Monday Empire Report

soaofny • Apr 29, 2024

The Empire Report – Monday, April 29, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (1) THAT DOG WILL HUNT was right there 2nd behind the heavy favorite 2 back and raced much better

last week than his line might suggest (he landed on a terrible trip, in a race with a blowout winner, and still almost

grabbed 3rd) – he gets to control the action here and is the one to catch and beat. (5) SURFSIDE BEACH hasn’t been

sharp enough at the end of most of his miles this year but that wasn’t the case last week, where he sustained a long

rally to be a close 2nd – the main danger, for sure. (2) J B GRAM raced much better in his 2nd local try (new barn),

but was still pretty shaky at the end – will need to be sharper to be a bigger threat to the top pair. (6) KINGSTON

PANIC is listed at 20-1 ML but his recent starts vs. Canadian claimers have been solid, and note that one of his

owners has been sending out live bombs (as trainer) all meet– consider for a piece! (3) ROSE RUN X CON has been

stuck on minor pieces for weeks – seems destined for the same tonight. (7) KB MAC would have a chance at a small

slice if MacD can leave and find a seat – ok bomb for 3rd/4th. (8) YS DO IT RIGHT was able to grab his first win of

the year last week but faces a tall task coming from last. (4) CHIEF CORLEONE comes off back to back duds.


RACE 2 – (2) ROCK DIAMONDS N started his year off strong but ran into a “tie up” issue in his 3rd start –

bounced back with an even effort 2 weeks later then was a well-backed, razor sharp 8 hole winner last week – faces

a few sharp ones in here, but we’ll give him a shot to repeat. (3) GREAT SOMEWHERE is another that got off to a

fast start in 2024, hit a rough patch for a few weeks but raced MUCH better in his last, right there 3rd (at 32-1) – if he

can build off that mile, he can be right there tonight, as well. (4) JIMMY CONNOR B was an easy 7 hole winner 2

back and that mile is sandwiched between a pair of 2nds behind a couple of solid winners – he moves up two classes

tonight, but seems sharp enough to still have a say. (1) SHADOW CAT has been doing his best work with a bit

easier recently but he draws the pole with Gingras, and can’t be counted out – wouldn’t take a short price, though (6)

FAMILY RECIPE hit board in his last 3 starts, has plenty of back class but has the misfortune of drawing outside a

few sharp rivals – may limit him a bit. (5) RULE OF LAW was distanced in his first try for a new barn last week.


RACE 3 – Good race: (1) KARLOO BRADLEY N has definitely upped his game since adding Lasix 5 starts back,

even if the results have been somewhat muted by some terrible posts – he moves all the way inside tonight and while

he faces a tough, well-matched group, a good price makes him worth a stab. (2) SHINE A LIGHT was a winner at

1/5 two back but was unable to get it done from the pocket as the 3/5 choice in his last, just no match late for the

sharp front-runner – he remains a serious threat, but has to be seen as at least a bit vulnerable off that last mile. (3)

GROOVY JOE was just “ok” for 4th dropping down to this level last week, but he’s certainly capable of better – can

be a major threat if he brings his best here. (5) DEETZY gave it a big go vs. better 3 back, but was used hard early

and unable to last at the end – landed in tough spots in his last pair, but did finish with some life last week...his barn

has been way too successful this year (showing an incredible 50% ROI profit!) to ignore this guy. (6) SEVEN HUN

DRED came up flat late after a beautiful 2 hole trip last week, especially disappointing since he finished so well in

his previous 2 starts – much tougher spot here, but also a much better price for anybody looking to give him another

chance. (4) VENIER HANOVER finally picked up his first victory of the year last week, but is now forced to move

up a couple of levels – he’s a streaky type for sure, but insist on a good price if trying him on top. (7) FULSOME

was unable to have any impact from a similar spot last week.


RACE 4 – Another tough race! (5) SAILBOAT HANOVER was our choice last week but he ended up behind

horrible cover from the back of the pack and just had no chance – he was claimed that night by a barn that WON

with him off the claim once before (on 2/19), and we’ll see if history can repeat itself...at a good price. (4) OCEAN

RIDGE N was off to a good start last week but made an uncharacteristic break in the pocket – he’s used to facing

better and would be a great fit here...but dropping in for a tag (off the miscue) does send up a potential red flag. (1)

YKNOTTHISHOS raced well here in a handful of starts early this winter and now returns from NJ in excellent form

– he draws the pole (while getting a nice switch to Bongiorno), and may be an up-close player from start to finish.

(3) THE REGULATOR is another dropping in for a tag tonight, and that comes on the heels of last week’s rough

outing (hard to steer to the half, then tired after a weak first over bid) – more red flags? (6) MICKY GEE N was

super in that win off the claim (2/26) but he was subsequently DQd for a post race positive test – his return effort last

week wasn’t too successful but he also had a tough trip, vs. better – mixed feelings! (7) REIGNING DEO is off to an

amazing start this year (9-3-5-0) but note that the only time off the board was the only time he drew outside (3/18.

Post 7). (2) SAN DOMINO A bumps op to 50s off the claim and may find these a little tougher than he’d like.


RACE 5 – (4) MY ULTIMATE STAR A debuts tonight for a barn that started the year off at a dismal 2 for 98, but

has since gone 6 for 32 (20%) in April – could be a live bomb in yet another tough to predict event! (7) THRASHER

is probably the “best horse” in here, and comes off a dead game win last week– he’s not particularly handy, however,

and faces an uncertain trip from Post 7 – very dangerous for sure, but insist on a fair price if using on top. (2) MAXI

MUS RED A was just 1 for 31 here last year but he’s been a different horse since the calendar changed, already

10-3-2-3 in 2024 – a good trip makes him a very live player. (1) SWEET TROY was ignored at 14-1 last week but

easily took ‘em wire to wire, looking more like a 4/5 shot – he probably won’t be able to catch these as off-guard

tonight, but still deserves plenty of respect. (5) HIGH ON ROCKNROLL is usually part of the mix every week but

he’s just 1 for 27 at Yonkers, with most of those starts coming vs. easier – always a good one to use underneath! (3)

MY ULTIMATE BYRON A is good now for sure, but he steps up in class after being taken by a barn that generally

isn’t active in the claiming game – seems vulnerable as the ML favorite. (6) MIGHTY SANTANA N is winless on

the year but has gone some good efforts at big prices (for pieces) – another that’s never a bad one to use underneath.

(8) REAL WILLEY is listed on the bottom because of the draw, but note that he did win at this level 2 back!


RACE 6 – (4) SUMOMENTSOMWHERE A shipped in razor sharp from Ohio and raced well in all 4 Borgata

starts – he probably could have made the Final, but he took off Leg 5 to give barnmate HELLABALOU a chance to

take over his spot, and that strategy obviously worked to perfection – he somehow avoids getting assigned the

outside post (which he deserved) and then also “wins” the 4-6 draw...very tough from this spot. (1) ENERGETIC

HANOV ER was off 3 weeks to his last start but came up super in his Hilltop return, pacing a back half in :54

seconds to rally for 2nd– could be right there again tonight, even moving up in class. (7) BOILING OAR has just

been insanely sharp all year but gets a pretty unfair post assignment (considering he’s facing Borgata players AND

hasn’t raced in 3 weeks) and that just may limit him a bit for this week. (5) HEMSWORTH N has been picking up

smaller pieces while a bit overmatched in the Borgata but should be comfortable with these – a good trip would

allow him to pick up a good chunk. (2) MOONSHINE KISSES is still killin’ it out of town but his local efforts this

year haven’t been as good as in the past – suppose he’s eligible to bring a big one at any time. (6) CAPTIVATE

HANOVER has won 5 of his last 6 starts but tonight’s class hike and bad post figure to slow him down a bit (how

can he possibly be forced to start outside the top choice?) (3) MOVIN ON UP certainly should have been assigned

the rail against these but that probably would have still left him in trouble against this crew.


RACE 7 – (1) POUND FOR POUND figured to be good last week...but the mile he turned in was almost beyond

belief (probably even to his connections) – hard to go against him off the effort, but it would also be hard to accept a

very short price tonight. (2) TWIN B DELUXE is rock solid at this level and comes off a win as the odds on choice

– IF the top one is unable to replicate last week’s performance, he would be the most likely to come out on top. (5)

JUST ENUFF STUFF came up disappointing late after establishing the two hole trip last week – we’ll see if the

move back into his preferred class helps him get back to one of his better efforts. (8) TAKE A CLOSER LOOK

returned from The Meadows a different horse, winning 3 of his 4 local starts (while losing by a nose in the other)-

he’s obviously razor sharp, but the combination of a class hike AND Post 8 just may slow him down a bit. (4) GDS

THUNDER GB developed into a very solid claimer this year but he tired badly in his last, and has now missed 3

weeks as he debuts for a new barn – leaning towards others tonight. (3) CLEVELAND B MIKI missed 3 weeks after

a sick scratch and is a bit of a question mark at this level – prefer to just watch, for now. Both (6) HES SPECIAL

and (7) KING JAMES EXPRESS figure to be coming from too far back to have any real say this week.


RACE 8 – Wide open race: (7) ROCK THE BELLES continues to sharpen and drops a notch after a sharp 2

nd last start – will need some trip luck from out here, but a quick start could make him a big player. (1) BENHOPE RULZ

N showed tremendous heart hanging on for the win last week after looking beat into the stretch – he’ll face tougher

now, but he draws the pole and a few of his main rivals have some knocks...possible. (6) BLANK STARE can beat

better than these when at his best but the main issue tonight is the draw – if Bartlett can find him the right trip, he

can be a major threat. (5) SPEED MAN N is too classy to ever count out at this level, but he’s definitely struggled to

find his groove (so far) this year – he can be a legitimate danger IF he brings one of his better efforts. (3) BUDDY

HILL elected to freshen up and re-qualify after his start on 3/23 – he has plenty of back class and his barn routinely

has then ready to go off bad dates – another possibility. (2) GAMBLINGTERROR is one of several big priced

winner his barn has popped this meet but he probably prefers to be in a bit easier – decent value horse for the bottom

of tris and supers. (4) FRANCO NANDOR N is 0 for 15 at YR with just one 2nd – he’s not a bad horse, but we’ll

wait until he’s in a bit easier, to consider. (8) AUSSIE HANOVER caught a hot mile last week and lands a brutal

spot tonight – prefer to wait for a better scenario.


RACE 9 – (1) ARTIST BEST just missed in back to back starts and could have won either/both had he just shaken

free a couple of steps sooner – he’s overdue for things to go his way, and this may be the spot for him to finally get

his picture taken. (6) DANCE ON THE BEACH came up a little light from the pocket in his last pair (2

nd and 3rd) but those starts were vs. 40s, and he drops back down to 30s for tonight (the level he BEAT 2 of 3 starts recently) –

the main danger! (2) PRETTY HANDSOME is winless in 11 starts this year and often races just “ok” – he does drop

down a peg from the 40s, however, and also gets a good draw – use in exotics. (5) HEART ON MY SLEEVE has

been a little better lately, perking up along with several of his barnmates– very playable underneath. (3) QUATR

AIN BLUE CHIP is just 1 for 37 locally over the past 2 seasons and has been looking for a class drop for some time

– the good draw (and Yannick) give him a chance for some minor spoils. (7) BIG SIR just squandered his 2 hole trip

last week, and now moves outside (and loses Gingras) – would be a bit of a surprise. (4) BARON MICHAEL was a

sharp winner here 3 back but then just unraveled in his last pair – feel free to hop on board if you think he may be

ready to reverse form tonight. (8) BALLERAT BOOMERANG has struggled this year, and tonight’s draw isn’t

going to help.

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