Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • June 18, 2024

The Empire Report – Tuesday, June 18, 2024 – Race Analysis

 RACE 1 – (6) REAL LADY SADIE has been “ok” facing much better 25s in her last 3 starts and now drops back

down to the level she beat on 5/14 – she’ll probably be a “fair” price from this spot, and we’ll give her the narrow

edge. (4) ROLL WITH SHORTY can be more aggressive tonight and she does have 4 victories this year – very

logical threat! (8) DANDYS SHOWTIME has upped her game lately and picked up a win and a 2nd from her last 3

starts – she could face some difficulty from Post 8, however, and that 2-1 ML listing does seem a bit too low. (3)

WHOLE LOTTA LUCK may have been able to make some stretch noise last week if not for a costly final turn

miscue – could be worth a look tonight at what figures to be a big price. (1) THATS A HUGE BEACH moves to a

barn that had been winning regularly with these “formless” horses for a long time...but the trainer has definitely

cooled off considerably over the last few weeks, and that instant improvement may not be so automatic right now –

at least she’s 20-1 ML for those wanting to jump on board. (2) AINTNOHOLLABACKGRL has failed to threaten in

the majority of her starts this year – minor share only. (7) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX has 14 starts this year and yet

to be 1st or 2nd. (5) ROCKFORD PEACH just seems a bit overmatched at this $20K level.


RACE 2 – (3) ROCK DIAMONDS N is the reigning king of this class, having won 3 in a row – he’ll be a very

short price (again), but clearly the one to knock off. (4) MICKY GEE N will come alive one of these weeks and

bring his best effort (and beat these – but since he’ll likely be the 2nd choice here, it’s probably not the greatest week

to hop on board, hoping for the mild upset. (6) REIGNING DEO got VERY good for a few starts but was very

disappointing last week, sitting the cones with no offer at all – at least he should be a decent price here, if seeking an

alternative to the favorite. (2) CAVIART SARGENT throws a good one at times, and usually at a good price (see

last week) – never a bad one to use underneath. (5) MACH N CHEESE drops in for a tag after a couple of lackluster

efforts – seems a little risky at the moment. (1) FIZZING N feels more like a “field filler” at this $60K level.


RACE 3 – (2) PLEASURE SEEKER has hit board in 4 straight and 5 of her last 6 – she already has 6 wins this year

(4 locally), and doesn’t figure to be the betting favorite – we’ll give her top billing. (4) TYRA MAKES BANK cut

the mile and came up 2nd best in her local debut (for a new (top) barn) then was able to get it done on the front end

last week – legitimate threat to repeat, but also likely to be overbet. (5) EVAS SPORTS CZECH folded on the front

end last week but may just prefer to race from off the pace – she used to be camera shy but already has 4 YR wins

this year...never a bad value play. (3) BETTORHIGHLIGHT N was an even 3rd off an easy trip last time – chance

for another small piece with a similarly easy trip. (1) PINK RUBY throws some odd efforts at times but does like to

win races – last week’s “scratched injured” does make her a bit of a question mark for tonight, though. (6) WHATIN

EEDISAMAN was claimed for $25K on 4/5, beat the 50s the next week but soon started to tail off, and now drops

down to 20s after missing a month – definitely some red flags here! (8) BROOKDALE JESSIE will be coming from

last but she did rally for 3rd from a bad spot last week – never a bad bomb for the bottom of tris and supers.

(7) BLUEBIRD GRAF couldn’t overcome a tough trip last week and faces an even tougher one from Post 7.


RACE 4 – (3) CAPTIVATE HANOVER had an outstanding 2023 season and is off to a great start in ’24 – would

normally “love” his chances from this spot, but note that he DID look home free last week only to get nailed near the

wire...he’s still the top choice, but with at least a bit of caution. (7) JOEMIKIYOURSOFINE banked $126K as a

3YO and has come back super at 4, hitting board in all 3 starts at The Swamp (and picking up a fresh 1:49 mark in

his 2nd start of the year) – not sure he can get in play from this bad spot, but a big enough price makes him worth

considering. (2) NIGHT HAWK was sinless in a rough 4YO campaign but has been doing much better at 5, posting

a 15-3-4-3 record so far – he’s held his own with good ones recently, and would be no surprise at all. (1) SHAZAM

BLUE CHIP has been terrific since being claimed for $15K a while back...but he’s yet to produce a WIN – still a

great one to use underneath. (5) SPLASH BROTHER finished with pace last week but does seem to need to be in

easier these days to be a threat for the top spot (4) REAL WILLEY has gone some big efforts this year but is another

that seems better suited with easier. (6) BLANK STARE will look better with a drop to NW10000 next week.


