Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • August 30, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, August 30, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (3) STATE SENATOR was sent off at 119-1 for his Yonkers debut and finished distanced, a

zillion lengths behind the winner - the next week it was like a different animal showed up, battling a long

way first over into the hot pace and somehow finding renewed life near the wire as he paced on by for the

victory (although anybody who backed him at 48-1 was unable to cash, as the race was declared a "no

contest" due to confusion caused by the recall lights) - if that version shows up tonight he'll have a good

chance to win again...at a fraction of the price. (1) AMERICAN WAY reversed form with his upset win on

6/21 and has maintained solid form since then - draws best, and can be a serious late threat if things go his

way. (4) EXOTIC SAND has been racing well for his last several starts, and absorbed all the heat from the

top choice last week before losing the lead near the end - remains a very legitimate threat. (2) FOXHUNT

has been a solid Excelsior A player all summer - draws inside, and could easily land somewhere on this

ticket. (5) COLD CREEK FELIPE was 2nd the last two weeks, racing "ok" the first time but pretty well the

2nd - may be a notch below the top ones, but still a threat with his speed, and Bartlett. (8) DANCING JOE

came to life in his 2nd start on Lasix and has been racing very well ever since - the obvious knock here is

the draw....hard to say if he'll be able to get into play here. (7) LOUS BEACH had been tiring most weeks

after showing speed but changed up tactics 2 back and delivered back to back sharp OFF the pace efforts -

he's another that may end up a victim of the draw tonight. (6) CAPTAIN BUTLER seems like the outsider

in this otherwise very well matched field.


RACE 2 - (7) SHARKY BEAR was handled conservatively (Post 7) for his local debut but did finish ok to

be 4th - draws the same bad post tonight but this is a much softer field, and a more aggressive try should be

forthcoming - might be a field he can handle. (5) AUSSIE HANOVER added Lasix 2 back (at Chester) and

raced ok in his last 2 starts with a fairly inexperienced pilot - gets Bartlett in the bike now, and figures to be

a major player against these (but won't offer any value at that 9/5 ML price). (3) JITTERBUG FLIP is just

1 for 24 lifetime but he finished well for 3rd last week and does seem to be a good fit against this bunch -

include in exotics. (6) LENDA HAND MAN has yet to hit board in 6 local tries, draws outside but still may

be able to beat a few of these in here. (1) SILLY WILLY raced well a couple of times in Illinois and could

improve for his new local barn.....but he comes into tonight showing a pair of scratches surrounding a

"distanced" line, and is just too hard to endorse right now. (4) GUSSYS TRUMP CARD goes for a new

barn off a bad date, and is 15-0-1-0 this year - we'll just observe, for now. (2) COMMANDER BOND has

yet to hit the board in 6 lifetime starts.


RACE 3 - Good race: (2) SOUTHWIND PETYR was a good earner at 2 and 3 but took a while to find his

form as a 4YO - he does seem to be really clicking (in PA) right now, and draws well for his YR return -

worth a stab in here if the price is decent. (7) ROCK THE DEVIL was a very dominant winner at this level

2 starts back as the 6/5 favorite - that win came from the pole, however, and now he's stuck with Post 7 -

still worth a shot IF the price is juicy enough. (1) CAPTAIN FANCY was handled conservatively last week

(after a miscue the week before) but did finish with good pace, once free - draws best, and has to be

respected. (8) PEACE OUT POSSE was a VERY sharp winner last week - steps up a notch, but the class

jump isn't nearly as concerning as the draw - chance to make some noise if Siegelman can manufacture a

good trip. (3) MULLINAX has 2 wins here this year but both came vs. much easier - it's possible that he

can beat these too, but there won't be any value to be found thanks to that 5/2 ML price. (4) PACE N PRID

E got really good for a few starts but does seem to \have tailed - hard to recommend (at least on top) in this

very solid field. (5) IMSTAYNALIVE was a trip 3rd up at this level last week but probably needs to be in a

bit easier to be a serious contender. (6) WINDSUN RICKY likely needs a much better post to be a player

against these types.


RACE 4 - Another tough race: (1) SIX DEGREES has been away since December but he debuts tonight

for a barn that knows how to have one ready - he was 4-1-2-0 here last year, and that qualifier looks solid -

gets a narrow nod in a race with a few solid contenders. (4) ROLL WITH THE FLOW is having a strong

NYSS season for the former wife of our current leading trainer - he's 2 for 2 at Yonkers this year, and

figures to be a major player here as he preps for the NYSS Final (on 9/10). (6) KINGSVILLE has been

doing damage all summer in the Excelsior A races, but he's more than capable at the NYSS level as well -

he's at a post disadvantage tonight, but it would hardly be a surprise to see him overcome it for our leading

barn (may be overbet off that 2-1 ML price, however). (5) L DEES JACK LOPEZ showed much better life

last week in his 3rd start off the layoff - he's raced well here a bunch of times in the past, and figures to be a

decent price - consider. (3) BUTTER UP has some solid recent form at PcD and clearly gets along very

nicely with Boyd - not sure he can beat a couple of the top ones, but a good piece is definitely possible. (2)

MAKE MY DEO has hit board in all 4 local starts, but does seem to be a little on the cheaper side - perhaps

the inside draw can help him grab a small piece? (7) MARLBANK ROAD might get a look from an inside

post, but will be hard pressed to find a way into the hunt from out here.


RACE 5 - (2) SO FIA LOLITA qualified very sharply for her new barn on 7/23 (in NJ) then raced super in

her first start, finishing 2nd to CHASE LOUNGE (who was in the Open soon after that) - made her

Yonkers debut off a 3 week layoff and came up 2nd best to the sharp favorite, kicking home right with her

into a :27.4 final quarter - she was able to still fit this class by $286, and we'll look for her bring her best

tonight. (8) SOMESWEETSOMEWHERE picked up her first win of the year last week with a sharp front

end score - definitely seems like the main danger, despite the terrible draw. (5) MISS DOTTIE MAE rallied

nicely to pick up 3rd last week, and the homebred has been pretty solid in most of her 13 career starts -

seems a bit below the top pair, but she may be able to beat a lot of the others. (3) TAVA was never close in

her last pair (7 and 8 hole) but finished 2nd and 3rd from inside posts before that - look for a much better

effort from her with the post relief. (6) RAISE THE ANTE really hasn't been bad, usually outperforming

her long odds - decent bomb to throw in for 3rd. (1) ADDISON SEELSTER ships down from Canada after

finally breaking her maiden last week - would have given her more consideration vs. a field of only NW2

rivals. (4) ROBMOTION BLUECHIP seems a bit cheap, but does move inside and get Kakaley - suppose a

minor share is not impossible. (7) SHES A BULLVILLE has failed to hit board in all 4 local (NW2) starts

and draws outside - sticking with others.


RACE 6 - Wide open: (5) ROLL WITH SHORTY is just 1 for 36 but at least she's only 0 for 6 this year -

she almost was able to pull off the upset last week, and her barn has really perked up recently - one of

several with a chance to come out on top here. (4) KILEE ROCKS won 2 of her last 3 (at PcD) and seems

to be on the upswing - her barn is always solid, and sent out the 60-1 winner in the last race on Monday

night - definitely a shot to take this too (3) FOX VALLEY CACHET always seems ready to turn the corner

and start winning some races but so far that just hasn't happened - she fits perfectly with this bunch, but

wouldn't take too short a price on her. (6) CLEAR THE WAY was a very good 2nd behind the 3 for 3

CHERYLS SHADOW two back but needed every inch of a perfect trip to hang on last week (over the top

choice) - she can absolutely win again...but she does figure to be overbet from a bad post. (1) ASHLEES

SUPREME went a nice mile at PcD in her first try for a new barn but was empty in her local debut (the

next week) - she does move all the way inside, so we'll see if that perks her up a bit. (2) BEACHBLANKE

TLINDY is now 1 for 40 and hard to use for anything more than a minor share. (7) CRAZY LUCKY was a

little better last week, but it would be hard to say she was "good" - tough spot tonight.


RACE 7 - (4) DELIGHTFUL TERROR has finished just behind some good 75s several times recently, and

was definitely good the last 2 starts - he figures to be a decent price in what shapes up as a very competitive

affair, and he's worth using tonight. (1) COVERED BRIDGE should be feeling pretty confident after his

last 3 (sharp) miles in PA, even if vs. cheaper - very logical threat from this spot, but note that he's 0 for 8 at

Yonkers before falling too much in love with him. (2) ESCAPETOTHEBEACH seems to just sense when

he drops to NW20000 as he's won the last THREE times that's happened - has to be respected as he drops

to the level he loves. (3) MR DS ROCK can bang heads against better than these when on his game, but he

just returned from a month off and it's hard to say just how tight he'll be for tonight - perhaps the tote board

will offer clues? (7) PRETTY HANDSOME was very good 3 back and super in his win the next week -

failed to be a player in his last, however, and now is stuck with another bad post - willing to include

underneath. (8) BETTERROCK can hold his own with these from the right spot....but may have trouble

getting into play from all the way out here. (6) GLACIS may not win very often, but he's been in fine form

(picking up good pieces) for a long time - will need plenty of trip luck to grab a good share from this spot,

however. (5) SETH HANOVER pops up with a big effort every now and then, but he'll have a hard time

replicating last week's effort against these tougher ones.


RACE 8 - (3) SHECANDANCE N rallied nicely in her last 2 local starts but from too far back - she gets a

much better draw for tonight, retains Bartlett, and we'll give her the nod. (5) LAURIE LEE threw some bad

steps 2 back and lost all chance but bounced right back with a good 2nd last week - look for another good

effort tonight. (2) VELOCITY MCSWEETS is back on her game and has been very consistent lately,

picking up 3 wins and a 2nd from her last 5 starts- hard to leave her off your tickets. (6) LOOKATMYART

is now 13-3-6-0 at Yonkers this year, including last week's game first over score - gets a tough draw here,

and that MAY result in a smaller piece this time (we shall see). (8) AHOY has hit board in 5 straight,

including 3 at this level- even with Post 8 she should be listed at 20-1 ML, and is definitely worth including

in exotics. (1) CAVIART CHERIE has "figured" plenty of times, but is now 0 for 15 here over the last 2

years, and just 1 for 27 over the last 3 - getting harder to justify using her on top anymore. (4) CORAL

BELLA was a bit better last week, but she's still well off her best form - prefer others. (7) CHECKERED

PAST does her best work vs. easier, and Post 7 surely won't help her cause tonight.


RACE 9 - (1) ALOTBETTOR N is at least a bit risky (he fell before the race and was scratched last week)

but he's beaten the 50s recently, and has been facing the likes of B LIKE CRUISER, BARBADOS, DON

DOMINGO N, etc, and really holding his own - could be tough here with the drop, and rail. (4) ROCK

LIGHTS was overbet last week, but he really didn't race bad (weakened a bit after the first over trip) - very

logical threat with these. (3) I GET THAT dropped in class last week and raced ok from a terrible spot -

moves inside, and can have a big say here if anything close to his best. (2) ABERDEEN HANOVER is one

of the rare claims that didn't instantly improve by leaps and bounds upon entering this amazing barn -

seems time to hop off his team....at least for the top slot. (5) ARTIST BEST wasn't bad in his Hilltop return,

pacing home well after searching for room - may be a notch below the top picks, but he's a good value

horse to include in exotics. (6) SHANWAY N burned $$ the last 2 weeks, cutting the miles then tiring to

3rd - draws outside, and seems destined to be fighting for another smaller share. (7) NOCH TEN was a

winner in his local debut but it wasn't pretty - up in class now, draws outside, and Bartlett opts off - prefer

others. (8) DARLINGS DRAGON drops to a good level but also gets stuck with Post 8...and that may have

him waiting for a manageable spot before we see his best.

By soaofny February 21, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 21, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 20, 2025
The Empire Report – Thursday, February 20, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 19, 2025
The Empire Report – Wednesday, February 19, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 18, 2025
The Empire Report – Tuesday, February 18, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 14, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 14, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 13, 2025
The Empire Report – Thursday, February 13, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 12, 2025
The Empire Report – Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 11, 2025
The Empire Report – Tuesday, February 11, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 10, 2025
The Empire Report – Monday, February 10, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 7, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 7, 2025 – Race Analysis
Show More
Share by: