorno may take a shot at leaving

with him, he's certainly gone enough sharp miles here to have a chance...at a big price. (1) CHEYENNE

RYAN LEE ships in with some good looking Fhd. lines but just seems a bit on the cheaper side. (7) SO

MANY ROADS has upset these in the past, but will need a LOT to go his way to have a chance from all

the way out here.


RACE 11 - (6) AUDI HARE N came up with a big one in last, finishing 2nd at 66-1 to a sharp Luciano N

(after sitting last to the half) - he moves to the owners' high % trainer now, and is definitely worth using at

that 9-1 ML price. (8) HERRICKROOSEVELT N is hard to really gauge right now (has he tailed a bit, or

simply been in impossible spots, vs. much better?) - obviously Post 8 won't make things any easier, but it

will help his price considerably - hard to leave him off the ticket down at this level. (2) CHRISTEN ME N

still has some big miles in his 13YO legs but he's also somewhat unreliable at this point in his career - more

than capable of winning from this spot, but he'll also be overbet. (5) VILLIAM has never done much in his

local starts but certainly seems to have improved considerably while down in Florida - we'll see if he can do

better at The Hilltop this time around. (3) SOUTHWIND MOROCCAN pounced a good trip to pick up his

first win of the year last week - steps up, but maybe can grab a small piece? (1) CAMPORA would prefer

to be in a bit cheaper, but the rail draw may help him take home a minor share. (7) SPORTS BETTOR does

his biggest damage vs. cheaper - hard to recommend at this level, from Post 7. (4) KNOCKING AROUND

has missed a month (scratched sick) - pass this week.


RACE 12 - Interesting finale: (1) IDEAL ARTILLERY got tired of taking back to last from 8 holes and

blasted out of there last week....only to end up trapped for too long into the stretch, losing all chance - he

definitely has more ability than he's been able to show lately, and may be able to pull off a mild upset here.

(3) SHINY BLACK BEAMER was 2nd best in a hot mile here 2 back, and won his last local start prior to

that - hails from a top barn, and does look pretty appealing at that 15-1 ML price. (7) EXPLOIT earned

nearly $400K as a 2YO, ending his season with a 2nd in the Governors Cup - has already gone some big

miles since returning at 3 but he has only one win in 4 starts, and lands a poor post while trying the half

miler....may be worth taking a shot against him at a pretty short price. (2) COALITION HANOVER is

already 9-3-4-0 this year, and that includes a 2nd here in a Reynolds division - another possible player,

especially with the good draw. (4) BETTOR AT HIGHTIDE usually finishes well - good one to use for

3rd/4th. (6) ROGERTHAT BLUECHIP would have a chance at a piece with a better draw, but may struggle

from Post 6. (5) MASTER CONRAD has some ok recent starts but just appears to be a little on the cheaper

side. (8) SAILBOAT HANOVER draws Post 8 after breaks in 2 of his last 3 starts - pass for now.


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