Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • November 30, 2022

The Empire Report - Wednesday, November 30, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (6) ENZO DK was just 2 for 30 over the last two years in Europe but he qualified nicely for his

U.S. debut then absolutely jogged (at Chester) in his first stateside start - gets a big switch to Bartlett for his

YR debut, and we'll hop on board his bandwagon. (3) BLUEBIRD JESSE wasn't bad in his first try for a

new barn last week, cutting the mile then holding for 3rd behind a pair of very solid foes - drops down from

the 50s, and figures to have a big say here. (2) BRECKENRIDGE was a big earner in Indiana at 2 and 3 but

has suffered the "4YO Blues" this year, winning just once in 23 starts - moves to a barn that often does well

with these, and may be a perfect fit here....but that 2-1 ML price makes it hard to use him on top (no value).

(4) BIG CHARLIE MORAN perked up with a better one 2 back then made a big move in his last before

(understandably) flattening - he was definitely still hard to steer, however, and that could hurt in this solid

field. (5) NEW HEAVEN still picks up plenty of pieces (even against better), but has clearly lost a step or

two this year - willing to include underneath. (1) FULL RIGHTS just reversed form last week to score at

25-1 off the pocket trip - faces much better here, and we'll wait for him to prove that he can handle it before

becoming "believers". (7) PETERS ROYALTY ships in for a barn that always does well with these, but

lands in a terrible spot for his local debut.


RACE 2 - (2) TS RAIDER has a win and a pair of 3rds since arriving at Yonkers and is clearly a perfect fit

in this class - he'll be a better price this week, and may be able to get the job done this time. (3) COLD

CREEK FELIPE shocked at 45-1 from Post 7 two back then for an encore, scored at 25-1 from Post 8 last

week -- pretty hard to ignore him at this point, but his price will also come WAY down now (especially

moving inside) - hard to leave him off your tickets, though! (7) ROCKYTOP OH OH took a little while to

figure out but he's hitting on all cylinders right now, and does have a shot to beat these even from Post 7 -

as long as he can find some racing luck - absolutely worth including. (5) ARTIST BEST usually has a good

move in him but he seems to always come up short at the end - good one to use underneath. (1) PBR STRE

ET GANG never liked racing here but did find much better form out of town recently - hard to gauge his

return try last week (bad post off a bad date), so it's definitely possible that he could race better tonight. (6)

STILL THIRSTY wasn't bad last time but he lands another tough post and may need a better spot to be a

serious player again. (4) ALWAYS B SWEET just seems a bit below the main players in here.


RACE 3 - (5) TESLA SEELSTER was getting a major class drop last week but Stratton never pulled the

right line and she was left with no chance - drops all the way to the bottom level here, and it would be hard

to imagine Stratton not being more aggressive tonight - we'll try her again. (1) MY BOY CHRISTIAN

finished with some trot in his last pair in PA, and certainly has the speed in his arsenal to take advantage of

the rail draw returning to YR - figures to be a solid player from this spot. (6) LEVITATION appears to have

benefited from a brief freshening and he can compete against (much) better than these when on his game -

absolutely worth considering if the price is decent. (4) EMPEREURTHEBEST FR dropped down to this

level last week, was well backed but couldn't sustain his first over bid once into the final turn, tiring in the

stretch - he's more than eligible to show up sharper tonight and beat these, but there just seems to be better

value with a few of the others. (2) MUSCLE STAR is usually in the mix at this level but his 1 for 30 record

this year makes him hard to consider for more than a smaller piece. (3) TIDQUIST seemed totally

disinterested for most of the way last start but did find some much better life at the very end - maybe he can

rally for a small slice tonight? (8) STICK WITH ME KID was terrific here earlier in the year but hasn't

seen that kind of form in months - he just switched trainers and may start to improve...but this doesn't seem

the spot for it. (7) TORKIL doesn't figure to be able to make much noise from all the way out here.


