Tuesday Empire Report

soaofny • November 15, 2022

The Empire Report - Tuesday, November 15, 2022 - Race Analysis

RACE 1 - (1) BECHERS BROOK A never got involved from Post 8 last week but he did finish okay to

pick up a 5th place check - you can be sure that he'll have his game face on from the pole tonight, and while

he certainly isn't having the best year, this is the kind of spot where he should be pretty tough - no real

value, but seems the one to beat. (2) SWEET N FAST N drew Post 7 off a bad date last week and was never

in play - drops, moves inside, and should be able to have a decent say from this spot...but he's another that

has had some struggles lately. (6) NOCH TEN was a winner here on 8/16 upon arrival from Canada then

immediately went sour - his last pair at PcD suggest a return to form, however, so perhaps he deserves a

look at that 12-1 ML price. (4) LUCIANO N has continued to struggle even as several of his barnmates

have done well lately - he always seems to come around eventually...maybe tonight? (3) PONDERINGJAC

KSFAME has finished well back in both local tries but he does have at least some excuse both times - may

be worth considering if the price is juicy enough. (5) SIMPLE KINDA MAN picked up a "trip 3rd" last

week but really hasn't looked all that good lately - hard to endorse here as the 2-1 ML choice! (7) GLENG

ARRY KNIGHT N picked up a 2nd last week when he ended up with a pocket trip from the pole - moves

all the way outside, and his other recent lines suggest this could be a problem for him.


RACE 2 - It would be impossible for (5) HEMSWORTH N to have looked any more impressive than he

has in his first two local victories - his connections appear to have found an absolute beast, and a date in the

Open doesn't seem too far off - pretty hard to even consider playing against him right now, even at another

very short price. (3) DRAGON CITY loses Bartlett to #6, but he raced very well for Holland as well - one

of a few with a chance to complete the exacta. (4) SHAKERTOWN came up 2nd best to the top choice last

week, after finishing 3rd the week before - remains a solid threat for another board spot. (1) TWIN B DEL

UXE fits very nicely in here, draws best, but he's missed 3 weeks after being scratched sick from his last -

hard to know how close to 100% he'll be tonight. (6) COPPER TEEN really elevated his game since a barn

change in June, and he's raced very well in his local starts - the draw is the main knock for tonight, and the

opportunity for a tough trip does exist. (2) DEAL THE CARDS went on the shelf for over a year after

finishing last on 9/7/21 and did look short (understandably) in his return last week - still just on the "watch

list" for now. (7) STRIKING IMPACT appears to have changed barns after winning last week's MaSS Final

- he'll need to prove that he can hang with these much tougher foes.


RACE 3 - (7) HERRICKROOSEVELT N came back solidly off the layoff and has been racing well from

tough spots, vs. much better - he's not all that handy so he may run into a difficult trip tonight as well... but

at this lower level, he may still be able to overcome it. (1) DECOY went down the road arriving from PA

last week but he was tested to 3/4s by the (sharp) winner and gave way to the top of the lane - may be able

to take this easier group a lot further. (4) HEISMAN PLAYER does feel like he may just be too far off form

but he does have some recent excuses - perhaps tonight's class drop and better post will help him find a

better effort? (5) FOX VALLEY REN doesn't have the greatest current form as he arrives from Hoosier but

we've seen a lot of these types perk up quickly upon arrival - maybe the tote board will offer some clues (8)

PADUKA N has landed in 3 very difficult spots since winning at this level 4 starts back - he certainly fits

well enough, and he's worth considering if you think Stratton can find him a way into the mix from out

here. (2) ALEX TYE was able to wire 'em after dropping to the bottom level last week, but he really didn't

win as easily as he might have - not impossible, but others may be offering better value here. (6) MAJOR

DESIRE won at the bottom level 5 starts back but has struggled a bit since then - tough post for tonight,

and we're leaning to others. (3) SANTAFES COACH doesn't win too often here at YR and isn't all that

sharp right now.


RACE 4 - (2) RB gave it a big try on the front end last week (off 3 weeks), coming up 2nd best to a very

sharp DRAGON CITY - one of several that could come out on top in here, depending on the trip. (3) SUPE

RVISETHEMOMENT added Lasix last week and was a pretty close 3rd - no reason he can't be a big threat

here with just a bit of improvement. (1) BLUE OCEAN joins a new barn after taking 4 in a row at RcR -

would be no surprise at all if he fit well with the locals, especially starting from the pole (4) LOUS BEACH

can be a little inconsistent but he paced a strong final half last week despite racing off a bad date - his best

effort pits him right in the thick of this. (5) SPORTS SECTION struggled a bit here this summer but that's a

pretty good looking qualifier after taking some time off- could be a good value horse to consider (6) GREG

THE LEG seemed a bit short in his first try off the layoff but wasn't terrible - eligible to race a bit better

tonight. (7) COLD CREEK FELIPE throws some good efforts but he's made only one start in 6 weeks and

draws poorly. (8) HUNTSVILLE PLACE was no factor at all from a similar spot last week.


RACE 5 - (5) SHADOW CAT failed to threaten in a good field last week but gave it a big speed try (also

vs. better) the week before - he drops down to a level he usually thrives at, and is an appealing play at that

6-1 ML price. (1) FOREVER FAV is listed at 12-1 ML and he can definitely threaten from this spot -

another that should be seriously considered for your tickets (4) ROLLING WITH SAM got beat vs. cheaper

after cutting the mile last start but his overall trajectory has been upwards - would be no surprise at all, even

up in class. (2) LOUIE THE HORSE N couldn't quite last on the lead last week after crushing cheaper in

back to back starts prior to that - will probably be handled a little more conservatively tonight, but still

eligible for a good chunk. (6) EHRMANTROUT hasn't won in a while but he continues to be competitive

even at these higher levels - probably looking at only a minor share from this tough post, however. (8) FOR

TIFY is as good (or better) than any of these, but he failed to threaten the last 2X he drew outside and may

be handled the same way tonight. (3) BILL HALEY N looked good in 2nd start off the layoff but then

made a break last week - feels a bit iffy right now. (7) HICKFROMFRENCHLICK was sharp wiring the

field last week but that was from the pole, vs. cheaper - much tougher spot tonight.


RACE 6 - (6) CALLMEQUEENBEE A used a beautiful Bartlett drive to beat these 2 back then was very

good again last week from an impossible spot - this spot isn't much better, but she's still worth considering

as long as the price is fair. (7) LADY DELA RENTAA is rock solid at this level, but is another that could

really be hurt by tonight's draw - hard to leave her off your tickets, though. (3) TOBAGO TIME was 3rd

two back then a winner last week for her red hot barn - very logical player and definitely has a post edge on

her main rivals...won't offer much value at that 8/5 ML price, however. (4) WHOS SMOKIN N took no $$

off the sick scratch last week and was a dull 5th - she's capable of better, and that 20-1 ML price makes her

a good one to throw in underneath. (1) JOSSIE JAMES A made her first start last week away from our

(former) leading trainer and finished up the track - not ready to endorse her for a top slot, but we'll at least

look for her to deliver a more competitive effort from the pole. (2) NORMANS MADELINE wasn't terrible

last week but she really seems to need to be in a bit easier. (8) MILLWOOD BONNIE N threw a dud last

time - could rebound here, but she'll be hard pressed to do much damage from Post 8. (5) CORAL BELLA

finally found some life at the lower levels but was no factor moving up to the 50s last week.


RACE 7 - (4) JUDDY DOUGLAS A was pretty impressive in his Stateside debut last week, coming up

2nd best to sharp dropdown winner MACH N CHEESE - could be even sharper tonight, and he looms a

major threat from this spot. (8) ILL DRINK TO THAT didn't even pretend to be interested from Post 8 last

week - lands the same horrible post for tonight, but the class drop may at least motivate Stratton (who takes

him over #1) to be a lot more aggressive - check the tote board, and act accordingly. (1)

IDEALSOMEMAGIC A was a solid Down Under performer, winning13 races for $134K - his U.S. qua.

was certainly promising, coming up 2nd best to Open pacer PRICELESS BEACH (who raced well off the

layoff on Monday night) - should be a fair price for his U.S. debut, but Stratton does opt for #8. (2)

CAVIART REAGAN likes to win races, and he has a pretty good Yonkers history (though he hasn't been

here in some time) - he's moving up in class, but still should be able to be a part of this. (3) SURREAL

ART was sent off at 3/5 shipping in last week from Hoosier but came up 2nd best to COALITION

HANOVER....who came back to win again on Monday night - ok for a piece here too. (6) ROCKATHON

looked good wiring cheaper last week but this is just a much tougher spot - minor share only. (7) ODDS

ON PICK SIX lands in a top barn for his local debut but he was already racing for top connections in

Indiana - he may also need to be in a bit easier before he fires his best shot. (5) HES ELECTRIC got pretty

good for awhile but does seem to have tailed a bit in his last few.


RACE 8 - (2) CARLISIMO kicked home full of pace for 3rd last week behind a pair of stickouts that were

1-2 around the track from the start - his overall form has been rock solid, and the right trip could get him

home in front of this well matched field. (1) WINDSUN RICKY raced hard last week but was outrushed to

the final turn by the classy winner, and gradually weakened from there - an easier trip puts him right back

in play for a big piece tonight. (4) SETH HANOVER remains in career form and tonight's class jump really

shouldn't hurt him all that much - remains a very viable threat. (5) REAGAN BLUE CHIP shipped in and

used a two hole trip to win at the NW10000 level - his last pair (up in class) were very sharp too, and at

nice prices - good value horse for the exotics. (7) PYRO is pretty reliable these days and did finish well

from an impossible spot last week - would have been listed higher if not for tonight's terrible draw. (6) SO

MANY ROADS has been pretty consistent for most of 2022, even though he's also been quite camera shy -

a smaller piece is never out of the question for him. (3) ELWELL returns from a couple of months off and

lands in with a pretty sharp crew - prefer to just watch this week. (8) MACINTOSH N raced well the last 2

weeks but moves from the rail to Post 8 and that figures to slow him down considerably.


RACE 9 - (3) NUTTINBUTHEBEST was full of pace but clear too late 2 back then raced big again last

week, despite being forced to a tough trip after two other rivals forced her into the 3 hole early on - feels

like she's just a good trip away from reaching the winner's circle. (1) BETTER WATCH IT ended up parked

every step of the way (Post 7) last week and still only lost by 3 lengths - she was very sharp in PA prior to

that, and looms a legitimate danger from the pole tonight. (4) ASHTINI has been ultra consistent lately,

picking up good chunks week after week - no reason she can't do the same tonight. (2) LINE EM UP took

command last week, controlled the action to the stretch but got a little weak late and let things slip away -

willing to include underneath tonight. (5) CHUPPAH ON hasn't been on her best game lately, but continues

to race well enough to be close every start - another that has to be included underneath. (6) LAURIE LEE

continues to be heavily backed every start despite only one recent (nose) win - willing to use for 3rd/4th

from this outside slot. (8) BALFAST N threw a dud 2 back but rebounded with a much better effort last

week - the issue tonight is the draw.....which she may have a tough time overcoming. (7) POPPY

DRAYTON N hasn't been as sharp lately and lands in a field with a bunch who have.

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