RACE 1 - (2) HERRICKROOSEVELT N never had any chance to pace last week so let's just give him a
complete pass for that mile - he drops all the way down to the bottom level tonight, catches a pretty soft
crew and anything even close to his best would give him a good chance to beat these. (8) ODDS ON PICK
SIX was a BIG "go" last start but he was rudely parked by MOONLIGHT SHADOW, never seeing the
cones the entire way - somehow he still managed to finish 4th (beaten only a length and a half!) and he
would have a real chance here...if Dube can manufacture some trip luck from Post 8. (1) MY ULTIMATE
STAR A was dismal in his first 2 U.S. attempts - he certainly wasn't "good" in his next, but at least he was
far more competitive - maybe this is a spot where he can be a legitimate player? (4) GOTTA MINUTE N
comes out of the same race as the top choice and he's another that never had any real chance to stretch his
legs - his new barn has recently picked up some fresh stock...we'll see if they start to pay some dividends.
(5) AMERICAN WAY gets a bit of post relief after a trio of hopeless spots - he may just be off form now,
OR he may be able to come up with a better try from this better spot - we shall see. (6) ROLL WITH JR
drops to the bottom level but it's hard to say if that'll be enough to elevate him to "contender" status - he
just seems way off form at the moment. (7) MOONLIGHT SHADOW decided to cut the mile at all costs
last week and it resulted in a major duel between he and #8 - that was from the pole, and now he's stuck out
here- leaning towards others. (3) GOTAFOOLISHDESIRE has been struggling lately- wake up call needed.
RACE 2 - (1) WAITFOREVER N just loves the front end, and she's used her speed to capture 5 of 8 local
starts (including jogburgers in her last 2 at this level) - there won't be much of a price here, but the road to
the winner's circle surely goes through her. (4) DOCS DELIGHT blasted from Post 7 last week and hit the
top easily...but then went offstride off turn one and wasted that quick start - she's definitely sharp now if
you're looking for somebody to possibly knock off #1. (3) AMERICAN HALO chased the top choice all
the way last week and actually looked like a threat until midstretch - she's been sharp for a long time, but
will need to find a bit more if she wants to get her picture taken here. (7) FLIP THE SCRIPT gave #1 a
tussle the last time she raced here (2nd, on 10/5) but her form has been mixed since then (in PA) - might
have liked her chances for an upset a bit more had she drawn a bit better. (6) COMMANDER CATHY N is
remarkably just 1 for 31 this year, though she's raced well a bunch of times (even against good older mares)
- she doesn't seem at her sharpest right now, and the outside draw doesn't figure to help her chances either.
(2) PULL ME THROUGH is just 1 for 25 this year and likely a bit below the main players - the good draw
at least gives her a chance for a small piece, though. (5) BETTE TINA ships in from PA and did have a
couple of decent starts here earlier this year - sticking with the locals for now, however.
RACE 3 - (4) HURRIKANE GEORGIE has compiled a pretty outstanding season 25-10-9-2 and just
seems to be one of those horses that when in the right class, just finds ways to make good things happen -
he never "crushes" the field, but somehow he's always right there seemingly regardless of his trip - deserves
top billing. (8) SILENT SPLENDOR was struggling in a lot of his starts here earlier this year but that was
for a different barn - he's been on a LONG roll at Pocono recently. hitting board in 9 of his last 10
starts...may be worth using upon arrival, even from Post 8. (1) MAKE MY DEO is a very steady player in
this class but he's definitely light in the win column - needs to find more at the end of his miles if he hopes
to take home more than his usual smaller slice. (2) PICK A GENRE always showed ability but was prone
to miscues (after arriving from Iowa) - it would seem that he was just sold (after a pair of NJ victories), and
he definitely fits ability-wise with these...lands in a sharp barn, and looms a legitimate player here. (3)
HES GONNA GETYA gets a little bit of post relief after picking up minor pieces in several recent starts -
we'll see if he can do a little better with a bit better starting spot. (5) DYNOMITES PEAK shows some
mixed out of town lines after making a break in his only local appearance - would hardly be a surprise, but
others feel like "safer" plays right now. (6) AINT HE SPECIAL is a little tough to gauge from week to
week - his best effort could put him in play for a piece of this, but only with some trip luck from Post 6. (7)
CAPTAIN SLEAZE drops a bit, but may not be sharp enough to take advantage right now.
RACE 4 - (3) MY BOY CHRISTIAN brought some trouble upon himself last week when he let STICK
WITH ME KID slip out under him on the back side, was then kept wide into the final turn by that same
rival then made a most untimely break...when still in with a decent chance to win - at 12-1 ML, he's worth a
follow up this week. (5) NEW HEAVEN has been more likely to disappoint than deliver for a while now,
but he's in cheap enough tonight where the possibility of a big wake up call has to be respected - don't be
afraid to use him if the price is fair. (8) STICK WITH ME KID went off 19-1 at Monti (off the big barn
change) and finished well back....but a completely different version showed up at Yonkers last week,
overcoming a very difficult trip to score the (sneakily bet) victory - lands outside again, but has to respected
off that last mile. (7) TESLA SEELSTER had an easier trip than #8 last week but still came up 2nd best -
chance to get her picture taken tonight with a little sharper mile, but make sure to get a good price if using
her on top. (2) MUSCLE STAR benefited from the easy trip last week to pick up a 3rd - another kind
journey could see him land another small share tonight (6) TIDQUIST is pretty unreliable but he did attract
a claim last week - doesn't feel like a good spot for him, however. (1) TORKIL hasn't done much of
anything lately, but at least draws the pole in a cheap class- maybe we'll see some improvement? (4) LOVE
THIS BAR adds Lasix for tonight, but just doesn't seem to be very good right now - suppose he wouldn't be
a total shock, just based on his connections, and new medication.
RACE 5 - (1) JE TAIME N went a VERY weird mile last week, going from 2nd over to somehow ending
up BETWEEN horses on turn three, bothering the first over horse (resulting in a DQ), then racing well
herself, finishing 4th but not far off 2nd and 3rd - her overall recent form is pretty solid, and her barn has
been perking up a bit too - maybe she can get it done from this spot? (3) CLEAR THE WAY has come up
2nd best the last 3 weeks...but that has also allowed her to remain eligible to this lucrative class - maybe she
can come out on top against these? (5) CATIE FAYE HANOVER is now 0 for 36 on the year, but she hit
board in her last 3 starts, and a live trip could see her grab another share here. (2) BLUEBERRY SHAKE
gets some post relief and that should keep her a bit closer to the action...maybe even close enough to rally
her way onto the ticket somewhere? (6) TOP HONORS was an "ok" 3rd in her local debut - got hammered
to 3/5 for start #2, but faded to 4th (with no excuses) after cutting the mile - needs to be sharper. (4) ODDS
ON VETO POWER feels like she may be a little cheap but the newcomer will get her chance to prove
otherwise tonight - maybe can rally late for a minor award? (7) FOX VALLEY CACHET is good enough to
be a player with these but she never got close from a pair of 8 holes the last 2 starts, and she draws Post 7
for tonight - may have to wait another week for a better starting spot. (8) CHILLIN BYTHE POOL has the
win 3 back....but little before of after - now gets stuck all the way outside.
RACE 6 - (4) WILLY WALTON has taken 4 of his last 5 starts in this class, and tonight's pilot gets along
very well with him - at 6/5 ML he's not a very "sexy" play, but he's definitely the one to knock off. (1)
GEMOLOGIST left well from Post 8 last week but didn't survive the first turn - drops back down to 50s
(where HE has won several times as well), and he looms the main danger - should be a good battle if he
behaves himself. (8) P L OSCAR is good right now, his barn is really clicking and he's listed at 20-1 ML -
worth using in exotics for sure, and maybe even on top...if hoping for a juicier payoff. (5) ALL CHAMPY
was an okay 4th last week in his first local try since parting with our former leading trainer - eligible for a
piece of the pie tonight, as well. (6) MUFASAAS can be pretty streaky and he does seem OFF form at the
moment - the outside draw doesn't help, either. (3) PETERS ROYALTY was handled aggressively for his
local debut and folded badly - drops in for a tag tonight, and perhaps a more conservative approach would
help. (2) CAVALIER GEORGE draws well, but probably needs to be in easier to do any real damage. (7)
WHAT CHAPTER sat the cones with no offer in this class last week, and now has to deal with Post 7.
RACE 7 - (1) BIG CHARLIE MORAN is definitely on a good trajectory right now, racing better and even
looking smoother each week - he lands the pole, and that will give Siegelman plenty of options...feels like a
spot where he can pick up a win. (8) THE LAST CHAPTER has more than enough speed to leave even
from Post 8 and Miller definitely has confidence enough to send him - he doesn't always FINISH as well as
he needs to (when used hard early), but he still looms a real threat to land somewhere on this ticket. (3)
FULL RIGHTS hadn't been good for weeks (months?), but suddenly reversed form to win at 25-1 two
back, then proved it was no fluke when he was a solid 4th last week- seems good enough to handle tonight's
class jump, and take home a good piece of this. (5) BIZET has been facing better in most of his recent starts
and did finish 2nd the one time he was down at this level- not a fan of his 2-1 ML price, but he could easily
find his way into the exotics here. (2) SWISS HOUSE ONFIRE has been grabbing pieces lately, and even
grabbed a win 2 back when THE LAST CHAPTER just folded late on the lead - the good draw makes him
another with a chance at a chunk. (6) IM THE MUSCLE gets his worst draw in ages and it does figure to
compromise his chances here...and the month off won't help either! (7) R HERBIE BLUE CHIP lands
outside after making a break last week and does figure to be handled pretty conservatively from this less
than stellar spot. (4) MISS YOU KELLY remains desperately in need of some class relief.
RACE 8 - (1) CERTIFIABLE was sent off favored last week arriving from PcD but lost all chance when he
ended up parked by JIM BLUE - he shouldn't have any such issues after drawing the pole tonight, and we'll
see if can quickly make amends for last week. (7) MOMENTSTHATMATTER finished 2nd the last weeks
and is definitely good right now - if Yannick can create a manageable trip for him from Post 7, he'd have at
least a chance at the upset. (2) STELLAR YANKEE ships in from PA showing some spotty form...and
that's just the way he was when he's raced here in the past - he's in a good spot to do some damage IF he
brings his best tonight. (4) JIM BLUE (as mentioned) parked the top choice last week, leaving both of them
with no chance - assuming that he too ends up with a much better journey tonight, there's no reason he can't
land himself a decent piece. (5) SHIP WRECK BEACH K was scary sharp for a couple of months but may
finally be showing the effects - not ready to write him off just yet, but the signs are starting to pop up that
he MAY be heading in the wrong direction. (8) THOR AND DR JONES figures to be handled
conservatively from Post 8 after a miscue last week -- but there's always a chance he could just save ground
then finish up well enough for a minor share. (6) SPORTS ADVISOR has yet to hit board in his 5 local
tries - waiting for better signs. (3) BORN A REBEL is the rare horse from this amazing barn that ISN'T
functioning right now.
RACE 9 - Wide open finale: (2) STEUBEN HANOVER doesn't win very often so last week's 2/5 price
was absurd...even BEFORE he threw that clunker -- the good news is that he'll be a much bigger price
tonight, and just may be able to land on a winning trip in a field where several of these are no doubt going
in thinking they CAN win - one of several with a legitimate chance in here. (4) IN MY DREAMS was in a
hopeless spot in his first start off the claim but followed that up with a pair of excellent 2nds - very live
player once more. (3) CREDIT CON worked out the perfect 2 hole trip last week and cashed in at 7-1 - his
barn is finally starting to come back to life again, and a repeat performance is possible. (1) P C FREE
WHEELING was a close 3rd last week, and can use her speed from the pole tonight - has to avoid being
OVER-driven against these, however. (5) BIG BAD SWAN has done more than his share of good things in
this class - if things get a little too hot up front, he may have a big say at the end. (6) LINDSEYS PRIDE is
just 1 for 29 on the year but he's come up with some big miles lately - good bomb for the bottom of the
ticket. (8) X O X O was sent off favored dropping in for the tag last week but was a "meh" 3rd - draws post
8 now, and will need to be a lot sharper. (7) UPFRONT STONE almost pulled off a 43-1 upset last week in
a bit of a "fall apart" race....seems unlikely to be able to replicate that from this spot, however.