Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • Apr 30, 2024

The Empire Report – Tuesday, April 30, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (3) DP REALORDEAL was a sharp 2nd from the pocket 2 back then just missed cutting the mile from

Post 7 last week (at 26-1) – he’s definitely on his game right now, can race off the pace if necessary, and his main

foes in here seem a little iffy – decent value play in tonight’s opener. (2) STONEBRIDGE REX tipped wide last

week then made an unexpected miscue – he drops right back in the box (for the same tag), so we’ll guess that there’s

no major issue – he’s one of many from this barn off to an excellent start in 2024, and a possibility in here. (7) TUG

GIN ON MY HEART is another that made an unexpected break last week, but had been razor sharp just prior to that

(won 5 of 6, 2nd in the other)– his price definitely will go up off that, especially from Post 7. (1) LOORIM LAKE A

had no issues last week and delivered a sharp mile for 2nd – he’s moving up off a loss, however, and hard to endorse

on top as the 5/2 ML choice (ok for a piece, though). (8) POINTOMYGRANSON has hit board in ALL 12 stars this

year but has been unable to seal the deal in his last 4 starts– won’t get any easier starting from Post 8. (4) QUALITY

BUD may need to be in a bit easier to be a win threat these days, but a good piece remains well within reach. (5) TU

FFENUFTOWEARPINK stepped up to this level off the claim last week and turned in a dullish mile off an easy trip

– will need to be sharper. (6) CAVIART SARGENT used a beautiful trip to pick up 2nd at 82-1 last week but may not

land on such a kind journey tonight.


RACE 2 – (5) JIVE DANCING A won a Matchmaker leg then won the Consolation from Post 8 – the drop in for a

tag is a bit “suspicious” for sure but then again, what else does she really fit...definitely deserves top billing in this

short field. (1) NO WIN NO FEED A was a little disappointing last, with no real excuse to NOT win off that trip –

she’ll be a lot closer to the action tonight and may just prefer to race that way – logical threat. (2) NUTTINBUTHE

BEST started off 2024 strong and has continued to thrive even at these higher levels – had pace after shaking free

last week, and can be around late once more with another easy trip. (4) WHATINEEDISAMAN endured a very

tough trip last week but still held off #1 in ultra game fashion (off the claim, up in class) – have to respect that big

effort, but still leaning more towards others. (3) PARADISE ROCK L has enjoyed a fine season so far but she did

come up dull last week, and faces a few sharp ones tonight.


RACE 3 – (5) TERACITA has come back sharp from the month off, picking up a win 2 back before coming up 2nd

best to a fire breathing winner in her last – she’ll go for a new barn tonight, but we’ll still give her top billing. (4) SA

UBLE DELIGHTFUL can be a bit inconsistent but on her best, she’s a dangerous player at this level (and her barn is

thriving at multiple tracks) – could have a big say tonight with the right trip. (1) JUST ROSAS LUCK has 4 starts

here this year and picked up a trip of 3rds – the good draw puts her in play for another good piece tonight. (7) CALL

MEQUEENBEE A had been racing well from a series of outside posts so it was no surprise to see her victorious

with the move inside last week – she’s gets stuck with here dreaded Post 7 for tonight, however, and that may limit

her to a smaller slice of the pie. (8) PRINCESS ARONA went a few months without winning a race but then came

up with back to back sharp scores – clearly on her best game now, but faced here with the tough combination of Post

8, up in class, while exiting our leading barn – one for longshot fans? (6) PLEASURE SEEKER was actually a good

2nd here on 4/9, had no prayer in her next then had BE in her last – would consider at a huge price. (3) COALFORD

SNSHINE GB had a solid ’23 here at YR but her first 2 local tries of ‘24 have been lacking – prefer to see a better

effort before considering. (2) CORAL BELLA has struggled in way too many starts, for way too long.


