Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • October 31, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, October 31, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (7) UNDER YOUR SCARS has been a "steady" player, though often hurt by landing in tough

spots - not sure he has a ton of gate speed but if Brennan can just improve a few spots early on and put him

in a better position, he may be able to beat these...at a fair price. (4) CLEVELAND B MIKI fits well with

these types and has the speed to set himself up with a decent trip in here - possibility. (5) GAZOO was a bit

disappointing last week but it's hard to see if that interference to 3/4s knocked him off his game a bit - may

deserve a chance to make amends here, but not a fan of that 9/5 ML price. (8) RAYRAY is better than his

last few lines suggest (he simply caught sizzling miles that NONE of these could have handled) - he fits

here for sure, but will need a lot of trip luck to win from out here. (1) KNOCKIN OUT is unreliable at best,

but he did race ok when close to the pace 2 back - maybe can land somewhere on the ticket. (6) CAMLAC

HIE CHROME probably fits ok with these but he doesn't seem to have a ton of speed and may end up too

far back to really threaten. (2) HESTONATOR and (3) BEST BETTOR get good draws, but both seem to

be a bit below the main players.


RACE 2 - (3) TRAFALGAR has won 4 of her last 6 in this class, with major excuses in the two losses - her

last win was just scary sharp, and she remains the one to knock off (5) SALE EL SOL is razor sharp herself

but was no match for #3 last week (when 2nd best) - may be next in line should the top one falter. (2) HP

XANADU may be showing some wear and tear after that incredible run she had after joining this barn -

we'll see if she can bounce back tonight, or if she's just a bit off her best right now. (1) MC ANGEL was

able to pretty much just steal the win last week, grabbing an easy half from the pole and making it hold up -

another rail draw tonight, but facing a few much tougher foes. (4) TERACITA picked up a 3rd trying this

class for the first time last week - the jury is still out as to how well she fits with these on a weekly basis.

(6) BOLT OF BEAUTY was able to get the job done 2 back and has been close in a few other recent tries

as well - may just be coming from a little too far back tonight, however. (7) LADY NEWTON doesn't seem

sharp enough right now to have a big say from out here.


RACE 3 - (3) TWIN B HEART THROB had a useful tightener off the layoff on 10/9, was a dead game

first over 3rd in his next, then charged home full off pace for 4th into a hot 1:51.4 mile last week - drops,

draws inside his main rivals, and that gives him the edge for tonight. (4) SOHO LENNON A raced well vs.

better 2 and 3 back and likely knew tonight's class drop was coming when he just toured the oval from Post

8 last week - have to believe he'll be getting the green light tonight, and has to be taken very seriously. (5)

MY ULTIMATE BYRON A faltered as the favored when first over 2 back but raced well in 3 other local

tries for a barn sending out plenty of live ones - the right trip puts him right there. (2) ROLLING WITH SA

M came up with a BIG one in that win 2 back but was unable to replicate it last week - he'll probably be in

the hunt for a smaller share tonight. (1) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER was a decent 4th upon arrival from

Canada (off a bad date) then was stuck in the back last week - drops, moves inside, and may be a bigger

player this time. (7) ALEX TYE caught 'em napping when he went to the top and wired softer last week -

this is a MUCH tougher spot, however. (6) REAL WILLEY reversed form to charge home and win last

week, but he steps up from a tough spot and may not be able to get involved this time.


RACE 4 - (3) SONNY WEAVER N was actually rallying up the cones to 3/4s last week when a rival

dropped back down in front of him, forcing him to lose momentum and leaving him in stretch traffic - he's

been outstanding (for weeks) vs. better, and is long overdue to find the winner's circle - tonight's drop could

help him get there. (4) KINGSVILLE was a winner dropping to this level last week, then was free too late

to threaten last week (vs. better) - drops back down, and a live trip puts him in play for a good piece. (6)

SPLASH BROTHER came to life last week and tried it on the front end, beating them all except for the late

charging winner - tough draw tonight, but also drops a notch - could be a big player once more. (1) SAMH

ARA N lit up the tote board at 40-1 two back then was right there 2nd at 3-1 last week - the draw should

help keep right up near the action, possibly sticking around for a nice share. (2) LOUS BEACH responded

to the driver change to Bartlett last week with a solid front end score - moves up a class, but a good trip

could still put him into the mix with these. (7) ROCK THE BELLES has been a favorite of ours but he'll

likely be facing a much tougher trip tonight, and that may slow him down a bit this week. (5) CAUGHTIN

ALANDSLIDE landed on a very live trip last week and collared the leader late for the victory - he'll need

another excellent journey to be in the hunt against this even tougher crew.


RACE 5 - (2) TYPHOON BANNER N has drawn Posts 7 or 8 in ALL 4 local starts, finishing with good

pace (from totally impossible spots) each time - drops, moves inside, and you can be pretty sure that a very

aggressive try will be coming - good chance he'll pick up his first U.S. win at a pretty short price. (1) YOR

OKOBI N went his best mile on some time last week, charging home to put a late scare into MOONLIGHT

KISSES - we'll see if he can bring another good one tonight. (8) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N draws another 8

hole but he's been very good for some time, and could be a good value horse to try to land somewhere on

the ticket. (3) FREQUENT IMAGE threw his first dud in ages last week when he unexpectedly just tired on

the front end - if he rebounds to any of his other recent efforts, he'll be right back in the hunt tonight. (7)

HEAVEN ON HIGH N draws another poor post while also moving up in class - that's normally a bad

combination, but he may be sharp enough to still have a chance at a piece (5) AMERICAN CLASSIC loves

the front end and was able to score on the lead for his new connections last week (at The Swamp) - he'll

have take on much tougher now, and will likely be looking at a tougher trip - not impossible, but leaning to

others. (6) JUSTASEC N won dropping to this level 2 back but was able to make the lead that night in an

easier field - may have to settle for minor spoils tonight. (4) THE REAL ONE isn't bad right now but this

might be a little tougher spot than he'd prefer right now.


RACE 6 - (4) HAMMERING HANK elected to duck to the cones to the final turn last week and that

gamble failed to pay off, as he ended up with no room in the lane - he's one of a few with a chance in here,

and worth a look if the price is right. (5) SLING SHOCK takes $$ every week, almost always races very

well but he's also just 1 for 9 here this year - very legitimate chance, but will likely be overbet once more.

(3) LAYTON HANOVER beat this class twice not all that long ago and now gets to drop back down to this

level - hard to leave him off your ticket. (1) BENHOPE RULZ N has been ignored in the wagering

regularly but has also been picking up good pieces every week - he did pick up a win 6 starts down, and it

really wouldn't be a shock if he was able to grab one here too. (7) THE REGULATOR came up weak from

the pole last week and now gets stuck all the way outside - he's a proven winner at this level, but probably

not from a spot like this. (2) MEMPHISTENNESSEE N does his better work vs. easier - we'll see if the

inside draw could help him pick up a minor slice. (6) FRANCO NANDOR N is racing okay at Fhd. but

lands in an ambitious spot for his YR return.


RACE 7 - (3) JIMMY CONNOR B drops back down to a level much more to his liking, moves inside and

will likely get an aggressive steer tonight - gets the narrow vote in a pretty evenly matched affair. (4) TUFF

ENUFTOWEARPINK served notice three back that he was coming around when he tried to cut the mile (at

a big price) from Post 7 - he won his next start, and finished with alert pace from a tough spot in his last - a

good trip could put him right there tonight. (1) ROCK THE DEVIL finished alertly in his first start off the

layoff - tonight's class jump really shouldn't bother him, and he could have a big say if he takes another step

forward from last week. (2) FROZEN HANOVER took $$ for the first time in a while last week and almost

was able to grab a win, collared late by the horse who followed him - has a chance to be in the mix again

tonight with a similar effort. (5) BETTORROCK has been burning all kinds of $$ lately and last week's

effort (tired and lost by 15 lengths) would make it hard to endorse him here as the ML favorite - does have

a chance, though. (6) RANDOM HANOVER and (7) AIR FORCE HANOVER are the outsiders...both

literally and figuratively.


RACE 8 - (2) PARTY CRUISER lost all chance last week after getting stuck behind horrible cover but did

have alert pace finishing - she's a proven winner at this level, and may be able to get the job done tonight

with a better trip. (6) SUGAR BRITCHES jogged (vs. cheaper) in her local debut and was very good again

last week, rallying for 3rd after a less than stellar trip - she probably fits well with this bunch...we'll see if

she can overcome the draw. (1) DREAM DANCING moves all the way in after a pair of 8 holes - she's 0

for 11 at YR, but has raced well several times, usually at big prices - possibility? (4) HEAVENISSOFARA

WAY is just 1 for 24 at YR this year but she's shown that she can hold her own with these- leaning towards

others on top, but would at least give her a look if the price was juicy enough. (3) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP

was an "empty 3rd" last week, taking home the show spot despite a dull effort - will need to be better to

grab a good piece tonight. (5) MIKI ROSE hasn't really thrived since being claimed on 9/12 but at least

she's been closer in her last couple - another that will need to up her game to be a serious threat tonight. (8)

MAGICAL MISTRESS has been an underachiever all year but found a very soft spot last week and was

able to wire 'em - the class hike and Post 8 really figure to slow her down tonight, however. (7) PLZDONT

LIETOME N seems buried at this level after failing 3X in the bottom class recently.


RACE 9 - (8) BUGABOO LOU is getting the top slot but it's a somewhat reluctant choice - he banked

$102K at 2 (with a 1:51.3 record) and a quick look at the competition he's been facing recently would make

it hard to go against him in this modest field - on the flip side, he's just 1 for 15 this year, is starting from

Post 8 and his last 2 lines show him backing up a badly, followed by a break - not one to bet the rent money

on at a very short price. (1) HUNTING ZONE paced his last 3/4s in a snappy 1:24 last week but he still lost

by 13 lengths (because of the way the race went)- he's a proven player against these types (with the possible

exception of #8), and is definitely worth considering. (6) CENTURY INSPECTOR has to get a lot of credit

for getting parked the mile last week and still finishing 2nd but the weak frontrunner (and slow clip) also

helped his cause tremendously - he's always in the hunt, but he's also just 1 for 15 this year. (2) ALL ATTI

TUDE shows some solid form out of town, moves to a sharp barn and may just be ready to be a player in

his YR debut - worth a look if not overbet. (7) FOX VALLEY PATRIOT shows midwest lines that would

make him a fit here, but he also draws poorly for new connections in his local debut - maybe include

underneath? The trio of (5) WHY TOMORROW RAY, (3) JOHNNY SACK, and (4) BOOM TOWN BOY

all seem a bit below the top players in here - all three are likely looking at only minor spoils tonight.


RACE 10 - (1) SWEET SANDY LOU was a very sharp winner 3 back, disappointed a bit when 3rd the

next week, then was full of pace in her last, though lacking the stretch room to really do serious damage -

gets top billing from the pole tonight. (2) PLEASURE SEEKER showed no ill effects from the sick scratch

on 10/10, coming right back with a good 2nd last week - hails from a hot barn, and looms a legitimate

threat. (3) SPORTS FLIX was hammered at the windows 2 back getting major post relief but was a tiring

5th - raced a little better when 2nd last week, but still finished well behind the winner - she has a chance

here, but hard to justify the 9/5 ML price. (7) HARMONY OF NOTES beat this class last start and was a

close 2nd 3 back - has her work cut out from Post 7, however. (5) NORMANS MADELINE got a silly

drive last week and had no chance from early on - she's hard to make a strong case for in here BUT, as

noted many times, she's capable of reversing form and winning a race at ANY time. (6) SEZANA N hasn't

been good in some time and would need a big time wake up call to be a player. (4) ODDS ON UNICORN

has put together a successful season but her current upstate form suggests she may be a little cheap for

these tight now. (8) BROOKDALE JESSIE would be a surprise, to say the least.

By soaofny February 21, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 21, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 20, 2025
The Empire Report – Thursday, February 20, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 19, 2025
The Empire Report – Wednesday, February 19, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 18, 2025
The Empire Report – Tuesday, February 18, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 14, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 14, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 13, 2025
The Empire Report – Thursday, February 13, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 12, 2025
The Empire Report – Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 11, 2025
The Empire Report – Tuesday, February 11, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 10, 2025
The Empire Report – Monday, February 10, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 7, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 7, 2025 – Race Analysis
Show More
Share by: