Wednesday Empire Report

apatchworkdesign • February 15, 2023

The Empire Report - Wednesday, February 15, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) LOS BALLYKEELAMIGO just feel apart after being claimed last Fall and struggled for

months - was freshened up, qualified very nicely, and was a good 2nd to an odd-on winner last week - the

one to knock off tonight. (7) ARABELLAS CADET was well meant 2 back but broke leaving between

horses on the first turn - gave it a good go from Post 8 last week, and might have won had she not been so

"choppy" on the final turn - probably the main danger, but also figures to be hurt by the draw. (5) CAVALI

ER GEORGE had a decent start after the winter break but came up empty last week - needs to bring the

"good" version for a chance at a piece. (6) BLOGMASTER fits well at this level but gets no luck with the

draw - may need to leave and hope for some early trip luck for a chance at a good slice. (2) JUDGE KEN

was empty last week but usually races ok if on/near the lead- a good start is essential if he hopes to contend

for a share. (3) BY A HOFF HANOVER was just 1 for 33 last year and 0 for 13 at YR - another that can

sometimes grab small pieces thanks to his early speed. (1) TORKIL has really been struggling, and is

surely in need of a major wake up call.


RACE 2 - (2) BEERTHIRTY K was beaten by 7 lengths last week but he still was a safe 2nd, and it was in

a blistering 1:55 mile - has a big post edge over his main (shaky?) foes, and that earns him top billing. (6)

HAT TRICK MARLEAU has been going through an extended rough patch, but was still grabbing some

pieces along the way - hits the bottom level tonight, and it's reasonable to look for a wake up call against

these. (7) BIG CHARLIE MORAN was stuck trying a long first over move vs. better last week, and into a

strong 3rd quarter - the inconsistent gelding deserves a pass, and isn't a bad one for longshot fans to at least

consider. (5) TRANQUILITY K is just 3 for 48 lifetime but does grab pieces and wasn't bad last week -

chance for a small share. (4) PRIMO PADRE stayed trotting last week and did finish up solidly - remains

highly risky, but at least deserves a look at that 15-1 ML price. (3) SHOWMEYOURGUNS was off a very

long layoff prior to his last, and needed that mile badly - we'll see if he can improve enough to contend for

a piece here. (1) MISS YOU KELLY only throws a few good efforts every year, but they would be from a

spot like this - still not ready to jump on her team, though.


RACE 3 - (2) AMERICAN BOY N has been off his game for a while but last week's try was very

encouraging, almost getting 2nd after a long first over move - if he can build a bit off that, he should have a

good chance here. (4) MIKEY CAMDEN is another who has been struggling but he was unable to take

advantage of last week's class drop after drawing Post 8 - look for a much more aggressive try tonight. (1)

MY CARBON COPY N has held his own (and even beaten) much better than these...but his barn still

hasn't won a race here this meet, and he's hard to endorse on top right now. (5) L DEES JACK LOPEZ was

well supported last week but just wasn't sharp - he's capable of much better, and could be a threat IF he

brings his best game. (3) VANQUISHED N missed all of 2022 and it's hard to get a good read on his 3

starts since coming back to the races - not ready to consider on top, but would use underneath in exotics. (7)

HES ELECTRIC can throw a big one from time to time but would need things to really fall apart tonight to

win from out here. (8) OURRHYTHIMNBLUES N just held 2nd over the top choice last week but that was

from a pocket trip from the rail - figures to have a much tougher time getting in play tonight. (6) ROBBIE

BURNS N hasn't clicked yet since returning from a long layoff (and was just scratched sick).


RACE 4 - (4) CAPTAINS STAR threw that dud 4 starts back but is otherwise 6-1-3-1 here at Yonkers -

Buter fills in tonight, and her lone local score actually came when the two were paired up.....deja vu? (3)

THINKING OF A CARD was doing excellent work upstate and was just unlucky to be disqualified after

winning her first start here at Yonkers - made quick amends with last week's sharp score and though she's

facing better tonight, she may be able to handle these too. (6) MISS DOTTIE MAE was a steady performer

from the time the homebred hit the racetrack last year, but really seems to have upped her game since the

new year began - had a very good 8 hole try last week and does have a chance to beat these...if the trip goes

her way. (7) SOMESWEETSOMEWHERE was a solid performer for most of her starts at 2 and 3, and that

includes a couple of wins here at YR - was freshened up and qualified sharply, but it's hard to say if she'll

be able to get involved in her first start back (from Post 7) - check the board for clues? (1) CLEAR THE

WAY has only been picking up minor shares lately and will need to be sharper if she hopes to capitalize on

the rail draw. (5) CATIE FAYE HANOVER keeps finding ways to rally late for small pieces - throw her in

for 3rd/4th. (2) ICARUS FALLS N seems a bit below the main players but the inside draw at least gives her

a shot to tow along for a minor share. (8) THE GYPSY QUEEN IR was well backed for her U.S. debut,

was fortunate to hold 2nd then was placed first when #3 was DQ'd - faces a much tougher road tonight.


RACE 5 - (5) IM THE MUSCLE was well backed for his 2nd start off the winter break and went on to

absolutely demolish the field with an effortless 1:55 blowout - he shouldn't mind Bartlett filling in for Dube

tonight (he's driving the horse he owns. #6), and he should be able to hit the top once again - will be pretty

tough if anywhere near as good as last week. (3) AFTER ALL PAUL gets a big drop from the $50K class

and really wasn't bad last week - should be able to rally for a big piece of this...with a chance at the top spot

if #5 disappoints. (4) STARLIT RAMBO still wasn't at his best last week though he did tough out the win -

maybe he built some confidence, and that would help him grab a decent piece here too. (8) YES was sent

off at 1/5 for his YR return last week - didn't appear to be at his best, but was good enough to handle the

easier field he was in with - will need to be better than that to be a serious threat tonight, especially starting

from Post 8. (2) DOWN THE PIKE MIKE may be on the cheaper side but he is sharp and does figure to be

sitting close to the action - chance he can stick around for a share. (7) MEADOWBRANCH RICKY had a

useful qualifier after some time off and does fit with these - tough return spot, however. (1) ANDOVER

CONTESSA had enough late kick to rally by the tired leaders into a slow final quarter last week - the rail

helps with the class jump, but she still seems a notch below some of these. (6) BROWNIE was 1 for 33

here in '21-22 and draws poorly returning from NJ - prefer others.


RACE 6 - (2) PALERMO HANOVER hasn't started earning back for her current connections yet (she was

picked up last Fall) but her last 3 starts were all solid, and she does seem ready to start delivering some

bigger miles - not thrilled with that 2-1 ML price, but we'll still give her top billing. (1) ON HIGHER

GROUND is used to facing better, and his connections generally have them ready to go right off the

qualifier - expect a big effort here. (3) MUFASAAS was struggling for a while before hanging on to beat

softer 3 back, and then starting climb back up the ladder - picked up an easy trip 3rd last week, and may be

looking at a similar scenario tonight. (5) KASHA V made a break on the final turn last week but overall,

has been racing ok for a while - chance to rally for a good piece. (4) LOOK IN MY EYES rallied nicely for

3rd 2 back, then got run down by a sharp horse in his last - definitely a chance to be part of this in his

current form. (6) FULL RIGHTS has been limited to smaller pieces up at this level and is probably looking

at no more than that tonight, especially from Post 6. (7) JIVE NINETY FIVE won his last pair but faces

much tougher tonight, from Post 7, and without Jordan on board. (8) SWISS HOUSE ONFIRE could use a

much better post in an easier class - sticking with others here.


RACE 7 - (3) JIM BLUE charged through the lane last week like he was shot out of a cannon and though

clear of the field shortly after the wire, he was still a nose shy when he did hit the finish line - he's been

MUCH better since being forced to relax early on, and this feels like a spot where he can pick up a long

overdue Yonkers win. (2) COLD CREEK FELIPE can be a little hot and cold but the "hot" version is a

proven player with these - one to consider. (1) COALITION HANOVER crushed as the odds on choice

dropping in for this tag 3 back - was killed by an unlucky trip in his next (still a sharp 4th) but just wasn't

the same last week after moving to a new barn - he MAY bounce back here, but that 2-1 ML price is hard to

swallow, especially with a young pilot on board with limited Yonkers experience.(4) SILENT SPLEND OR

was in a good spot last week and heavily backed....but just couldn't make it last on the lead - his barn is off

to an atrocious start to the new year, but this guy is still worth including in exotics. (6) HURRIKANE

GEORGIE was on a big roll before making a break in his last start on 2022 - his results so far in '23 have

been mixed, but that 20-1 ML price does make him a good one to use on some tickets. (7) MOMENTSTH

ATMATTER has been solid overall at YR but he really had no excuses last week (off a very easy trip) and

now lands Post 7 - demand a good price if he's your play. (5) DA GHETTO WIZARD paced evenly last

week, but his overall recent form is a bit uninspiring - at least he'll be a big price. (8) STILL THIRSTY

doesn't have too many options from out here - wait for a better spot before considering.


RACE 8 - (2) GEMOLOGIST just does his best work for his current barn and responded to last week's

reclaim with a very sharp victory - this happens to be a field with several sharp players....but he's still the

one to beat. (1) ALL CHAMPY has been a model of consistency, and was an excellent 2nd to the top

choice last week - could easily reverse that decision tonight, however. (3) IN MY DREAMS tailed for a

few starts but did look better last week - on his best game, he'd have a good chance for a nice chunk here...

and maybe even a chance to come out on top. (7) P L OSCAR went a big mile from Post 8 last week (at

30-1) and might have been even closer if not so hot early on - lands outside all his main foes here, but that

20-1 ML price does make him worth a look! (4) BLUEBIRD JESSE has been a notch below the top ones

on most weeks, and will likely be looking at a smaller share once more - good one for 3rd/4th. (6) P C

FREE WHEELING had been picking up smaller pieces for weeks but brought her absolute best effort last

week and was a jogburger winner - that crew was a bit easier, however, and tonight's tough post won't help

her cause - still, her barn has been beyond scary all year, so a repeat performance is NOT impossible. (8)

MISSION VOYAGE has been a bit below the better ones in his last couple and now lands Post 8 - tough

spot. (5) MUSCLE STAR had to re-qualify after back to back breaks - we'll just watch him, for now.


RACE 9 - Good finale: (6) STATE SENATOR was sharp for a long time before failing to get involved

from the back last week - it's probably a good sign that he drops right back in the box, and there's a chance

that the pace could be a bit contentious tonight....decent value play in a well matched field. (3) ROSE RUN

X CAN has an outstanding 11-4-4-2 local slate so it was pretty amazing to see him pay 18-1 last week,

even if starting for a new barn - much shorter price tonight, but still a solid chance. (2) GREAT SOMEWH

ERE comes into tonight off 3 straight powerful wins but he also exits the hottest barn around, and will need

to replicate that form for new connections - he may do just that....but be careful about taking a very short

price tonight. (4) CERTIFIABLE went to the top 2 back, crawled a half in :58.1 and that allowed him to

sprint home to the sharp 1:54 victory - got over the half even SLOWER in his last, kicked home in :27.4

but did get run down late by the tripsitter -- remains a very live threat in his current form. (1) FORREST

BLUE got sharp for a few starts but then threw a couple of duds, followed by a sick scratch - leaning to

others this week. (7) STELLAR YANKEE figures to be getting away last, and that'll make it tough for him

to get into the hunt here. (5) ROCKYTOP OH OH may be the only horse in this powerful barn NOT

functioning well at the moment.

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