Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • October 24, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, October 24, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) GOLDEN QUEST N is feeling pretty good these days, picking up a 2 wins and 2 seconds

from her last 4 starts (with a sick scratch in the middle) - she just missed after doing all the heavy lifting

last week, and an easier trip may help her get back to the winner's circle. (5) PARTY CRUISER had some

issue and didn't function off the claim on 9/22, but did qualify twice since then - she's proven she can beat

these when "right", and has to be respected tonight...but not a fan of the 5/2 ML price. (3) PARADISE RO

CK L was wildly overbet for her first local start but still gave it a big try (for 3rd) from Post 8- was scr. sick

from her next but was able to win on 10/13, despite being away for nearly a month...big step up tonight, but

still deserves plenty of respect. (1) MC ANGEL draws the pole with Bongiorno so we’ll probably see big

early speed from her - hard to say how far she can keep it going, though. (6) BELLADONNA GIRL A just

missed last week and has beaten these in the past - the draw is the obvious roadblock. (8) DREAM DANCI

NG has been able to outrace her odds for pieces in the past - good bomb for 3rd/4th. (2) MIKI ROSE was

in career form for our leading trainer but has tailed off considerably since being claimed on 9/12 - prefer

others at the moment. (7) NIGHT TIME DEAL wasn't bad last week, but lands a brutal post for tonight.


RACE 2 - (2) CAUGHTINALANDSLIDE beat this class back on 8/18 - finally got to drop back down last

week but just had no chance after drawing Post 8....much better spot tonight, and worth a look at what

figures to be a decent price. (4) BETTORROCK did everything right last week except for hanging on at the

end....going down as the 1/10 favorite (against the 40-1 winner!) - he'll have every chance to make amends

tonight, but note that he's lost at short prices 3X recently. (3) FROZEN HANOVER has found himself too

far back in almost every start since arriving here this summer but generally finishes with good pace - he

should be closer to the action tonight, and we'll see if that can make him a more serious player. (5) WALKI

NSHAW N carved out a mild clip last week and got beat with no excuses - would consider underneath only

for tonight. (6) KING JAMES EXPRESS is pretty good right now, but may have trouble with the bad draw

- small piece? (1) AIR FORCE HANOVER still can throw a big one at times (see 4 back), but he's far too

unreliable to back at a shortish price. (7) MAXIMUS RED A figures to be too far back to threaten.


RACE 3 - (2) SLING SHOCK has put together a nice string of efforts as he's finally starting to become a

very solid 4YO - the winner's circle has eluded him for a while, but this may be a spot for him to get over

the hump (1) THE REGULATOR was right there in NW30000 two back then again in NW20000 last week

- he's the logical favorite dropping another level (while drawing the pole), and it would be hard to leave

him off your tickets. (4) QUALITY BUD was heavily backed dropping to NW20000 last week but wasn't

on his best game - he's another that's dropping again, and could easily bounce back to be a big threat here.

(3) ROCK THE BELLES has done excellent work since joining the Super Siblings but will now have to

prove he can do it against tough older foes - we'll learn more about him after tonight. (8) HEAVEN ON HI

GH N rallied from a tough spot in his U.S. debut at Pocono then jogged as the heavy favorite in his next -

was very well backed last week for his Yonkers debut and did not disappoint, roughing it first over and still

winning comfortably in a lifetime best 1:51.4 - seems like a very nice horse for connections that have

brought in some very live horses...but overcoming Post 8 won't be easy. (5) VIVA LAS VEGAS N is often

good for some late pace, but may fall short against this crew. (6) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER wasn't bad

at all in his YR debut but lands a tough spot this week, and may look better with a class drop next week. (7)

JIMMY CONNOR B drops a win off the bottom of his card after tonight - another that may have more

appeal NEXT week, from a better spot.


RACE 4 - (4) GAZOO showed ability at The Swamp at times - he was freshened up for a couple of months

and has come back strong, shipping in tonight off a powerful win at VD....he gets a pretty significant driver

change, and certainly deserves top billing. (8) OAKWOOD PADDY IR was unable to replicate his UK

success in Ohio but he was also facing much better stock - he took a few weeks off, and just re-qualified

very nicely at Chester for his new trainer - feels like the main danger, even from Post 8. (2) MONEY EXC

HANGE continues to get better every start and the 2YO draws well after breaking his maiden last week -

not sure if he's as good as the top pair, but he's certainly a big threat for a nice chunk. (5) KNOCKIN OUT

was MUCH better last week, a close 2nd to the front end winner- a similar effort gives him a chance to land

in the exotics once more. (3) FENDI HANOVER is winless in 21 starts this year and just 1 for 28 lifetime -

he does have a chance for 3rd/4th, however. (1) HURRIKANE JUSTIN has shown little in his 3 career

starts and the 2YO seems to still be learning the game. (6) INSTANT REPLAY draws poorly and feels like

he's quickly regressed since arriving at YR. (7) BEST BETTOR needs an inside post even for a minor piece.


RACE 5 - (3) SALE EL SOL has been sharp for several starts, and just had too far to come last week - the

better draw should make her very dangerous tonight. (7) TRAFALGAR, like the top choice, was hurt by

last week's draw....unfortunately, SHE doesn't get any luck with that tonight either - IF she's willing to take

a chance on leaving, good things might happen for her...worth a look if the price is right. (6) KICKUPYAH

EELS N is a tough call - she shipped in off a pair of wins in PA, came first over vs. much better but really

fell apart from the final turn- drops in for a tag tonight, and could be a serious threat if on her best game. (4)

BOLT OF BEAUTY had been knocking on the door a few times before using a beautiful trip to score the

victory last week - would hardly be a shock if she was right there once more. (2) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP

found a late miracle seam to slip through and win last week, but she was also pretty good - inconsistent

mare can land a share if things go her way. (1) MIKI THE CLOWN can go some big miles when sharp, but

just hasn't looked good the last few starts (even her win 4 back wasn't all that great). (5) LADY NEWTON

looked super in her victory 4 starts down but hasn't come close to replicating that effort since then. (8) AL

WAYS B MIMI has been plagued by bad posts lately, and draws another one tonight.


