Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • December 12, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, December 12, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (3) ADAM TWELVE started his local career with a head loss but has since rattled off 4 straight

wins, including 2 at this level - hard to go past right now (as he still fits this same class), but the price will

continue to drop even lower. (8) BOILING OAR was unable to rally last week when caught in a very fast

mile (off the claim), but if Kakaley can manage to improve his position at the start tonight, he may be able

to add some value to the exotics. (5) BLANK STARE took advantage of last week's class drop and easy trip

to score as the favorite - steps up one notch but this level is still well within his comfort zone - chance to

land somewhere on the ticket. (6) ALLUNEEDISFAITH N missed some time after being scratched lame on

10/17 but had a very useful tightener last week - chance to make some noise here if he can build off that

effort. (7) LOUS BEACH is sharp right now for a hot barn but will need plenty of trip luck to be part of the

action from out here. (4) KINGSVILLE didn't fire last week but is capable of better - maybe 3rd/4th? (2)

GAMBLINGTERROR has some good efforts lately but does seem to need a bit easier (1) CRUNCH TIME

A suddenly fell apart last winter, missed a long time, and doesn't seem capable at this level right now.


RACE 2 - Excellent NW6 field! (5) BLAZING BANNER N qualified sharply at Fhd. for his U.S. debut.

then was sent off at 2/5 for his first stateside start (in NJ) - he raced well but came up 2nd best to a horse

that came back to win again this week - one of a few pretty nice horses with a chance to come out on top

tonight. (1) BUGABOO LOU earned six figures at 2 and while his 3YO campaign wasn't as strong as his

connections would have liked, he did take on the top colts all year with some success - he won from Post 8

in his only local try, and clearly deserves plenty of respect from the pole tonight. (4) BLUE HUNT is a

talented colt, but tends to be a bit lazy - Bartlett seems to have him figured out, and it should help getting

our leading pilot back on board tonight - very legitimate threat. (6) ALTA CLASSIC A has thrived at PRc

since arriving from Australia, more than holding his own against some OPEN horses - he surely fits with

these, but also catches a much tougher NW6 field than his connections probably envisioned when they

dropped in the box - willingly to consider on top if the price is good enough. (3) HUNTING ZONE is

having a solid year, but does seem a bit overmatched vs. the top ones. (2) VICI was a winner in his YR

debut but takes a big step up tonight - not sure he's ready for these. (7) CERULEAN HANOVER lands the

worst post in a stacked field as he arrives from PA - just observing, for now.


RACE 3 - (2) TERACITA beat these handily two times in a row and it might have been three had she not

been hopelessly trapped in the pocket last week - gets to make amends tonight. (8) FLIP THE SCRIPT may

be ignored in the wagering tonight (20-1 ML) but she owns two recent wins at this level, and shown that

she CAN leave from the outside, if asked - maybe can spice up the exotics a bit? (6) CASIES BELIEVER

was a solid 4th two back and didn't have much stretch room in her last - could outrace her odds tonight with

some trip luck, and perhaps land somewhere on the ticket. (1) LADYBELUCKYTONITE was the 2nd

straight horse from the barn to sit pocketed behind FEELING RED HOT then run her down in the lane -

faces a much tougher assignment tonight, but she's looking at another good trip, and a chance at a decent

piece. (3) BELLATRICKS tired in the lane last week but that mile may still serve as a useful tightener after

a LONG layoff - willing to throw in for 3rd/4th, hoping she's a little sharper tonight. (5) BRONZE OVER

N was no factor shipping in from Stga. but seems capable of better- another to consider for minor spoils.

(7) BROOKDALE JESSIE was actually pretty good last week but she's 0 for 67 over the last 2 years and

the move outside figures to really hurt. (4) VICIOUS CIRCLE was scratched sick on 11/7 after a poor try

and hasn't looked sharp since returning - prefer others right now.


RACE 4 - (2) ROCK DIAMONDS resurrected his career after hooking up with the Super Siblings and has

held form remarkably well all year long - he jogged 2 back, was a strong 2nd best to the classy SEMI TO

UGH last week, and has to be seen as a major threat tonight. (5) PHOENIX OF FLUZZY has held form

beautifully in his current form spree, continuing to race very well even as he climbs the class ladder - sharp

enough right now to go with these, and absolutely worth considering if the price is fair (1) FORTIFY would

be considered the one to beat from this spot IF on his best game, but he definitely wasn't that sharp in his

last pair - could easily bring that "A Game" tonight and beat these, but still a little risky at the moment. (3)

JIMMY CONNOR B seems a notch below the main players in here but the good draw does give him a shot

at a small piece. (4) NINETEENTH MAN A has been pretty solid at Plainridge, but may need to be in a bit

easier to strut his best stuff - minor share? (6) BENHOPE RULZ N had a series of very good starts but may

be starting to tail just a bit - the bad draw certainly won't help. Both (7) STRAIGHT UP COOL and (8) SA

MHARA N should both appreciate the class drops they'll likely be getting for NEXT week- pass for tonight.


RACE 5 - (3) SUGAR BRITCHES has 2 wins and a 2nd in her 3 starts in this class, and gets post relief

tonight (after winning her last from Post 7) - she faces a few very legitimate rivals tonight, but still deserves

the narrow call. (4) LOVE THAT SMILE has been good for a while so that 8-1 winning payoff last week

really was an overlay - if she lands on another beautiful trip tonight, she does have a chance to take another.

(1) BETTERB CHEVRON N dropped in for the $50K tag 2 back and promptly delivered the wire to wire

score as the 3/5 choice- finished well from a no-chance spot in her last, and obviously can be a major threat

tonight with the move all the way inside. (2) LINE EM UP just missed 2nd last week after trying to knife

between horses into the stretch - she hasn't won in a while, but still belongs in your exotics. (6) BETTER

DOUBLE FLIP has only one Yonkers win, and it was by a nose (against a much softer field) - tough post,

and likely looking at only a minor share for tonight. (7) LOOKATMYART has proven she can beat these

but draws poorly after a disastrous speed try, and figures to be handled very conservatively here. (8) QUAR

REL also performed poorly when handled aggressively last week and will likely sit back and hope to tally

for a small check tonight. (5) WOODMERE HARRIET feels like she's in a little steep with these.


RACE 6 - (6) CAPTAIN MAX HENRY arrived from the Michigan Fairs and promptly buried a field at

Chester by 13 lengths in 1:52.1 - was sold after that start, missed 23 days to his next race and came up a

little short as the heavy choice at The Swamp, but was still 3rd in 1:51.3....pretty hard to go past him here.

(3) LYONS TREACHEROUS was purchased by our leading barn and the 2YO promptly picked up his first

career victory in PA - if anybody has a chance to knock off the top choice, it would be this guy. (7) TOMM

Y THREE STICKS made breaks in his first 2 local tries but re-qualified and did well in his last, saving his

best for last and kicking home strong in the lane to rally for a close 2nd - if he continues to behave, there's a

good chance he can handle the others. (5) ISLE COACH tired after an early three wide move in NJ in his

first start after arriving from Illinois - may prove better than the rest of these. (8) FUN MUNKY is 1 for 31

lifetime but did hit board in 12 other starts- chance for minor spoils, even from out here (1) FERRAGAMO

HANOVER was sent off at over 100-1 off the long layoff and finished distanced in NJ - suppose he can be

at least a bit more competitive tonight. (2) HELSINKI qualified poorly after being away since August -

prefer to just watch, for now. (4) BANGIN is a 2YO that showed little in a pair of out of town preps.


RACE 7 - (5) CENTURY INSPECTOR is hard to "love" (1 for 18 this year) but he's finished right behind

some pretty nice horses with regularity, and this is just a much easier spot - no excuses tonight. (4) EL YER

NO showed a few good efforts this summer before going on the shelf in July - resurfaces now in a new barn

and in typical Dynamic Duo fashion, crushed in his Fhd. qualifier - we'll see if he's ready to contend right

off the bat. (3) UNDER YOUR SCARS lacked room in the stretch last week and may have had more than

he was able to show - chance for a piece in here. (6) COALFORD BET ALINE finished well arriving from

Stga. last week and a good trip could see him grab another good slice tonight. (7) CLEVELAND B MIKI

fits with these but may be relegated to trying to rally from last...and that could limit the damage he can do

tonight. (2) CHIEF CORLEONE had a win and a 2nd here at the NW2 level but the main players in here

are better than he's used to - hard to say how well he fits with these. (1) ALWAYS A WAY shows ok form

at Stga. but probably vs. quite a bit easier.


RACE 8 - (2) SALE EL SOL has 9 wins this year and 4 have come pretty recently at this $50K level - she's

looking at a much easier trip with the move inside tonight, and loons the one to beat. (1) COMMANDER

CATHY N won 2 back but is generally camera shy - never a bad one to use underneath, though, especially

from a good spot like this. (3) PURAMERI has enjoyed some success of her own at this level, and another

good draw puts her in play for another nice piece. (6) MC ANGEL has really benefited from some great

draws recently but is sharp enough to race well even from this much more difficult spot - worth using in

exotics. (8) GOLDEN QUEST N turned in a better one last week but may see her momentum thwarted (at

least temporarily), after getting stuck behind the 8 ball tonight. (5) ROLL WITH SHORTY went from a

mare that literally could NEVER win, to a mare that hasn't lost in 7 straight starts - the move up to 50s puts

that streak in major danger, however! (4) ROCKNROLL ANNIE faltered on the lead last week and faces a

tougher scenario for tonight - leaning elsewhere. (7) ITTY BITTY has 3 duds since returning to Yonkers.


RACE 9 - Good race: (1) AINTNOHOLLABACKGRL hasn't gone a bad mile since changing barns in

Oct. and that includes some tough trips and spots - may benefit from others taking shots at each other

tonight, and then use her good late kick to rally by late. (3) BLUEBIRD GRAF finished 2nd after cutting

the mile in her YR debut then was a sharp front end winner in her last (over #1) - remains a very legitimate

threat. (2) SWEET SANDY LOU has been a very steady player at this level and just missed after a game

front end try last week - very possible here if the trip goes her way. (6) PARADISE ROCK L just missed

vs. the 50s four starts back and has held her own with better mares since then - takes a somewhat suspicious

drop to 20s tonight, and it's hard to say if it's a red flag, or just her connections looking to pick up win late

in the year (while she still carries her 4YO allowance). (5) ICARUS FALLS N disappointed off the claim 2

back but was claimed again and raced much better last week - retains Gingras, and would really be no

surprise at all. (4) PLZDONTLIETOME N has been a little better in her last couple but this is a much

tougher field and she loses Jordan S. tonight. (8) BETTORSHIGHLIGHT N has had success in this class

but really seems up against it from Post 8 (7) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN won her last at Fhd. but she's

really struggled locally.


RACE 10 - (1) ROCKMELIKEYAMEANIT was favored here vs. better on 11/7 (arriving from Hoosier to

his current barn) but couldn't make it last on the lead - has 3 good starts out of town since then, and gets

class relief, the pole, and switch to Bongiorno for his YR return - figures to be pretty tough here despite

taking on older foes. (2) C BET HANOVER was scary sharp in that blowout win here on 11/17 but unable

to replicate that effort in his last pair - should be able to have a big say tonight from what figures to be a

very good spot. (3) MIND HUNTER raced better than expected from Post 8 last week...a similar effort

could land him another good chunk here. (6) TOPVILLE SOMROCKET had been going through a rough

patch before finding a couple of better efforts 2 and 3 back - reverted to his lesser form in his last, however,

and it's hard to guess which version we'll see tonight. (4) HOUND ON THE BEACH raced ok here a few

times this year but may be returning to a bit tougher spot than he'd like. (5) HEZA REAL DIAMOND ships

in with some solid NJ form but vs. cheaper- another that may find this spot just a little bit rough (7) MACH

N CHEESE has had trouble getting this year as the 8YO has only raced 7X (yielding only one 2nd) - tough

draw, and leaning towards others. (8) FRANCO NANDOR N has raced well here a number of times but

faces an uphill task trying to get in play from out here.


RACE 11 - (8) BRUE HANOVER is only 3 years old but he's recently been banging heads with tough

older OPEN pacers in PA and more than holding his own - obviously not an ideal spot for his Hilltop debut,

but still could be worth a play at the right price. (1) DEETZY has been on a form spree for what feels like

forever - he can't just win at will (as he was doing vs. the 50s) but he's still a weekly player, and did beat

this class 2 back - has a shot to do it again. (6) WHATS STANLEY GOT A has been unreliable lately but

he adds Lasix tonight and that may answer some questions - he's a solid Open player when on his best

game, and surely worth considering tonight if the price is decent (as it should be). (2) BUDDY HILL would

look better in a bit easier but the classy 7YO can still grab himself a nice piece from this inside slot. (4) WI

CHITA LINEMAN was in an impossible spot last week (8 hole up in class) but this is a more realistic

scenario- a good trip could land him a piece. (5) ORLANDO BLUE A has done good things since returning

from PcD but he may be pushing his limits a bit at this NW20000 level. (7) BRAEVIEW BONDI A wasn't

quite as sharp stepping up to this level last week and now draws outside - bad spot. (3) DONTBOTHERME

NONE A is one of several shipping in for this barn tonight - he does seem overmatched, though.


RACE 12 - (6) ALWAYS B MIMI has been facing WAY better than these lately and did rattle off 3 in a

row vs. the 25s this summer before moving up to face tougher - tonight's drop should really perk her up. (2)

FEELIN RED HOT was a great odds-on favorite to play against the last 2 starts and she failed to hang on

both times- maybe she can stagger home in front tonight, but she's still a good one to try against. (4) ODDS

ON UNICORN is a little better than her lines might suggest - reasonable longshot to consider. (8) PLEASU

RE SEEKER is camera shy and starts from Post 8, but she's often at least in the hunt and is another viable

bomb for longshot. (1) PRAY THE ROSARY gets major post relief but will still need to be a lot better to

threaten for the top slot. (7) NORMANS MADELINE may be the "queen of the form reversal" but would

be a major shock if she could just turn it around from this spot. (3) LINCOLNS GIRL N has missed 25

days since being scratched. (5) EVAS SPORTS CZECH seems unlikely to say the least.

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