Monday Empire Report

soaofny • October 30, 2023

The Empire Report - Monday, October 30, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (5) ROCKIN JUKEBOX saw his 2 race winning streak snapped when 2nd last week but he went

an absolutely insane, eye-popping mile...that would probably have left most horses finishing way back -

he's just scary sharp for a barn that's somehow winning at an even HIGHER rate than usual lately (nearly

40% over the last 3 weeks!) - deserves top billing. (3) THRASHER has several sharp recent efforts and

simply had no chance from Post 8 off the claim last week - can be a much bigger player tonight with the

move inside. (1) ALOTBETTOR N moves up a notch to 50s, but the rail could help to offset that - can be a

close up player from start to finish in his current form. (4) MICKY GEE N has been a steady player in most

of his recent starts but his 1 for 21 record this year suggests he's better used underneath, than on top. (2) PO

INTOMYGRANSON feels like he MAY be tailing a bit but it's hard to say for sure - we'll see how he does

with the move back inside. (7) IMSTAYNALIVE hails for a barn going pretty well lately but is 0 for 23 on

the year and draws Post 7. (6) PRETTY HANDSOME could use a better post in an easier field.


RACE 2 - (2) STRIKING IMPACT has gone his share of big miles in this class but was stuck way back in

his last 3 starts - moves inside, and may be a good one to use tonight. (5) MY MIKI BEACH was knocking

on the door for a couple of weeks before scoring the mild upset (over #7) from the pocket last week- should

be a solid threat once more. (7) CERTIFIABLE saw his 3 race winning streak ended by #5 last week but

didn't go down without a fight - he's looking at a potentially more difficult trip tonight but may still be able

to overcome it...that 8/5 ML price is a turnoff, however. (3) TWIG has been a very steady weekly player

but last week's 3rd wasn't all that sharp - will need to be a bit sharper if he hopes to grab another good slice

tonight. (1) GENTLE GIANT was unable to sustain his first over bid last week but still hung in decently for

4th - an easier trip may help his chances to be a little closer tonight. (4) FULSOME used pocket trips to

pick up a pair of 2nds and a win but clearly wasn't into last week's tougher trip at all - may get hurt by

another less than stellar journey tonight. (6) CAPTAIN MIKEY finished up the track in his last pair.


RACE 3 - (3) ODDS ON PICK SIX suddenly found his form 3 back and has been sharp ever since - should

handle the move from NW5000 to this age-restricted claiming class seamlessly, and looms a major threat to

take another (1) WE SHAL SEA showed some potential at one time but then sort of disappeared for a while

- found his form again at Monti recently and comes into tonight having won 4 of his last 5, including last

week's 8 hole victory (off 3 weeks) - could be a serious player here. (2) LOOTABLE should fit well in this

field and gets a good draw in his YR return - he's also just 1 for 28 lifetime, and hard to endorse for the top

slot. (4) YS DO IT RIGHT doesn't have the best out of town form right now but should nevertheless be a

decent fit with the locals - ok for a small slice. (5) LOUIE HANOVER wasn't finishing well in his handful

of local starts - took a month off and returns back on Lasix...we'll see if that helps his game at all. (6) FUG

LEMAN was a solid NW2 player for a while but hasn't done so well (in general) once forced to take on

tougher - draws poorly for his YR return, and may find himself too far out to threaten. (7) GINO SPIDER

makes his YR debut from the worst post, and showing form that suggests he may be a little bit cheaper.


RACE 4 - (2) TOPVILLE SOMROCKET has been first or 2nd in half of his local starts this year but his

current form is a little tough to gauge - he MAY just be a bit off form but he did get shuffled out of the race

last week and MAY have been ready for a good effort - worth a look tonight if the price is right. (6) TUGG

IN ON MY HEART appeared to be really hitting the skids this summer but he moved to the Super Siblings

and to the surprise of few, quickly started to turn things around in a big way - he beat these from Post 8 last

week, and looms a very real threat to handle these too. (5) SETH HANOVER worked out a pocket trip to

#6 last time and was able to chase all the way for 2nd - a quick start puts him right back in the hunt tonight.

(4) EMINEM HANOVER showed life 2 back and was good again last week - he seems headed in the right

direction now, and does have appeal at that 15-1 ML price. (3) SHAKESPEARE is a little tough to figure

out at the moment - he was re-claimed last week by a barn that did win a race with him this summer, and he

wouldn't be any great shock tonight. (7) TWO FACED finished well from way back on 10/16 then held

gamely last week after a first over trip - would have been listed higher if not for Post 7. (1) HES SPECIAL

lands the pole but his current form has been less than stellar - wake up call needed.


RACE 5 - Good race: (6) ITSALLABOUTFAITH N disappointed on the front end 2 back but that mile is

sandwiched between a pair of very sharp efforts - he'll need some trip luck from this spot, but a good price

makes him worth a look tonight. (1) LOUS SWEETREVENGE is a tough call - on his best, he can hold his

own in the Open....but he showed no lick in his last couple of starts and it's hard to say if it was just due to

bad spots, or if he just isn't sharp right now - hard to ignore from the pole, but also note that Stratton opted

to drive #4 tonight. (3) HICKFROMFRENCHLICK was blocked in the lane with no chance to pace - hard

to say what he really had in the tank, but he probably deserves a pass with a chance at redemption tonight.

(4) BIRTHDAY had been on an excellent roll in PA before landing in a tough Open on 10/6 - had no chance

from Post 8 in his local debut, but we may see a lot more from him from Post 4 tonight. (5) RJ SPO RTS

IMAGE was hammered down to 4/5 from Post 8 last week as he dropped in for a tag...and he threw a pretty

disappointing effort - way too soon to write him off, but also tough to have the same confidence in him for

tonight. (2) KASHED UP A probably needs to be in a little cheaper to be a win threat, but the good draw

gives him a chance to contend for a smaller share. (8) SPEED MAN N took off the gate from bad posts the

last 2 weeks and may be destined to do the same tonight....especially with a win about to drop off the

bottom of his card. (7) UNDRTHSOUTHRNSUN N's only recent win came vs. much easier - may look

more appealing next week with a class drop (and better post).


RACE 6 - (7) BACKSTREET SHADOW looked home free here on 10/16 but just got the jelly legs very

late in the mile and lost out to #6 on the wire - he can be forgiven for coming up a bit short in last week's

Breeder's Crown elimination, and will surely appreciate the somewhat easier assignment for tonight - gets

the narrow edge despite the draw. (6) AMERICAN MERCURY joined the Super Siblings and went from

the "trash heap" to the top of the heap in just a handful of starts - he seemed to be leveling off just a bit but

his true fans were rewarded with an astonishing 35-1 payoff when he rallied by to beat #7 last start - clearly

a chance to come right back and do it again....but this time at a fraction of the price. (4) HEMSWORTH N

got a big wake up call when a close 3rd in the Allerage (in KY) then held ok after a tough trip here last

week - could be worth a look if the price is right. (2) ANOTHRMASTRPIECE N re-qualified after a sick

scratch and on his best effort, he CAN beat these....he'd need to be a pretty good price to be worth a play,

however. (1) AMERICAN DEALER N has been doing his winning vs. softer these days, but can still land

somewhere in the exotics from this spot. (5) IDEALSOMEMAGIC A has 14 wins this year so he should

never be dismissed too quickly...but he does seem at least a bit off his best form right now. (3) CHANTEE

is having a very solid year, won his last, but does have a lot to prove trying his luck in the Open tonight.


RACE 7 - (2) COVERED BRIDGE has been in some impossible spots recently but has shown enough

bursts of speed each week to convey that he's actually still very sharp - gets a rare drop out of the Open and

the 7YO will be heavily favored to pick up his 16th win of the season. (1) PEACE OUT POSSE is the type

that can hold his own in almost any class when sharp...and he's certainly on his game right now - may

complete a pretty short exacta. (3) SHINE A LIGHT has come to life lately, holding form nicely as he

continues to climb the class ladder- an easy trip could see him take home a piece of this. (5) GROOVY JOE

wasn't "super" in last week's win over cheaper but he did get the job done - likely looking at a smaller share

against this tougher bunch. (7) DEETZY has won a zillion races at odds-on prices this year so it was a bit

of a shock to see him pay 12-1 last week, just because he was moving to a new barn - he's in a lot tougher

here, but he's sharp enough to grab a minor piece with an easy enough trip. (6) KARLOO BRADLEY N's

only local win was in NW7500 but he's continued to climb the class ladder with a quarter of 2nd place

finishes - his first bad post in weeks may slow him down a bit tonight, however. (4) WHATS STANLEY

GOT A is listed on the bottom tonight but only because he threw his first local dud last week, loses Jordan

to the top choice, and MAY not bounce right back - he could easily do much better, though.


RACE 8 - (3) JACKS LEGEND A has lost a step or two but the classy 9YO is still right at home at this

NW15000 level - he beat these (at 2/5) on 8/14, and charged home for 2nd last week in a sharp 1:51.4 mile

- the one to knock off tonight. (1) SEVEN HUNDRED has 4 starts at this level and the 4YO has a win and

a pair of seconds (behind a couple of sharp foes) - he'll either sit the pocket or cut this mile, and he looms

the main danger either way. (5) LUCKBEWITHALEX can be a bit inconsistent but on his best effort but

his best effort would give him a chance in here- worth a look if the price is juicy enough (4) QUALITY

BUD seems a touch off his best game right now, but still figures to have a chance to land somewhere on the

ticket. (2) CAVIART SARGENT throws a pretty good mile here and there but likely needs to be in easier to

threaten for more than a smaller share. (6) OZONE BLUE CHIP drops to a level where his game should

pick up but drawing outside all of his main foes does figure to hurt. (7)) PHOENIX OF FLUZZY was off a

bad date to his last but tonight's draw likely seals his fate for this week. (8) STELLAR YANKEE has been

racing well vs. cheaper out of town - brutal spot for tonight, however.


RACE 9 - (1) WAR DAN DELIGHT was really sharp for a few starts but then no threat at all in his last 3

tries (vs. 50s) - drops back down, and we'll see if that's enough to get him back on track. (2) REAL PEACE

put in a nice brush to take command last week, opened a clear lead but then faltered into the stretch, a well

beaten 2nd by the time he hit the wire - remains a solid threat vs. these, but also figures to be overbet. (3)

BALLERAT BOOMERANG (a winner last week) was re-claimed by a barn that drew Post 8 in their only

previous start with him - could be a much bigger threat this time with the inside draw. (4) WAR DAN

DELIGHT N finally picked up his first win for these connections and was sharp doing so - faces tougher

now, and it's hard to say if he can be as effective with these. (6) GLACIS was a surprise leaver last week

but he got roughed up and gave way badly - he'll be trying to rally from the back tonight, and may have a

chance to be a late threat (at a big price) if things get spicy up front. (8) SULLIVAN has been very sharp for

a hot barn but the class jump/8 hole slowed him down last week...and may do so again (though Marohn

does take him over #1). (7) STATEMENT MADE A enjoyed a strong year but his recent tries haven't been

nearly as good - poor draw only makes things tougher. (5) TIN ROOF RAIDER A isn't impossible in here,

but he'd need things to really fall his way for a shot at the top prize.

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