Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • December 6, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, December 6, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) SARA JANE is hard to gauge "class wise" of her recent Michigan lines but she's undeniably

sharp, and lands in a (small) barn that has an uncanny ability to improve fresh stock instantly - this is a very

well matched field, but we'll hop on board the trainer angle and list her on top. (6) TOBAGO TIME has

taken 2 of her last 3, and was parked the mile in the lone loss - even more significantly, Bartlett elects to

stick with her, rather than drive #8 (who is also very sharp, won her last, and is trained by one of Bartlett's

main clients) - look for another big effort tonight. (3) LADY DELA RENTAA was used hard to make the

lead from Post 7 last week and folded badly - she's a rock solid player in this class, and an easier trip could

land her right back in the mix tonight. (1) NUTTTINBUTTHEBEST was overbet last week but was able to

wire the field, finally picking her up her first local win of the season - certainly a license to repeat, but she

does figure to be overbet once again. (8) CALLMEQUEENBEE A has 2 wins and a head loss from her last

4 starts but she did end up too far back in the other (also from Post 8) - Bartlett opts for #6, but this mare

can still rally for a piece under the right circumstances. (5) JIVE DANCING A was sent off at 3/5 dropping

for a tag last week and came up terrible - she'll be a MUCH bigger price tonight if you think she can shrug

that off and bounce right back. (4) ITS MESMERISE N really wasn't bad last week - great bomb for 3rd if

you're spreading in exotics. (7) LINE EM UP has been a solid player most weeks but she relies on up close

trips, and tonight's draw may leave her in a tough spot.


RACE 2 - Well matched group! (6) JUDDY DOUGLAS A impressed in his U.S. debut when 2nd best to a

sharp MACH N CHEESE -- was scratched sick from his next but still raced strong last week, coming up a

close 2nd best despite the scratch - could be ready to deliver his best now, and he's worth using as long as

the price is fair. (2) CHANTEE landed in the bottom class when he arrived here from Canada on 10/28 and

was able to charge home to victory - did the same thing in NW7500 the next week, and raced very well

(from tough spots) in his next pair as well (NW10000 & NW15000) - steps up another peg but he very

sharp, and may be charging late once more. (4) FOREVER FAV hasn't won in a while but he's been a very

solid player in this class, especially with any half decent trip - has to be included in exotics, and even on top

-- if the price is decent. (1) SOHO LENNON A charged home from 7th (to be 4th) three back, was a front

end winner in his next then was an even 3rd vs. better last week - drops and draws the pole, and he'll likely

be the one they'll have to catch and beat. (5) DRAGON CITY takes on older for the first time since arriving

here but his current form suggests he can more than hold his own with these - the right trip gives him a

chance to land somewhere on the ticket. (3) ROCKATHON hails from a hot barn but he's moving up two

classes off a pair of losses vs. cheaper - probably a tough spot. (7) EXOTIC SAND draws outside after

missing a month - good week to just observe.


RACE 3 - (6) HEART OF DIXIE looked good on paper shipping down from Canada but likely bled in that

first NW4 start - dropped down to NW2 for his next, added Lasix, and absolutely charged home from the

final turn, rallying from 8th to 2nd - look for a more aggressive try tonight...and hopefully a trip to the

winner's circle. (3) ALLSTAR CHEDDAR has some decent efforts in Canada in his young career and exits

a barn that's just 1 for 65 this year - lands with an outfit that often does well with these types, and there's no

reason he can't be a live player tonight (12-1 ML). (7) C BET HANOVER had license to tire/break 2 back

after being used very hard early on - he bounced right back with a game 2nd to the stickout winner and has

a chance for another good piece tonight...even with another outside draw. (2) HURRIKANE MON AMI

raced "ok" the last 2 starts, picking up a pair of 3rds - might be just about where he ends up tonight too. (1)

FUN MUNKY is hard to gauge off his mixed Chester efforts - barn can be highly unpredictable, but still

willing to throw this 2YO in for a minor share. (5) TREVORS HUNT may be adding Lasix tonight, as he

was scratched on 11/29 due to being on the "bleeders list" - throw in for 3rd if that announcement is made.

(4) HES SPECIAL has been no factor in either of his local starts but he hasn't been terrible, either - one of

many in the hunt for the minor spoils. (8) WHAT ABOUT BOB is 1 for 42 lifetime, and 14-0-0-0 here at

Yonkers - the outsider, both literally and figuratively.


RACE 4 - (1) BETTER WATCH IT has been knocking on the door lately and just seems a good trip away

from breaking through - she just missed from the rail with Dube 2 back...maybe this time she grabs the big

prize? (2) SHELLIE DE VIE beat softer 2 back but really wasn't bad from Post 8 (at this level) last week -

gets major post relief, and is a decent value horse to consider. (3) CHUPPAH ON always "figures", races

well most every week but only has ONE recent win - she's a possibility for sure, but that 9/5 ML price

makes others seem more attractive (from a wagering standpoint). (6) SHECANDANCE N struggled

through a bunch of starts in Indiana but raced much better at Chester (for her new barn) after shipping back

east - tough post, but still a chance to grab a decent piece. (5) IN LOU OF MONEY seems to do her best

work vs. a bit easier - she's definitely sharp right now, and is another that may be able to grab a chunk, with

the right trip. (7) LAURIE LEE has been very heavily backed in almost all of her recent starts but only

managed one victory (by a nose. on 9/27) - tough spot here, but at least she's unlikely to get overbet this

week! (4) NORMANS MADELINE went an insane mile in that (improbable) victory 2 back....then was at

the other end of the spectrum last week, barely functioning at all - inclined to just take a pass tonight. (8)

CAVIART CHERIE really disappointed from the pole last week, and now gets stuck with Post 8.


RACE 5 - (2) JACKS LEGEND N clearly wasn't all that serious last week making his first start off the

layoff (for his new barn) - he did charge home full of pace, though, and now gets to drop a notch, as this

race was opened up to fit him in ("NW20471 L5") - look for him to strut his best stuff tonight. (1) THE

WILD CARD hasn't won too often this year but he's picked up a ton of good pieces at the highest levels -

should be able to bring home a big chunk tonight, as well. (3) RAU RU was invisible in his last try here

(10/15) but he seems to need to be on/near the lead to do his best - seems sharp enough now to be a player

here with a trip more to his liking. (4) COALITION HANOVER was invisible moving up to NW15000 two

back but then came up with a BIG first over try at the NW20000 level last week - has earned a lot of

respect the past couple of months, and may be able to grab a piece here. (6) HICKFROMFRENCHLICK is

legitimately sharp right now but he seems to do his best work either on top or in the pocket...and that may

not be possible starting from Post 6 - would need a pretty good price to use him here. (8) ALWAYS AND

AGAIN has been sharp for just about all of 2022 and remains that way right now - the obvious knock is

Post 8, and the draw may very well leave him waiting for a better spot. (5) ROCK CANDY was unable to

deliver in a trio of NW15000 starts - seems unlikely that he'll be able to threaten at this higher level (7)

BENHOPE RULZ N gets a class drop, but that will likely be offset by the terrible draw - he'll likely be

getting another drop next week....and hopefully a much better post.


RACE 6 - (8) BOUNTY HUNTER was good enough to make the NYSS Final this year, and ships in

tonight off a pair of sharp tries across the river - he just seems to have a big edge over the others...even

starting from Post 8. (1) BETTOR ROLL ON A has 2 wins and a 2nd from his 5 local starts, and was in a

couple of tough fields the other two weeks - he's coming off a pocket win at this level, draws the pole once

again and has a solid chance to land somewhere on this ticket. (4) BRUMBY was handled conservatively in

his local debut and was an even 4th - he may be sharper the 2nd time around, and is worth including in

exotics. (2) LETS GET ROCKED got lost from Post 10 in NJ last week but his prior PcD efforts would

make him a solid fit with these - another with a chance at a good piece. (7) AMP IT UP N disappointed as

the favorite in his local debut and now draws poorly - he does add Lasix, though, so there's always a chance

that a better effort could be coming. (6) MASK ON MASK OFF is just 1 for 20 this year and feels a little

cheap - he does show speed at times, so maybe he's not a bad bomb for 3rd/4th. (5) CRACK A SMILE has

missed a month after a sick scratch - prefer to just observe, at least for now. (3) JKS ON THE MOVE

arrives from Indiana to local connections, but the sense is that he's on the cheaper side - we'll just keep an

eye on him for his Yonkers debut.


RACE 7 - (4) SAULSBROOK HERO doesn't look all that appealing on paper but he hasn't been in this

cheap in a long time, and his barn has been having an excellent year - could be the right spot for a winning

wake up call. (2) ELWELL raced ok in his first start back off the layoff - was well backed the next week,

but could never really get rolling at all and just wasn't up for the swift 1:52.2 mile - gets another class drop

for tonight, and he'd be no surprise at all. (6) ROCKIN JUKEBOX found his form for a few starts down at

the lower levels - was no threat in his last pair, but was also compromised by bad spots....it's possible that

he could make some noise tonight (at a big price) with a live trip. (3) AMERICAN BOY N could only pick

up 3rds in his last 2 NW7500 attempts and now moves up one more notch - leaning towards others, but he's

classy enough to pull this off if he can find his best game. (1) LEVINE looked ready to go on a nice form

spree but raced pretty ordinary on 11/7, was no factor at all in his next then was scratched sick from his last

- just seems a little too iffy right now. (7) SURREAL ART definitely fits well enough at this level but may

not be quite sharp enough now to overcome the outside draw - can never count this potent trainer/driver

combination out. (8) MULLINAX has disappointed more often than he's delivered here this year - he's

listed at 3-1 ML, and that makes it hard to recommend him for a wager from all the way out here. (5) BETT

ORBUCKLEUP had a promising return try off the layoff but failed to build off that in his next couple of

starts - wouldn't be a shock, but we're leaning towards others for tonight.


RACE 8 - (6) NOWHERE CREEK A is just 1 for 21 here this year but has faced better in almost all his

starts - he finished well into a hot pace last week, and is sharp enough for a chance to take this IF Stratton

can find a way to put him in play. (3) CAPTIVATE HANOVER is 0 for 14 at Yonkers this year, but he's

looked pretty good for a new barn since returning from a layoff- would only consider if the price is decent,

however. (8) MOTIVE HANOVER was always camera shy in the past here at Yonkers but he did rattle off

3 wins this summer for his current connections, and seems to have returned sharp after some time off - can

he find a way into the race? (7) HEISMAN PLAYER was well off form for some time but was handled

aggressively dropping to the bottom level last week and delivered the game victory - another worth a look,

IF the price is right. (2) HUDSEN A was away for 8 months but came up with a big effort (at Fhd.) off the

layoff - he may be even sharper tonight, but he's never been a great Yonkers horse in the past. (1) MONTY

MONO used an easy trip to grab a 3rd in his YR return last week - another good draw may produce a

similar effort tonight. (4) EL JACKO N has license to perk up with the class drop from 40s but that 5/2 ML

price means he'll likely be overbet....offering no value. (5) KNOCKING AROUND doesn't have bad from

upstate, but he's notoriously camera shy here at Yonkers.


RACE 9 - (4) BB LUCKY BOY has just 18 starts this year but he's already been through a litany of some

of the highest % barns in the nation - he now is trained by one of the greatest conditioners of all time, and

he gets the ultimate vote of confidence here as Kakaley jumps off his main client's horse (#1) to stick with

this guy, even though he'll have to take on good older horses for the first time - we'll trust his judgement.

(2) MACH N CHEESE draws his best post in a while and that could help stick a little closer than usual...

with a chance to finish well enough for a good piece. (7) SEMI TOUGH's fate was sealed last week when

he had to abort his leave attempt - he'll go for Yannick tonight, and Gingras has had some luck getting him

to leave a bit in the past - could add some value to the exotics. (1) SMOKIN BY N just toured the oval from

Post 8 last week, but may have already realized that tonight's class drop was waiting for him - hard to pick

on top when Kakaley bails for the top choice, however. (3) CRUNCH HANOVER may be on the cheaper

side but he did pace evenly at the back last week, and may be able to just tow along for a minor share. (6)

MICKY GEE N has some solid rallies recently but facing easier fields - may have some trouble making up

the same kind of ground against these. (5) SON OF A TIGER N will be on the "watch list" for tonight as he

makes his first start back after missing 3 months. (8) MY CARBON COPY N is good right now, but will

face a lot tougher...and will have to do it from the 8 hole.


RACE 10 - (3) CHIEFS BEACH was well backed dropping to this class on 11/1 but was used hard and

folded - his form is okay since then....and maybe good enough to beat these, with a half decent trip. (2) BIG

BOSS HILL is a tempting selection off his solid PA form (vs. better!), but his 1 for 28 record this year

makes it hard to take a short price on top. (1) MISSILE SEELSTER tends to disappoint but this is a good

spot for an aggressive try, and Stratton may have some success with that strategy against this pretty shaky

group. (4) SIMPLE KINDA MAN will attract $$ off a trio of 3rd place finishes -- but he still seems more

likely to end up with another smaller prize, rather than the top one. (5) LUC ROCKS is very unreliable but

he did win 2 of 7 starts here this year, and deserves a look if the price is decent. (7) FOX VALLEY REN

arrived from Hoosier and just missed to the classy ALEX TYE....only to come up no good at all the

following week -- very tough to predict which version we'll see tonight! (6) CENTURY IGLESIAS makes

his local debut, gets a good driver change, but it's hard to know how he'll fit with these - he does feel a little

cheap. (8) MAJOR DESIRE doesn't seem close to ready to uncork a huge 8 hole effort - wait for a better

spot before considering.

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