Wednesday Empire Report

soaofny • November 16, 2022

The Empire Report - Wednesday, November 16, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (4) INFINITY STONE came up 2nd best to a sharp shipper after cutting the mile 2 back but was

hitting on all cylinders in his last, crushing his rivals with a crisp 1:55.3 mile - steps up a notch here, but

seems more than sharp enough to still have a big chance to repeat. (3) TESLA SEELSTER had limited

opportunities in her last 4 starts, all horrible posts against good fields - she showed what she's capable of in

the starts before that, and will now benefit from both post and class relief...look for a big wake up call. (1)

NEW HEAVEN dropped in class last week but just didn't show up at all - drops again (and draws the rail)

but there's no guarantee that he'll bring his best tonight - be careful about taking too short a price. (6) THE

LAST CHAPTER went a good one from Post 8 last week, coming up 2nd best to a quality rival - fits with

these too, but he does tend to come up a little light at the end sometimes - possible, but leaning a bit more

to a couple of others for the top slot. (2) SWISS HOUSE ONFIRE has been picking up small pieces in most

of his recent starts and seems destined for similar tonight. (7) BIG CHARLIE MORAN showed some better

life last week, rallying for 2nd behind the runaway winner - would have given him a longer look tonight if

not for the terrible draw. (5) MUSCLE STAR will look better with a class drop...probably next week.


RACE 2 - (6) BIG BAD SWAN failed to get involved from the back of the pack last week but he's won

more than his share of these, lands in a pretty soft (short) field tonight and may be able to come out on top

despite another bad draw. (2) BROKENHEARTSVILLE almost pulled off a 45-1 shocker 3 back but did

little before OR after that start - maybe this is a spot where he can find that better effort again? (3) MYCRO

WNMYKINGDOM has behaved himself since arriving from Canada but he really hasn't displayed the

ability that he flashed at times up North - he did hold for 3rd after chasing a hot mile last week, so we'll see

if he can build off that tonight (trying claimers for the first time). (1) BAZILLIONAIRE is hard to ever use

on top (1 for 63 last 2 yrs!) but he does grab pieces, and may be able to pick one up here. (4) COCKTAILS

N DREAMS is just 1 for 19 at YR and not really hitting on all cylinders right now - needs to be better. (5)

LOS BALLYKEELAMIGO tried to change things off by racing OFF the pace last week...but suffered the

same poor result - in need of a major form reversal to threaten here.


RACE 3 - (2) TOP HONORS was struggling in KY for a very low % trainer but really turned things

around in Ohio, after moving to a new barn - arrives at YR to one of our top outfits, gets Brennan at the

controls and we'll see if she can handle the locals right off the bat. (3) CLEAR THE WAY was a solid 2nd

best last week, staying right with the winner into the very fast final quarter- she's shown that she can always

be right there with these when she draws inside, and tonight should be no exception. (8) FOX VALLEY

CACHET has held her own with better fields than this, and has hit board in 11 of her 14 local starts this

year - she only has two WINS here, however, and must also find a way to overcome the outside draw- may

be looking at a smaller piece tonight. (1) DOCS DELIGHT really perked up with that charging 2nd place

finish 2 back but has been just "ok" in the 2 starts since then - still has to be used in exotics from this spot.

(4) ODDS ON HARMONY has been a steady player lately for her hot barn....but still seems a bit below a

couple of the main players in here - one of several with a chance at a board spot. (6) BETTOR B SAWYER

got lost at the back last week but wasn't bad in her prior two starts - maybe throw in for 3rd? (5) RAISE

THE ANTE failed to threaten at long odds last week and may just need to find an easier field to be a player.

(7) PREMIER SWEETHEART is one of many horses we'll see reappearing in new barns in the near future

- she's had some gait issues in the past, and we'll just observe tonight with the new trainer, and bad post.


RACE 4 - (2) P L OSCAR made a couple of breaks at the end of September but has since righted the ship

and is racing very well again - should be offering a decent price in this well matched field, and is definitely

one worth using. (4) AFTER ALL PAUL went an excellent mile to be 2nd to the stickout winner last week,

and might have been even closer if not hampered by terrible cover - he may be ready for a big effort here,

and he'll be a pretty nice price...consider! (1) EPOS OSTERVANG DK was helped last week when Bartlett

allowed him to take over command without a tussle, and the import was able to dig in late to preserve the

victory - draws best for tonight, has a solid chance, but there won't be much value with him at that 9/5 ML

price. (3) KANDY SWEET failed at a short price last week with no excuses, but she also won 3 of her prior

4 starts (with an 8 hole in the other) - very dangerous if she brings her best tonight. (6) LINDSEYS PRIDE

is just 1 for 20 here this year but did hit board in 8 of those losses - he's pretty sharp right now, and not a

bad one to include underneath. (7) UPFRONT STONE draws worst and will probably be ignored in the

wagering with the new trainer listed....he does have Bartlett, though, and not a terrible one for longshot fans

to consider. (5) R HERBIE BLUE CHIP probably needs to be in an easier spot to be a serious player.


RACE 5 - (3) HP LIS SHADOW was very well backed moving inside last week, took his shot against

SHIP WRECK BEACH K before 3/4s but just could never put away his oft-winning rival, losing the place

spot late (although right there 3rd) - he's been very sharp in all his recent starts, and may be able to finally

get over the hump tonight. (1) HURRIKANE GEORGIE has been using this class as his own personal

ATM this year, compiling a 15-4-7-1 local slate with seasonal earnings at over $123K - obviously a big

threat from the pole, though he'll surely be a very short price! (5) MAKE MY DEO was very well backed

last week, handled very aggressively but weakened just a bit to 3rd in the latter stages - he's in a tough spot

drawing outside 2 very sharp foes, but still worth a look if the price is right, (2) THOR AND DR JONES

saw Stratton choice off him last week and came up with a dull try from off the pace - it's noteworthy that

Stratton DOES take him here, especially since the horse he drove instead last week (AINT HE SPECIAL)

raced super...look for a good try tonight, and include him in exotics. (6) ALWAYS B SWEET ships down

from Canada with lines that suggest he'll fit well with the locals - may struggle a bit with the post, however.

(7) AINT HE SPECIAL attracted Stratton OFF of #2 last week and raced super, just missing against the

favorite - it's surprising that Jordan opts off after that big try, so perhaps some caution should be used here.

(4) JOINT ACCOUNT has some solid Stga. form but the jury is out as to how he'll do vs. the locals -

suppose we'll have a clearer picture after tonight. (8) DILLINGER returns sharp from PcD and usually

outraced his odds in his Yonkers starts - he'll be coming from last, however, and that's tough to overcome.


RACE 6 - (2) VINNY DE VIE is a streaky horse and clearly he's in a good way right now - he steps up a

notch after last week's easy victory but when he's "right", he can handle better than these - the one to beat.

(4) SHARE THE WEALTH ships in with solid Midwest form for a high % barn (that apparently we'll be

seeing a lot more of in the upcoming weeks) - we know he gets around Yonkers well enough (5-0-3-2 here

last year), and he may prove the main danger to the top choice. (5) ROGER RABBIT disappointed in his

YR debut but was backed even stronger the next week, and delivered the easy (pocket) victory - this is a

tougher spot, but he should still be able to be a solid player. (7) LOOK IN MY EYES drops out of the 75s

where he's been racing ok lately - the main concern is the draw, but he can have a say here IF Boyd can

improve a bit at the start. (1) LIFETIME ROYALTY has been hurt by his inability to get rolling for a big

chunk of the mile and that may happen even from the pole tonight - suspect he's looking at only a minor

piece here. (6) ARABELLAS CADET will probably be coming from near the back, and does seem to need

easier these days - prefer others. (3) MISS YOU KELLY desperately needs some class relief.


RACE 7 - (4) TS RAIDER was handled conservatively in his Hilltop debut and finished with good pace for

3rd - would expect to see a more aggressive try tonight, with a solid chance at the top prize...but that 8/5

ML price does temper our enthusiasm a bit. (2) ARTIST BEST is prone to clunkers but he's also a solid

player with these type whenever he's on his game - would absolutely include him on your tickets as long as

the price is fair. (6) MOMENTSTHATMATTER was very well backed arriving from PRc on 11/2 but made

a break that night, and lost all chance - drew Post 8 for his next and while he had no prayer, he did look

pretty good finishing from that impossible spot - not a bad value horse to consider, if you think he may be

able to find a trip tonight. (1) PAST DUE has been in 3 no-chance spots in his Yonkers starts - it's possible

that he's simply overmatched against these but with tonight's rail draw, we'll find out whether he does

indeed fit- would still need a pretty good price to even consider him for the top slot (3) ROCKINMYSHOE

threw a clunker 2 back but rebounded with a much better try last week - the good draw puts him in play for

a small piece. (5) AIR GUITAR held ok for 4th after a weak first over bid last week - he's another that's

unlikely to contend for a top prize, but with a chance for a minor award. (8) HES GONNA GETYA fits

with these under the right circumstances....but this doesn't seem like one of those - wait for a better spot. (7)

STILL THIRSTY just fails to function too often to consider...especially from Post 7.


RACE 8 - (6) WILLY WALTON beat this class 3 straight times before racing very well to just miss 2nd vs.

the 75s - drops back down, and we'll give him the edge despite the tough draw. (1) IN MY DREAMS was

in an impossible spot in his first start off the claim and basically just toured the oval (after a break the week

before) - drops back in to the level where he thrives, lands the pole and will likely be primed for a big effort

- the main danger. (5) STEUBEN HANOVER finally picked up a win last week after a long stretch of

mostly 2nds and 3rds- likely looking at one of those smaller pieces tonight, though. (2) BLUEBIRD JESSE

had some success at this level not all that long ago but his recent overall form hasn't been as good - maybe

=he can grab an easy trip from this spot and grab a decent chunk. (4) JIVE NINETY FIVE was caught in a

bad shuffle 2 back but has otherwise been racing pretty well for several starts - chance for a piece with the

right trip. (3) WINDSONG PIONEER was able to shock at 39-1 last week thanks to a dream trip, while the

favorite also failed to bring her best - seems an unlikely repeater, but suppose he wouldn't be as big of a

shock this time around. (7) MUFASAAS beat this class 3 and 4 starts back with good finishes, but those

were definitely easier fields - faces a long haul from Post 7 tonight.


RACE 9 - Tough finale! (1) MY MIND IS MADEUP has been no good for a long time but did show some

much better life last week - he should be a pretty decent price (even from the rail), and this may not be a

bad week to take a flyer with him. (2) KENRICK N drops back down to 25s, draws inside, and could race a

lot better than in his last couple (first over tries vs. the 30s). (3) SECRECY was legitimately sharp in last

week's "pocket rocket" victory but he generally wins about 1 race a year at Yonkers, and it would be hard to

take a SHORT price, looking for him to make it 2 in a row.....would use underneath, though. (4) ODDS ON

DELRAY was doing good work for a trainer winning nearly 40% of his races - he now has a trainer that

"only" wins at a 22% clip listed, and we'll see how these horses that have moved to new barns fare over the

next few weeks. (6) AWESOMENESS may have logged the most miles of any horse that raced here this

year, as he seems to race parked every step of the way with some regularity - ok to include underneath. (5)

RISKY MILLION took a risk leaving from Post 7 last week and got parked as a result - guessing he'll be

handled more conservatively here, and will need some hot action up front to help his chances for a big rally.

(7) SWAGASAURUSREX will look to save ground from the back and hope the inside trip pays off - ok

bomb for 3rd/4th. (8) MARTY MONKHOUSER A seems damned if he leaves and damned if he doesn't.

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