Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • October 25, 2023

The Empire Report - Wednesday, October 25, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) VEL MR NICE GUY hasn't been "good", but he also hasn't been "bad" in recent starts, all

vs. much better than these - he hasn't won here since 2021, but this does feel like a bit of a "now or never"

spot with the drop into a soft field of 15s. (4) CAMPORA N showed speed off the barn change (from Post

7) before tiring 2 back - he ALMOST lasted on the lead in his next, and has to be seen as at least a threat to

take them all the way tonight. (6) MISTER SPOT A has been struggling for some time, but gets a big class

drop here - would have to at least consider at the right price. (1) FULLBACK hasn't been the same since

last year's leading trainer got him to produce that insanely sharp 1:52 victory last year - he has hit board in

2 of his last 3 starts, and should get a great trip from the pole tonight....hard to overlook his 0 for 22 slate,

however. (3) ZIGGY SKY moves inside and does grab plenty of pieces....he's also winless on the year, and

hasn't won at Yonkers since 2021...playable underneath. (7) THE BEST TYME EVER almost broke off the

first turn last week then did lose it in virtually the same spot the next time around - just hasn't clicked yet

for our leading trainer. (5) LETTUCERIPRITA A won a "fall apart race" 3 back but was doing little before

that, and has shown little since.


RACE 2 - The always tough 3-5YO Open: (4) JMS FINAL TREASURE has been razor sharp for weeks

and simply had no prayer last time, trying to rally wide into a sizzling :27.1 third panel - one of several with

a legitimate chance in here....maybe he'll land on the winning trip tonight. (1) SOUTHWIND PETYR is

just one of a zillion horses that have seen their careers take off after joining the Dynamic Duo - he's been a

weekly threat for seemingly forever, and that's certainly been helped by a long string of inside posts - he'll

be a big player, once again (3) GREG THE LEG was no threat in his last couple but he already has 11 wins

and 8 seconds this year, and that 12-1 ML price does give him some appeal - worth considering. (5) ULTI

MAROCA was just a little short off the pocket trip last week but it should still serve as an excellent

tightener - he's won 10x this year, and becomes a big threat if he ends up being the only outside leaver. (2)

GREAT SOMEWHERE probably prefers to be in just a little easier but he didn't bank $184K by accident -

can't blame anybody for trying him at a big price. (6) FEARFUL INTENT is very sharp right now but faces

a tough task moving up in class, while drawing outside.


RACE 3 - (7) EXCITING TIMES A won 7 races in Australia but has this race re-written to allow her to fit

in - shows a very sharp qualifier for a barn that routinely wins with these types, and has to get the nod in

her U.S. debut....don't plan on anything close to that (absurd) 15-1 ML price, however. (6) HERE WE GO

BB hit board in all 4 tries since arriving from the midwest including last week's near miss on the front end -

in line for another big chunk tonight (4) JAVA arrives from The Maritimes and shows a solid PcD qualifier

(adding Lasix) for a barn that's been red hot lately - should be able to really make her presence felt here. (5)

HUNGRY FOR MONEY is just 1 for 31 but did hit board in 10 of the losses - chance to land somewhere in

the exotics tonight. (1) DUCK INTO THE NITE had a 3rd two back sandwiched between a pair of clunkers

- maybe she can beat the others for a small slice? (3) EDITORS CHOICE has yet to hit board in 10 local

attempts. (2) CHILLED PROSECCO remains plagued by poor starts (and also poor finishes).