RACE 6 - (2) TITO ROCKS has been facing much tougher out of town recently and should really

appreciate tonight's class relief (along with getting Buter back on board) - the good draw gives him plenty

of options, and he's worthy of top billing. (1) SAMHARA N was able to drop in 3rd from Post 7 last week

and that was the key to him being able to spring the 40-1 upset- his overall form is very solid, and he looms

a legitimate threat to repeat even moving up in class. (5) TUFFENUFTOWEARPINK served notice 2 back

that he was ready to start turning things around (he cut the mile at 52-1 before weakening a bit), then

followed that up with last week's sharp first over score - another that can still do very well here, despite the

class jump. (3) MY CARBON COPY N hasn't won in some time but he continues to rally well most weeks

for pieces - may be able to continue that trend tonight. (4) LOUS BEACH just missed in his 2nd start off

the layoff but regressed a bit in his last - gets Bartlett for tonight, and is eligible to rebound with a better

mile. (6) MY ULTIMATE BYRON A raced well in his first 2 local tries, picking up a 3rd, then a 2nd -

wasn't able to sustain his first over bid last week, however, and could be hurt by the difficult draw tonight.

(8) WINDSUN RICKY is at a very comfortable level for him but may take a conservative approach after

landing behind the 8 ball. (7) MEMPHISTENNESSEE N is certainly sharp, but in a brutal spot.


RACE 7 - (8) SONNY WEAVER N has been banging heads with better for weeks and more than holding

his own (even that start in the Open is better than it looks) - hard to say if he'll be able to find a manageable

trip from out here but as long as he's a good price, he may be worth a shot. (3) FORTIFY beat this class 2

back, charged home to just miss last week, and gets to stay in here one more time - very logical threat with

the good draw. (1) SPLASH BROTHER had a great run a while back but has been off that top form for a

while - he was "sneaky good" from a hopeless spot last week, and it really wouldn't be a surprise to see him

find a good one for tonight. (6) LAYTON HANOVER was pretty good last week, finding room too late for

any bigger pieces - he's inconsistent, but his best effort puts him in the hunt. (4) THE REAL ONE has been

doing his best recent work vs. easier but he's feeling good right now, and obviously has the back class to

still compete with these - maybe he can rally for a share? (2) HAMMERING HANK was no threat adding

Lasix 2 back but was better last week, though hurt by a tiring leader - hard to throw out ANYTHING this

barn sends out these past couple of weeks. (5) FAMILY RECIPE steps up sharp, but may have a tougher

time against this pretty strong group. (7) BENHOPE RULZ N has been outracing his odds every week, but

does figure to struggle with the bad draw.


RACE 8 - (3) ELM GROVE QWIGGLY shipped down from The Maritimes to our leading barn and

jogged in his first local start - moved up to NW4 last week and was able to finish up well to grab 2nd to

talented runaway BLUE HUNT, and the good draw stamps him as the one to beat tonight. (7) CENTURY

INSPECTOR is just 1 for 14 this year (and 3 for 38 overall) but he routinely races well vs. better fields than

this one, and did a good job NOT falling apart chasing BLUE HUNT last time - he may prove the main

danger. (4) WHY TOMORROW RAY ships in from Ohio showing 13 wins (mostly at the fairs) and should

be a good fit here - next in line should the top two falter? (2) CLEVELAND B MIKI has been a steady

player lately - definitely a chance for him to rally for a piece of this. (5) T DOG has some ability, though

his best work has come out of town - chance for a minor share. (6) UNDER YOUR SCARS was a bit

disappointing when 3rd vs. a much softer field last week - gets a tough draw, and may have to settle for

minor spoils. (8) FOUT has some decent tries out of town but lands a brutal spot for a horse that likes to

race on/near the lead. (1) JOHNNY SACK is struggling - not sure the rail will be enough to help his cause.


RACE 9 - (2) SHOTGUN PERSUASION was giving it a big go from Post 8 last week when she lost

action (while challenging) on the final turn, effectively losing any chance - she debuts for a new barn

tonight, and we'll see if she can score right off the bat. (3) PLEASURE SEEKER hails from a barn that's

been red hot, and has to get consideration here despite being scratched sick from her last. (4)

BETTORSHIGHLIGHT N didn't bring her best last week and had to settle for a close 3rd - she beat these

twice recently, and still has to be respected. (7) TUAPEKA JESSIE N was 2nd and 3rd in her 2 tries at this

level, and wasn't bad at all vs. better last week - drops back down, but will have to contend with the bad

draw - that 10-1 ML price does give her appeal, though. (8) ICARUS FALLS N almost parlayed a ground

saving trip from last into a 36-1 shocker last week (after shaking free and swinging wide into the final turn)

- another to at least consider if the price is way up there again. (6) JUST ROSAS LUCK has acted like a

filly with some issues all year and now drops in for a tag - leaning towards others right now. (5) PRAY

THE ROSARY threw a dud last time, but may be able to rebound enough to rally for a small share. (1)

WILDCAT ANTONIA did stay pacing last week but wasn't very good - seems to be unraveling since the

recent claim.

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