Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • May 26, 2021

The Empire Report - Wednesday, May 26, 2021 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) OCEANVIEW ECHO didn't race at 2 and was lightly raced at 3, but did win 3 of her 6 starts

(on half mile tracks, in Canada) - makes her 4YO return now in one of our leading barns, and that's one

very impressive qualifier (finished right behind Test Of Faith, last years fastest 2YO (1:48.4) and winner of

the NYSS Final) - the one to beat. (4) CRAZY COOL was a little overmatched here in a Reynolds division

two back but came back to win at PcD in her next start - should fit nicely with these, and be able to pick up

a nice piece. (1) LOUD BRAZILIAN gets her first good local draw after 3 outside slots - we'll see if she

can come up with a better showing tonight. (8) BLUE ME A KISS showed potential at 2, finishing 2nd in 2

of 3 Excelsior A starts - she came back to win her 3YO return at Tioga in a very impressive 1:51.4, but the

track was probably lightning fast that day - McNair opted for #5, but this filly looks much more promising.

(3) ROLL WITH SHORTY was 10-0-0-0 as a 2YO but like many of her barnmates, is just much better

right now - finished 3rd in her only start so far in 2021, and has a chance for another piece tonight. (5)

ROCKIN GOOD TIME was McNair's choice and was 2nd to a stickout in last - still think she might be a

notch below the top ones, though. (6) WELLTHERACEISON has been using quick starts in PA to pick up

some nice pieces but may find a few leaving inside of her tonight - the draw figures to hurt her chances in

her YR debut. (7) DEL DIGGITY has done some good work here in her 4 local starts but those were from

the inside - may have trouble reaching from Post 7


RACE 2 - (6) GREY has shown that she can leave the gate very quickly and that should serve her well

from this spot - she's gone some pretty strong miles with her owner on board, and now he gets a bit of an

upgrade to Zeron....very attractive at 12-1 ML. (7) URSIS DES CAILLONS could have been the only

outside leaver last week but took back to 7th and stayed there all the way....then hit the wire with good life,

after the fact - he drops in class now and as long as Marohn is willing to send him out of there, he'll have a

chance to be a legitimate player. (8) LIMERENCE just hasn't been sharp and he lands Post 8 -- but he's also

dropping to the bottom level, and the last time he was in this cheap he was a 6 length winner - willing to

include IF the price is right. (5) NEW YORK CHAPTER was a surprising claim, considering he's only

earned $16K in his career - does go to a barn that usually improves them quickly (and significantly!), so at

least give him a look if the price is juicy. (4) TOTAL DIVA should appreciate the class drop but she's just 1

for 36 over the last 2 years, so maybe consider her for an underneath slot. (3) BIG MONEY HONEY went

a few good miles here earlier last year before going the wrong way - freshened up over the winter, and his

return try (in PA) wasn't bad - prefer others, but wouldn't be shocked if he was a player tonight. (1)

WATKINS can still throw a few good ones at age 14 - this is a spot where he can be aggressive, so we'll see

if he can give the youngsters some trouble. (2) CARTIER ZETTE won an Amateur race 3 back but he also

shows way more lesser tries, than good ones.


RACE 3 - (2) DELIGHTFUL Z TAM charged home from 5th to win in her 2nd start of the year 4 back -

solid rally for 2nd to the odds on choice in her next, very game first over winner after that, then an excellent

2nd to a promising youngster in her last (after that one got an easy :57.3 half) - just seems sharpest of these

right now. (1) MISS TANGO was an even 5th in her first start in from Chester - should be sitting closer

tonight, and that could result in a much better piece. (5) SEA OF LOVE BC was a good 2nd in her first

start back as a 3YO but then wasn't as sharp in her next 3 starts - rebounded with a solid front end score in

last, so maybe she's headed back in the right direction - use underneath. (7) TRAFALGAR was ok in

several starts up in Canada as a 3YO - took her qualifier at PcD for a new barn (off a long layoff) and may

be ready to contend right off the bench - guessing the price should be decent. (8) DEJA VROOM shows

some decent tries in western Canada last year - qualified nicely at Chester for her new barn, and has a pilot

that won't be shy about sending her from Post 8 - value play? (6) ROBMOTION BLUECHIP was a very

game winner in her last, but vs. easier - outside post could also slow her down a bit in here. (3) BEAUTY

BAYAMA continues to just be "ok" every week - needs to up her game if she hopes to be a more serious

player. (4) HURRIKANEMYSHANNON weakened in that qualifier - we'll just watch, for now.


RACE 4 - (1) MONEY MAVEN is really showing some signs of wear at age 12, but he's still pretty

comfortable against these types - he toughed out a win the last time he raced here at this level, and gets the

same pilot back tonight - short price, but clearly the one to beat. (6) LUCKY JUNE BUG can be somewhat

unreliable, but he has the speed to land a good trip here, and he's had success here in some previous starts -

ok for exotics. (3) LUCKY SEVENS should be a nice fit here, ends up with Zeron at the lines, and is

another worth including underneath. (7) BROWNIE was the only horse with trot through the lane last week

as he rallied from 7th to be a close 3rd - would have been selected higher up if not for another bad draw. (2)

MISS YOU KELLY suddenly found a good effort 2 back but quickly reverted to her weaker form in last -

it's anybody's guess as to which version we'll see tonight. (4) SKYWAY TINACIOUS raced ok in his last

couple upstate but has struggled here in the past - we'll see how he does this time around (5) P C FOREIGN

AFFAIR was well backed off the barn change in an Amateur race at Monti but tired after a tough trip - he's

just 4 for 141 lifetime, and obviously a tough one to consider for a top slot! (8) NOBLE WARRAWEE was

already overmatched even before getting stuck with Post 8


RACE 5 - (1) SOMETHING REEL just didn't click after the April barn change but her last 2 at Chester

suggest that she's finally coming around - ships back in to Yonkers and lands in what feels like a winning

spot. (3) FOX VALLEY CHARLIZ finished her last pair with a bit of interest, and gets Stratton tonight

(who won with her at this level back in March) - logical threat. (2) TELL ME A JOKE is one of the few

from this barn that hasn't really picked up her game recently - still a good chance for a piece with tonight's

inside draw. (6) FEAR MY SHADOW went a much improved try here 3 back, and was a winner at Fhd.

last week before being disqualified - maybe can add some value to the exotics? (8) FULL DECK somehow

held 3rd last week after being left behind by the top pair - horrible spot, but may be able to beat a few of

these. (7) DALIANNA might be able to hang with these with a better draw, but seems unlikely to have

much say from out here. (4) TYRONBETTORSELLA N is 18-0-1-1 here over the last 2 years - needs to do

a lot better. (5) CLASSICA is a 4YO with 2 career wins and just seems to be in a bad spot


RACE 6 - (1) CLASSICIST had a long 13 start 2YO campaign and was still racing well right to the end of

it - changed hands over the winter and has come back strong at 3 for her new barn, qualifying sharply twice

before a short-priced, stakes win at Chester - faces a tough older foe tonight, but we'll still give her the edge

(5) MOSSDALE LOTTEE N has come back sharp after missing time, with that miscue 3 back her only

"bad" effort from 4 starts - spots her younger rival a post disadvantage here, and that may prove the

difference. (2) WAKEMESHAKEME disappointed as the favorite when 3rd two back, then was outkicked

late by 3 rivals in last - using her underneath only tonight. (3) WOODMERE HARRIET is usually good for

a piece when she can grab an easy trip... as she should tonight - good one for 3rd/4th. (4) CHELSKI has

leveled off after doing super in her bunch of local tries, but she's still a possibility for a minor share. (8)

ROLL ON MAMA fits well with these, but faces an uphill climb from Post 8 - perhaps the tote board may

offer some clues to her intentions here. (7) AVAYA HANOVER was unable to get involved from a similar

spot last week and faces the same problem tonight. (6) CHART TOPPER failed on the lead vs. cheaper -

will have a hard time having any real success against this better bunch


RACE 7 - (6) WHETHER OR NOT FI shipped back in off a sharp Chester win and went a big effort here

too, stuck out to 3/4s chasing the hot clip, then continuing to rally in the stretch to be a close 2nd - he's won

10 of 28 local starts, and faces a bunch of "iffy" rivals tonight - should have a solid chance. (1) STICK

WITH ME KID tired last week but that was after a first over attempt vs. much better - should be looking at

an easier trip vs. an easier bunch, and that should lead to a better result. (2) BLUE AND BOLD fits very

well here but he hasn't been on his best game in most recent starts, and did make a break in last - hard to

really get excited about a wager when he's listed as the ML favorite! (4) SVF CASH DEPOSIT's recent

efforts wouldn't be good enough to beat these but he'll now go with Lasix for his new barn. and that's not a

bad angle, if looking for a possible upsetter. (7) LADY EAGLE weakened in her first try off the claim last

start then was claimed again from that race - seems like an impossible spot, but her new trainer has won

with many "off the claim"....worth at least a look, if the price is long enough. (3) MUSCLE AVE is hard to

like off those last 2 efforts but he was facing better, and does have a good local history - maybe he can grab

a piece? (8) SHOWMEYOURGUNS is always finishing well but he comes into this at 0 for 12 on the year,

with many losses vs. much cheaper - just a hard spot up in class from Post 8. (5) TORKIL has a little more

life lately, but really needs to be in cheaper to be even a small threat.


RACE 8 - Tough race: (3) DRAGON ROLL is hard to fault off her current form, coming into this with 3

straight wins, and showing the ability to race either on or off the pace - on the flip side, she hasn't raced in 3

weeks and even if it's only because she didn't get in, it still might leave her just a little short - gets a mild

vote. (7) VICIOUS CIRCLE shows losing by 9 lengths last week but she wasn't far off 2nd at all...and that's

after blasting from Post 8 - she's actually won from well back in the past, and she's going to be a big price

here - not impossible! (4) PETTYCOAT BUSINESS had her ups and downs in the M Life Series before

winning the Final, and has been quite mortal since then, losing 4 straight - on her best she can beat these -

but definitely don't take a short price. (1) PRAY THE ROSARY disappointed when 3rd off the barn change

3 back, but flew home to win from an impossible spot in her next, and was pacing well late again in her last

- the right trip may give her a chance to be close at the wire (adds Lasix tonight). (8) STOWAWAY

HANOVER was razor sharp for a few starts but tailed suddenly, and hasn't gotten back to that top form yet

- she's won from the outside at big prices in the past, so don't toss her too quickly. (6) SOUND IDEA

deserves respect as she comes into this riding a 3 race win streak but she'll probably be looking at a much

tougher trip tonight, and it's hard to say how she'll respond to it. (2) LAURIE LEE went a big effort for 2nd

three back but landed in no chance spots in her next couple - moves inside, and wouldn't be a shock. (5)

SOMEBEACHSOMEFRA is a steady player, but may find a few of these a little too tough tonight


RACE 9 - Good betting race: (4) KING CAST is an "in and out" type but he won 2 of 3 at Fhd. before

shipping back over, and wasn't bad last week from a no chance spot - one of several possible value plays in

here. (1) MIGHTY SURF didn't do much winning here the past 2 years but she used to get her picture taken

more often - never really had a chance to stretch her legs in her first start up from Pompano last week, but

may be able to have a much bigger say from this good spot tonight. (5) PURPOSE BLUE CHIP was a big

earner at 2 and 3 - missed his entire 4YO season but came strong at 5, finishing 1st or 2nd in his first 6

starts - tailed badly for a while after that, but seems to have gotten things going much better in Florida this

winter - he gets around Yonkers just fine and can be a threat here. (7) ABBIES CELTICLASS fits perfectly

and while Post 7 is an obvious issue, it's the fact that she's missed 3 weeks that's the bigger concern - mixed

feelings. (2) SUMATRA has been struggling all year but he found an easy trip in a weak field and was able

to grab the victory last time - will need to be better to beat these, and he offers no value as the 5/2 ML

favorite. (3) P L KETCHUP weakened from 2nd to 3rd after an easy trip 2 back, then was on his hands and

knees to hang on as the favorite in last - another that will be a short price, while also being vulnerable. (8) C

R BLAZING BEAUTY was a fine 2nd last time, but tonight's draw is a killer. (6) SEVEN KNIGHTS

hasn't been sharp in a while, even though he was 2nd last week (:31 final quarter)



RACE 10 - (2) YS TALLIA hasn't raced here in a couple of years but back in 2018, she was VERY good

here, winning races at pretty high levels....with Dube in the bike - we'll see if they can revive that old magic

as she returns to the Hilltop off a good Chester qualifier. (1) HIGH ROLLING A did everything right last

week other than hang on at the wire - steps up a notch, but should still be a solid player. (5) ROCKN

PHILLY was lazy, and tail swishing on the lead most of the way last week...until really asked for speed,

when she delivered a :27.3 kicker to draw clear in the lane for her new trainer - we'll see if she gains come

confidence and goes on a little roll now, or if she reverts to the weaker Delaware form she showed before

arriving. (6) ANNE BONNEY N worked hard to stay close to #1 from the pocket last week and was able to

find enough to just get up at the end - the move up in class (and out to Post 6) may limit her a bit tonight,

however. (3) RED DIRT START is hard to gauge of a bunch of mixed out of town lines - suppose we'll

learn more about her tonight. (4) PAPPY ROCKS just hasn't grabbed the bit in either start since the recent

claim - she's better than she's showing, but hard to say when we'll see it. (7) BETTERB CHEVRON N is

really struggling right now, and drawing Post 7 probably isn't the cure to what ails her. (8) EYE POPPING

lands Post 8 sporting some pretty frightening recent lines - we'll pass, and observe


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