Saturday Empire Report

soaofny • May 12, 2023

The Empire Report - Saturday, May 13, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) POINTOMYGRANSON rallied for 4th from a tough spot on 4/18 for his new connections -

just missed to a very sharp SHAKESPEARE in his next, then outkicked MINGO JOEL for the victory last

week - finds a few tough foes to his inside tonight, but we'll stay on board and give him a narrow edge. (3)

DIVISION BELL had a couple of semi-disappointing efforts but he charged home to beat the 20s two back,

then was a "brush and crush" winner vs. the 25s in his last - tries the 30s tonight for our highest % trainer,

and may be able to beat these too. (2) MINGO JOEL has been on a LONG form spree, and has remained as

sharp in 30s as he was in 15s - he just missed to the top choice last week, but that was after being used very

hard to make the lead - we'll see if he can continue to roll tonight with his new pilot. (1) OURRHYTHMNB

LUES N was claimed for $40K last week and immediately is entered for $30K tonight - just feels a little

too fishy to hop on his team here. (5) PROVOCATIVEPRINCEN woke up with a big effort last week but

was hurt badly by the tough trip - may be looking at another less than stellar journey after drawing outside

four tough rivals. (6) DARK ENERGY N was purchased from his last and moves up to 30s of some dull

tries vs. easier - prefer to just watch, for now.


RACE 2 - (3) DOUBLE DEALING shipped in with good NJ form - he didn't fire at all in his first local try,

but was a very solid 3rd last week - gets a class drop tonight along with a pretty significant driver change to

Kakaley, and that makes him worth a shot. (2) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN obliterated similar here 3 starts

back but the 10YO made breaks in two other local starts, and is having a tough time getting into a groove

this year - if the "good" version shows up, he'll probably handle these easily...but it's hard to take too short a

price right now. (4) UP HELLY AA shows good flashes at times but he's now winless in 12 tries since

shipping down from up North - he'll probably find a field he can just outrun some time soon, but he's

another that's tough to back at a short price at the moment. (1) TORKIL throws a good one from time to

time but he has no wins and one 2nd from his 13 starts this year, and is probably best used for 3rd/4th. (6)

EMPEREURTHEBEST FR overcame a slow start last week to be right there at the top of the lane...but still

ended up a hair shy at the wire (behind the normally camera shy BAZILLIONAIRE) - moves out to Post 6,

and seems destined for only a smaller slice this week. (7) MUFASA AS lost all chance after a break before

the start last week - have to believe he'll be handled pretty conservatively from Post 7 tonight. (5) GREG

often grabs a minor share, but just hasn't been finishing well enough lately.


RACE 3 - (4) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL is getting a tepid vote here - she has some fairly recent form that

would crush these, but her last couple have been less than stellar - she really plummets in class tonight, and

we'll see if that's enough to get her back on her game (but not one to bet the rent money on)! (3) LADYBE

LUCKYTONITE started the year sharp and ran her way up the class ladder with a series of good efforts -

she wasn't bad when dropping down to NW15000 on 4/14 but she missed 3+ weeks to her last and was well

out of it at the back- she's another that could easily perk up with a big one at this easier level. (1) CHELSKI

was a dull 4th last week but she's another that was racing off a bad date - drops right back in the box, draws

the pole and may come up with a better try tonight. (2) PULL ME THROUGH raced well in her last pair,

but vs. easier - the good draw may help her take home a share of this. (6) HP XANADU shipped in off a

win over easier in PA and put in a good first over try for 3rd - she may be on the upswing right now, but the

poor draw may slow her down a bit tonight. (5) ANNE BONNEY is just 1 for 32 here over the last 2 years

and most of those losses came vs. easier than these.


RACE 4 - (3) SMALLTOWNTHROWDOWN was a little disappointing on the lead last week but the track

was slow and tiring that night, and he may deserve a pass - he's in a spot tonight where his best effort may

get the job done. (6) BARRY BLACK could offer some value here - he drew Post 8 off a month last time

but really wasn't bad, hitting the wire decently (after the fact) - gets no luck with the draw again tonight, but

at least he's right back in the box...this is a level where he's usually a threat, and could be tonight as well.