RACE 4 – (4) LOUS SWEETREVENGE may be worth a stab tonight – he’s winless on the year (and often at pretty

short prices) but he debuted for a new barn last week and did kick home full of pace – maybe he can trip out in this

unusually good NW10000 field? (2) SPLASH BROTHER obviously gets a pass for last week (parked) and now

drops back down to the level he beat on 2/27 – becomes very dangerous if allowed to call the shots on his own

terms. (5) KINGSVILLE can be somewhat inconsistent but he can beat better than these when on his game – very

dangerous if he brings his “A Game”. (1) YOROKOBI N may have been looking to this class drop when he toured

the oval from the back last week but he was probably expecting to land in a somewhat softer field – can still have a

big say with an easy trip. (6) DUVAL STREET raced MUCH better than expected last week, and drops a notch for

tonight – still, probably looking at only a smaller piece from this spot. (3) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER hasn’t been

on his game lately, and would need a wake up call to threaten here. (8) GREG THE LEG is a very nice horse but the

horrible draw will likely offset that – may need to wait for a better spot. (7) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N seems

buried tonight – could use a drop, and better post.


RACE 5 – (1) FLIP THE SCRIPT is the somewhat reluctant choice – she’s been unreliable from week to week, but

she figures to have a big tactical edge tonight over her main foes, and that could help her pick up a win...though

she’s bound to be overbet! (6) ALWAYS B MIMI put up a big one last week, unable to get to the lead when she tried

a quarter move then racing out and battling the rest of the way,..only to come up 2nd best to a horse with a much

easier trip – she’s probably the “best mare” in here, but the poor draw good hurt chances a bit. (2) SUNSET SOPH

won at this level back on 2/20 in a “fall apart” race, and has raced ok for pieces in some other starts – a good trip

could help land a spot on the board. (5) PINK RUBY is a proven winner at this level but she just wasn’t on her best

game last week – the bigger concern is that she was claimed last start, and now goes for a barn that is just 8 for 190

here since 2019 – possible, but hard to recommend as the 2-1 ML favorite. (7) AINTNOHOLLABACKGRL has

grabbed a bunch of good pieces this year but just one victory– not a bad bomb for the bottom of exotics. (4) CLEAR

THE WAY is just 4 for 54 lifetime and 0 for 33 over the past 2 seasons. (8) ITTY BITTY has disappointed at pretty

short prices on many occasions – hard to like her chances from Post 8. (3) TUGGINGONCREDIT has yet to hit the

board in her 6 starts this year.


RACE 6 – (1) RENAISSANCE DEO showed little in a pair of NJ starts but was a different horse in his YR debut,

putting in a BIG move to score at 26-1 – the public wasn’t going to be fooled in his next start, however, and he

jogged as the 1/5 favorite – steps up a bit in class tonight, but remains the one to beat. (4) FANTOME EN JOIE has

continued to improve since arriving here in February, and finally picked up his first local win last week (in blowout

fashion) – should be able to grab a nice piece tonight too. (5) TWO FACED had Post 7 off a sick scratch last week

but his prior form had been solid – eligible to land somewhere on the ticket tonight. (6) RAYRAY got hurt by a

shuffle last week and deserves a pass – he has a few good starts here this year, and is playable for the bottom of tris

and supers. (2) BETTER OFF SINGLE failed to beat a horse in his 2 starts since arriving from Canada, but may

perk up a bit one of these weeks – keep an eye for any improvement. (7) KNOCKIN OUT wasn’t bad when a (well

beaten) 2nd behind #4 two back but probably needs a better post to be any kind of significant player. (8) CAHOOTS

has some ability but we may not see much of it from all the way out here. (3) PINE BUSH ITALIANO adds Lasix

but is 23-0-0-1 here over the last 2 years.


RACE 7 – (7) SNAP COUNT was handled conservatively in his first start back at 3 but turned in a very

encouraging mile, pacing a powerful final 3/8ths of a mile to grab a piece of 3rd – IF Zeron is willing to handle him a

bit more aggressively tonight (despite the bad post), he could pull of a small upset. (1) SKIFROMTHETOP IR is

always well backed, always in the hunt but he’s only won 1 of 6 starts, and already lost twice as the odds on favorite

– he’s the one to knock off from this spot, but there really won’t be much value with him on top. (3) SURFRIDER

took no $$ at PcD last week (debuting for our own leading trainer) but still finished 3rd in just his 2nd start back at 3 –

may continue to improve, and have a bigger say tonight. (4) HANK THE HUNK has taken some tote action a

couple of times but yet to have any real success – probably too soon to give up on him. (6) YANKEE CLOUT is just

1 for 43 lifetime but he’s hit board a bunch of times, including a 2nd here 2 back – good bomb for the bottom of tris

and supers. (8) LEVI SONIC was dull much of the way in his 3YO return, only managing a tired DH for show –

seems unlikely to throw a big one tonight from Post 8. (2) EURO STEP goes for a new barn to start his 3YO

campaign and is hard to gauge off his qualifier (there were only TWO horses, and he’s missed 4 weeks since then)–

no value at that 3-1 ML price. (5) VILLAGE BLUE CHIP seems like he may need to be in cheaper to succeed.


RACE 8 – (1) HUNTERS HERO was well back at the half last week, got a bit closer to 3/4s then really charged

home from there, a close 3rd at the end – he’s been right there in 3 of his 4 local starts and maybe he’ll be able to get

over the hump tonight, starting from the pole. (4) SINBAD N faced quality stock in NZ but has been a bit of a work

in progress since arriving in the U.S. – that last qualifier looks pretty encouraging, and he may be worth a play here

if the price is right. (5) VICI has been right there week after week but hasn’t tasted victory in some time – his last

was excellent, and his barn was sending ‘em out very live on Monday night...belongs on some of your tickets. (2)

DARIUS had success at 2, including a 4th (from Post 8) in the NYSS Final – his return qualifier looks promising, but

he does catch some good, older foes tonight– maybe a small piece as he preps for bigger events (7) GRETZKY THE

GREAT have it a very aggressive try last time but just couldn’t keep it going – he was purchased after that by a barn

that has had some significant success with their purchases in the past – good one for longshot fans. (6) COUNTER

OFFER is 3 for 83 lifetime, usually content to just rally for small checks...and he may do that tonight. (3) PEETIE

was 2nd in a “weird” race 2 back but that mile is sandwiched between a pair of duds – prefer others (8) HEZ ALL TH

E RAGE N has some ability but tends to get steppy and draws Post 8 – wait for a better spot.


RACE 9 – (5) CHIMICHURRI N missed almost a year but looked super winning his U.S. debut on 4/16, then

looked even stronger in last week’s jogburger – he had a good resume Down Under and his local miles (for a barn

clicking here this year at an insane 35% rate) suggest he can climb even higher – has to avoid any incidents at the

start. (1) BURNHAM BOY N has been sharp all year, and has only been worse than 4th ONCE in his 11 starts – he

gets some class relief, draws the pole, and looms a very dangerous threat! (4) FORTIFY also drops a notch, and he’s

no stranger to the Yonkers winner’s circle – prefer the top pair a bit more, but he’d be no surprise at all. (2) WINDS

UN RICKY found a clear rail into the stretch last week and charged through to become the barn’s 2nd “big bomb”

winner of the night (30-1!) – probably can’t beat a couple of these, but the good draw makes him eligible for a piece.

(3) BIG GULP was a little disappointing in his last, and now moves up in class after missing 3 weeks – small slice?

(8) SOUTHWIND PETYR had an outstanding 2023 season but has just been “good” so far in ’24 – may need to

wait for a better spot to show his best. (7) TWIN B HEART THROB beat this class 2 back but that was off a pocket

trip – facing a much tougher task tonight. (6) CADILLAC BAYAMA is off to a good start this year, but is another

that could suffer from the tough draw tonight.


RACE 10 – (4) BADDITUDE shipped in sharp for a red hot barn and crushed the 25s – hasn’t won yet in this $50K

class, but she continues to race well – loses Gingras, but Stratton is more than capable of getting her home...at a

nice price. (7) TWIN B ALLURE is sharper than she might look, but continues to be cursed with bad posts – barn

had a good night on Monday, so maybe this mare is worth a stab tonight? (2) YS SENSATIONALCITY looked

home free in her last pair but curled up very late both times – she’s having a good year and may just run and hide

tonight – but she seems a little shaky at the moment to take too short a price. (6) IDEALINFUN isn’t necessarily one

of our favorites but she has a recent win and a 2nd in this class and does deserve some respect. (1) IRON MISTRESS

has been “ok” since returning from a “scratched injured” in her new barn – always a chance for a piece. (3) DREAM

DANCING has been a rock solid 25 all year, and very popular at the claim box – her new connections are trying her

at the $50K level tonight, and it’s hard to say if that’s going to work out. (5) LOVE THAT SMILE has needed easier

to be effective these days.


RACE 11 – (5) IT’S A ME MARIO is just a head shy of being a perfect 6 for 6 this year – Bartlett sticks with him

(over #2) and he’s just looked super week after week– note that he’s been away for 3 weeks, however, before betting

the rent money at a short price. (2) ALL ALONE was jammed up behind a deliberately dawdling leader last week &

that may be why he was quickly a couple of lengths behind once into the lane (when the winner finally accelerated)

– he’s gone some big miles this year, and could have a big say if he brings one of them tonight. (3) ULTIMAROCA

has been consistent lately, gets some class relief, and a good draw too – no reason he can’t be part of the equation

here. (1) KOMODO BEACH has been tough to predict this year, as those who bet him down to 1/10 on 3/27 found

out (when he raced like a 20-1 shot and finished 5th) – even if he brings his best here, he may still have to settle for a

smaller slice. (4) HAZEVILLE is another who was probably hurt by getting jammed up inside on the final turn last

week – good one to include for the bottom of exotics. (6) NAUTICAL HANOVER is sharp right now, and his last is

sharper than it looks (he was shuffled back, launched a wide move on the final turn and was full of pace finishing –

another nice-price candidate for the bottom of exotics. (7) ROCKIN JUKEBOX brought a big one in that win 2 back

but wasn’t as sharp in his last – very tough spot tonight. (8) CENTURY HEINKEN’s aggressive try upon arrival

from Canada fell well short – now post 8.


RACE 12 – (1) SHEIKH YABOOTY N was used every step of the mile last week, the bulk of it battling nose to

nose with ALWAYS B MIMI – she gets a pass for weakening a bit in the lane, and she can make amends tonight

with an easier trip. (2) MARATHON MARY turned in back to back solid efforts and that hasn’t been the case for a

long time – the right trip gives her a shot to be right there late. (6) MISS MAYCEE seemed a little cheap upon

arrival last week but she turned in a BIG effort (at 15-1) for a very hot barn, and can be a big player once more –

with a kinder journey. (3) EVAS SPORTS CZECH had a pretty terrible local record coming into her last but she got

a perfect trip for a suddenly hot barn and was able to squeeze out a victory – not sure she’ll be as fortunate tonight,

but she’s still usable in exotics. (5) ROLL WITH SHORTY is another that was able to pull off an upset last week,

thanks to a beautiful trip...and she’s another than may not be quite as opportunistic tonight. (4) TUAPEKA JESSIE

N has been her own worst enemy for a while – we’ll see if she can build off last week’s clean qualifier. (8) LARJON

LEAH went off at an absurdly low price last week but was somehow able to hold off #6 and reward her fans – will

need to be that much better to pull off a repeat performance from out here! (7) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX hasn’t

been able to get untracked so far in 2024.

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