Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • May 3, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, May 3, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (3) AMERICAN JAZZ had a solid 2YO season, winning a start here at Yonkers, finishing 2nd in

a Reynolds division, and going a big effort when 3rd in the Excelsior A Final - hasn't quite clicked yet in

three 3YO starts (at PcD), but this feels like a spot where she can hit the top, and get pretty brave. (6) MAJ

OR LOVER hit board in all three of her 3YO starts so far, but has really been just "ok" - should be able to

be a major player against these, however, and definitely a real possibility if the top choice fails to deliver.

(4) KELE KELE was sent off favored in her 3YO return off her modest success in NYSS races at 2 - she

never really looked all that sharp (or smooth), however, and will need to come up better tonight for a

chance at the top prize - playable IF she's a much better price. (2) PINE BUSH LIBERTY seems a bit

below the main players, managing only one 3rd from local starts - maybe a minor share? (1) BEACHBLA

NKET LINDY went sour here in November, went down to Florida, but didn't make it back in time to race

before the storied facility closed recently - her last qualifier looks a bit better, but she's been away over 3

weeks after shipping up North - prefer to just watch for now. (5) PEMBROKE IDEAL BJ added Lasix for

her first start back at 3 but made a couple of breaks (off the qualifier) - pretty hard to guess what to expect

from her tonight.


RACE 2 - (1) HIGH BALLER definitely has ability, but he's also not always the easiest horse to drive - it's

definitely a concern that he's been away for 3 weeks, but the flip side is that Holland must expect him to be

pretty good tonight (as he takes him over a horse he just won with (#5), for a barn that he drives fairly often

for) - we'll hop on board too. (3) MAKIN SOME NOISE has raced well here a bunch of times but was

particularly good last week, angling through the stretch from 4th into a :27 final quarter and GAINING on

the odds-on winner, almost getting up for the win - deserves a lot of respect off that effort. (4) GOOD OLE

ETHIN shows lines in PA and Ohio that would make him a good fit here for his new barn - he's also been

away for 25 days, so make sure to get a fair price if using him on top. (2) RHODENA ROAD started his

YR career with a 5-4-1-0 record last year....hasn't been quite the same in 2022 (10-0-0-3), but can follow

along well enough from this spot to at least contend for a small piece. (7) BONDI SHAKE N has raced well

almost every start since arriving in the U.S., and would have more wins if not for drawing in with the

odds-on Americanlightning N on 3 occasions (always finishing right behind him) - clearly fits very well

here, but may have to settle for a smaller slice thanks to the outside draw. (6) HIGH ST CORRIDOR is a

solid 14-4-4-2 here at YR, and a proven player with these - he's another that may be hurt by the draw,

though. (5) UNCONTROLLABLE was a winner last week vs. lesser but as noted, Holland opts for #1

instead - will need to prove that he can hang with these better ones.


RACE 3 - It's hard to say just how tightly (3) JOYRIDE HANOVER will be wound for her 3YO debut, but

she showed plenty of ability in an impressive 2YO campaign, and seems destined for another big season at

3 - we'll gamble that she'll be ready to handle these right out of the box. (5) OAKWOOD CORAL IR has

been rock solid since arriving at YR, compiling an 8-3-3-1 record - hasn't been able to get her picture taken

since jumping up to this level, though, and may be destined for the same fate here. (6) COZ IM SPECIAL

was hard to steer in her local debut (3/30) but has raced well in every start since then (including a win 2

back, over #5) - hard to say how she could be listed at 15-1 ML, but there's a pretty good chance she'll be

able to outperform those odds. (1) TWENTY GRAND had a useful tightener last week from Post 7, and

now moves all the way inside for her 2nd start of the year - look for a much better effort tonight. (7) MAR

VELOUS KISS was 2nd two back and a winner in her last (for the talented young Braxton Boyd) - faces

much tougher tonight while drawing outside, and she's likely looking at a smaller share this time around.

(8) TAVA has been a steady player since returning in 2022, but faces an uphill battle from all the way out

here. (2) PARTY QUEEN showed some improvement in her 2nd start back last week, but still seems a bit

below the main players - not ready to hop on her team just yet. (4) IDEAL CHIP is just 2 for 40 lifetime,

with all those losses coming against much easier fields than this one.


RACE 4 - Tough race: (5) ALOTBETTOR N is having a tough year, but he did race much better last week,

and catches a field with several questionable main contenders - may be a spot where he can pick up his first

win of the season...if he can build on last week's improved effort. (3) LIFEONTHEBEACH A is a bit of a

puzzle - he moves to a barn notorious for improving fresh stock, but this guy has finished up the track in his

last 5 starts....of course all those starts were from horrible posts, usually against better - wouldn't be

surprised to see him win, finish well back, or anything in between! (1) BOBCAT BAY hit the top and beat a

much softer bunch last week....but that doesn't mean he isn't good enough to beat these too - might have

listed him on top if not for that 8/5 ML price! (4) YANKEE OSBORNE gets a pass for his last (horrible

trip), and did charge home to win in NJ the start before - deserves to be included on your tickets IF the

price is decent. (2) ROBBIE BURNS N made a break leaving between horses last week and his overall

form has been lacking as well - might perk up in a hurry with tonight's class drop, however. (6) KIMANI N

had been doing some better work recently before landing in a few tough spots - tonight's draw won't make

it easy on him either. (7) MISSION BAY was able to grab a pocket behind #1 last week but weakened

before making a break on the final turn - draws horribly now, and we'll stick with others tonight.


RACE 5 - Good race: (2) ITZPAPALOTL always seemed to thrive at Yonkers (5-3-1-0) and her last win

here on 10/6 was VERY sharp - makes her 2nd start of the year after a good tightener at Chester, and may

be ready to do some damage....but it won't be easy against a few sharp opponents in here. (5) THINK OF

GALAXIES had a very solid 3YO campaign and has returned sharp at 4, picking up a pair of close 2nds in

her first 2 starts back - maybe tonight she gets over the hump? (3) BABS JANSEN was well supported 2

starts back and charged home to score impressively - got rolling a little too late in her last and was a close

4th (racing off 3 weeks), but can be very dangerous tonight if the trip goes her way. (4) PLZDONTLIETO

ME N has been good in all 5 starts since arriving in the U.S., including last week's game 1st over 3rd at this

level - would be no surprise at all for the always dangerous brotherly combo! (1) HIGH MINDED banged

out nearly a quarter of a million dollars at 2 and 3, but has really struggled to get her act together at 4 -

she'll turn things around eventually, but is hard to endorse at the moment. (6) NUTTINBUTTHEBEST

seems like the outsider here....both literally and figuratively.


RACE 6 - (1) JIM BLUE returned sharp off the layoff, losing cover on the final turn then rallying into 2nd

behind the standout winner - should be even tighter for tonight, and gets the call with inside draw. (5) SAM

SON BLUE CHIP blasted from Post 8 the last 2 weeks and took home 3rd place checks thanks to his very

aggressive drives - could be the main danger, although he may have a couple of leavers just to his inside

tonight. (2) LINCOLN BOULEVARD is still winless on the year, but he also hasn't been worse than 4th

since Feb. 1 - draws inside, and is definitely a good one to include in exotics. (3) BORN A REBEL is sharp

right now, just a nose shy of a 3 race win streak - another that should be included in exotics. (4) MY BLUE

BERRY BUCK was a solid 8-2-3-0 as a 2YO in Canada - raced well in both starts since returning at 3, and

now moves to a barn that usually does well with these types - may be a little short after missing 19 days,

but we'll find out tonight. (6) MIDNIGHT REBEL raced much better last week than the week before, but

was still a little light at the end - draws poorly tonight, and will need to be even sharper just for a chance at

a piece. (7) SPORTS SECTION almost always delivers a decent effort, but may have trouble making a dent

from Post 7 in this evenly matched bunch. (8) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER never got close from a similar spot

last week, and seems destined for the same result tonight.


RACE 7 - (3) ON THE CARDS N gets the double benefit of both post and class relief tonight and is a

proven player at this level (and sometimes even higher) - good spot to hop on his team. (1) IMSTAYNALI

VE could only manage 3rd when he caught a very fast mile last week but he's a pretty solid player from

spots like this - belongs in exotics. (6) SON OF A TIGER N has held his form nicely while climbing the

class ladder recently, and his last was much better than he seemed capable of (paced home in :26.4 to just

miss in that hot 1:51.2 mile) - tough draw for tonight, but has to be respected in his current form. (2) ESCA

PETOTHEBEACH does his best work one level down, but still fits well in this class too - a live trip puts

him right in the thick of this. (5) ROCKIN SPEED had no chance from Post 8 2 back but was a little

disappointing in his last - he seems capable of better, and we'll see if he shows it tonight. (4) WINDSUN

RICKY was life and death to hang on vs. much softer last week - will need to up his game to be a player

tonight. (7) GINGRAS BEACH moves up in class while also drawing outside -tough combination.


RACE 8 - (6) WOODMERE SKYROLLER was too far back to have any chance last week but did finish

with interest - hard to predict her trip for tonight but at 15-1 ML, she's absolutely worth considering....she's

shown that she can be a threat whenever she lands on a manageable journey. (7) APRIL AVA struggled in a

bunch of starts here earlier this year but has looked much better in her last 2 local tries (since returning

from NJ) - another value horse to consider. (5) FEELIN RED HOT grabbed an easy half last week and

made them pay, picking up her 3rd win of the season - classy 9YO is a threat to wire 'em any week she's in

to go! (4) VELOCITY MCSWEETS was handled aggressively off the bad date last week and raced pretty

well....although DQd to 5th for bulling her way out and hooking wheels late in the stretch - maybe be able

to work out another good trip tonight...and land somewhere on the ticket (2) MORNING HAS BROKEN

had no luck in her last pair off the claim, after being scary good for her previous connections - lands in

another new barn for tonight, and could easily perk up with one of her big efforts. (1) AMERICAN TOUR

N has looked good since changing barns 3 back - not sure she can win at this level, but she can definitely

grab a good piece. (3) JOSSIE JAMES A just hasn't been clicking lately, and is in need of a wakeup call.

(8) MILLWOOD BONNIE N was no good at all last week, and now draws Post 8.


RACE 9 - (7) STILL THIRSTY is worth a stab in the finale - he was a close 3rd in his first local try,

finished ok from a hopeless spot in his next, then lacked any room in the stretch last week or likely gets

2nd, and maybe even has a chance to win - will need to overcome the draw, but at least the price will be

right. (3) DEFENSIVE PLAYER was sent off at 3/5 at Chester going for his new barn last week and did not

disappoint - probably facing a bit tougher now, but still a very logical threat. (4) THEBIZNES BLUECHIP

was hammered at the windows last week despite some "meh" previous form, but was able to control the

action and prevail - license to repeat, but won't be offering any value. (1) STELLAR FELLER paced evenly

for 5th from a similar spot last week - chance to land somewhere in the exotics if he can just improve a bit.

(8) BIDEN NATION raced ok a few times at 3, but is just recently returning from a 6 month layoff - hard to

gauge his current form, and he also lands all the way outside...maybe the tote board will offer some clues?

(5) BEST BETTOR had a couple of decent PcD tries, but hasn't threatened at all in 3 local starts - starting

to run out of excuses. (6) TEAM MAC ships in off a Monti win but it's hard to say how he'll fit with these-

tough draw won't help his chances. (2) TREVORS HUNT has a wide variety of out of town efforts - barn

has been ice cold here for 2 years, though.

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