(4) FLIP THE SWITCH was sent off at 3/5 in his YR return last week but raced more like a 35-1 shot,

getting away 6th and never looking like a player at any point - would be silly to write him off after that one

weak try, but it would also be hard to endorse him tonight as the 8/5 ML choice! (2) LUCKY WEEKEND

hasn't won here yet this year but he's hit board in 5 of 7 starts and does have a chance at a small prize

tonight, as well. (1) THE LAST CHAPTER benefited from a beautiful drive from Siegelman last week,

blasting right to the top from Post 8, beautifully rating the middle half then having enough left in the tank to

sprint home a winner - steps up a bit, but does draw the pole...playable underneath. (5) FULL RIGHTS has

been a little tough to predict from week to week but even on his best, he may struggle in this spot.


RACE 5 - (4) PAIGES GIRL has been battling the 50s here all year and now returns from a couple of starts

at Plainridge at our bottom level - she's REALLY supposed to be able to handle this assignment....but note

that she's 0 for 14 this year before betting the ranch! (6) LOOKATMYART was a decent 3rd here 3 back vs.

better, had no prayer in her next then was a hard used 3rd at Chester last week - good chance she can

outperform that 12-1 ML price. (8) TRIZZLE TRAZZLE came up 2nd best to a sharp BETTERB CHEVR

ON N 3 back then wired the field in back to back starts - her chances of making it 3 in a row will boil down

to how hard Brennan needs to use her from Post 8 to get into the race. (5) MISS QUALITY ships in sharp

from Monti for connections that do very well up there - may be able to hold her own with these too! (7)

SIRI BLUE CHIP was no good at all in her first 2 starts for new connections but did improve at Chester

last week - may continue to get better now, but tonight's draw may hurt her chances quite a bit. (3) SARA

HS LILLY still hasn't been able to find her stride in 2023 after 5 starts - maybe the move inside can help

her at least pick up a small share. (1) ITS MESMERISE N ships in off a Fhd. win but that was vs. much

softer - she's just 17-1-0-0 here at Yonkers, and hard to endorse tonight...even from the pole. (2) NITE

TIME DEAL has struggled since returning as a 4YO, her lone bright spot being a win over a soft Fhd. field.


RACE 6 - Tough race: (4) PINE BUSH MAGA found the NYSS a little too tough to start off her 2YO

season then ended the year after only 4 starts - returned at 3 with a pair of very sharp Monti qualifiers, but

wasn't quite able to last on the lead in her seasonal debut at Tioga - worth another try tonight at that 7-1 ML

price? (3) SUMMER FLAME showed some potential in a few of her 2YO starts - had a useful tightener in

her seasonal debut at Chester but broke before the start here last week and was out of it - could be a player

here with a clean mile. (6) BACK TO HICKSVILLE is hard to read off her 2 Monti qualifiers but she hails

from a highly capable barn, and the tote board is sure to provide more clues! (2) PARTY LOUNGE gets

some class relief from the Weiss Series but she really wasn't much of a player in there - we'll see how much

the class drop helps. (7) CHEESEY LADY has been competitive in all 4 local starts, picking up a pair of

2nds and a pair of 4ths - would have liked her chances a lot more from a better post, though. (5) IM SO GR

OOVY hails from top connections but the 3YO is hard to gauge of her 3 (mixed) PA efforts - suppose we'll

learn more tonight. (1) EA AUDIT was 6-0-0-0 as a 2YO but seemed to be getting her act together into her

3YO season - tired badly in her last try at PcD (Weiss Series), however, and has missed 3 weeks since then.


RACE 7 - (1) AIR FORCE HANOVER just missed on 3/20 after the barn change then followed that up

with back to back blowout scores - hard to say how long he'll be able to hold his current (raging) form, but

it would be hard to go against him right now (even at what figures to be a pretty short price). (5) STOP ST

ARING is capable of big miles against better than these, and did finish up decently last week after showing

no interest most of the way - logical spot for a wake up call, and may even be the biggest threat to the top

choice. (3) SECOND BRUISER made some money as a youngster but struggled in a rough, 12 start 4YO

campaign - seems to be finding his form lately up at Flamboro, and will debut tonight for our leading

trainer/driver combo - the 23 days off is a concern, however. (4) B LIKE CRUISER has been pretty steady

lately - eligible to grab a decent piece if the trip goes his way. (2) UMBERTO took no $$ at Chester last

week for his new barn, and was no factor - prefer to just observe tonight, but will also take at least a peek at

the tote board. (6) RHODENA ROAD was able to come to life 2 back to register the 14-1 upset (after

missing 3 weeks) - he tired badly after a major over-drive last week, and tonight's draw figures to limit his

opportunities. (7) LUCIANO N has been picking up smaller pieces for a while, but may have a hard time

matching that from out here.


RACE 8 - (1) VINNY DE VIE is a very talented trotter when on his game, but he also goes through rough

patches when he's no good at all - it LOOKED like he was starting to come around in NJ recently, but his

last start here was pretty weak - he SHOULD be able to win from this spot even in his current lesser form -

but he's definitely not one you can back with confidence right now. (2) BIZET is another that we're used to

seeing at much higher levels but he's in a rough patch of his own, and comes into tonight having missed 24

days after a sick scratch - another that's in a very easy spot, but with no guarantee of success. (6) SO LONG

HANOVER could be an interesting bomb - he qualified nicely (in NJ) after 7 months off but finished way

back in his return try - he did flash good speed before tiring last week, and may be ready now for a much

better effort (and he has done some good work here in the past). (3) MATT SO SURE has one 3rd from 13

starts this year and has gone 6 straight starts without earning a check...and he STILL may beat a few of the

others. (4) TESLA SEELSTER found a perfect trip in a soft spot to grab a win earlier this year but hasn't

been able to hit board in her other 12 starts. (5) BY A OFF HANOVER is 0 for 18 at Yonkers and 1 for 46

overall for the past 2 years - tired last week after drawing the pole and sitting an easy 2 hole trip. (7)

MUSCLE STAR just isn't clicking right now AND draws all the way outside.


RACE 9 - (2) TEAM COLORS showed some potential at 2 - won both preps for her 3YO season and

stated the year with a pair of 2nds in the Weiss Series - she tired a bit in the 3rd leg then took a couple of

weeks off before returning tonight - hard to know for sure, but the guess is that she'll be ready for a strong

effort. (6) B ON THE HUNT was a solid Excelsior A performer at 2 - she was a winner in the first leg of

the Weiss Series, weakened a bit after cutting the mile in her next then returned from a sick scratch to rally

solidly for 3rd in the Series Consolation - the ability is definitely there, but she draws poorly and her trainer

has decided to take the lines tonight. (3) HAILEYS SISTER sharpened in a hurry earlier this year but

comes into tonight with breaks in 2 of her last 3 starts - would consider only if the price is juicy enough. (8)

ON THE MONEY GB started off her U.S. career in fine form both in NJ and here at Yonkers - she's still

racing ok in PA, but does seem to have leveled off a bit...would have given her a much bigger chance had

she not drawn so poorly. (4) RHYS ECLIPSE GB was sent off at 2/5 on 3/29 to start her career, was hard to

manage in that race and faded badly - it's been pretty downhill since then, though it's too early to write her

off completely - still looking for her to start showing signs of figuring things out. (7) FRONDEUR had 3

wins as a 2YO but lands in a very tough spot for her sophomore career debut - prefer to just keep an eye on

her tonight. (1) PEMBROKE SOUTHIE draws best, but does seem a bit overmatched. (5) ROLL WITH

SHORTY has picked up her share of smaller pieces, but her 1 for 49 career slate is hard to ignore.


RACE 10 - (3) IM THE MUSCLE seems to come in 2 versions this year - if the "good" one shows up

tonight, this is definitely a field he can handle...worth a play as long as the price is fair. (1) STARLIT

RAMBO was definitely better last year, but he's had a few bright spots in 2023 as well - he's looking at a

pretty good trip from this spot and he definitely should be a live player. (2) BLUEBIRD JESSE has just

been too sluggish in most of his recent starts - he does figure to be a bit closer to the action tonight, and

we'll see if that keeps him a bit more motivated. (5) LOS BALLYKEELAMIGO found a soft field last

week and was able to dominate on the front end - he figures to have some speed inside of him tonight, but

at that 12-1 ML price he's worth at least a look. (6) BAZILLIONAIRE brushed right by a stopping leader

last week then was able to dig in at the wire to just hold on, picking up a rare Yonkers win - tough draw

tonight, but still playable underneath. (7) ETHAN T HANOVER looked like he FINALLY might be

finding some form...but then threw a dud last week - hard to be enthusiastic about his chances from Post 7.

(4) WILLY WALTON seems to have reverted to that disastrous form that plagued him in early March -

hard to consider at that 5/2 ML price. (8) MATS PALEMA is the outsider...literally and figuratively.

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