Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • August 15, 2023

The Empire Report - Tuesday, August 15, 2023 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (2) TRIZZLE TRAZZLE easily handled most of these last week as she picked up her 7th win of

the season - she'll be the prohibitive choice to pick up win #8 tonight. (1) A CRAFTY LADY came up 2nd

best to the top choice in her last, and figures to sit right to her back tonight - may complete a very short

exacta in tonight's opener. (3) NORMANS MADELINE does her damage on the front end- hard to imagine

her getting there tonight, but she may be able to just follow the top pair all the way and take home a decent

slice. (6) PRAY THE ROSARY is at least functioning every week lately after not even showing up in most

of her starts (for a long time) - may be able to rally late for some minor spoils. (7) ALWAYS BE MIMI has

some ok tries vs. better this year but she has no wins and just one 2nd from 23 starts, and would be hard to

back from Post 7. (4) SHORTYS GIRL tired to 4th after a pocket trip last week and just feels a bit cheaper.

(5) JOSSIE JAMES A is having a very tough year...and really struggling at the moment.


RACE 2 - NYSS - (3) GIGI HANOVER is 8-2-4-0 this year, the two off the board finishes being a break at

VD, and a 6th in her Hambo Oaks elimination - she comes into tonight off an easy NYSS win at Monti (at

2/5), and will be very tough to beat tonight (assuming she behaves). (6) CANTERBURY HANOVER was a

nice 2nd to the top choice last week but she has made a couple of recent miscues (including one here at

YR), and also gets a poor draw - may still be the main danger, however. (1) MIDWIND SUCCESS seems

to be on the upswing lately, and does own a recent Hilltop victory (even if vs. cheaper) - has the pole with

Bartlett, and could take home a decent piece of this. (5) DESTINYS DARLING overcame an early miscue

at Monti to rally for the (distant) place spot last week - chance for a good piece IF she stays trotting. (2) US

OSWEET BLUE CHIP started the year off well but has been in a rough patch for some time - a bit better at

Monti last week (2nd time hopples), and we'll see if she can build off that tonight. (4) RUTH HONIG had a

terrific year at 2, including a 2nd in the NYSS Final - hasn't been able to replicate that success at 3,

however, and needs to be better in order to be a serious player. (7) ALL THE RAGE has some ability but

disappoints way more than she delivers - we'll see if Sarah Svanstedt can have some better luck with her.


RACE 3 - (1) HP XANADU was used harder than she would have liked getting the lead last week and it

left her a little short at the end - she moves to a young trainer than has shown the ability to improve horses

dramatically overnight...and that has attracted the eye of her new, high profile owner (who has his claiming

stock distributed among the highest % trainers at Yonkers) - we'll hop on board too. (3) TUGGINGONCRE

DIT charged home to just miss off the class drop last week - moves inside, and looms a very dangerous

threat. (4) SWEET SANDY LOU also appreciated the class drop last week, beating both of the top two

choices in here - would certainly be no great surprise to see her do it again. (2) SHOTGUN PERSUASION

wasn't bad at all last week, avoiding a shuffle to finish just behind the top trio - chance for another small

piece here too. (5) FLIP THE SCRIPT picked a bad spot to leave last week and was predictably parked -

she should fit well with these, but drawing outside a few main foes may leave her looking at only a minor

share. (6) DANCE CLUB was 2 for 14 here last year and 0 for 7 to start off 2023 - draws poorly, and may

need to wait for a more favorable spot. (7) PAIGES GIRL drops from 50s, but realistically should have

exited that class long ago - we'll see if she races any better, even from this terrible spot.


RACE 4 - NYSS - (3) KAYLEIGH S (a full sister to the phenomenal JOVIALITY S) had plenty of success

at 2, winning a NYSS here at YR as well as the NYSS Final (at Tioga) - she's been a little slow to hit peak

form at 3, but we may be seeing some better signs lately- chance for the mild upset here. (4) INSTAGRAM

MODEL won 5 of 8 as a 2YO and banked $254K - she hasn't had quite that success so far at 3, but she's

still doing good things for her talented young conditioner...the one to beat, but won't be offering any value

at that 1-1 ML price! (7) ROYAL FILLY won the EBC back in June, and owns a pair of NYSS blowouts

since adding Lasix recently - draws horribly, but still deserves plenty of respect here. (1) JEANS ACTION

seems a bit below the top ones, but she has speed, stays trotting, and that could land her a nice piece of this.

(5) PRIDE N JOY made a break at Monticello last week but behaved nicely on 3 half mile tracks just prior

to that - could add some value to the bottom of the exotics. (2) POINT REYES did win a NYSS at Buffalo

but looks a bit cheaper, in general. (6) ON THE HOUSE has some ok NYSS tries but gets a tough draw -

leaning towards others.


RACE 5 - (4) SHECANDANCE N is hard to gauge off her recent Maryland form but she returns to a

trainer who won 6 of 9 starts with her earlier this year - may be worth a shot in her YR return. (3) COWGI

RL LILLY has now hit board in ALL 19 local starts this year, thriving for multiple owners and trainers -

she was reclaimed last week by a very high % barn, and will surely be a big player tonight. (2) SHECOUL

DBEGOOD N was plucked for $10K in May at Stga. and has been on quite a roll since then, including a

win in her only local try (at this same $50K level) - her talented young trainer will be at the lines tonight,

but he was making his mark as a driver well before he showed his recent training prowess - possibility. (6)

SALE EL SOL was solid off the barn change 2 back and REALLY sharp in last week's victory - faces

tougher and draws poorly, but still can't be underestimated. (1) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX probably isn't a

threat to WIN here, but an easy trip could help her take home a small share. (8) MIKI THE CLOWN was

very sharp beating cheaper last week - may have a hard time replicating that effort from Post 8, up in class.

(7) HARMONY OF NOTES probably needs a much better draw for even a piece against these. (5) LARJO

N LEAH was 1 for 18 here last year and 0 for 17 to start off 2023 - sticking with others.


RACE 6 - (7) SHUFFLE UP HANOVER shipped in off a win at Chester and is 2 for 2 since arriving - he

hasn't beaten much and his upside is still a guess...but he remains the one to beat against these, despite Post

7. (2) L DEES PASSOVER jogged at Monti in his first career start, disappointed in his next but rebounded

with a 12 length win last week - he won't have to be a killer to have a chance to beat the locals as well. (1)

BOOM TOWN BOY was a no factor 5th for new connections at Chester but was almost certainly facing

much better than these - look for him to have a much bigger say tonight. (4) SILK ROAD outran a very soft

field 3 back but tired badly after cutting the mile in his last pair - maybe he can last for a small slice? (3)

BARLEY A SIN has some ugly looking lines but that last qualifier was much better - debuts for a new barn

and may be a good stab for longshot fans. (6) FENDI HANOVER is 14-0-1-1 this year and only been able

to grab minor shares in his local tries - probably more of the same tonight. (8) BEST BETTOR has 38 local

starts with no wins and just 2 seconds - hard to like from Post 8. (5) BAD COLT was no factor at all in his

local debut and would need to be much better for even a piece tonight.


RACE 7 - (4) SOUTHWIND PETYR dropped from the 3-5YO Open 2 back and was a very well meant

4th - was the odds on choice dropping to NW15000 last week and raced hard...but was outmuscled late by a

very sharp rival...drops again, and no excuses tonight. (1) DA GHETTO WIZARD was a crisp finishing

3rd off the barn change last week - anything close to that effort could land him another big piece tonight.

(2) MR IBIZA N tries his luck at Yonkers after picking up a 3rd and a 4th in his first 2 U.S. starts (across

the river) - he's probably capable of better, and perhaps we'll see it tonight. (3) HUNTANOVER has been

racing well (vs. easier) in PA and was Bartlett's choice - should be able to grab a piece if the trip works out.

(5) GENIUS MAN really couldn't gain after pulling last week but didn't tire much either - chance to land on

the bottom of the gimmicks. (6) CYRUS N disappointed here in his first 2 U.S. starts last spring - been

freshened up, and worth observing for future consideration. (7) DONT JUDGE A BOOK wasn't bad in his

2 local starts, and then beat cheaper in back to back PA outings - faces MUCH tougher now, however, and

also draws horribly. (8) REAL PEACE was empty last week and lands behind the 8 ball tonight.


RACE 8 - (5) HEMSWORTH N is certainly not the most consistent/reliable horse in the world but when

he's even close to his best, he'd be very hard to beat in here - gets top billing, but don't bet the farm at a

short price. (3) DP REALORDEAL was in tough the last couple of starts but still not beaten all that badly -

if the top choice fails to deliver, he's one of a few that could capitalize. (1) NUTTIN BUT FINESSE

generally races well at YR and last week was no exception - he's looking at a good trip from this spot, and

probably a good piece. (7) SONNY WEAVER N is 8 for 17 here at Yonkers and may be able to improve

position at the start- good one to include in exotics. (8) SPLASH BROTHER could be the "x factor" in here

- despite his quirks, he'd been racing well for weeks before last week's dud - if you think Marohn may

gamble on sending him from Post 8, the price should be pretty generous. (6) CHANTEE always has good

pace finishing but may be coming from too far back here to have any real say. (4) MR DS ROCK probably

needs to be in easier to be a serious player, and the same goes for (2) ALEX TYE (who's off a sick scratch).


RACE 9 - Tough race! (1) STRENGTHANDHONOR N gave it a big try from Post 7 last week, blasting to

the lead then pacing a big 3rd panel to deal with major pressure from #4...only to get collared late by the

easier trip winner (#6) - probably deserves another shot in this very well matched field. (6) CHURCH

VIEWFRANKL IR missed by a head in his U.S. debut and has rattled off 3 in a row since then, including

last week's perfect trip victory against a bunch of these - tougher starting spot tonight, but that also means a

better price - worth including on your tickets. (4) ALL ALONE still hasn't won since joining this barn, but

he's raced well several times and put in a big move last week (after recovering from an early miscue) before

weakening a bit in the lane - would be no surprise at all. (7) HUNTING ZONE has developed into a pretty

reliable racehorse, and has shown he can handle a variety of trips - worth including in exotics. (2) CENTU

RY INSPECTOR hit board in 3 straight, draws inside, and is yet another with a real chance to do damage in

here. (3) RAYRAY and (5) ONE CRAZY GUY both seem a bit below the top ones, and would need very

easy trips for a chance at a share. (8) KRAKEN SEELSTER adds Lasix but remains the outsider, both

literally and figuratively.


