Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • August 20, 2024

The Empire Report – Tuesday, August 20, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (2) CADILLAC BAYAMA was a sharp first over winner 2 back so last week’s 16-1 win price was an

overlay, to say the least – his odds will surely come down considerably tonight, but he does have a very legitimate

chance to make it 3 in a row, even with the slight class bump. (5) KINGSVILLE was sent off at 4/5 vs. the top

choice, was used hard, and got collared late when he left room at the cones – he may be able to reverse that decision

tonight, and HIS price will surely go up...worth considering. (1) ROCKIN JUKEBOX moves up TWO classes

tonight but he’s feeling pretty good right now, and can contend at this level when on his best game – look for him to

be an up close player from start to finish. (4) CASINO ACTION N has been right there in his last 4 starts including

a close 3rd to the top two choices when first over last week – no reason he can’t have a big say once more. (7) SEMI

TOUGH has been coming up just shy against some tough foes but he draws worst for tonight and has made just one

start in six weeks...and that has us leaning towards others tonight. (3) DEETZY has some mixed recent form, but a

couple of good ones sprinkled in there – prefer others, but that 15-1 ML price is definitely appealing. (6) BLANK

STARE is solid right now but moving up in class and likely coming from well back.


RACE 2 – (8) HARPER SEELSTER was an easy winner after going right to the top from Post 6 last week – draws

even further outside now, but should still be able to at least improve considerably at the start – another good price

makes her worth considering once more. (5) LYONS MIKI had been struggling for a while but her last couple were

obviously much better – if she can avoid gapping too badly early on, she may have a chance to charge on by late...at

a decent price. (1) TERACITA has a couple of fairly recent wins but she’s also disappointed (off easy trips) on

several occasions – possible for sure, but risky at a short price. (2) TYRA MAKES BANK was 1st or 2nd in her first 7

local starts but her last 3 starts haven’t been as successful – another logical player in here, but also another that may

end up overbet. (4) EVAS SPORTS CZECH has been stuck on minor pieces lately and will need to up her game if

she hopes for better tonight. (3) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX is now 22-0-0-3 on the year and hard to consider for

more than minor spoils. Both (6) MICHELLES JAZZ and (7) AINTNOHOLLABACKGRL haven’t been serious

players too often, and they figure to be coming from well out of it tonight.


RACE 3 – (2) ALWAYS B MIMI took some time off and just requalified solidly – she catches a pretty shaky field

for her return, and may be ready to beat these right off the shelf. (6) FRONDEUR made an early miscue in her YR

return but put in a nice recovery after that – may be able to beat this bunch with a clean effort. (1) SHOTGUN PERS

UASION was a winner here 3 and 4 back and has 4 local wins this year – she also came up empty in her last pair, so

it’s anybody’s guess as to which version we’ll see tonight! (8) JEANSNJELLYBEANS was a wire to wire winner 3

back but folded in her next and was a “meh” 2nd in her last (off an easy trip) – she CAN blast (even from out here),

so she’s not the worst horse to consider if the price drifts high enough. (4) CANNERY ROW is just 9-0-0-1 here this

year and winless in 16 starts over the last 2 seasons – she does get a barn change for tonight (off a sick scratch), so at

least that's an angle you could ponder. (7) BROOKDALE JESSIE’s lone win in an eternity came in a crazy amateur

race – seems like an easy afterthought from out here but note that the barn sent out a massively form reversing

winner last week, and tried to do it again on Sat. night...ok for longshot fans. (5) PRINCESS ARONA hasn’t been

sharp in a long time...and neither has (3) TUAPEKA JESSIE N.


RACE 4 – Tough race! (2) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL A has been off her best form for some time but turned in a

much more encouraging mile last week – if she can build off that effort, she may have a chance to pull off the upset

in this wide open affair. (1) CELIA B MONEY gave it a good try last week but came up 2nd best to prolific winner

NO WIN NO FEED A – very logical threat after drawing another rail...and this time avoiding last week’s winner.