RACE 4 - (1) IDEALINFUN shipped up from KY and was a nice winner at Chester last week, brushing to

the lead, letting her main rival go past the half then coming back on late to beat her - Bartlett takes her over

the other shipper (and main player), so we'll trust his judgment and go with her on top. (3) IVORY HANO

VER shows efforts up North that would make her a good fit her and her new connections just paid $70K for

her at the sale - she's missed some time, however, and Bartlett does opt for #1....still, worth using. (4) JE

TAIME N has been very consistent lately including last week, when she really lacked the room do finish

any higher - could be next in line should both of the fresh faces falter. (5) CATIE FAYE HANOVER landed

on a live trip last week and rallied well for 2nd - another live journey could help her grab a piece tonight,

too. (7) CLEAR THE WAY definitely fits with these but she seems to need an inside slot to be a serious

player - maybe 3rd/4th from out here? (2) MADELYNN SOPHIA was a blowout winner at Monti last week

but her couple of tries here in the past were less than stellar - we'll see if she can do better this time around.

(6) CHILLIN BYTHE POOL woke up and was a form reversing winner 2 back, but reverted to her lesser

form last week - hard to use tonight with the outside draw. (8) BLUEBERRY SHAKE will be coming from

too far back to have any real impact here.


RACE 5 - (3) X O X O has enjoyed a strong 4YO campaign, and that includes a nice 2nd three back

behind the streaking GREY, in the FM Open Trot - she should really appreciate the move into claimers, and

Dube has plenty of options with the good draw - we'll give her a shot to beat her older male rivals. (7) IN

MY DREAMS was in an impossible spot the first start off the claim but he went a strong effort last week,

coming up 2nd best to a sharp rival after cutting the mile - has a shot even from Post 7, with any half

decent trip. (5) CREDIT CON was ok in both starts since the recent barn change, and is another that could

benefit from the move to claimers tonight - include in exotics. (1) ALL CHAMPY wasn't bad at Fhd. last

week despite the bad date, and exiting a barn that was winning at nearly 40% - draws best, has speed, and

can be a player from start to finish. (4) MUFASAAS didn't fire at all last week after a series of good efforts

- he can rally for a piece if he bounces right back to his better form. (8) LINDSEYS PRIDE is just 1 for 21

here this year but he hit board in 9 of those losses - he actually has some good recent tries from bad posts,

and isn't a bad bomb for a small slice. (2) R HERBIE BLUE CHIP picked up a 4th at this level last week

but still seems a little cheaper than many of the players in here. (6) EPOS OSTERVANG DK can be pretty

unreliable, and the outside draw makes it harder to like his chances tonight.


RACE 6 - (3) ROSE RUN X CON was a game winner 3 back, just lost to a very sharp rival in his next,

then was an excellent 3rd last week (despite being used hard AND having to avoid a pair of tangled rivals

heading to 3/4s) - faces some solid foes in here, but he may be the sharpest right now. (2) MARBANK RO

AD has been facing some pretty tough competition lately so this move to claimers should benefit him - he

draws inside, and could be a serious player. (4) CAPTAIN HANOVER was in the midst of a major back

side blitz last week when he hooked wheels with SHIP WRECK BEACH K, taking both of them out of the

race - he definitely has some ability, and can be a threat if he steers a little better tonight (was hot, and on a

line earlier, as well). (8) SHIP WRECK BEACH K had finished 1st in 6 straight before hooking wheels on

the lead last week and losing all chance (after making the top from Post 8 to the quarter) - he can never be

counted out, but he draws another 8 hole and may run into a tougher journey this week. (5) THOR AND

DR JONES has raced well more often than not lately - not sure he can threaten for the top prize, but he

definitely has a chance to land in the exotics. (1) DROWNS THE WHISKEY wasn't bad shipping in from

Monti, pacing home evenly for 4th after an easy trip - draws best again, and may be able to pick up another

small share. (7) SPORTS ADVISOR is a bit sharper than his lines might look, but figures to be limited by

the draw tonight. (6) BORN A REBEL seems to far off form to consider here.


RACE 7 - (5) WAITFOREVER N has been on the lead 4X at Yonkers and got her picture taken each time

(with a career best 1:53.2 last week) - seems like a real possibility that she'll get there again tonight...with a

chance to pick up another win. (3) COMMANDER CATHY N had been on a very good roll before failing

to get involved last start - moves inside, and could easily rebound with another sharp try. (7) MABALENE

N has 4 starts in this country and won 3 of them, losing all chance in the other after a first turn miscue -

took a month off after her last win before re-qualifying at Monti, so it's hard to be certain just how sharp

she'll be tonight....but couldn't blame anybody looking to take a shot with her if the price is right. (4) PULL

ME THROUGH is just 1 for 24 this year but she just qualified nicely and does through some good ones -

decent bomb to throw in underneath. (2) AMERICAN HALO hit board in 7 straight but she's been away for

3 weeks and is moving up in class tonight - may have to settle for a smaller share. (1) JACANA just hasn't

clicked since joining her current barn on 9/27 and Lasix didn't seem to help last week - we'll see if the rail

can help her grab a piece. (6) LIGHTNING LEIA seems a notch below the top ones and draws poorly. (8)

DOCS DELIGHT handled the jump to NW6 nicely, but moves all the way outside after starting from the

pole last week - may have trouble getting involved tonight.


RACE 8 - (3) FOR A DREAMER gets a full pass for last week as he was stuck behind horrific cover and

really had no prayer - he's capable of big efforts in this class, and goes back to a barn that recently got 3

sharp tries from him - good week to hop on board. (1) MIDNIGHT MIRACLE was no factor in her local

debut but wasn't far back at the end facing the 75s - drops down to 50s, draws the pole and could easily

come up with a much bigger effort tonight. (4) BIG BAD SWAN is usually very reliable when he draws

inside and should be part of the equation tonight with any decent trip. (6) AFTER ALL PAUL is feeling

pretty good these days and could easily outperform that 20-1 ML price - good one to include in exotics. (2)

WHAT CHAPTER went on the shelf for 8 months after making a break here on 3/2 but has 3 starts under

his belt since returning (in PA) and seems ready to at least be a contender with these - maybe 3rd/4th? (5) P

C FREE WHEELING was off 6 weeks to her last (and debuting for a new barn) but really wasn't bad - she's

a bit of a question mark against these, but we'll have a better feel for how well she fits after tonight. (7)

JIVE NINETY FIVE almost stole one on the front end last week but he moves from the pole to Post 7 and

doesn't figure to have that same impact tonight. (8) BAZILLIONAIRE is an incredible 1 for 65 over the

past 2 years and goes from a pair of rails to Post 8 - sticking with others.


RACE 9 - Tough finale: (2) AINT HE SPECIAL came up with a good one two back when he just missed

then was very good again last week (from an impossible spot) - gets some major post relief, and is one of

several that could take this with the right trip. (5) CERTIFIABLE ships in from PA with solid form,

including a win and a 2nd two and three starts back - should fit very nicely with the locals, and is worth a

good look here. (1) MOMENTSTHATMATTER was "sneaky good" from Post 8 two back so it was no

surprise to see him turn in a good one last week (2nd best) - has to be respected from the pole tonight. (4)

INSTANTANEOUS shipped in sharp from NJ/PA and just missed to a sharp, repeat winner - add him to the

list of possibilities in here. (7) HURRIKANE GEORGIE is 16-5-7-1 at Yonkers this year and an

outstanding 24-9-9-2 overall - he's been in raging form for a long time, but he goes for a new barn from a

bad post and MAY be a little vulnerable tonight. (3) JIM BLUE has been racing in the same classes in PA

as #5 but he comes into tonight off a sick scratch, and is 0 for 7 locally this year - wouldn't be a shock, but

still leaning towards others for the top slot. (6) HES GONNA GETYA seems a tad below these and also

draws a tough post - maybe can rally for a minor share? (8) PAST DUE is the outsider tonight, both literally

and figuratively.

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