RACE 5 – (2) LARJON LEAH was sharp before the 5/21 claim then stepped up in class and crushed the field (for

her new connections) the next week – a similar effort would make her very tough tonight...but the 3 weeks off since

that victory does give at least a little pause. (5) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL recently won 3 in a row here but like many

of her barnmates, has cooled off a bit since then – her last effort WAS solid (2nd best), and she could be a very live

player tonight. (1) ON THE MONEY GB can get steppy at times but she tends to smooth out eventually and does

have 3 wins since late April – deserves plenty of respect from the pole. (7) DEVILISH DREAMS was our pick

dropping in for a tag last week but she was scratched injured – drops right back in to go (good sign?), but also lands

a horrible post – maybe if the price is juicy enough? (8) ALWAYS BE CITY raced much better in her 2nd local start,

going WITHOUT Lasix – might have listed her a bit higher tonight if not for the brutal draw. (3) CORAL BELLA

hasn’t been a threat here in a long time but was an even 4th last week, and draws well enough to at least consider

underneath. (4) COALFORDSNSHINE GB picked up a win 2 back but vs. much cheaper, and over a mare that

never wins – she’s struggled in too many at THIS level. (6) SHES NEVER WRONG ships in with good Stga. form

but vs. much easier – may struggle against these tougher mares.


RACE 6 – (1) SHOTGUN PERSUASION was getting a barn and driver change last week but still ignored in the

wagering at 39-1 – she left from the outside, worked out a pocket trip, popped out to 3/4s and paced right on by,

winning like a 3/5 shot...obviously her price will plummet tonight, but she DOES have a solid chance to repeat! (5)

SUNSET SOPH doesn’t always get involved but she does have a couple of wins this season, and a good price makes

her worth a look. (7) PRINCESS ARONA came into her last off a trio of 2nd place finishes but wasn’t up to the first

over trip at all – she moves from the rail to Post 7 now, so make sure to get a pretty good price if looking for her to

rebound tonight. (2) TERACITA has been “meh” overall and outright empty last week – she’s not “impossible”

here, but that 9/5 ML price seems way too low! (3) TUAPEKA JESSIE N would be hard to like “on paper”, but she

has looked a little bit better (subtly) in her last couple – ok bomb for exotics. (3) LYONS MIKI has been struggling

lately, and her overall local slate isn’t much better. (6) WESTERN ROSIE is just 1 for 24 at YR and 0 for 14 the last

2 years – minor spoils only. (8) ITTY BITTY hasn’t been a serious threat for weeks but still takes $$ every week –

at least the price should finally go up!


RACE 7 – (4) PURE SILKY has turned in a trio of sharp efforts (her last line is incorrect, but was definitely a sharp

try), and now gets post relief after being claimed last week – we’ll give her the slight edge over some pretty sharp

foes. (1) HEAVENS SHOWGIRL was an excellent 2nd dropping in for the $50K tag 2 back but wasn’t nearly as

sharp last week – if that “good” version shows back up tonight, she can be very tough from this spot. (6) IDEALINF

UN came to life with a big effort for 2nd three back, then followed that up with a pair of impressive victories – she

may be the sharpest of all, but also has to contend with the tough post. (3) ELISES DELIGHT is one of several from

the barn that have really perked up lately – forgive her last (no chance 8 hole) and look for another sharp try tonight

– at a good price. (5) PARADISE ROCK L is having a good year and has hit board in 5 straight – she catches a very

sharp field, however, and MAY be a notch below a few of the others right now. (2) NUTTINBUTTHEBEST has had

an excellent year, but does show some signs of tailing– leaning more towards others here. (8) TWIST LITTLE GIRL

N ships in from Canada in fine form, but gets stuck all the way outside. (7) BADDITUDE hasn’t looked the same

since the sick scratch on 5/14.


RACE 8 – (4) DP REALORDEAL was an even 4th for his new barn last week – this may be a spot where Brennan

can look to be more aggressive, though he can do damage from off the pace as well – one of a few with a legitimate

chance in here. (1) CASINO ACTION N was well backed for his U.S. debut and rallied well for 3rd – took no $$ and

just toured the oval from Post 8 in his next but opened with $$ last week, and was able to parlay a perfect trip into

his first stateside victory – has to be respected here, even with the slight class bump. (3) BENHOPE RULZ N trailed

all the way from Post 8 last week, likely in anticipation of tonight’s class drop – gets a good draw, and should be

able to be a very live player. (5) SLING SHOCK drops a notch but also has a few solid competitors to his inside – he

has a chance here, but insist on a fair price if using on top. (7) WALKINSHAW N is good right now, but does figure

to be coming from well out of it – may have to settle for a smaller share tonight. (2) MY CARBON COPY N rarely

wins, and even his good pieces usually come vs. easier – didn’t fire at all last week with his owner on board. (8) GA

MBLINGTERROR was surprisingly sharp 2 back (aggressive try for 2nd off a month) but was no threat last week

and now gets stuck with Post 8, up in class. (6) EMINEM HANOVER seems to have leveled off after a few good

recent starts – may need easier.


RACE 9 – (1) MY ULTIMATE BYRON A has the misfortune of having to face the insanely sharp POUND FOR

POUND 3 straight starts and did well to pick up a pair of 2nds and a 3rd– was in a tough spot (in a good field) last

week but lands in a much better scenario for tonight – one of several with a chance in this wide open affair. (3) SHA

KESPEARE had some struggles at times this year but he’s good right now– if things get testy up front, he may have

a chance to trip out and score the upset. (4) GREG THE LEG finally was able to work out a good trip for himself

last week and was a solid 2nd behind the sharp SAVE AMERICA– hard to predict his trip for tonight, but he’ll be a

threat if it’s a good one. (2) MIKITEEN has stepped up his game since the recent barn change, picking up a pair of

2nds and a win – if he works out another good trip (pocket last 3), he can be right in the hunt once more. (5) SANTA

NA HANOVER definitely fits with these, but does have four legitimate players to his inside – still worth using if the

price is generous enough. (6) ADAM CROCKER A turned things around after joining this barn a few months back

and already has 8 wins this year – may have trouble finding a manageable trip from THIS spot, however. (7) ALAB

AMAJAMMA ships in sharp from PA but the 4YO lands in a brutal spot – prefer to just watch, for now. (8) MARL

BANK is the outsider, both literally and figuratively.


RACE 10 – (4) MIDNIGHT THUNDER was bothered (by the eventual winner) when quarter moving last week, got

pressed very hard from the half and only gave way grudgingly late – he already has a couple of wins here this year,

and doesn’t figure to be favored tonight – good value play. (3) RENAISSANCE DEO started his Yonkers career

with 4 straight wins, and then picked up 2nds in 3 of his next 4 starts – the one to beat, but also a pretty short price

looming. (8) ENDOFSTORY wasn’t as sharp in his local debut as he was in NJ, but he was used hard in a strong

field – he should be able to make his presence felt here, even from Post 8. (1) RAYRAY was never close from Post 8

last week but he had a few “sneaky ok” tries just before that – guessing he’ll be better tonight – maybe even for a

piece. (5) DE LA HOYA HANOVER won his last 2 overnight starts, sandwiched around a trio of PA stakes races –

he does seem a bit below the top trio, but a small slice could be possible. (6) FANTOME EN JOIE has a bunch of

solid local tries but wasn’t sharp at all last week, dull at the start and never grabbing the bit after that – he could

rebound, but the poor draw could limit him, even then. (2) PINE BUSH ITALIANO has been better out of town

recently but his 25-0-0-1 local slate is hard to ignore. (7) HURRIKANE HUNTER left at long odds last week and at

least got out of the way of the actual contenders at the half – certainly hard to like his chances from Post 7, tonight.


RACE 11 – Tough race: (4) TWIN B HEART THROB just missed in his last 2 local starts to a couple of classy

competitors (SEMI TOUGH, and LOUS SWEETREVENGE) – he’s won his share of local starts in the past, and

catches a field with some question marks – worth a play here, if the price is solid. (6) METAL MAN is off to a slow

start this year, but he does add Lasix for tonight – not a fan of the 5/2 ML price, but would consider using if the odds

turn out decent. (5) BRUTALLYHANDSOME A endured a brutal trip last week but somehow was still 4th, despite

being out every step of the way – he may be on the cheaper side, but that 12-1 ML price is definitely tempting. (1)

SPORTY M THREE had a great form spree last year that carried him up to the top levels – he tailed dramatically for

a while, then rebounded with a series of solid tries, vs. some more modest competition – he qualified back nicely

after a couple of months off, and perhaps that vacation will serve him well – possibility. (7) LEVINE has struggled

to find the winner’s circle this year but has picked up plenty of good pieces along the way – wouldn’t hesitate to use

him in exotics, at a big price (2) AFLAME HANOVER was a pretty nice horse when a bit younger, but may be

more comfortable vs. a bit easier these days – maybe underneath? (3) SOHO LENNON A has nearly $900K on his

card but it’s going to be rough for the 14YO to get to $1M before mandatory retirement – very sharp looking

qualifier, but hard to say if he’ll be sharp enough for the first start of his farewell campaign. (8) SHADOW CAT

lands all the way outside and that’s going to be tough.


RACE 12 – (3) ICACO HANOVER was a very sharp 2nd in his local debut then followed that up with an excellent

win last week, making several moves and still dead game for the victory – we’ll stay on board. (1) SINBAD N had a

much easier trip than the top choice last week but was still unable to outgame him at the end – needs to find more if

he hopes to knock him off tonight. (2) MIDNIGHT NATION has been a steady player here – the good draw puts

him in the picture for a good piece tonight. (7) FIREARM paced a solid final 3/8ths last week for 4th but gets another

bad draw for tonight – likely looking at only another smaller slice. (6) SURFRIDER was dismal in his last couple

but adds Lasix tonight and that may explain things a bit – minor share? (8) KID FROM THE BRONX has yet to get

untracked this year and another horrible draw isn’t going to help his cause – wait for a better spot. (5) KNOCKIN

OUT probably needs an easier spot to be effective. EURO STEP seems badly overmatched at the moment.

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