(6) ALLMEQUEENBEE A is usually good for a solid finish but she was exceptionally sharp last week, charging

home to win going away – much tougher draw tonight, but a live trip makes her dangerous once again. (8) MISS

CHANTI LLY N may just take back to last from out here and never get involved...but IF Stratton can get her into

the hunt, she is very sharp right now, returning off a pair of good Pocono tries (after adding Lasix) – decent bomb to

at least consider. (4) HONEY LOVE came up 2nd best to a sharp one two back off the pocket trip, but disappointed

when cutting the mile last week – she’s a legitimate threat in this class if she brings her best effort. (3) COALFORD

SNSHINE GB was a good 2nd at this level off the claim 3 back, picked up 3rd in her next but then didn’t care for last

week’s first over trip at all – seems like a possibility if she can land on an easier journey. (7) STAY HAPPY

disappointed off the two hole trip two back but did race ok last week from an impossible spot – she CAN be a player

with these, but will likely need to leave the gate here to have any real chance. (5) TWIST LITTLE GIRL N needs to

show that she can contend at this level.


RACE 5 – (3) NIKASA N just missed to the razor sharp UNITY in her first try at this level then jogged at $2.10 last

week – goes for a new barn tonight, but there’s a good chance the result will be the same. (6) CHILLIN BYTHE PO

OL drops in for a tag and should feel right at home in this field– good one to use in exotics (8) REAL LADY

SADIE will obviously have to work a bit from Post 8 but she was an odds-on winner last week, and has to get at

least a look at that 12-1 ML price. (5) PHELGON worked hard in the pocket behind the heavy favorite and was able

to run her down late for the victory – chance for a decent piece tonight too with a live trip. (2) SUNSET SOPH is

capable in this class when on her game, but comes into this off a pretty dismal showing – hard to say which version

we’ll see tonight. (1) PINK QUARTZ has been mostly limited to minor pieces in her 5 local tries and may be

looking at the same tonight, even from the pole. (4) PLEASURE SEEKER was an easy (no threat) 3rd last week but

still needs to be better to be a serious player here. (7) BEAUTY OF THE SEA finished well to pick up the show spot

last week but may have trouble replicating that from out here.


RACE 6 – (1) OHOKA LEBRON N has turned it terrific efforts in 3 of his last 4 starts, and is finally starting to

really blossom here in the U.S. – he takes on older foes tonight (and loses regular pilot Buter), but still deserves the

narrow edge starting from the pole. (2) NIGHT HAWK had no chance from Post 8 last week and was stuck first over

in the 3-5YO Open the start before that...but 3 down saw him hit the top and wire the field as the odds-on choice,

and he’s a big threat tonight with the inside draw. (6) ROLLING WITH SAM hasn’t been able to find the winner’s

circle in a while but he races well every week (blocked in the back in his last), and has to be worth a look here if the

price is decent (though trip luck WILL be needed starting from Post 8). (4) YOROKOBI N always finishes well off

an easy trip and he figures to coming late tonight as well – may be for a smaller slice, rather than a bigger one,

however. (3) WATTSUP SUNSHINE A has taken home minor pieces in all 3 U.S. starts and may need to get some

class relief before he can contend for the top slot. (5) DELIGHTFUL DUDE N is another that could use some class

relief – maybe 3rd/4th if the trip is easy enough. (7) VENIER HANOVER just re-qualified after a month off – leaning

towards others, especially with the bad draw. (8) DIVINE RIGHT was an “ok” 4th from the rail vs. cheaper last week

– hard to like his chances from Post 8 tonight.


RACE 7 – (5) PEMBROKE SOUTHIE dropped in for the tag last week but was hurt when caught behind the tiring

leader to the top of the lane (eventually shaking free and grabbing 3rd) – one of several live players in a race with no

standouts. (4) PARADISE ROCK L hasn’t won in a while but she’s hit board in a bunch of recent starts and is

usually a juicy price – worth a look? (6) IDEAL COVER steps up to the 50s after a pair of sharp wins over the 25s

(one on the lead, one from well off the pace) – sharp enough to merit consideration if the price is right. (3) JIVE

DANCING A really hit the skids for a while, dropping all the way to the bottom level and needing a couple of starts

just to win in that class – hard to get a good feel where she’s at right now, but hard to hop on her team as the 2-1 ML

favorite. (2) LOOKOVERYOUR has found some solid form and has been holding it even at this higher level – good

value horse for the bottom of exotics. (1) GOT SEXY SCARS was off a bad date to her last and came up weak off

an easy trip – she’s now missed time again, and is a definite question mark for tonight. (7) OAKWOOD CORAL IR

has been doing good work in Delaware/Maryland but draws poorly off a bad date and may be in a tough spot. (8) BI

G BIG PLANS has struggled from these outside spots in the past.


RACE 8 – (8) ROCK DIAMONDS N has now won NINE in a row, usually with ease – the only thing more

incredible than the ease at which he usually makes the lead is the fact that 11 wins and $162K later, nobody ever

claims him – he’s blessed again with no real leavers to his immediate inside, and that could help him make it 10

straight. (2) REAL WILLEY (who was a barnmate to #8 until being claimed last week) has been doing some

damage of his own, a winner in 4 of his last 5 starts (albeit vs. a bit easier) – he may be able to sit the pocket to his

old stablemate tonight...and that probably gives him the best chance at pulling off the upset. (1) CENTURY ENDE

AVOR has chased the top one and grabbed pieces in the past – unless he can find more, he’s looking at a similar

result tonight. (3) ORLANDO BLUE A raced well in both tries since returning to Yonkers – an easy trip could land

him another piece. (4) REIGNING DEO has been stuck on minor shares most weeks and may be destined for a

similar fate tonight. (6) QUALITY BUD will probably be pacing ok late...but probably from too far back to threaten

(5) JIMMY CONNOR B beat lesser from the pocket last start bit that was 3 weeks ago and he’s up in class tonight.

(7) BILL HALEY N figures to be way too far back to have any say tonight.


RACE 9 – (6) ALWAYS BE CITY could offer some good value here – she’s often hurt by tough trips but still races

well most of the time – with the possibility that they could mix it up a bit in here, maybe she can be the one charging

late? (1) LARJON LEAH was a bit overmatched in the 50s last week but drops back down to a more comfortable

level – could have a very big say from the pole. (5) NUTTINBUTHEBEST looked like she may be going the wrong

way again but did rebound with a nice 2nd last week – her “good” version would be a very live player in here. (2)

JUST ROSAS LUCK has been ultra consistent for a long time, but did come up a little flat last week – tends to be

overbet, but hard to leave her out of the exotics. (7) UNITY brings a 3 race winning streak into this but moves up in

class while drawing outside for her new barn – it would hardly be a surprise to see her take another, but she’d need

to be a fair price to use on top from this spot. (3) DREAM DANCING doesn’t look appealing on paper right now

but she does have some recent excuses – maybe 3rd/4th at a big price? (8) CHARMING VIXEN has been racing well

and was a game winner last week – she’s also moving up in class and stuck all the way outside – a tough assignment

(4) MARY KAT still needs to prove she fits with the locals at this level.


RACE 10 – Good finale: (2) SINBAD N has been knocking on the door for weeks, even overcoming bad posts and

tougher trips – he’s overdue for a victory...maybe tonight? (3) JOHNNY SACK was making his first start since last

November on 7/30 and raced better than his line might look – he was a solid 4th in his next, and could offer some

value here with just a little more improvement. (6) CHURCHVIEWCAMLOT IR was a little disappointing when he

got beat here 3 back (2nd as the prohibitive favorite) but he did win his previous Yonkers start and has raced well at

PcD in his last pair – very dangerous player, but not a fan of that 2-1 ML price from Post 6. (5) SOUTHWIND CEL

SIUS can take a little while to get rolling but does finish his miles powerfully – very dangerous if things get testy up

front. (1) ON TIME DELIVERY hails from a top barn, draws best and does have some ability – he’ll also need to up

his game a bit to beat a couple of the top ones. (4) HEY JUDE HANOVER hails from a barn that doesn’t race many

here, but often sends out live horses – he looks like others they have brought down from Canada (lots of “good”

lines, but lacking in wins), and he may be a good one for the bottom of exotics. Both (7) PYRENEES HANOVER

and (8) KISSINCAPTAIN figure to struggle after drawing so poorly in this solid field.

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