Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • November 29, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, November 29, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (3) REDBANK BLAZE A beat similar field at PcD last week and does seem pretty good right

now - he lands in a fairly modest field for his Hilltop return, and may be able to pick up another victory. (6)

ROCKATHON easily handled cheaper 2 back, then was 2nd in this class last week behind a winner that can

race at much higher levels - definitely worth a look at that 12-1 ML price. (2) VIVA LAS VEGAS N just

missed at this level 3 back, then was a decent 3rd last week - draws well, and could land himself a spot in

the exotics. (1) ALEX TYE was struggling for some time but dropped way down and was able to pick up

wins in his last pair - he may have built enough confidence for a chance to beat these too, but it just seems

like others may offer better value for the top slot. (4) CAPTAIN SLEAZE got lost at the back from Post 8

last week but was a solid 4th 2 back, after a first over trip - definitely a chance to race better than that 10-1

price might suggest. (7) JUDDY DOUGLAS A showed plenty of promise when 2nd to MACH N CHEESE

in his U.S. debut but he was scratched sick the next week, and now lands Post 7 off 3 weeks - definitely a

bit risky at the moment. (5) LEVINE seemed to really be sharpening but had no excuses 2 back, then was

dull in his last - feels like he may be heading in the wrong direction right now. (8) BARON MICHAEL beat

cheaper last week - he may be able to hang with these too, but probably not from way out here.


RACE 2 - (7) MR DS ROCK is used to facing A LOT tougher than these - he had a recent rough patch in

PA but returns to YR at the bottom level off a win at PcD (as the odds on choice) and we'll look for him to

build off that, and handle these too. (3) MANKAT got class relief last week but landed on a tough trip in a

quick mile and could only pick up a 4th - drops to the bottom here, and should be able to make his presence

felt a lot more. (1) BECHERS BROOK A hails from a very potent trainer/driver team but got beat from a

similar spot last week with no excuses - using underneath only. (4) JB MAUNEY N has just one win and

no 2nds from his 13 local starts but still seems better than a bunch of these - willing to include on the

bottom of exotics. (2) SOUTHWIND MOROCCAN picked up a nice 2nd three back but hasn't done much

else this year - maybe he can hang around close enough for a minor share? (6) TOPVILLE OLYMPIAN is

just 1 for 23 this year and winless in his 16 local starts (with just one 2nd) - needs to be better for a chance

at even a small share. (8) GET E UP did well in Illinois at 2 and 3 but he's a 3YO facing older in his first

local try while also landing Post 8 - inclined to wait for an easier spot. (5) GOTAFOOLISHDESIRE seems

to be heading in the wrong direction right now.


RACE 3 - Tough race: (2) PAIGES GIRL was a winner in this class 4 back and finished decently in her last

pair for smaller pieces - may be able to trip out from this spot, and rally by in the lane. (6) LOOKATMYA

RT shows a win and a 2nd just recently at Chester and now returns to Yonkers, where she's put together a

terrific 20-4-6-3 season (so far) - not a great post, but that 8-1 ML listing makes her worth a good look here

(5) HEAVENISSOFARAWAY raced much better last week, even though only rallying for 4th - she has a

shot to improve even more tonight, but that 5/2 ML price does make her less attractive for a wager! (1)

ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX put together an excellent form spree that carried her all the way up to this

level (where she continued to race well for weeks) - she does seem to be tailing, however, and we'll find out

for sure tonight....where she'll have every chance to race well thanks to the draw. (8) SHELLIE DE VIE

will be moving up in class while also landing the worst post - that would normally make her a "pass", but

she's legitimately sharp right now, and should at least be considered if the price is juicy. (3) BALFAST N

has been a little tough to predict from week to week these days - leaning towards others, but wouldn't be

shocked if she raced well here. (4) ENGLISH ROSE N had some excuses recently but she simply came up

empty last week - prefer others right now. (7) CORAL BELLA seems to need a class drop - the terrible

draw certainly isn't going to help perk her up.


RACE 4 - (5) WE SHALL SEA was handled conservatively in his local debut but was full of pace in the

back coming to the wire (with no room to stretch his legs) - he'll be a good price here, and he figures to be

handled more aggressively this time....not a bad value play tonight. (3) PINE BUSH ITALIANO shipped in

from Monti after going 4 for 4 to start his career and extended that streak to 5 with last week's easy victory

- he's clearly the one to beat, but he'll be a very short price and may be a little vulnerable if the trip ends up

a little tougher. (6) C BET HANOVER was used hard to make the lead last week, and was trying to battle

on with #3 when he broke on the final turn - definitely would include underneath in exotics, hoping for a

little easier trip. (4) HURRIKANE MON AMI seemed to have trouble grabbing the bit last week but after

looking all done on the rim, did manage to rally a bit in the lane for 3rd - ok for 3rd/4th tonight. (2) A ROC

KNROLL STAR is the unknown factor in here - he's been 1st or 2nd in 16 of his 36 career starts but those

were in the UK...and it's hard to know how that form will translate against the locals - hopefully the tote

board might offer some hints. (7) HES SPECIAL saved ground and paced home evenly for 4th last week in

his local debut - not sure he can get in play from out here, though. (1) WHAT ABOUT BOB is 1 for 41 in

his career, and 13-0-0-0 here at Yonkers - hard to like his chances, even from the pole. (8) TERRE HAUTE

was 12-0-0-2 in Indiana to start his career - lands in a top barn for his local debut, but that Monti qualifier

isn't all that encouraging - he adds Lasix, but we'll just observe tonight from Post 8.


RACE 5 - (1) VELOCITY KOMODO will get to control the action from this spot and he's capable of

beating better than these - good chance he can be a (very) short priced winner tonight. (2) CAVIART REA

GAN was an "ok" 3rd last week but he's eligible to be sharper tonight (in his 2nd start after shipping up

from KY) - may complete a pretty short exacta. (3) ONE OFF DELIGHT A shows a mixed bag of recent

efforts but the real duds have come from terrible posts - should be able to be part of the equation with the

good inside draw. (5) THE REAL ONE drops once again but he's just not on his game right now - he's

eligible to reverse form at any time, but we still prefer others a bit more at the moment (4) ST LADS BEAT

IT has gone plenty of big efforts here but he's also prone to clunkers at any time - he seems ready to do

some damage off the recent freshening, but his racing style may leave him with a tough trip here - will still

include underneath. (7) SHANWAY N does his best work one level down - he CAN hang with these, but

probably needs a much better post to be a serious player....maybe a small piece? (6) KEY ADVISOR found

some form at the lower levels in PA recently, but this is a much tougher bunch and the outside draw won't

help his chances. (8) ON THE VIRG seems unlikely to find his way into contention from out here.


RACE 6 - (7) AMERICAN BOY N almost beat these 2 back when dropping out of the $40K claimers

(weakened at end after cutting the mile) then charged home for 2nd at PcD last week after sitting 8th most

of the way - will need some major trip luck from out here, but he's still worth a look at that 12-1 ML price

in this "iffy" looking field. (5) ODDS ON PICK SIX was unable to sustain his first over bid in his YR

debut last week but he drops a peg for tonight, and seems capable of better. (3) HERRICKROOSEVELT N

would have been the clear choice against these had he not been scratched sick from last, and missed a

month - may still beat these, but hard to take a short price under the circumstances. (1) MOONLIGHT SHA

DOW banked over $100K this year but his current form is shaky, at best - gets a big drop and draws the

pole so an aggressive try is expected....but he's another that would be tough to take too short a price with.

(4) DECOY tried it on the front end the last 2 weeks and wilted in the lane - maybe he can finish better

racing off a helmet tonight? (8) HES ELECTRIC had good life finishing last start but he faces an uphill

battle from Post 8 tonight - ok bomb for 3rd/4th. (2) ROLL WITH JR just hasn't been good lately, and will

need a wake up call to be any kind of player...even with the inside draw. (6) GOTTA MINUTE N lands in a

new barn upon arrival from Dover - we'll just watch, for now.


RACE 7 - (4) LOUIE THE HORSE N banged out a pair of sharp front end wins over cheaper but has also

held his form in the last couple of starts when bumped up to this higher level - he's one a of a few with a

legitimate chance to take this, but we'll give him a slight edge. (1) ROLLING WITH SAM weakened last

week but he was first over on an off track, against a couple of sharp rivals - looking at an easier trip tonight,

with a chance at a much better outcome. (5) ROCKAPELO was looking good since that 10/14 qualifier but

the victory 2 back was followed by a bit of a dud last week - hard to say if it was just a blip, or if he may be

starting to go the other way - we'll learn more tonight. (7) GOTHIC ROCK got sharp and became a very

solid $40K claimer lately - he can probably handle the move to NW20000, but the outside draw may make

it tough for him to prove it tonight - still worth including in exotics at that 20-1 ML price. (3) CAN B PERF

ECT fits with these on his best, but he's made breaks in 2 of his last 3 starts and has to be seen as pretty

risky at the moment. (8) FOREVER FAV hasn't won lately but he's certainly been consistent - he'd have

been one of the top choices with an inside post, but he may have a hard time getting close enough to the

action from Post 8. (2) COALITION HANOVER likely needs easier to be a serious threat, but at least the

inside draw gives him a chance to tow along for a minor check. (6) SARANAC BLUE CHIP is a hard

hitter, but at lower levels - seems in a bit too steep tonight.


RACE 8 - (6) EXPLOIT was well meant in his YR return 2 back but was wiped out in the pocket by the

breaking frontrunner - caught a hot 1:52.2 mile last week, and can be forgiven for only being able to take

home a 3rd place check...this might be a spot that's right up his alley. (1) ROLLWITHPAPAJOE earned

$410K in his career but the homebred only picked up $8K of that this season - his last couple suggest he

may finally be coming around, and he couldn't have drawn any better - dangerous tonight. (7) BAMSKI has

been invisible for a long time but he was claimed last week by a small outfit that does sometimes perk up a

fresh one, and that 20-1 ML price does look tempting - consider? (3) PINEBUSH LIFESAVER has raced

"ok" in most of recent starts, usually for minor shares - gets Bartlett tonight, and does have a chance at a

little better prize tonight. (4) SWEET N FAST N hasn't really been clicking for a while, and his barn seems

to have cooled lately as well - prefer others for the top slots. (8) AMERICAN WAY continues to draw

terribly and may find himself too far back for any kind of decent piece - he DOES fit with these, but just

keeps drawing outside. (2) DCOTOR BUTCH is 10-0-1-0 here over the past 2 years and hard to endorse,

even from this good post. (5) MY ULTIMATE STAR A was pretty weak in his U.S. debut and the addition

of Lasix for his 2nd start didn't seem to help - waiting for some better signs before recommending.


RACE 9 - (7) RB has done good work since arriving from Michigan, and he has enough speed to at least

improve position at the start (if not make the top) - worth using even from out here, as long as the price is

fair. (5) HP LIS SHADOW can be a quirky horse to drive so it was no real surprise to see him make a break

with Dube subbing last week - he goes back to Bartlett for tonight, and the ability is definitely there - not a

fan of that 2-1 ML price, though! (1) LOUS BEACH is definitely a bit camera shy (2 for 27 overall, 1 for

13 here at Yonkers) but he does figure to be in the hunt for a good chunk with the rail draw - include in

exotics. (4) GREG THE LEG was better last week in his 2nd start off the layoff - if he improves even just a

bit more, he'll have a shot to be in the hunt for a nice piece of this. (2) BRUMBY had a solid season in the

Maritimes, and lands in a strong local barn for his YR debut - would be no surprise if he fit well with these

NW4 types. (3) VEL LARRY is another new addition for this barn that'll be making his local debut - prefer

to just watch for now. (6) BRAZEN BRAZILIAN wasn't a bad 4th returning to YR last week but he's 0 for

57 over the last 2 years, and draws outside tonight - sticking with others. (8) LETMECALLYOUBACK is

just 1 for 22 this year and gets stuck behind the 8 ball upon arrival from PA.


RACE 10 - (3) JIVE DANCING A has been racing well vs. better and should appreciate moving to this

$50K claiming class - assuming she's 100%, she has a solid chance to come out on top. (1) CAVIART

CHERIE didn't appreciate her time up at Plainridge but she returns to Yonkers where she won her last 2

starts - draws best, and the guess is that she'll bounce back to her better form. (7) DRAGONS LUCKY

LADY had a terrific year at 3, but took a while to get going as a 4YO - she seemed to finally be hitting her

stride recently so it's a bit of a surprise to see her drop in for the tag, especially after winning last week -

hard to know if a wheel might have come off after that last start! (5) SHECOULDBEGOOD N makes her

first local start of the year and shows good out of town form right now - she'll probably attract attention for

her new trainer/driver combination, but note that she was 9-0-1-0 here in 2021, and just 1 for 27 in 2020-21

- at least demand a good price if she's your selection. (8) WOODMERE SKYROLLER has come back

around after a prolonged rough patch - not sure she'll be able to make too much noise from this terrible

post, though. (4) VELOCITY MCSWEETS was tiring into the snail-like 3/4s last week, making it hard to

believe that she still lasted for 3rd - suppose she could come up sharper tonight, but she's sure to attract

some $$, and just seems a little risky. (2) LINCOLNS GIRL draws nicely arriving from PA but does look a

bit cheap for these. (6) ITS MESMERISE N took a month off and requalified after throwing a pair of total

duds off the claim - we'll just watch her first start for a new trainer tonight.

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