RACE 10 - Another tough race! (1) ALL CLASS showed solid ability for his previous connections so it's

been no surprise to see him elevate his game even more since moving to our leading trainer - returns off a

career best 1:49.2 score in a Tompkins division last week, and has to be accorded the edge starting from the

pole. (3) METAL MAN showed plenty of ability from the start of his career this year but was also prone to

miscues - has been behaving lately, and returns from Batavia off a good looking score in a NYSS race at

Batavia - he's 3 for 4 here at YR, and a very real threat tonight. (5) HURRIKANE JONNYBOY raced 3x at

2 and only once at 3....but he's really blossomed as a 4YO, racing every week and turning in some very

impressive performances - would be no surprise at all. (6) SEVEN HUNDRED banked $144K at 3 and is

finally starting to get his 4YO season in gear - he has the ability to beat these, but the tough draw could hurt

his chances tonight. (2) UP THE CREEK picked up 3 wins in a recent "Pop Up Series" but wasn't overly

impressive doing so - may be a notch below a few of the main players in here. (7) FROZEN HANOVER

was just road tested upon arrival from Canada last week and did finish well - another bad draw may limit

him once again, though. (8) MY MIKI BEACH is a strong 11-3-4-2 this year with a pair of recent front end

wins - the bad draw in this good field is going to hurt his chances tonight, however. (4) RB took time off

and just re-qualified in Michigan....seems up against it for his return.


RACE 11 - (5) LAYTON HANOVER was off a month to his last so it really wasn't surprising to see him

handled conservatively - he did finish up with plenty of pace, and now drops right back in the box - should

be ready for a big effort tonight. (2) HECANDANCENCRUISE was in hopeless spots the last 2 weeks and

now gets both post and class relief - he's another that can be expected to be cranked up for a top effort. (8)

DREAMFAIR ARNIE B was even better last week than the line looks as he was off the car at the start

(from Post 8!) and still made the top at the quarter - faces a tougher field tonight, but the ability is there to

be a threat IF Stratton can find him a good trip. (4) IMSTAYNALIVE continues to rally well every start -

good one to use underneath in exotics. (7) YOROKOBI N seems to always have plenty of pace at the end

but Siegelman continues to drive him like a hopeless 100-1 shot - he'll likely be sitting way out of it again

tonight starting from Post 7. (6) WALKINSHAW N dropped to a much easier spot last week, made an easy

lead and that sealed things pretty early - may have a much tougher time from Post 6, against this much

tougher bunch. (1) MONTANA STORM N hat yet to really impress in his 4 U.S. starts - may still improve,

but leaning towards others for now. (3) GINGER TREE PETE raced well in his last couple and does retain

Bartlett....may find this spot a little more than he can handle right now, however.


RACE 12 - (5) CHUPPAH ON didn't fare so well taking on MUCH better last week but jogged in her

prior 2 - she loses her 2 favorite pilots tonight, but she'll also end up a better price as a result - worth a play

in the finale. (4) MIKI ROSE has taken 5 of her last 6, landing on a horrible trip in the lone loss - clearly

the one to beat, but also likely to be overbet. (1) LIGHTNING LEIA is just 1 for 17 this year but she's been

freshened up, adds Lasix, and hails from top connections - may bring a good one tonight. (3) DREAM DA

NCING races best when allowed to relax and rally (at least at Yonkers) - may be able to rally for a piece

with that strategy tonight. (7) PURAMERI was an opportunistic winner last week when both of the solid

favorites had issues - that being said, she's been very consistent lately, and a good bomb for exotics at that

15-1 ML price. (2) TOBAGO TIME seems a notch below the top players in here but she draws well and

may be able to tow along for a small share. (6) MC ANGEL probably needs a much better post to be any

kind of player at this level. (8) AMINI held nicely for 2nd in her YR debut but wasn't as sharp last week -

draws Post 8 now, and that figures to really hinder her chances.

By soaofny February 21, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 21, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 20, 2025
The Empire Report – Thursday, February 20, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 19, 2025
The Empire Report – Wednesday, February 19, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 18, 2025
The Empire Report – Tuesday, February 18, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 14, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 14, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 13, 2025
The Empire Report – Thursday, February 13, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 12, 2025
The Empire Report – Wednesday, February 12, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 11, 2025
The Empire Report – Tuesday, February 11, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 10, 2025
The Empire Report – Monday, February 10, 2025 – Race Analysis
By soaofny February 7, 2025
The Empire Report – Friday, February 7, 2025 – Race Analysis
Show More
Share by: