Monday Empire Report

apatchworkdesign • May 15, 2023

The Empire Report - Monday, May 15, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) ESCAPETOTHEBEACH gets his fair share of wins every year and they often come in spots

like this- he was a winner the last time he dropped down to this level (4 starts back) and may be able to pull

it off again tonight. (5) MAJOR DESIRE wasn't at his best last week but certainly wasn't terrible - his

overall form (facing better) has been solid, and he may be able to be a threat here with some trip luck. (3)

IGNATIUS A has faced much better when here in the past but his current form leaves much to be desired -

could be a spot for a wake up call, but make sure he's a good price if considering him on top. (4) MOTIVE

HANOVER would be very tough in here if even close to top form but he's definitely been struggling in his

last few starts - he's sure to take plenty of $$ here, and definitely could be risky right now. (7) OUR

COREL LI N can be added to the list of horses in here that are simply well off their top form - would be a

tough spot for him even with a wake up call. (6) KERFORD ROAD A has picked up some smaller pieces

since adding Lasix and seems destined for no better than that tonight. (1) HES GONNA GETYA has been

idle for 5 months - prefer to just keep an eye on him tonight.


RACE 2 - (1) TWIN B HEART THROB gets to stay in the same class he crushed from a similar spot last

week - he's been sharp all year and while not a "cinch" in here, he definitely remains the one to beat. (3)

PRETTY HANDSOME finished up well from an impossible spot last week, and avoids the likes of WICHI

TA LINEMAN, etc, here - good spot for an aggressive try, and that would make him a very live player. (6)

GREAT SOMEWHERE may just be off form right now, but he does have some recent excuses - this is a

spot where Holland can be aggressive, and the price should be decent enough to make him worth a look. (4)

STATE SENATOR throws too many duds to ever back with confidence, but he also throws some good ones

when in the right mood - would at least consider if the price was juicy enough. (2) NOWHERE CREEK A

rarely wins, but he's pretty good at saving ground then rallying for pieces - ok to use underneath. (5)

HEART OF DIXIE is having a good year and has shown that he CAN hang with his elders - may find

himself too far back to be a serious threat tonight, though.


RACE 3 - (1) ALEX TYE has been solid all year even if a little light in the win column - he was a sharp

2nd vs. a fire-breathing winner 2 back, then did well to pick up a 4th from Post 7 last week - the move all

the way inside could leave him in position to pick up a victory. (5) JAY BRACKEN A just missed to the

sharp TWIN B HEART THROB at Chester 2 back then was a close 2nd returning to Yonkers last week -

seems sharp enough right now to be a serious threat here. (2) MACHEASY A took no $$ and failed to fire

at all last week but the upside is that allowed him to drop in class tonight - his overall recent work has been

good enough to make him a player here. (3) MY ULTIMATE STAR A gets a drop after picking up pieces

vs. better lately - fits nicely with these, and a live trip could see him close at the wire. (4) CAPTAINS

PLACE is another that has been picking up smaller shares lately....and he seems likely to be looking at a

similar result tonight (a few others just seem a bit sharper right now). (6) DELIGHTFUL TERROR moves

to a new barn and figures to be hurt by the draw - he's only managed one win and one second from his 15

starts this year, and may need a better spot before he can be a more serious threat. (7) DEETZY picks up a

lot of smaller pieces but he has just one win and no seconds from his 13 starts this year - brutal draw.


RACE 4 - (3) JOJOS PLACE has won 4 of 5 starts for this amazing barn, and the lone loss was in 40s,

with a brutal trip - remains in for $30K off last week's victory, and looms the one to beat once more. (4)

CHANGE STRIDE N (former barnmate to the top choice) had little chance off the claim last week, racing

from Post 8 and having to deal with some interference - should land a much better trip from this spot, and

looms the main danger. (2) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER was 0 for a zillion here at Yonkers until being

recently claimed by the Dynamic Duo...and picking up that elusive local victory in just his 2nd attempt -

wasn't as sharp last week, however, and will need to be a bit better for a chance to knock of the top pair. (5)

WAR DAN DELIGHT N is winless in his last 53+ Yonkers starts but has nevertheless been claimed FOUR

times recently - hard to consider on top, but ok to include underneath. (1) SHARK PLAY gets a pass for his

last but his overall form has really deteriorated - not sure the rail draw is enough to boost his chances right

now. (6) CONBOYVILLE hit board in 6 straight and was claimed last week - only ONE of those was a

win, however, and that's his only win in 33 local starts over the past 2 years- draws worst, and that'll hurt.


RACE 5 - (2) SHAKESPEARE raced well from impossible spots (for his new barn) after shipping in from

Dover, then was a sharp winner in his next, followed by last week's 2nd to the razor sharp AIR FORCE

HANOVER - drops in for the $50K tag and faces a few sharp foes here, but we'll still try him on top (at

what should be a decent price). (4) COALITION HANOVER was used hard and came up 2nd best 2 back

but rebounded with a convincing victory last week (his 6th win of the season) - very dangerous here. (5)

STRIKING IMPACT gets a big barn change for tonight, as well as going back to Gingras - would be no

surprise to see him improve enough to come out on top. (3) COPPER TEEN was an "ok" 3rd two back,

then a good 2nd to #4 last week - definitely usable underneath, but will need to be a bit better for a chance

at the top slot. (1) MAKE MY DEO left from Post 8 last week, established a good trip and was able to take

home 4th- moves all the way inside, and has a chance for another piece of the pie. (7) STELLAR YANKEE

fits well with these but will be at a big disadvantage starting from Post - was hurt by tough draws in his last

pair. (8) SOUTHWIND BRONN is another that has proven himself with these, but now draws horribly for

the 3rd week in a row, and may need to wait for a better post before we see his best again. (6) SIX FEET

APART earned nearly $100K at 3 but failed to win any races - he's yet to hit board as a 4YO, and needs to

be better.


RACE 6 - (2) NANDOLO N never found his top form in this year's Borgata Series but it's not like he was

"bad" - was an easy first over winner off the big class drop 2 back, then conceded in his last after drawing

Post 7 - gets this class opened up tonight just to fit him in ("NW21001L5 Starts), and there's a good chance

he'll be able to make the others pay. (5) SHINE A LIGHT was a very sharp front end winner 2 back then

was good again when 3rd last week, despite bumping up to the Open - drops back down, and may prove the

main danger. (6) FEELIN WESTERN folded badly on the lead last week but the track was slow and tiring

that night - chance he could bounce back tonight with a much better effort tonight, and possibly grab a

piece at a big price. (7) FEARFUL INTENT appears to be a much better horse when on the lead, as

evidenced by his last 2 starts - if you think Gingras can get him to the lead here, by all means include him

on your tickets. (4) MARLBANK ROAD has raced well in the majority of his starts this year despite only

one victory - chance to add some value to the exotics. (3) ON ACCIDENT has been racing well most every

week, but will face tougher now - another that's ok to include underneath. (1) THRASHER often has a

good late kick but he's been away since 4/24 (sick scratch) and may get a bit lost early on, despite the rail

draw. (8) BILL HALEY N figures to get lost at the back after drawing Post 8.


RACE 7 - (6) ROCK DIAMONDS N has taken 2 in a row...and really THREE if you count his "no

contest" 1:52.4 victory 4/25 - he's one of several that the Super Siblings have recently acquired AND

dramatically improved lately, and he has a solid chance to overcome the draw and take another. (3) FLOW

WITH JOE really had no excuse to get beat last week....especially since the winner is as camera shy as they

come - he can still be a big threat here IF she brings his best tonight. (2) BALLERAT BOOMERANG

hasn't been on top of his game lately but still seems a logical player for tonight from this good spot. (1)

SILENT SPLEND OR is just 1 for 14 this year, and that win came at the bottom level - draws best, but still

may be a notch below a couple of the others. (5) BETTOR SUN took no $$ and was no factor at Chester

last week, despite a barn change to our leading trainer - figures to take more $$ tonight, but still leaning a

bit more to a couple of the others. (4) WARDAN EXPRESS A picked up the upset 5 starts back when able

to pace on by the breaking leader to 3/4s - hasn't hit board in 4 starts since then, however.


RACE 8- Good race, with the top 3 finishers from the Borgata Final all meeting up tonight! (6) COVERED

BRIDGE was outstanding throughout the series, but had to settle for 3rd in the Final after a very hard used

trip - took a week off then came back to score impressively in his last. and he'll be a better price tonight

facing a tougher field...still worth a play. (5) LEONIDAS A is as tough as they come and his 2nd place

finish in the Final brought his Yonkers record to 41-22-11-3 -- obviously a threat pretty much every time

he's in to go. (2) MOONSHINE KISSES is 5 for 8 here this year and while he hasn't faced "Borgata stock",

he seems sharp enough to do so - worth considering in this tough field IF the price is right. (3) HELLABAL

OU shocked in the Borgata Final at 47-1, after being no factor at all in the last 2 legs - he's sure to be

overbet here and while he may win again, the value just doesn't figure to be there. (1) THE REGULATOR

has been ultra consistent for a long time, but may find this bunch a bit out of his comfort zone. (4) SPEED

MAN N is very good right now, and only being listed this far down due to the strength of this field!


RACE 9 - MUCH softer Open Division: (5) PRICELESS BEACH actually was sent off favored against

COVERED BEACH last week and came just a nose short of beating him (after a 2nd in the Borgata

Consolation to the ultra well-meant HEMSWORTH N) - lands in this much easier division, and looms the

one to beat. (6) AMERICAN DEALER has been having a tough year but he tripped out to win the Borgata

Consolation #2 (off 3 weeks), then paced home well into a sharp final quarter last week - chance to add

some value to the exotics. (4) NONE BETTOR A appreciated the class drop and scored on the front end

last week - he still doesn't appear to be at peak form, but still capable of a decent piece tonight. (3) SEMI

TOUGH throws his share of duds and last week was one of them - may be able to rally for a piece tonight.

(1) MOONLIGHT SHADOW is unproven against these types but he's won 3 straight in very easy fashion,

has the rail with Bartlett, and we'll see if he's upped his game enough to hang with these too. (2) SPLASH

BROTHER loved outrunning easier during his recent 4 race winning streak but he's still a bit of a question

mark at this level - mixed feelings about his chances here. (7) PYRO liked the "easy" Open fields while the

series was going on but tonight's draw (against this better bunch) figures to curtail his chances.


RACE 10 - (7) MICKY GEE N never really was close to "top form" in 2022 but he's sure looking much

more like himself in his 3 starts (so far) in '23 - he'll need some action up front to make his big late kick

work from out here, but it just may happen for him - very tempting at that 12-1 ML price. (1) WINDSUN

RICKY appears to have tailed a bit after a nice form spree but he gets both class relief AND the rail, and

that could spur a big mile tonight - belongs on your tickets. (6) EUPHORIA N is razor sharp right now...so

much so that he actually got Kakaley to choice off his best account (#5) to drive him tonight - worth using.

(5) JUDDY DOUGLAS A is very good right now, but it's definitely surprising that Kakaley opts for #6

instead - would still consider as long as the price is fair. (2) LONG WEEKEND A has been good lately, but

he'll be facing tougher tonight - leaning towards others. (4) VESPA N took 2 in a row before grabbing 4th

from a tough spot last week - he's good right now, but may struggle a bit against these tougher foes. (3)

JAHAN HANOVER is definitely off his best game, and has missed a month.


RACE 11 - Tough finale: (6) ODDS ON CAPITALISM raced well here last fall, compiling a 4-2-0-1

record - took a few months off, qualified twice in NJ and really wasn't bad last week (from Post 8) in what

should serve as a decent tightener - have a feeling he'll be up for a more serious try tonight. (4) CERTIFIA

BLE has really elevated his game since joining our top barn this winter - just missed to Borgata dropper

NONE BETTOR A last week, and should be a very live player tonight. (1) DEAN B HANOVER was a

winner for his new barn last week, benefiting from hitting the lead pretty easily then cutting a mild half -

steps up a bit but he's looking at a good trip here, and is capable of repeating. (3) QUALITY BUD faltered

off the tough trip last week but it would be too soon to write him off - at 15-1 ML, he deserved at least a

look. (5) CAPTIVATE HANOVER got REALLY sharp for a while, but he was a little light at the end 2

back, then failed to threaten last week - chance to be a player IF he can find that top form again. (2) WICHI

TA LINEMAN comes into tonight having won 4 straight but that streak could be in trouble against this

much tougher field - not a time to take a short price.(8) NOME HANOVER was another that couldn't win a

race at Yonkers...until joining the Dynamic Duo -- no threat from a tough spot last week, though, and things

won't get easier from Post 8 tonight. (7) ROCKAPELO was no factor in NJ last week (off a sick scratch)

and figures to be hampered by the draw returning to Yonkers tonight.

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