Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • March 16, 2021

The Empire Report - Tuesday, March 16, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - M Life Rewards Ladies Pacing Series - (3) PETTYCOAT BUSINESS came into the series

looking like she might be able to dominate it...the first two legs showed that isn't the case (a 3rd place finish

and a hard fought win), but she's still the clear choice to beat these -- just don't bet the rent money on her at

another very short price! (2) DRAGON ROLL has a couple of recent short priced wins but both were on

the lead, and she was life-and-death to prevail in both - chance to knock off the top one, but more likely to

end up 2nd or 3rd. (4) FLIRTY FORTY was a 21-1 winner in the first round, beating the top choice after

sitting the 3 hole to the stretch - always possible she can do it again, but another that's more likely to end up

2nd or 3rd, rather than get her picture taken. (5) PRINCESS SHARKTANK came up weak in her last, but

may have been hurt by the bad date - eligible to be sharper now, but will also likely be trying to rally from

too far back. (6) LITTLE SANDY TOES does ok when she can just sit easy up close trips - her best hope is

to leave hard and HOPE for a spot near the lead...although that may not work out either. (1) AMERICAN

CHANCE draws best but is 0 for 18 and just seems overmatched here.


RACE 2 - M Life Rewards Ladies Pacing Series - (1) RABLE was sent off off at 1/2 for her local debut on

the strength of her 5 for 5 career record (at Dover) - was a little steppy at the start but settled in well shortly

after, couldn't pull into the hot :27.4 third panel but was gaining ground late with every stride, and just

missed at the wire - faces the same mare who beat her last week, but let's give her a chance to redeem

herself. (4) PAIGES GIRL had a few tough starts before waking up with a big win 3 back - was hopelessly

blocked in her next, but made her first start in this Series a winning one, holding off the top pick (and one

other) in a very game front end score - more than capable of beating these again, and clearly the main threat

(2) MOUTH WATERING has done well in her handful of local tries and probably a good fit here - was a

good 4th from a no chance spot in the first leg, but was "scratched lame" from last week's leg and has to be

seen as at least a bit risky for tonight - still willing to use underneath, though. (3) MOANING LISA's two

local wins came when she ended up with perfect trips in "fall apart" races - that being said she does fit well

with these and could easily pick up a nice slice here (but still prefer others for the top slot) (5) P L NELLY

does her best work on/near the lead, and that doesn't seem possible from this spot - wasn't bad in last, and

could see throwing her in for 3rd. (6) AVAYA HANOVER took advantage of a quick start and slow mile to

be 2nd at 27-1 last week - not sure she can be as opportunistic tonight, though


RACE 3 - (7) VINNY DE VIE is somewhat of an enigma as he HAS ability, but has struggled to get into

any kind of decent groove - should have built up some confidence with that win at Fhd. and he's used to

facing much tougher locally - good chance here if Bongiorno can keep him trotting. (2) SEVEN KNIGHTS

just quit with no apparent reason last week, but it's not long ago that he beat this class (and also won one

level higher) - could offer some good value, with that last line scaring off some players. (5) CR BLAZIN

BEAUTY finished poorly in her last couple at PcD but that was vs. better, and after putting in bids in both

races - definitely worth considering as long as the price is fair. (1) BAZILLIONAIRE should be able to take

advantage of the draw and pick up a nice piece from this spot...but his low win % makes it hard to use on

top, at the expected short price. (8) WATKINS had been struggling so it was nice to see that better effort

from the 14YO last week - not sure how much damage he can do from all the way out here, though. (3)

PRESIDENTE ZETTE seems to race well out of town but his last 2 starts here haven't been good - always

respect this barn, but would rather see a decent race from this guy before hopping back on board. (4) DEW

CAN DEW has pretty much run out of excuses - sticking with others, for now. (6) ARCHIBALD actually

raced very well in his last 2 local tries...but is hard to recommend off his current Fhd. form.


RACE 4 - M Life Rewards Ladies Pacing Series - (1) TURNTHEFROWNAROUND is never "flashy",

never dominates, but comes into this race having won 3 of her last 4, with a traffic-filled 3rd in the loss -

has to be accorded the edge based on the rail draw, but not one you'd want to bet the mortgage payment on.

(3) SOMEBEACHSOMEFRA is clearly the main danger, and more than capable of knocking off the top

one - sports a strong 9-3-1-2 local record, and was right there (2nd and 3rd) in the first 2 legs - we'll see if

she can finish just a bit stronger, and reverse the loss to #1 from two weeks back. (2) BREAK THE DEAL

reverted to some bad tendencies last week, getting rough at a couple of points then tiring badly in the

stretch after putting in a nice bid on the back side - her previous start was sharp, though, so we'll have to

see which version shows up tonight. (4) SPECIAL ACHIEVER was on a good form streak for a while but

came up empty in her last, and her barn has been struggling a bit, in general - will need a bounce-back mile

if she hopes to be any kind of player. (5) DOTTED LINE raced well in a pair of Feb. starts but hasn't come

up sharp in her 2 Series efforts - another hoping for a wake up call here. (6) READY SET ROCK does her

best with easy trips, from good posts - may find herself unable to get into the mix from Post 6. (7) SO

NICE HANOVER remains a work in progress - may be happy just to get a clean mile in from this spot


RACE 5 - (1) BLU CREW got stuck trying a LONG first over move against the 3/5 favorite last start and

understandably flattened a bit (to 4th) in the stretch - prior local try was a game first over win, and he also

added a "brush and crush" blowout at Fhd. in between -- rail draw should allow him to move to the lead at

some point...and that will make him tough to reel in. (4) QUAGMIRE BLUE CHIP has some ability (when

he behaves), and he showed that in last week's solid 3rd place finish - at 9-1 on the ML, he deserves a look

in here. (2) NOME HANOVER's first over try stalled quickly into the hot pace last week - he's better than

that, and can have a bigger impact tonight with an easier trip. (7) WALK IT TALK IT took no $$ in his first

2 local starts and never even attempted to get into the race in either mile (both from Post 7) - moved inside

last week and suddenly was sent off at even money...but he was no match at all for the fired up winner, and

couldn't even get 2nd - moves back outside again, so check the tote board to try to gauge his intentions for

this week. (5) ROLL WITH DOM followed up a local win with a victory in PA...but landed in 2 no-prayer

spots in his next two starts - gets some post relief now, and might be able to take home a decent piece here.

(3) FRISKY PEDRO seems below the top ones, but perhaps can save ground and pick up a minor share?

(8) REIGNING BILLS found a soft NW2 field he could handle 2 back but now faces better, and from the

worst post - pass for now. (6) VILLAGE CHAMP didn't function in either local try - waiting for some signs

of improvement before considering.


RACE 6 - (5) ROCKNROLL CHAMP was the pick last week (in a tougher spot) but was a judges scratch -

gets to make his YR debut tonight moving to a new (hot) barn, getting a big driver switch, and landing in a

field filled with questionable main players - going to stick with him. (4) BETTORS FIRE N dropped in

class last start and got to cut the mile, grabbed a very slow middle half and still gave way and tired to 4th -

the classy 13YO drops all the way to the bottom class now and while he deserves a chance to make up for

last week, he'd be hard to use on top at a short price off that effort. (2) FLYING FINN N dropped to

NW7500 last start and tried to leave....but got parked and was left with no chance - drops to what MAY be

a winning spot, but he's been off for 3 weeks (scr. sick), and seems risky at the moment. (1) KIMANI N

almost has to be a player from this spot but he's definitely well off his best form, and will still take plenty of

$$ - not much value using him on top (but willing to include underneath). (3) BRIARS DESIRE was able to

save ground and grab small pieces in his last pair...maybe can do the same here? (6) ZACH MAGUIRE N

is definitely off form, and he's been away for 3 weeks off a disappointing effort - maybe playable for

3rd/4th? (7) LONDON SEELSTER continues to struggle, and now has to contend with a move outside -

prefer others. (8) TALENT SOUP hasn't come up with a good effort in a long time


RACE 7 - (3) REIGNING DEO had been razor sharp for weeks, so it was puzzling to see back to back

disappointing efforts 2 and 3 starts back - added Lasix for last and instantly returned to that prior top form,

kicking home in a sizzling :27.3 to easily overhaul the favorite in the stretch - solid chance to repeat, and

that would likely (finally) bump him out of this nice NW6 class. (6) GALANTE A was sent off as the 6/5

choice in his local debut and went a BIG mile, parked to turn two before getting the lead then holding very

solidly for 2nd even after getting outsprinted home by REIGNING DEO - he'll be a better price tonight, and

couldn't blame anybody for staying on his team. (5) SUMTHINBOUTIM had been good for several weeks

so it was no surprise to see him crush a NW4 field last week after being able to make the top - he'll face a

lot tougher tonight (and likely be forced to race from behind), but he's sharp enough now to still be a player

(at least for a good piece). (8) SUN OF A SHOW looped to the lead at a big price last week, yielded to #6

past the quarter and still lasted for 3rd - he'll be a big price again tonight....and may just try the same tactics.

(4) BEACH BLANKET BOOK toured the oval from Post 8 in his local debut - was well backed in his next

but could only manage a two-move 4th....license to be sharper tonight, and worth including underneath. (1)

GENIUS MAN just hasn't been finishing well enough recently - looking at a good trip from this spot, so at

least consider for a small share. (7) WESTERN VACATION was "sneaky ok" from the back last week

racing off the layoff - probably ready for a bigger effort now, but may have to wait for a better spot (barn is

en fuego right now, for those looking for a potentially live bomb). (2) SUNSETBOOZECRUISE seems a

bit below these - will just watch, for now


RACE 8 - (3) ROCK DIAMONDS N was sent off 5/2 against a couple of Levy (Borgata) entrants just 3

starts back - missed by a diminishing nose in his next, then 2nd best to the "good" Ideal Jimmy (also

entered in the Borgata) in last - not a bad play in here, since he still figures to be a fair price.(6) FIZZING N

was right there 2nd behind the streaking Yankee Roller A 3 back, a sharp winner despite hard use in his

next, then a repeat winner in last, refusing to let GLACIS by him in the stretch - he can be there again, with

some trip luck. (2) MAJOR OFFENSE has hit board in 3 straight for a barn that's really clicking right now -

another possibility in this very competitive affair. (1) GLACIS has been favored in his last 3 but unable to

take the top prize in each of those starts, and his YR record now stands at 1 for 25 (despite racing well

many times) - maybe he gets over the hump tonight...but others will offer better value, at least on top. (4)

MACHEASY A has half of the barn's 4 local wins this year, and they've come in the last 3 weeks - he's

sharp now for sure, but may end up with a bit smaller prize tonight. (5) SECRECY has held his form nicely

since that big upset win 4 starts back - in pretty tough here, but suppose he can be considered for 3rd/4th.

(7) MARK WITHA K is clearly back on the comeback trail, but the poor draw (along with the class hike)

may slow him down a bit tonight. (8) NVESTMENT BLUECHIP tired badly last week after starting from

the rail - hard to like from post 8 now


RACE 9 - (5) SPEED MAN N was having some issues but looked good in his last pair after adding a

choke plate (even if he was stuck in the back, from impossible spots) - drops down to NW10000 here and

note that he was 2nd in the Open to Let It Ride N just 6 weeks back, and favored in a "Winners Over" race

just two starts later - have to believe we'll see an aggressive try from him tonight. (4) ROCK LIGHTS

hasn't won here in his last 15+ starts but has raced well/very well in most of them - definitely one to include

underneath. (2) MACINTOSH N was a dead game winner one level down in last, but holds his own

regularly in this class too - another live one for exotics. (6) TYMAL PEACEMAKER is sharp right now,

almost winning his last despite a month away - the real question here is what TRIP he'll land on from this

spot -- if it's a good one, he can take home a nice piece of this. (7) KASEY JOHN A struggled in his last 3

vs. better, but was a winner at this level 4 back upon arrival from Dover - at 20-1 ML, well worth using on

the bottom of your tickets. (1) HAN SOLO drops in class and draws the pole with the speed to use it - hard

to say what his "proper" local level is, and it MAY be a bit lower than this - we'll learn more tonight. (3)

MACH TIME N beat the bottom class 5 starts down and has raced ok for the most part since then - chance

for a minor share with an easy enough trip. (8) ZIGGY SKY get reunited with his favorite pilot, but lands

in a seemingly impossible spot



RACE 10 - (5) MOONSHINE KISSES has beaten this class (or better) 3X in his last 7 starts, along with

some close up tries at the Open level - feels like a spot where he can go right to the top and take another,

although he's shown that he can win from off the pace, if necessary. (3) CAN BE PERFECT has hit board

in 7 of his last 8 starts (4 wins), with the other try being when stuck in the back into a :55 final half - sharp

horse for a hot barn, and should be somewhere on the ticket tonight, as well. (4) KEYSTONE PHOENIX

runs hot and cold - was way off form for a few starts but did rebound nicely in last, and perhaps can build

off that better effort. (2) THE REAL ONE looks fine "on paper", but anybody familiar with him knows that

he's just not in peak form right now - still willing to use underneath, but definitely no value having him on

top right now. (8) VIRGIN STORM is razor sharp right now, but unfortunately gets stuck with Post 8 -

willing to throw him in for 3rd/4th, but he's going to be hard pressed to do better than that from all the way

out here. (1) ANTHEM N was forced to park the favorite last week (his trainer's SON's horse! LOL) but the

aggressive drive did make him a winner vs. cheaper - rail draw should keep him close, but several in here

are just better than he is. (6) FOREVER FAV is on a good roll right now (for a hot barn0 but draws outside

against tough older foes - looking at only a minor share this week. (7) BENHOPE RULZ N seems too far

out to threaten, especially at this level.

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