RACE 4 - (4) SOUTHWIND ONYX got a big barn change last week and was able to deliver the form -

reversing 11-1 upset in game fashion - his price will come way down now, but he does have a solid chance

to repeat with a similar effort. (5) MARINER SEELSTER is still finding some good miles at age 14, with 2

wins from his last 4 starts (couldn't overcome 8 holes in the other two) - he needs $36K to get to $1M in

career earnings...he has a chance to pick up $6K tonight. (6) DESIRES CAPTAIN attacked the winner the

last 2 weeks only to come up 2nd best both times - he'll be a much better price tonight for those willing to

try him one more time. (3) LITTLE POWER looked like an open length winner heading into the final turn

last week...only to start hanging from the top of the lane, and seemingly just pulling himself up in the final

80 yards- truly no clue what to expect from him tonight! (2) OURRHYTHMNBLUES N really hasn't been

sharp, and it's very hard to justify him being the 5/2 ML choice - wouldn't be shocked if he wins, but there's

definitely better value elsewhere. (7) EDDARD HANOVER certainly fits with these but he's just 1 for 29

this year, and 2 for his last 46 at Yonkers - maybe use underneath? (1) MAJESTIC KIWI N was able to use

a perfect trip to barely beat a weak field 2 back....this feels like a much tougher spot.


RACE 5 - Tough race: (1) MARATHON MARY turned in a few good efforts before getting lost in the back

last week - catches a wide open, vulnerable group tonight and may be able to take advantage with the move

inside. (6) IM PRINCESS BELLA A hails from the same crew that brings us EXCITING TIMES A tonight

(Race 3) and while this mare didn't qualify as well, she did have her trainer on board - hard to not at least

consider this mare as well, even if not in as soft as her barnmate. (3) PRINCESS ARONA crushed cheaper

in her first start for our leading barn but her results since then have been mixed - one of several that could

beat these IF she brings her best effort. (5) FRONDEUR hit board in 8 of her last 10 starts, with a pair of

4ths - always in the hunt, but the fact that she's still winless on the year makes her hard to get excited about

as the ML favorite! (2) GEORGIA THOMPSON looked so good in her first 2 wins after arriving from The

Maritimes that she was sent off at 5 cents on the dollar in her next (with a large "bridge jump" show bet as

well) - she tired that night to 4th, then made a break the following week - which version will we get here?

(4) RIVER OF FEAR seems to be on the upswing but a few in here do look a bit more appealing (8) LULU

ROCKS is probably as good (or better?) than most of these, but also seems likely to be handled very

conservatively after drawing Post 8. (7) SHOWMEMAGIC raced better than expected last week (off a sick

scratch) but faces an uphill task starting from Post 7.


RACE 6 - Another good race: (4) LEAVE AND ROLL has hit board in all 4 starts since arriving at YR and

gets reunited tonight with the driver that was able to WIN with him - one of a few with a legitimate chance

in here, and should be a decent price. (6) ITALIAN DELIGHT N gives some mixed feelings - he had 2

tighteners after a long layoff before scoring as the 4/5 choice in his last - he's missed some time, however,

and takes a surprise DROP to 20s, after defeating the 25s last week....red flag, or just sharp connections

looking to grab another win? (3) PRESTIGE SEELSTER sat back for way too long last week, but was

pacing fastest of all at the wire - very logical threat with the move inside, but note that he's 0 for 10 at YR

before accepting too short a price. (2) TWIN B SPEED DIAL was 2nd in a pair of starts after shipping in

from Tioga and moves to a new barn after being claimed last week - would be no surprise at all. (1) PROV

OCATIVEPRINCEN crushed qt 15-1 at Monti on 10/11 then ALMOST was able to pull off the front end

score here at Yonkers - he'll likely try the same tactics tonight....can he get it done this time? (6) MISSILE

SEELSTER disappointed in his last but his prior 2 were better than they may look - he goes for a new barn

tonight and while he does fit well here, the post may be tough to overcome. (7) READY TO RUMBLE N

would have won last week if Chindano didn't drift out enough to let the winner squeeze through to beat him

- he'll be blasting from Post 7, and likely be used way too hard to stick around as well this week. (8) UNIQ

UE BEACH has been ok at Monti and gets Jordan tonight....but also draws Post 8.


RACE 7 - (3) TOMBSTONE rallied well from a tough spot (at PcD) in his first try for a new barn then was

a solid 3rd in his Hilltop debut, finishing behind a pair that would be heavy favorites in here - could be a

winning spot. (7) STRATEGIC added hopples and behaved in his qualifier - built off that with last week's

sharp first over victory and he does have a legitimate shot to repeat, even from Post 7 (assuming he stays

trotting again). (2) LITTLE MISS YANKEE shook free late to just miss in her local debut but wasn't quite

as sharp last week, weakening to 4th after getting outtrotted at 3/4s by #7 - still a logical player for exotics.

(4) SHIFTAN GEARS broke his maiden at PcD last week in start #20 - goes for a new barn now, and we'll

see how he fits with the locals. (1) LOSE YOURSELF AS broke before the start in her only local try, and

did the same thing over the half in KY as well - she probably has the ability to hang with these IF you think

she'll behave this week. (6) B FLUFF U UP flattened in her only local try, but it's probably too soon to just

write her off - maybe 3rd/4th? (5) FULL SCALE picked up a close 2nd in his first local start but struggled

badly last week - hard to know which version we'll see tonight! (8) TO MY CREDIT blasted from the

outside last week and might have been able to loop to the lead had he not made a break on the first turn -

guessing he'll take a conservative approach from Post 8 tonight.


RACE 8 - (8) SMOOTH LANDING figured to improve significantly when moved to the Dynamic Duo

and that's exactly what's happened - steps up off last week's jogburger vs. cheaper and while he draws Post

8 in a much tougher field, he may be able to take another. (3) BAR COINS has leveled off a bit after

improving dramatically upon joining his current barn this summer, but he still throws some big miles -

Lasix is being added for tonight, and that MAY result in some significant improvement...worth considering.

(5) WILD BILL KELSO was successful at 2 and 3 and has more than enough ability to beat these - he's

also coming off a break in his last, and is also 0 for 6 at Yonkers...be careful about taking too short a price if

he's your top pick. (1) WILD WAY made breaks in 2 of his last 4 starts but has a win and a 2nd when he

behaved - could grab a piece with a clean mile. (7) YOU GOT IT has some ability but he's stuck outside

without a lot of early speed, and is 0 for 14 on the year - ok for a minor share. (6) DIAMANTE TRIO IT

was finally able to pick up his first local win last week but this is a much tougher field - likely looking at a

much smaller share this time. (2) STRONGERWITHLINDY is just 3 for 51 lifetime, and may struggle here

even with the good draw. (4) LIVINGONTHERAIL would be a surprise, to say the least.


RACE 9 - (8) INN AT RODANTHE is just 3 for 43 lifetime but he's been racing well in Canada recently,

and ships down to a barn where quick, significant improvement can be expected - he'll likely be overbet

(despite Post 8, off a bad date), but we've also seen these win before....the one to beat, but not one to bet the

rent money on. (6) PARTY AT SEVEN was handled conservatively in his local debut but trotted a strong

final half for a promising 4th - he shows a couple of out of town recent wins, and his barn has been "sneaky

hot" here lately - worth a look at that 8-1 ML price. (2) SHOPPING IN PARIS had been a very steady

player since arriving here this summer but she did make breaks in her last pair - a clean mile puts her in the

hunt for a good piece, but she's clearly a bit risky at the moment. (1) ALLSUMMERLONG AS is likely a

good fit with these but her recent lines show a pair of breaks and a sick scratch - another risky commodity.

(3) QUARANTINA has plenty of wins on the PA Fair circuit and jogged in the Fair Final at PcD - changed

barns after that, and made a first turn miscue here last week after leaving hard - would consider here only if

the price was juicy enough. (5) BAR KEP DE VIE was able to hang on to beat cheaper last week, only his

2nd win in 26 starts - may be a notch below the top ones. (4) STRIKING COUNT struggled here in the

past, and failed to fire in his YR return - he also loses Jordan tonight. (7) GOTTA HABIT was doing ok in

NW2, but may struggle against these, especially from Post 7.

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