Monday Empire Report

soaofny • March 7, 2022

The Empire Report - Monday, March 7, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (5) DINA BOLT N was claimed by the Dynamic Duo on 11/22 on a night when he was sent off

at 104-1 -- went off at 5/2 the next start (for his new barn) and absolutely jogged here by nearly 5 lengths,

in this class - took a month off before resurfacing at The Swamp, won his first 2 starts of 2022, then was

used pretty hard before weakening in his last pair -gets top billing for his Hilltop return, but note that he's

missed 23 days before taking too short a price. (2) MAJOR CROCKER A was sent off as the odds on

choice in his last 2 starts, coming up second best each time (while racing well) - exits a high % to join an

outfit that's winless here in 2022, but has recently started to send out much liver performers...willing to use

tonight. (7) CHICKEN NUGGET used a good trip to grab a 2nd last week, but is still trying to prove that

he belongs up at this level - tough post, but worth considering IF the price is juicy enough. (3) ROCKIN

JUKEBOX sports an impressive 6-3-2-1 local slate, but that was against age-restricted $30K claimers -

goes for a new barn here, steps up to face tougher, and we'll see if he can continue his success against these.

(4) BEVANS CULLEN N has been claimed in ALL 6 starts this year, and 9 of his last 10 - only has one

win in 2022, however, and now steps up from 30s to 40s - prefer a few others ahead of him. (1) BOLT OF

LUCK beat the 3-5YO 30s last week, and will try to take on the open 40s here - inside draw helps, but he

still needs to prove that he can contend against these tougher foes. (6) CINNAMACK continues to pick up

only smaller pieces at this level - would look much better with a class drop. (8) CENTURY GRIZZLY was

no factor moving up to this level last week and now draws Post 8.


RACE 2 - (1) ROCK CANDY has raced well in pretty much all 8 of his local starts, and his last is better

than it might look (he finished FULL of pace, from a very difficult spot) - Bartlett will handle him

aggressively from this spot, and he may be sharp enough to get the job done in this very solid field. (6) IM

SIR BLAKE A has a bunch of excellent recent tries but his last was exceptionally good, backing off to 3rd

after being caught wide early, pulling first over and battling the tough Funatthebeach all the way to the wire

- chance to beat these, even from Post 6. (4) CASUAL COOL is a streaky horse and he's definitely feeling

good right now - steps up off last week's solid front end score, and seems sharp enough to be a threat again

tonight. (3) FOREVER FAV really wasn't bad last week, considering he had Post 7 after missing a month

(scr. sick) - gets right back in the box, draws inside, and could easily be part of this equation. (7) DEAN B

HANOVER was already a nice horse when he arrived from Canada this fall but he's really blossoming into

a high class pacer - the terrible draw may be tough to overcome tonight, however. (5) SHADOW CAT has

been "ok", but just seems a bit below a few of his sharp rivals in here. (8) DIAMONDONTHEBEACH is as

good as any of these, but will need a lot to go his way to win from all the way out here. (2) CYCLONE BA

NNER N steps up off a pair of victories, but hasn't been facing anything near as tough as these.


RACE 3 - (1) OZONE BLUE CHIP caught a fire breathing JOJOS PLACE last week and came up 2nd

best after losing by a nose from Post 8, the week before - he's been claimed in 6 of his last 8 starts, and goes

for the Super Siblings for the first time tonight - rail draw makes him the one to beat. (3) NEXT BIG

THING just reversed form completely when he beat the 15s two back, then was very sharp beating the 20s

last week - steps up to face the 30s tonight, but does seem sharp enough to pull it off...the main danger? (5)

FOX VALLEY INFERNO has some issues for sure, but he's very capable in this class when feeling good -

he finished up last week with sneaky pace under his own power, and is in a much better spot here - possible

upsetter? (2) STARK HANOVER was no factor in either start since being claimed on 1/26, but he got away

in last both weeks - maybe can be a lot more competitive with the better starting slot? (4) AMERICAN RE

BEL took some $$ the last 2 weeks but was no threat either time - he seems capable of better, but hard to

recommend at that 3-1 ML price. (6) KEYSTONE DASH got too hot on the lead last week and eventually

caved badly - Bartlett bails off this guy (trained by his best current client) to drive #3, and we'll pass on him

too. (8) MARTY MONKHOUSER A is a solid player at this level, but figures to be up against it from all

the way out here (and Stratton opts to drive #4, rather than his brother's horse). (7) ROCK THE NITE has

been "ok", but faces an uphill battle from all the way out here.


