Friday Empire Report

soaofny • May 03, 2024

The Empire Report – Friday, May 3, 2024 – Race Analysis

RACE 1 – (2) UNEVERGONNAGETHIS was struggling to find his best form this year but his last couple of efforts

have looked much more encouraging – drops, draws inside, and this feels like a good week to give him a shot. (4)

MISSISSIPPI STORM finished with broken equipment last start but it’s hard to say just how much that might have

hurt his chances – the classy 9YO also gets a class drop tonight and deserves plenty of respect...but may be overbet.

(5) P C FREE WHEELING missed a spot to drop in 3rd and ended up parked last week, still out there battling at 3/4s

despite the hot 1:25.4 clip– she was a winner in both starts before that, and may be sharp enough to do some damage

here, despite moving up in class. (3) AIRMANS JACKPOT shocked at 24-1 last week but it’s not like the race “fell

apart” for her to do so (she was right there all the way, and trotted past a classy leader to win it) – may be good

enough to hang in there with these too, with a similar effort. (1) FIX A DRINK was much improved when 2

nd in his last, and adds Lasix for tonight– he’s also missed 3 weeks, and moves up in class...mixed feelings. (6) ON HIGHER

GROUND just missed in his last pair but the concern is that he’s had some major issues on some turns, and a new

pilot may have some trouble with that tonight. (7) GRINDER is capable at this level, but probably needs a better

spot to be a serious player. (8) KINDA LUCKY LINDY ships in sharp, but draws Post 8 moving well up in class.


RACE 2 – (2) COACHELLABOUND N worked out some bugs a few weeks back and raced well right through the

Matchmaker Series, picking up 2nd in the Final – she’s a versatile sort, and may end up with a better trip tonight than

a couple of her main foes (1) MC ANGEL makes her first try at the Open level and she’s certainly earned it, winning

4 in a row and 7 of 10 this year – she’ll be class-tested tonight, and we’ll see how that works out for her (having the

pole certainly will help). (3) DOUGS BABE A hit board in all 5 Matchmaker legs (1 win), but could only manage a

5th in the Final – she’s been sluggish/lazy all year, and that could hurt her tonight, as well. (5) LIT DE ROSE doesn’t

miss a beat after taking this year’s Matchmaker Final, right back in the box to do battle tonight – she can NEVER be

counted out, but she could be looking at a less than stellar trip tonight...at a short price. (4) SILK CLOUD A was

better in his last than the line looks, but still probably looking at only a smaller piece against these.


RACE 3 – (4) CELIA B MONEY was sent off favored vs. better last week but was driven poorly, used every step of

the way before giving way and tiring badly– she faces much easier now, and could bounce right back with a winning

effort. (1) COMMANDER CATHY N was dull 2 back but rebounded with a close 2nd last week after an easy trip –

steps up a notch, but more than capable of a nice piece here too, with any half-decent trip. (6) BETTER WATCH IT

has been having trouble getting back to her top form from last year but did finish alertly from a tough spot last week

– willing to use her in exotics. (3) GAME OF SHADOWS has been having a decent year, and gets some class relief

– not really a fan of that 3-1 ML price, though! (7) COWGIRL LILLY threw a rare dull one last week but vs. better

– obviously will need plenty of luck starting from Post 7, but a big price makes her worth using underneath. (5) HA

LLELUJAH HANOVER landed on what LOOKED like a winning trip last week, but was outkicked in the lane with

no excuses – maybe a minor share? (2) ELISES DELIGHT has fallen well off her best form (see last week!).


RACE 4 – (3) FANATIC went an even effort from the back on 4/12, his first off the layoff (and adding hopples) for

a new barn – he finished with encouraging late trot in his next, and the classy 8YO may be ready to bring his best

against this fairly modest bunch – worth a shot tonight. (6) STREET GOSSIP remains winless on the year but is a

solid weekly threat at this level – he took off the gate from a bad spot last week, but can have a serious say tonight

with an aggressive steer. (1) TOCCOA FALLS has been a weekly “bet against” in this corner and it’s been a good

strategy – he’s listed at 6/5 tonight (it seems even Bartlett has given up on him), and we’ll try to beat him once more.

(5) BANK BOX TREASURE struggles in PA in his first few starts this year – was a bit better 2 back, then put it all

together vs. a very easy field last week – faces tougher now, but he may be ready to hang with these too (Dube off to

a poor start since returning from an injury, currently at 15-0-0-0). (2) MUFASA AS was empty here for several starts

before throwing a better one in NJ last week (vs. much easier) – maybe a small slice? (4) BAZILLIONAIRE is as

camera shy as they come – minor spoils only. (7) IN MY DREAMS drops to the basement, desperately hoping for

some kind of wake up call.


RACE 5 – (3) SWEETEST BELLE ended her 3YO campaign (late 2023) looking like she was blossoming into a

nice Open mare...things haven’t quite turned out that way, but she lands in a field tonight that she really should be

able to handle...wouldn’t bet the rent money at a short price, however! (2) BIG BIG PLANS raced “ok” vs. better in

her last 2 starts and seems the main danger – her 0 for 26 record over the last 2 years does make it hard to endorse

her on top, at what figures to be a fairly short price! (6) SWEET ALI LOU is the “x factor” in here – she picked up

her first win since 2022 vs. softer at Hoosier last week, and moves to our top barn for her YR debut (while also

getting a pretty significant driver change) – if the tote board suggests she’s a big “go”, it might be a good idea to pay

attention. (1) ANNELIESE HANOVER has always been very “in and out”...but it’s been most “out” so far in 2024

– logical spot to at least look for an improved try. (5) FEAR ABBY was a no factor (but even) 6th in her local debut,

but then empty last week – not writing her off just yet, but also not looking to back her right now. (4) BLUEBIRD

GRAF just hasn’t clicked in her 5 starts since the claim – needs a quick wake up call. (8) NITE TIME DEAL is on

the upswing and ships in sharp from Fhd. – she also lands all the way outside, and was 11-0-0-1 here in 2023. (7) SE

ZANA N would be certainly be a surprise from this spot (11-0-0-0 so far this year).


RACE 6 – (5) GOLDEN QUEST N gets a surprising barn change (considering how successful she’s been for her

previous trainer!) but she does land in one of the sharpest barns around – she’s been razor sharp for weeks, and we’ll

go with her on top tonight. (1) ROCKN PHILLY has always been a streaky kind of mare so it’s no surprise to see

her picking up 3 straight wins (even if helped by a couple of great trips) – she should be full of confidence right now,

and can have another big say tonight...even with the double class bump. (4) EASY TO PLEASE is doing better this

year than she did in 2023, but still hasn’t been able to “bring it” on a weekly basis – her best effort puts her right in

the mix...but be careful about taking too short a price. (3) DELITFULCATHRIN N (in for a tag tonight) is sure to

attract plenty of attention dropping out of the Matchmaker but she’s been known to hit some dry spells in the past,

and definitely doesn’t seem on her best game right now – could be vulnerable. (2) FORGOT THEWALLET A had a

forgettable effort on the lead 2 back but rebounded with a hard charging 4th from well back last week – no reason she

can’t show up late once more, with another easy trip. (6) TWIN B SUNKISSED beat a bit easier last week but that

was on the front end, from a better post – may have some trouble starting from Post 6 against these. (7) REC TIME

tends to lag badly for much of the way...and that could leave her too far back to threaten tonight.


RACE 7 – (3) ULTIMATE SPEED just got unlucky last week when viciously parked by CELIA B MONEY and

gets a total pass for that mile – she’s been a very solid player all year, and very legitimate danger here with any

“normal” trip. (2) FAVORITE BEACH was one of the beneficiaries of the duel that cooked that #3 last week, sitting

in the back and then charging home for 2nd as the leaders folded – she’s another that’s been a weekly player against

these types, and figures to be right in the hunt once more. (5) MISS DOTTIE MAE sat 6th vs. better last week then

finished evenly from a no-chance spot– she drops a notch, and a live trip would put her right into the mix. (1) ARCO

N has been sharpening at Buffalo and will get a bit of a class test in her first local try – we’ll get a clearer picture

after tonight, but she’s certainly one to consider if the price is right. (6) MORNING HAS BROKEN hasn’t been on

top of her game this year, but can still offer a decent late rally with an easy trip - maybe 3rd/4th? (4) PURAMERI

returns off a pair of NJ wins but was struggling vs. much easier in most of her local starts.


RACE 8 – Tough race! (7) MAN DONTFORGET ME was our choice in last week’s Matchmaker Consolation – she

was well backed, but just not up for a tougher trip than expected – she faces an overall softer field tonight, but will

have to deal with a terrible draw – willing to try her again, as long as the price is worthwhile. (3) UPTOWN HANO

VER beat this class 2 back – she got a free ride last week but lost all chance when caught behind an exhausted leader

– definitely worth considering again tonight. (1) OAXACAN DREAM N is very solid at this level, draws inside and

can handle any trip that comes her way – live player. (2) OKINAWA BEACH A may prefer to be in a little easier,

but a good trip from this spot would give her a chance to rally for a piece. (4) CHERYLS SHADOW was handled

very aggressively off the sick scratch/qualifier and came up a little short at the end – could be tighter now, and is one

of several that could be players in here with the right trip. (5) HELLO YES HI was 2nd in this class on 4/5 then raced

ok at this level last week, finishing with belated pace – another hoping to be able to capitalize on a live trip. (6) A

GIRL THAT TWIRLS has picked up 4 seconds from her 6 starts since arriving from Ohio – tough draw tonight.


RACE 9 – (1) FOR A DREAMER has been cursed with bad posts for the last 5 starts and hasn’t had any chance at

all (he was 2nd in NW15000 the last time he drew inside!) – drops, draws the pole, and looms the one to beat. (7) YO

BETH D is the “x factor” – clearly she has no shortage of ability (banked $420K at 2 and 3, in Indiana), but she has

some hard-to-gauge form in KY to start off her 4YO campaign, and draws all the way outside for her YR debut

(now in a new barn, and re-adding Lasix) – perhaps the tote board will help identify her intentions for tonight? (4)

QUIKSILVR BLUECHIP has been tough to gauge from week to week – if the “good” version shows up tonight, he

can definitely be a contender for a piece. (2) INFINITY STONE hasn’t been doing much lately but the class drop

and good draw could help him find a better mile tonight. (6) VOYAGE TO PARIS is another that never seems to

race the same way twice – will his better version show up? (3) WILY WALLY returns off some good tries vs.

cheaper at Chester but his last few local starts were less than stellar. (5) SCUBADAN has been struggling lately, but

it’s a rare opportunity to get a big price on a barn that’s usually heavily backed!


RACE 10 – (3) NO DRAMA PLEASE steps up another peg seeking three in a row and he catches a field filled with

question marks – one more time? (2) HOOLIE N HECTOR hasn’t really found his groove in 2024 and is still

seeking his first victory (in start #10) – maybe the good draw can help him find a live trip? (1) BARRY BLACK

would normally be a solid player from a spot like this but he hasn’t raced in a month and has to be viewed as risky,

at best! (5) WARRIOR ONE has been struggling in a lot of his starts recently, including that last disaster in PA –

he’s eligible to turn things around ANY week and find the form that makes him an Open trotter...but do you want to

HOPE that it’s tonight, when he’s listed as the 9/5 ML choice? (4) KASHA V seems to have been helped since

recently adding hopples but it’s hard to say if he needs easier at this point to do his best damage. (7) FULL RIGHTS

gets an important drop but that may be offset by the terrible draw– good bomb for 3rd/4th. (6) THE LAST CHAPTER

made an uncharacteristic break last week and while he did recover (and somehow hold on to 2nd), we’re going to shy

away from him tonight.

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