Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • December 4, 2024

The Empire Report – Wednesday, December 4, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (3) KOOTENAY SANTANNA had been racing ok from tough spots for several starts before cashing in

on last week’s live trip – gets a good draw here, and may be able to take another. (6) PRETTY HANDSOME is very

solid right now, hitting board in 4 of his last 5 starts (8 hole on the other) – was used hard and just missed to #3 last

week, and remains a threat...even with the bad draw. (1) PRINCE OF TIDES ships in sharp from PA but moves to a

new barn as his (previous) very high % trainer will be serving a suspension – have to respect his chances from this

spot, but also hard to take a short price. (4) VESPA N has struggled in 4 tries at the $25K level since being claimed

for $15K – he was a bit more competitive in his last two, and maybe can pick up a small piece with the decent draw.

(2) LYONS PEGASUS came out of a long dry spell with a few nice efforts recently but then started to tail again (as

the rest of his barn went cold, as well) – maybe he can tow along for some minor spoils? (8) KOUNT BLASTER

lasted a long way on the lead last week before getting overtaken by the top two choices in here – the move from the

rail to Post 8 does figure to really hurt, however. (5) GENIUS MAN didn’t function in his last and was pulled up –

not sure how he can possibly be allowed to race without qualifying. (7) SHOTGUNINTHEHOTSUN draws Post 7

off a bad date, for a new barn, with dull PA form – will just observe, for now.


RACE 2 – (5) BUSY MAKING MONI went on the shelf after his Nfd. start on 4/1 – qualified back on 10/30 and

has taken 2 of 3 PcD starts since then, racing very well (tough trip) in the lone loss – gets the narrow edge in his

local debut. (4) DARK MIND has really started to blossom late in his 4YO season, and brings a 3 race PA winning

streak with him – dangerous player right now. (3) LEGACYS JAILBREAK was beaten by nearly 20 lengths at PcD

on 11/16 but became another of the barn’s form-reversing local winners when he scored here at 14-1 in his next start

– a similar effort would put him right back in the hunt for tonight. (2) CROWN MONARCH raced from Post 8 in

his only local try and was a conservative 4th – he shows a few good PA miles since then (with Skoglund on board),

and gets Bartlett back for tonight – could have a big say. (7) MOHATU AS needed that start on 11/8 (off the layoff)

but lit up the tote board at 25-1 in his next, then was a solid 2nd after that (behind #3) – tough draw may limit him

tonight, though. (1) ATTA GIRL DANI fits easier, but the inside draw may give her a shot at some minor spoils. (6)

AUSTRAL HANOVER got a late start on his 4YO campaign but has been making up for lost time with his strong

recent efforts – he changed hands after his last, and draws poorly tonight after being away for 4 weeks.


RACE 3 – (6) NOWHERE CREEK A appreciated the drop to 20s last week, delivering the wire to wire victory –

gets a tougher draw tonight, but may still be able to pull it off...price should remain decent. (7) ALOTBETTOR N

faltered off the claim last week but was quickly taken back for the barn for whom he just won 4 in a row – he’s won

21X here over the past 2 seasons, and can never be taken lightly! (1) WAR DAN DELIGHT N is having a tough

year but he showed better life in his last pair, and draws the pole tonight – playable in exotics. (3) HURRIKANEKI

NGJAMES was a winner last week in his 2nd start off the claim but did benefit from a good trip – consider if the

price is decent. (2) MIGHTY SANTANA A has been camera shy all year but does often race well for pieces –

always willing to include underneath. (4) OSTRO HANOVER is just 22-1-10 this year but did have some better life

last week – we’ll see if he can build off that and take home a piece of this. (5) WOFLTRAX arrives from KY and

has missed a month – prefer to just watch here. (8) BETTORBUCKLEUP is the outsider, literally and figuratively.


RACE 4 – Interesting race with some fresh faces: (4) BO SILAS was very successful at the Michigan fairs – he was

sent off at 1/5 for his first East Coast try and was an easy winner at PcD – he’ll face a tougher bunch in his Yonkers

debut, but he’s won 11 of 21 career starts and may be able to handle these too. (2) ENERGY KING left from Post 8

last week but broke on the first turn – he did make a nice recovery, and he’s gone plenty of efforts here that would

make him a dangerous player. (7) CENTRAL PARK was an odds on winner here 2 back, and a solid 3rd last week

(after caught behind a tiring frontrunner) – tough draw, but can be a player if she gets some trip luck (6) MUSICAL

RIDE is a question mark as he lacked room in his first local try – couldn’t blame anybody for giving him a look at

that 20-1 ML price. (8) KORIANDER SISU S finished 2nd in his 2 U.S. starts then picked up the win at PcD in his

last – gets Bartlett for his first local try, but he also gets Post 8...may need to wait for a better spot. (3) THE THING

IS found his best stride late and rallied by to beat an easier field last week – not sure he can have that same impact

with these. (1) PAPA JOE LOZITO may be a notch below some of these but he has speed, the rail, and Yannick –

maybe that’s enough to grab a small piece? (5) FORTRESS LOUISBURG ships in struggling from PA and would be

a surprise against these.


RACE 5 – (3) TEQUINI HANOVER is a talented filly and came up just shy in her last 3 while racing super each

time – should be able to get over the hump and pick up her first Yonkers victory tonight. (6) OLIVER THE GREAT

raced ok for 4th in his only local try and is a good fit with these – could add some value to the exotics. (2) SWAN

FAITH made a costly back side miscue in her only YR appearance and might have otherwise been a big player that

night – another that could land on the ticket at a big price. (5) NOTTINGHAM, on the other hand, will probably be a

short-ish price, and his unpredictable weekly efforts make him hard to endorse with any real confidence – IF he

brings his best, he’ll have a big say...but that’s a big if! (4) CAVIART IRISH LUCK was 2nd in her lone Yonkers

start then won 2 in a row out of town – she may be a little cheap, but we should get a clearer picture after tonight. (1)

ROCK MY UNIVERSE was well backed last week but blew up before the start (something he’s done on several

occasions) – the ability is there, but he seems a bit risky at what figures to be another relatively short price. Both (7)

FOREVER A LION AS and (8) DONTMESSWITHMAMA face uphill battles starting from all the way outside.


RACE 6 – (3) THUNDRA may be a good value play tonight – she’s been stuck racing from the back vs. 25s in her

last few but drops back down to her preferred $20K level tonight, and may get some battle up front to help her late

rally. (5) NUTTINBUTHEBEST is 2 for 3 for her current connections with the lone loss coming in 25s, with a tough

trip – very live player. (4) ELISES DELIGHT looked beyond vulnerable much of the way as the 1/10 favorite last

week but somehow managed to prevail, despite a very slow final quarter in a very slow mile – may be worth taking

a shot against tonight. (1) MARY KAT lacked any pop last week but did catch a quick mile – an easy trip from the

pole may help her grab a small share. (2) DECISION TIME was running #4 over in the pocket last week...but then

hung badly from the top of the lane after taking a shot at her – needs to be better to contend for a top prize. (7) BET

TER WATCH IT ended up behind horrible cover last week, but also seemed pretty empty herself – bad spot for

tonight, but keep an eye for future consideration. (6) ITTY BITTY has been stuck on minor pieces from inside posts

– seems unlikely to do much damage from this spot.


RACE 7 – (8) KISS MY CHEEK put it all together here on 10/16 with that front end, blowout score – she raced ok

(behind some nice mares) in her next few starts after that, then finally was able to hit the top again at Pocono last

week and delivered another front end romp – maybe she can blast off the car tonight and score at a nice price from

Post 8? (5) SHOWBOAT HANOVER was no factor in her first start off the barn change but raced well in her next

pair behind the impressive PASS AND STOW (2nd and 3rd) – very logical threat here (and Kakaley’s choice over #8)

(3) BETTA WATCH OUT N started her U.S. career off strong last February but went on the shelf after a sick scratch

in March and just re-qualified – seems like she may need a start, but check the tote board for some help. (1) FOREV

ER A FLIRT was very successful on the Michigan Fair Circuit and picked up a 3rd at Pocono after shipping East –

ok for underneath. (2) URSULA BLUE CHIP may be 1 for 50 but she really hasn’t been bad lately – maybe 3rd/4th?

(7) TRUMPS GIRL seemed to race better with the switch to Callahan (at Chester) last week and gets Stratton

tonight – very tough spot for her local debut, though. (4) OAKWOOD DYNASTY IR hasn’t been sharp in some

time. (6) DRINKING AND DREAM failed to match her KY/IL form at PcD after changing hands – prefer to watch,

for now.


RACE 8 – (8) LUCKY MUM N is a bit of an enigma – she did some excellent work Down Under and is 3 for 3

since arriving in the U.S. – but she had to work hard in each of those victories, and against fairly modest fields – she

should still be able to find a way to beat this bunch, even from Post 8...but not one to bet the rent money on at a

short price! (6) HONOLULU is hard to like “on paper” but her new trainer has done some good work over the past

year or two, and getting Bartlett is another big plus – maybe we’ll get a major wake up call? (5) WISTERIA HANO

VER goes off at a big price every week but has now hit board in 4 straight, all at long odds – no reason she can’t

grab another share tonight. (7) JEANNIES ACTION is unpredictable from start to start but capable of good efforts

at times – that 20-1 ML price makes her worth considering for underneath. (1) WOW LOVE had the fresh legs in

the lane vs. a weak field last week and scored the 20-1 upset in her first local try – draws best, and could easily be in

the hunt again...but the price will surely come way down. (4) ALEXANDER picked up a win in PA 3 back but his 3

local starts have been “meh” – needs to be better. (2) JAKEY JUMPUP picked up a bunch of pieces earlier in the

year but feels like he’s tailed off quite a bit lately. (3) MY SPECIAL still feels overmatched.


RACE 9 – (2) ON THE VIRG fell apart badly for an extended period but he reversed form with that win 2 back,

then followed that up with another victory last week – the 10YO is feeling good right now, and may be able to

extend his streak to 3. (5) RECORD YEAR had pace finishing after an impossible trip last week and now gets a

drop from 20s to 15s – could be a decent value horse to take a shot with. (1) B COOL FOOL was handled

aggressively from Post 8 last week but not up to the task – looking at a much easier trip from the pole tonight, and

that could make him a serious player. (3) JOJOS PLACE was pretty solid for several starts but reverted to “clunker

mode” last week – it’s anybody’s guess as to what we’ll get from him tonight. (7) BIG SIR is another that had been

racing ok before laying an egg last week – rare chance to get a big price on a Gingras horse, for those inclined to

give him a chance to rebound, (8) JUST A WRANGLER has won 3 of his last 4 starts but had been known to

struggle a bit from these outside spots – look for a good price if willing to try him from out here. (6) LUCIANO N

used a ground saving trip to grab 3rd last week and will need another easy journey for a chance at a piece tonight. (4)

ROSE RUN X CON still has no wins and just one 2nd all year (from 31 starts).


RACE 10 – Good race: (3) IRON MISTRESS has been racing well in most of her starts, and pounced on last week’s

pocket trip to score easily – her trip is a bit more unpredictable tonight, but she’s sharp enough to win even with a

less than stellar journey – she’ll probably be a fair price, once more. (1) ONEDERFULBEACH cut the mile before

coming up 2nd best to #3 last week – she looked in both starts since dropping down to 20s, and looms a major threat

from this spot. (5) DEVILISH DREAMS broke a long winless streak with that victory 4 back, was 2nd in her next,

won again after that and was a very close 3rd last week – the right trip could put her back into the winner’s circle. (2)

HARPER SEELSTER has remained consistent all year long but seems more likely to end up on the bottom of the

exacta right now, rather than on top. (6) SHEIKH YABOOTY N went one of the most bizarre efforts of the meet last

week – she got away totally disinterested, appeared ready to back out of it completely to 3/4s (despite the 1:27 snail

pace), suddenly got re-motivated on the final turn and was right there 2nd on the wire – truly a complete guessing

game for tonight! (4) LYONS MIKI can sometimes offer a late rally...but not often enough to merit a stab here. (7)

GINGER TREE LIZ figures to have a tough time getting into the mix from out here. (8) TUAPEKA JESSIE N

draws Post 8 after failing to beat a single horse in her last 3 starts.


RACE 11 – (5) SNOUZE U LOUZE beat this class back in late Sept. and was a decent 3rd vs. better last week –

willing to give him a try in the finale. (1) GINGER TREE PETE hasn’t shown anything resembling form in a long

time but the drop to 15s (along with the rail, and switch to A Nap) may result in a more aggressive try – he has a ton

of back class if he ever can get motivated here. (6) ITALIAN DELIGHT N was BARELY able to extend his

incredible winning streak to 12, then 13, then 14...and finally did see it end last week – would never discount his

chances to start a new streak tonight, but his barn has just been too cold lately to ever take a short price. (7) ROCK

THIS WAY is racing well again, but will need a lot to go his way to reach from out here – not a bad bomb for those

looking for a “last race get out” horse. (8) SWAGASAURUSREX can throw a good one when in the mood, but does

figure to be hampered by the miserable draw. (3) MISSILE SEELSTER disappointed in his last pair, and just isn’t

clicking right now. (2) BETTER OFF SINGLE was scratched injured last week after failing to beat a single horse in

his prior 2 tries.

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