RACE 4 - (1) HEISMAN PLAYER still hasn't made it to the winner's circle in 2022 but he's always in the

hunt, and has hit board in 5 of his 6 starts - perhaps the rail draw will be enough to get him over the hump?

(2) TONY TOO TALL is another steady player in this class, and the inside draw makes him a viable threat

as well - he beat these with a pocket trip 3 back, and another kind journey puts him right there again. (5)

THE BOOK OF LIFE rallied nicely for 3rd in his only local start - he MAY be a tad on the cheaper side but

he's undeniably sharp, and gets the services of Dexter Dunn for tonight. (6) BELTANE A has won a high %

of his starts here since November - will need some trip luck from this spot, but he's worth using if the price

is decent. (7) CRUZING HILL was certainly well prepped by his connections as he was able to beat the 30s

on 2/21, despite having been away for 9 months - bumped up to 50s for his last and raced well from an

impossible spot...the problem is that THIS may prove to be an impossible spot as well. (4) LIFEO

NTHEBEACH raced "ok" in a pair of starts at this level, but may need to face a little cheaper to be a more

serious threat. (8) MAGRITTE saw his incredible 8 race win streak come to a halt 2 starts back when he

made a break on the first turn - gave it a good speed try in last (before weakening to 4th), but it won't be

easy to overcome tonight's spot...even if he brings his best. (3) SOHO WALLSTREET A beat the 30s as the

favorite 2 back but faltered badly on the lead as the odds-on choice vs. the 40s last week - tries the 50s

tonight off the claim, and we'll be sticking with others.


RACE 5 - (5) TWIN B TUFFENUFF probably isn't quite at his absolute best right now, but he was still

good enough to almost wire 'em from Post 8 last week - has to be seen as the one to beat with a much better

starting spot for tonight. (4) SHNEONUCRZYDIAMND A had some sneaky pace finishing on 2/14 (off

the layoff), and hit the wire decently again last week - he should be a nice price here, and could offer some

good value. (2) REDBANK BLAZE had a no chance trip vs. better last week, and now drops down to the

level he beat on 1/10 - legitimate player. (1) YAYAS HOT SPOT took a couple of months off and has

looked better since returning than he did for much of last year - should be an up close player from start to

finish from this spot. (3) PEPPER GUY seems to need easier to be a threat to win these days, but an easy

trip from this spot could see him finish well enough for a small piece. (8) PICARD A is looking ok these

days for an owner-trainer/trainer combo that has sent out some live once lately - seems like an impossible

spot, though. (6) SO MANY ROADS will likely save ground, and hope that leads to a chance to rally for a

minor piece. (7) KERFORD ROAD A lacked the late pop he needed last week, and now lands Post 7.


RACE 6 - Tough race! (5) WESTERN HILL benefited from an easy trip last week but showed a lot more

life finishing than he has been - don't think he can get the lead in here (where he's at his best), but a live trip

in this wide open field may be enough to get him home in front. (1) MAJESTIC KIWI N was claimed on

1/15 for $15K by a barn that still hasn't won a race here in 2022, but he just keeps getting sharper every

week, despite moving up in class off every loss - he actually has a chance in here (vs. these 40s!), but just

don't take any kind of short price! (2) BALLERAT BOOMERANG will probably be ignored by the public

as he's going from last meet's leading training tandem, to a woman with a handful of lifetime training starts

- that being said, the new owner has enjoyed some success here in the claiming game (albeit with more

experienced trainers usually listed in the program), so at least give this one a look IF the price is juicy. (8)

SWEET N FAST N failed to get involved from Post 8 off the claim last week and may be stuck in the same

boat tonight - he does have the ABILITY to beat these, though, if Kakaley can get him a manageable trip.

(4) BRACKLEY BEACH appeared to be in a winning spot last time, but faltered on the lead with no real

excuses - always a chance he can rebound with a winning mile tonight, but don't accept a short price if

using on top. (7) JIMS PERFECT TEN was a solid 2nd off the claim vs. 30s two back - stepped up to 40s

last week but lost all chance when he hooked wheel trying to get by the stopping leader at the head of the

lane - good one for longshot fans. (3) LATE MAIL N draws well enough to make some noise in here, but

he's been too camera shy to consider for the top spot. (6) I GET THAT was a good trip 3rd moving up to

the 40s last week, but he still seems to be more comfortable with a bit easier.


RACE 7 - (4) MONEYMAN HILL got tired of just taking back every week from his outside posts and

blasted from Post 7 last week....resulting in a two hole trip, and an excellent 2d place finish - will no doubt

be aggressive again tonight...and he definitely has a chance to pick up his first win of the season. (5) PRET

TY HANDSOME is sharper than he may look on paper, as he's just been stuck too far back in his last few

starts (against some good fields) - gets a little post relief for tonight, and he definitely feels like a legitimate

threat. (3) WHITE HAIR ROCKS hadn't won in an eternity but he reversed form off the barn change on 2/1

and beat the bottom class handily....then came back the next week to beat a NW10000 field - stuck in a

tough spot last week, but could easily be a live player again tonight. (2) NVESMENT BLUECHIP raced

better with class drops in his last pair, and tonight's inside draw makes him one that you'll want to include

in exotics. (6) HERRICKROOSEVELT N will likely to work out an easy trip, hoping to rally late for a

small share. (1) IM A GIGOLO N seems better suited for cheaper at the moment - rail draw helps, but still

leaning towards others. (7) THINKBIG DREAMBIG has been thriving for these connections at Monti but

faces much tougher tonight, while starting from Post 7 while off a month - tough assignment! (8) IDEAL

ARTILLERY has just one start in 5 weeks and is stuck all the way outside.


RACE 8 - Good race! (4) GINGER TREE PETE has been a model of consistency for a long time, and was

sharper last week than his line might suggest (just an impossible spot) - gets major post relief, can handle

any trip, and is one of several that can take this, depending on how the race plays out. (3) ROBBIE BURNS

N looked good in that win 3 back (dropping down to 30s) - no prayer in his next (off the claim, vs. 50s,

stuck in the back), but he did look very good rallying late for 3rd last week - possibility. (5) DARK ENER

GY N ended 2021 with 4 straight wins but took a while to sharpen back up in 2022 - his last effort was a

big step forward, and this could be a good week to include him on your tickets. (2) REGAL SON had been

going big miles week after week before getting stuck in the back from Post 8 last time - good chance we'll

see him bounce back with a much better try tonight. (1) YANKEE ROLLER A has been inconsistent, and

also is unproven at this level - wouldn't be any surprise if he was able to be a big player from this spot, but

we're still leaning to a few other sharp foes. (6) CHANGE STRIDE N comes into tonight riding a 4 race

winning streak, but he'll be moving up in class while also drawing outside a bunch of pretty sharp foes - his

streak is definitely in jeopardy. (7) KINNDER JACKSON dropped down to 40s off a sick scratch and wired

the field for his white hot connections last week - not sure he can replicate that from this spot, though (8)

LACHIE MAGUIRE N has been very sharp at Fhd., but tonight's spot is considerably tougher.


RACE 9 - (3) OUR CORELLI N has been terrific since joining forces with the terrific training tandem,

although last week's mile (vs. the 100s) was just a little hotter than he's comfortable with - drops back down

to 75s and these should be more to his liking- gets the narrow edge. (2) VELOCITY KOMODO is hard to

fault, delivering sharp miles on a pretty weekly basis - has handled the jump from 50s to 75s very smoothly,

and looms a major threat to pick up another win tonight. (1) MIGHTY SANTANNA N has been very

consistent, but is moving up a notch (off another claim) and hasn't been able to knock off the 50s in recent

starts - the good draw does make him a legitimate threat, though. (7) IM SOME GRADUATE gave it a big

go at this level last week, while sent off as the 4/5 favorite - not sure he can reach from out here but at 20-1

ML, he's hard to not at least consider! (4) GLENGARRY KNIGHT N has 2 wins and 2 seconds from his

last 4 starts, but was on top or in the pocket each time - he's likely to get a tougher trip tonight, and that

might lead to a smaller piece (5) RUNRUNJIMMYDUNN N has a pair of wins and close 2nd recently, but

that was against softer - he MAY be able to go with these too, but doesn't seem worth the risk as the 5/2 ML

choice. (6) PASS A GRILLEBEACH just doesn't seem sharp enough at the moment to contend with these -

especially from Post 6. (8) ROLLING WITH SAM is the outsider, both literally and figuratively.


RACE 10 - (3) RED RIGHT HAND saw his 5 race winning streak ended when elevated to the Open level,

but the 4YO has held his own even against those top foes - there's a good chance he can sit the pocket to

TATTOO ARTIST tonight and since he'll be the better price of the pair, we'll take a shot that he can run him

down late. (5) TATTOO ARTIST won 3 of his 6 local starts last year, but did weaken at the end a couple of

times - he's been freshened up for the upcoming Borgata (Levy) Series, and his qualifier suggests he'll be

ready to roll tonight...the one to beat. (4) FUNATTHEBEACH will be waiting in the wings should the top

pair falter - he steps up off a pair of wins vs. easier, but he's a proven player at the Open level as well. (1)

WINDSUN RICKY has been away since 12/4 and really isn't an "Open" horse even on his best day - keep

an eye for NEXT week, when he gets a class drop. (2) RAUKAPUKA RULER N was scratched injured on

11/1, and his recent qualifiers and start aren't all that appealing.


RACE 11 - Another excellent race: (2) ELWELL ended up 3rd last week, but he might have raced even

BETTER that night than in his 8 previous starts (when he was 1st or 2nd every time!) - he's been doing it

pretty much on the lead (or in the pocket) every week, but he can be just as dangerous from behind, if

necessary - may prove to be sharpest of a very strong bunch! (6) ALL HANDS ON DECK hasn't quite

attained the levels of success that incredible barnmate DRAGON SAID has, but he's yet another that was

floundering at bottom levels for weeks....until uniting with the Super Siblings, and improving unimaginable

amounts - has looked very good across the river in 2022, and seems poised to do damage in his Hilltop

return. (5) ENVIRONS HANOVER weakened late after a very tough trip last week, but he's been doing

fine work for several starts, and could add some value here with the right trip. (1) SOHO LENNON A was

a HUGE overlay at 9-1 last week, but was collared by the tripsitter and had to settle for 2nd - deserved

plenty of respect starting from the rail again. (4) JOESSTAR OF MIAA was the "pocket rocket" winner

last week, hails from a barn doing insane work since December, and has to be seen as a major threat any

time he draws reasonably. (3) ALEX TYE is 4 for 7 here this year, and the fact that he listed this far down

is a tribute to just how good this field is right now! (8) LOUS SWEETREVENGE has been sharp for a long

time, and his last 2 starts were outstanding - he'll have to pass them all to win, but couldn't blame anybody

willing to give him a shot, at the right price. (7) WALKINSHAW N is being picked on the bottom only

because of the draw - he's beaten these twice this year already!


RACE 12 - (6) VENIER HANOVER was moved from one of his owner's trainers to another on 2/15 and

completely reversed form, delivering the powerful "brush and crush" victory - came back to win by open

lengths again the next week, and has a decent chance to make it 3 in a row tonight. (3) RECORD YEAR

has been struggling, but was claimed from his last by an owner that seems to do very well with the few

horses he races here every year- has a different trainer listed from the last one he claimed (Machiavelli) but

does employ the same pilot (who obliterated the field from Post 8, with that horse) - wouldn't be too quick

to overlook this one. (4) ROCK ON TONY drops back down to 30s and he's much more effective at this

level - look for a solid effort tonight. (1) MARINER SEELSTER had an odd week last time as he wasn't a

player AND he wasn't claimed - moves all the way inside, and is another that should be much better this

week. (5) DESIRES CAPTAIN perked up at 50-1 two back when he rallied for 3rd, then followed that up

with a nose loss 2nd last week - include in exotics. (2) AVATAR J is 0 for 13 here over the last 2 years, but

has raced well enough in some recent starts to consider for a small piece. (7) SOUTHWIND ONYX was a

winner in his last start....but it's his ONLY start in 7+ weeks - have to believe he could come up a little short

here. (8) SWAGASAURUSREX doesn't seem sharp enough right now to be a threat from out here.


RACE 13 - (7) NOCTURNAL BLUECHIP's last start here (on 1/10) was at the Open level...which he got

to after winning 3 in a row - he's hung in pretty well against good stock in NJ since then, and gets some

major class relief for his Yonkers return - should be able to improve significantly at the start, and may even

be a decent price from out here - worth a play in the finale. (2) MAJOR BETTS figures to be the favorite

with the significant post relief he's getting tonight, but he may not be on his best game right, and could be a

bit vulnerable - wouldn't be willing to take too short a price with him. (1) MIKES Z TAM has definitely

been off HIS best game....but the combination of the class drop and rail may help him find a better effort -

ok for exotics. (5) SILAS SEELSTER hasn't really clicked so far in 2022, but he's also been in mostly

tough spots - might be a spot where we'll see at least a little more life from him. (3) EDDARD HANOVER

picked up a pair of 2nds off the $40K claim on 1/10, but was no factor in his last few - would consider for a

small piece, but he's 0 for 13 here (last 3 yrs.) and hard to make a case for on top. (4) MICKY GEE N hasn't

looked good in weeks - will need a major wake up call to be a serious threat tonight. (6) NOWHERE

CREEK N has a pair of 2nds (out of town) in his 4 starts in this country - seems a little bit on the cheaper

side, and we'll just observe, for now. (8) TIGER BARON seems unlikely to get in the hunt from out here.

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